• Title/Summary/Keyword: Instability prediction

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Heavy Rainfall prediction using convective instability index (대류성 불안정 지수를 이용한 집중호우 예측)

  • Kim, Young-Chul;Ham, Sook-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is possibility of the heavy rainfall prediction using instability index. The convective instability index using this study is Convective Available Potential Energy(CAPE) concerned the growth energy of the storm, Bulk Richardson Number(BRN) concerned the type and strength of the storm, and Sotrm Relative Helicity(SRH) concerned maintenance of the storm. To verify the instability index, the simulation of heavy rainfall case experiment by Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP) model(MM5) are designed. The results of this study summarized that the heavy rainfall related to the high instability index and the proper combination of one more instability index made the higher heavy rainfall prediction.

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Combustion Instability Analysis of Partially Premixed Model Gas Turbine Combustor with 1D Lumped Method (1D Lumped Method를 이용한 모형 부분 예혼합 가스터빈 연소기의 연소불안정 해석)

  • Kim, Jeongjin;Yoon, Jisu;Joo, Seongpil;Kim, Seongheon;Sohn, Chae Hoon;Yoon, Youngbin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Combustion
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.39-45
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    • 2017
  • Combustion instability analysis of partially premixed model gas turbine combustor was conducted with 1D lumped method. Flame Transfer Function(FTF) was obtained with variation of fuel composition by Photo Multiplier Tube(PMT) and Hot Wire Anemometry(HWA). Decreasing instability frequency was observed when combustor length increased and multi-mode instability was confirmed. Instability frequency mode was changed while $H_2$ composition rate was increased and had agreement with experimental value. This work confirms that prediction of longitudinal combustion instability mode of partially premixed combustor is possible using 1D lumped method.

A Case Study on Combustion Instability of a Model Lean Premixed Gas Turbine Combustor with Open Source Code OSCILOS (온라인 개방코드 OSCILOS를 이용한 모델 희박 예혼합 가스터빈 연소기의 연소불안정 해석 사례)

  • Cha, Dong Jin;Song, Jin Kwan;Lee, Jong Geun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Combustion
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2015
  • Combustion instability is a major issue in design and maintenance of gas turbine combustors for efficient operation with low emissions. With the thermoacoustic view point the instability is induced by the interaction of the unsteady heat release of the combustion process and the change in the acoustic pressure in the combustion chamber. In an effort to study the combustion dynamics of gas turbine combustors, Morgans et al (2014) have developed OSCILOS (open source combustion instability low order simulator) code and it is currently available online. In this study the code has been utilized to predict the combustion instability of a reported case for lean premixed gas turbine combustion, and then its prediction results have been compared with the corresponding experimental data. It turned out that both the predicted and the experimental combustion instability results agree well. Further the effects of some typical inlet acoustic boundary conditions on the prediction have been investigated briefly. It is believed that the validity and effectiveness of the open source code is reconfirmed through this benchmark test.

A Prediction of Bursting Failure in Tube Hydroforming Process Based on Plastic Instability (소성불안정성에 의한 관재 하이드로포밍 공정에서의 터짐 불량 예측)

  • Kim S. W.;Kim J.;Park H. J.;Kang B. S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.210-213
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    • 2004
  • Based on plastic instability, analytical prediction of bursting failure on tube hydroforming processes under combined internal pressure and independent axial feeding is carried out. Bursting is irrecoverable phenomenon due to local instability under excessive tensile stresses. In order to predict the bursting failure, three different classical necking criteria such as diffuse necking criterion for sheet and tube, local necking criterion for sheet are introduced. The incremental theory of plasticity fur anisotropic material is adopted and then the hydroforming limit and bursting failure diagram with respect to axial feeding and hydraulic pressure are presented. In addition, the influences of the material properties such as anisotropy parameter, strain hardening exponent on bursting pressure are investigated. As results of the above approach, the hydroforming limit in view of bursting failure is verified with experimental results.

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Numerical Prediction of Performance and Acoustic Instability in KSR-III Liquid Rocket Engine (KSR-III 액체 로켓엔진의 성능예측과 음향 불안정성 해석)

  • 문윤완;손채훈;김영목
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.17-20
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    • 2001
  • Combustion characteristics of KSR-III liquid rocket engine are investigated numerically in the standpoints of engine performance and acoustic instability. In the present calculation, engine performance for design and off-design conditions is estimated effectively with reasonable error. Numerical results of acoustic instability show that engine operation for the design condition has sufficient stability margin, but for a certain off-design condition, acoustic instability can be triggered by artificial pressure perturbation. The present results are in a good agreement with the available experimental results and can be adopted for the prediction of engine performance and stability, depending on the specific operating condition.

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Combustion Instability Prediction Using 1D Thermoacoustic Model in a Gas Turbine Combustor (가스터빈 연소기에서 1D 열음향 모델을 이용한 연소불안정 예측)

  • Kim, Jin Ah;Kim, Daesik
    • Journal of ILASS-Korea
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2015
  • The objective of the current study is to develop an 1D thermoacoustic model for predicting basic characteristics of combustion instability and to investigate effects of key parameters on the instabilities such as effects of flame geometry and acoustic boundary conditions. Another focus of the paper is placed on limit cycle prediction. In order to improve the model accuracy, the 1D model was modified considering the actual flame location and flame length (i.e. distribution of time delay). As a result, it is found that the reflection coefficients have a great effect on the growth rate of the instabilities. In addition, instability characteristics are shown to be strongly dependent upon the fuel compositions.

