• Title/Summary/Keyword: Injury prediction model

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A Study on the Key Performance Factors of Passenger Airbag and Injury Risk Prediction Technique Development (동승석 에어백 핵심 성능 인자 및 상해위험도 예측 기법 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Dongkyou
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2013
  • Until now, passenger airbag design is based on the referred car design and many repetitive crash tests have been done to meet the crash performance. In this paper, it was suggested a new design process of passenger airbag. First, key performance factors were determined by analyzing the injury risk effectiveness of each performance factor. And it was made a relationship between injury risk and performance factor by using the response surface model. By using this one, it can be predicted the injury risk of head and neck. Predicted injury risk of optimal design was obtained through this injury risk prediction model and it was verified by FE analysis result within 18% error of head and 9% error of neck. It was shown that a target crash performance can be met by controlling the key performance factors only.

Construction of Driver's Injury Risk Prediction in Different Car Type by Using Sled Model Simulation at Frontal Crash (슬레드 모델 시뮬레이션을 이용한 자동차 정면충돌에서 차량 형태별 운전자 상해 판정식 제작)

  • Moon, Jun Hee;Choi, Hyung Yun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.136-144
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    • 2013
  • An extensive real world in-depth crash accident data is needed to make a precise occupant injury risk prediction at crash accidents which might be a critical information from the scene of the accident in ACNS(Automatic Crash Notification System). However it is rather unfortunate that there is no such a domestic database unlike other leading countries. Therefore we propose a numerical method, i.e., crash simulation using a sled model to make a virtual database that can substitute car crash database in real world. The proposing crash injury risk prediction is validated against a limited domestic crash accident data.

Tree-based Approach to Predict Hospital Acquired Pressure Injury

  • Hyun, Sookyung;Moffatt-Bruce, Susan;Newton, Cheryl;Hixon, Brenda;Kaewprag, Pacharmon
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2019
  • Despite technical advances in healthcare, the rates of hospital-acquired pressure injury (HAPI) are still high although many are potentially preventable. The purpose of this study was to determine whether tree-based prediction modeling is suitable for assessing the risk of HAPI in ICU patients. Retrospective cohort study has been carried out. A decision tree model was constructed with Age, Weight, eTube, diabetes, Braden score, Isolation, and Number of comorbid conditions as decision nodes. We used RStudio for model training and testing. Correct prediction rate of the final prediction model was 92.4 and the Area Under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.699, which means there is about 70% chance that the model is able to distinguish between HAPI and non-HAPI. The results of this study has limited generalizability as the data were from a single academic institution. Our research finding shows that the data-driven tree-based prediction modeling may potentially support ICU sensitive risk assessment for HAPI prevention.

Prediction of Thoracic Injury of Older Occupant from Belt Loading (벨트 하중에 따른 고령운전자의 흉곽 상해 예측)

  • Han, In-Seok;Kim, Young-Eun
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.8
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    • pp.799-806
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    • 2009
  • Thoracic injury from restraint loading is the principle causative factor of death, which was shown to be particularly significant for older drivers. To characterize thoracic response to belt loading of older drivers, detailed finite element models of the adult and aged thorax were developed. The geometry of the 50th percentile adult male was chosen for the adult FE model. The thoracic FE model was validated against data obtained from results of PMHS pendulum impact tests. The quantified patterns of age-related shape and well-established material changes were applied to the adult model to develop the aged model. Belt force and chest deflection were applied to the developed two types of models. Rib and clavicle fracture risk obviously increased in the aged model. This finding showed that larger rib angle and reduced material properties of the ribcage produced more higher risk of injury in the older driver.

Analysis of Human Body Injury by Non-penetrating Ballistic Impact Using a Finite Element Model of the Head and Neck (근육 모델이 고려된 두부 및 경추 유한요소모델을 이용한 비관통 피탄 충격에 의한 인체 상해 해석)

  • Kang, Moon Jeong;Jo, Young Nam;Chae, Jeawook;Yoo, Hong Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2017
  • Ballistic impact on a soldier wearing a helmet can induce fatal injury, even if the helmet is not penetrated. Although studies on this type of injury have been performed, most of them have used an analytical model focused on head injury only. The injury of the neck muscles and cervical vertebrae by non-penetrating ballistic impact affects the survivability of soldiers, despite not inflicting fatal injury to the human body. Therefore, an analytical model of the head and neck muscles are necessary. In this study, an analysis of human body injury using the previously developed head model, as well as a cervical model with muscles, was performed. For the quantitative prediction of injury, the stress, strain, and HIC were compared. The results from the model including the cervical system indicated a lower extent of injury than the results from the model excluding them. The results of head injury were compared with other references for reliability.

Enhancing Acute Kidney Injury Prediction through Integration of Drug Features in Intensive Care Units

  • Gabriel D. M. Manalu;Mulomba Mukendi Christian;Songhee You;Hyebong Choi
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.434-442
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    • 2023
  • The relationship between acute kidney injury (AKI) prediction and nephrotoxic drugs, or drugs that adversely affect kidney function, is one that has yet to be explored in the critical care setting. One contributing factor to this gap in research is the limited investigation of drug modalities in the intensive care unit (ICU) context, due to the challenges of processing prescription data into the corresponding drug representations and a lack in the comprehensive understanding of these drug representations. This study addresses this gap by proposing a novel approach that leverages patient prescription data as a modality to improve existing models for AKI prediction. We base our research on Electronic Health Record (EHR) data, extracting the relevant patient prescription information and converting it into the selected drug representation for our research, the extended-connectivity fingerprint (ECFP). Furthermore, we adopt a unique multimodal approach, developing machine learning models and 1D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) applied to clinical drug representations, establishing a procedure which has not been used by any previous studies predicting AKI. The findings showcase a notable improvement in AKI prediction through the integration of drug embeddings and other patient cohort features. By using drug features represented as ECFP molecular fingerprints along with common cohort features such as demographics and lab test values, we achieved a considerable improvement in model performance for the AKI prediction task over the baseline model which does not include the drug representations as features, indicating that our distinct approach enhances existing baseline techniques and highlights the relevance of drug data in predicting AKI in the ICU setting.

Development of a Prediction Model for Fall Patients in the Main Diagnostic S Code Using Artificial Intelligence (인공지능을 이용한 주진단 S코드의 낙상환자 예측모델 개발)

  • Ye-Ji Park;Eun-Mee Choi;So-Hyeon Bang;Jin-Hyoung Jeong
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.526-532
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    • 2023
  • Falls are fatal accidents that occur more than 420,000 times a year worldwide. Therefore, to study patients with falls, we found the association between extrinsic injury codes and principal diagnosis S-codes of patients with falls, and developed a prediction model to predict extrinsic injury codes based on the data of principal diagnosis S-codes of patients with falls. In this study, we received two years of data from 2020 and 2021 from Institution A, located in Gangneung City, Gangwon Special Self-Governing Province, and extracted only the data from W00 to W19 of the extrinsic injury codes related to falls, and developed a prediction model using W01, W10, W13, and W18 of the extrinsic injury codes of falls, which had enough principal diagnosis S-codes to develop a prediction model. 80% of the data were categorized as training data and 20% as testing data. The model was developed using MLP (Multi-Layer Perceptron) with 6 variables (gender, age, principal diagnosis S-code, surgery, hospitalization, and alcohol consumption) in the input layer, 2 hidden layers with 64 nodes, and an output layer with 4 nodes for W01, W10, W13, and W18 exogenous damage codes using the softmax activation function. As a result of the training, the first training had an accuracy of 31.2%, but the 30th training had an accuracy of 87.5%, which confirmed the association between the fall extrinsic code and the main diagnosis S code of the fall patient.