Improvement of the subcooled boiling model for the prediction of the onset of flow instability in an upward rectangular channel

  • Wisudhaputra, Adnan;Seo, Myeong Kwan;Yun, Byong Jo;Jeong, Jae Jun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.1126-1135
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    • 2022
  • The MARS code has been assessed for the prediction of onset of flow instability (OFI) in a vertical channel. For assessment, we built an experiment database that consists of experiments under various geometry and thermal-hydraulic condition. It covers pressure from 0.12 to 1.73 MPa; heat flux from 0.67 to 3.48 MW/m2; inlet sub-cooling from 39 to 166 ℃; hydraulic diameters between 2.37 and 6.45 mm of rectangular channels and pipes. It was shown that the MARS code can predict the OFI mass flux for pipes reasonably well. However, it could not predict the OFI in a rectangular channel well with a mean absolute percentage error of 8.77%. In the cases of rectangular channels, the error tends to depend on the hydraulic diameter. Because the OFI is directly related to the subcooled boiling in a flow channel, we suggest a modified subcooled boiling model for better prediction of OFI in a rectangular channel; the net vapor generation (NVG) model and the modified wall evaporation model were modified so that the effect of hydraulic diameter and heat flux can be accurately considered. The assessment of the modified model shows the prediction of OFI mass flux for rectangular channels is greatly improved.

Comparison of Radiography Findings and Magnetic Resonance Image Findings of Lumbar Spine Instability Patients (요추 불안정 환자에서 단순방사선 소견과 자기공명영상 소견의 비교)

  • Lee, In-Hee;Park, Hee-Joon;Jin, Jong-Sik;Lee, Jyung-Hyun;Kim, Yoon-Nyun
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: This study was to investigate how dose the radiography findings are to magnetic resonance (MR) image findings in the L5-S1 instability patients. The subjects of this study were comprised of eleven males and fifteen females, who had Lumbago and agreed with this research. Methods: Radiography and MR images of Lumbar spine were acquired respectively from subjects in conditions of maximum flexion and extension. The horizontal and angular displacements in lumabosacral spine radiography were used to assess the instability of lumbar spine. MR images were also used to evaluate the intervertebral disc abnormalities and change of bone marrow. Results: The results are as follows. 1. In the case of flexion transitional displacement proposed by Dupuis et al, the specificity and negative predictive value were good accuracy ($0.7{\sim}0.8$), and the negative predictive value was in average. In the case of extension displacement, the negative predictive value was about average ($0.6{\sim}0.7$), but the sensitivity, specificity and positive predictive value were below the poor (<0.6). On the other side, the specificity was about average but other things were below in the case of angular displacement. 2. In the case of flexion transitional displacement proposed by Dupuis et al., compared with the intervertebral disc abnormalities, the negative prediction value was excellent, the sensitivity good, and the specificity about average. In the case of extension, the negative prediction value was about average, but the other things were poor. On the other side the specificity and negative predictive value had good accuracy and the sensitivity and positive prediction value were below average in the case of angular displacement. Conclusion: The above results show that the radiography finding is sufficiently helpful to find the lumbar spine instability as an economic point of view.

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A Prediction of Bursting Failure in Tube Hydroforming Process Based on Necking Conditions (네킹발생조건에 의한 관재 액압성형 공정에서의 터짐 불량 예측)

  • 김상우;김정;박훈재;강범수
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.629-634
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    • 2004
  • Based on plastic instability, analytical prediction of bursting failure on tube hydroforming processes under combined infernal pressure and independent axial feeding is carried out. Bursting is irrecoverable phenomenon due to local instability under excessive tensile stresses. In order to predict the bursting failure, three different classical necking criteria such as diffuse necking criterion for sheet and tube, local necking criterion for sheet are introduced. The incremental theory of plasticity for anisotropic material is adopted and then the hydroforming limit and bursting failure diagram with respect to axial feeding and hydraulic pressure are presented. In addition, the influences of the material properties such as anisotropy Parameter, strain hardening exponent and strength coefficient on bursting Pressure are investigated. As results of the above approach, the hydroforming limit in view of bursting failure is verified with experimental results.

Machine Learning Model for Low Frequency Noise and Bias Temperature Instability (저주파 노이즈와 BTI의 머신 러닝 모델)

  • Kim, Yongwoo;Lee, Jonghwan
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 2020
  • Based on the capture-emission energy (CEE) maps of CMOS devices, a physics-informed machine learning model for the bias temperature instability (BTI)-induced threshold voltage shifts and low frequency noise is presented. In order to incorporate physics theories into the machine learning model, the integration of artificial neural network (IANN) is employed for the computation of the threshold voltage shifts and low frequency noise. The model combines the computational efficiency of IANN with the optimal estimation of Gaussian mixture model (GMM) with soft clustering. It enables full lifetime prediction of BTI under various stress and recovery conditions and provides accurate prediction of the dynamic behavior of the original measured data.