Pattern Analysis of Traffic Accident data and Prediction of Victim Injury Severity Using Hybrid Model (교통사고 데이터의 패턴 분석과 Hybrid Model을 이용한 피해자 상해 심각도 예측)

  • Ju, Yeong Ji;Hong, Taek Eun;Shin, Ju Hyun
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2016
  • Although Korea's economic and domestic automobile market through the change of road environment are growth, the traffic accident rate has also increased, and the casualties is at a serious level. For this reason, the government is establishing and promoting policies to open traffic accident data and solve problems. In this paper, describe the method of predicting traffic accidents by eliminating the class imbalance using the traffic accident data and constructing the Hybrid Model. Using the original traffic accident data and the sampled data as learning data which use FP-Growth algorithm it learn patterns associated with traffic accident injury severity. Accordingly, In this paper purpose a method for predicting the severity of a victim of a traffic accident by analyzing the association patterns of two learning data, we can extract the same related patterns, when a decision tree and multinomial logistic regression analysis are performed, a hybrid model is constructed by assigning weights to related attributes.

A Study on Injury Severity Prediction for Car-to-Car Traffic Accidents (차대차 교통사고에 대한 상해 심각도 예측 연구)

  • Ko, Changwan;Kim, Hyeonmin;Jeong, Young-Seon;Kim, Jaehee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.13-29
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    • 2020
  • Automobiles have long been an essential part of daily life, but the social costs of car traffic accidents exceed 9% of the national budget of Korea. Hence, it is necessary to establish prevention and response system for car traffic accidents. In order to present a model that can classify and predict the degree of injury in car traffic accidents, we used big data analysis techniques of K-nearest neighbor, logistic regression analysis, naive bayes classifier, decision tree, and ensemble algorithm. The performances of the models were analyzed by using the data on the nationwide traffic accidents over the past three years. In particular, considering the difference in the number of data among the respective injury severity levels, we used down-sampling methods for the group with a large number of samples to enhance the accuracy of the classification of the models and then verified the statistical significance of the models using ANOVA.

Modified TRISS: A More Accurate Predictor of In-hospital Mortality of Patients with Blunt Head and Neck Trauma (Modified TRISS: 둔상에 의한 두경부 외상 환자에서 개선된 병원 내 사망률 예측 방법)

  • Kim, Dong Hoon;Park, In Sung
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2005
  • Purpose: Recently, The new Injury Severity Score (NISS) has become a more accurate predictor of mortality than the traditional Injury Severity Score (ISS) in the trauma population. Trauma Score Injury Severity Score (TRISS) method, regarded as the gold standard for mortality prediction in trauma patients, still contains the ISS as an essential factor within its formula. The purpose of this study was to determine whether a simple modification of the TRISS by replacing the ISS with the NISS would improve the prediction of in-hospital mortality in a trauma population with blunt head and neck trauma. Objects and Methods: The study population consisted of 641 patients from a regional emergency medical center in Kyoungsangnam-do. Demographic data, clinical information, the final diagnosis, and the outcome for each patient were collected in a retrospective manner. the ISS, NISS, TRISS, and modified TRISS were calculated for each patients. The discrimination and the calibration of the ISS, NISS, modified TRISS and conventional TRISS models were compared using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves, areas under the ROC curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics. Results: The AUC of the ISS, NISS, modified TRISS, and conventional TRISS were 0.885, 0.941, 0.971, and 0.918 respectively. Statistical differences were found between the ISS and the NISS (p=0.008) and between the modified TRISS and the conventional TRISS (p=0.009). Hosmer-Lemeshow chi square values were 13.2, 2.3, 50.1, and 13.8, respectively; only the conventional TRISS failed to achieve the level of and an excellent calibration model (p<0.001). Conclusion: The modified TRISS is a more accurate predictor of in-hospital mortality than the conventional TRISS in a trauma population of blunt head and neck trauma.