• Title/Summary/Keyword: Information spillover effect

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A Study on Developing a Profitable Intra-day Trading System for KOSPI 200 Index Futures Using the US Stock Market Information Spillover Effect

  • Kim, Sun-Woong;Choi, Heung-Sik;Lee, Byoung-Hwa
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.151-162
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    • 2010
  • Recent developments in financial market liberalization and information technology are accelerating the interdependence of national stock markets. This study explores the information spillover effect of the US stock market on the overnight and daytime returns of the Korean stock market. We develop a profitable intra-day trading strategy based on the information spillover effect. Our study provides several important conclusions. First, an information spillover effect still exists from the overnight US stock market to the current Korean stock market. Second, Korean investors overreact to both good and bad news overnight from the US. Therefore, there are significant price reversals in the KOSPI 200 index futures prices from market open to market close. Third, the overreaction effect is different between weekdays and weekends. Finally, the suggested intra-day trading system based on the documented overreaction hypothesis is profitable.

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The Influence of Train Driver's Accident Experience on the Negative Spillover of Work : Mediating Effect of Fear and Anxiety and Moderating Effect of Self-Efficacy (철도기관사의 사고경험이 일의 부정적 전이에 미치는 영향 : 공포불안 정서의 매개효과와 자기효능감의 조절효과)

  • Kim, Jung Gon;Shin, Tack Hyun;Yusupova, Zaynab
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2015
  • This study highlights empirically the relationship among major constructs such as accident, fear and anxiety emotion, self-efficacy, and negative spillover of work, focused on the railway drivers. The differentiated factor of this study is in that the experience of accident was posed as exogenous variable. The main statistical tool was Regression. Hypothesis tests based on 201 samples verified that the experience of accidents showed a significant effect on negative spillover of work mediated by fear and anxiety, with moderating effect of self-efficacy between fear and anxiety and negative spillover of work. However, the moderating effect was shown as increasing the degree of negative spillover of work, since the drivers recognized their fear and anxiety accrued by accident experience as uncontrollable. This findings suggest the need for mitigating driver's negative emotion - fear and anxiety - through an introduction of practice such as exemption of settlement obligation in accident site and lowering of the penalty for accident responsibility.

Empirical Analysis on the Spillover Effects between Korean and U.S. Stock Market after U.S. Financial Crisis (서브프라임사태 전후 한미간 정보전이현상에 관한 연구)

  • Yae, Min Soo
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2008
  • This paper investigates the spillover effects(co-movements) between korean and U.S stock market by KOSPI and DJIA Index. Especially it compare to the pre- and post period of U.S. financial crisis resulted from sub-prime mortgage loan. The main results are as follows. First, the spillover effects of DJIA(U.S. market) to KOSPI(Korean market) are strong. This result accord with the former researches on this subject. Second, spillover effects are more strong after U.S. financial crisis. A possible reason for this phenomenon is a trend which the major investors such as foreign and institutional investors in domestic stock market have more attention to U.S. stock market. Third, the spillover effects appear in the opposite direction, that is KOSPI(Korean Stock Market) to DJIA(U.S. Stock Market). It seems to be the results of asian stock market's growing infIuences to European and U.S Markets.

Spillover Effects among Chinese, Korean, and the U.S. Stock Markets -Comparison of the two financial crises- (아시아 외환위기와 글로벌 금융위기에서의 중국, 한국, 미국주식시장 사이의 spillover효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyu-Hyong;Chang, Kyung-Chun;Shi, An-Qi
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.97-118
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    • 2010
  • This paper explores the mean and volatility spillover effects among Chinese, Korean, and the U.S. stock markets during the Asian and global financial crises. We found that, during the Asian Financial crisis, there was no mean spillover effect to the Chinese stock markets. However, there were reciprocal mean spillover effects between the U.S. and the Korean market. This implies that Korean market was open, while Chinese market was secluded from the international financial market at that time. The negative volatility spillover effect between the U.S. and China reinforces this finding. During the global financial crisis, there was reciprocal mean spillover effect between the U.S. and China, and between the U.S. and Korea. This may reflect the fact that Chinese market has opened to the international financial market. However, the volatility spillover effect does not exist between China and the U.S., while the U.S. and Korea has reciprocal volatility spillover effect to each other. These findings may imply that China is still in the process of opening her stock market to international investors.

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The Effect of Corporate Social Responsibility on Corporate Image: The Role of Spillover Effect and Negativity Effect based on CSR dimensions (기업의 사회적 책임이 기업 이미지에 미치는 영향 - 차원별 파급효과와 메시지 유형을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Seongjin;Kim, Jongkeun
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.49-67
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    • 2010
  • Previous researches have proven that corporate social responsibility(adhere CSR) is positively related to corporate performance. But Most of CSR related researches have several limitations. One of limitations is that those researches treated CSR as unidimensional construct. Almost researchers in the area of CSR concepts insisted that CSR is consist of multi dimensions. Carroll's four dimensions of CSR have been utilized by numerous academicians. Carroll asserted that CSR is composed of four dimensions: economic, legal, ethical, and philanthropic responsibility. But Carroll's dimensions were revised as three dimensions by Schwartz and Carroll, because ethical and philanthropic responsibility are not mutually exclusive. If CSR construct is composed of multiple dimensions, a message related to one of dimensions changes beliefs or evaluations about other dimensions that are not mentioned in the message. This phenomenon is called as "spillover effect". According to Ahluwalia, Unnava, and Burnkrant, negative information spills over to attributes that are associated with the target attributes but not mentioned in the message. Like this, this preponderant effect of negative information over positive information has been termed the "negativity effect". In this paper, authors try to prove the spillover effect and negativity effect among Schwartz and Carroll's three dimensions(economic, legal, and ethical responsibility) of CSR. The results of this study show that messages related to legal and ethical responsibility cause spillover effect and influence consumers' evaluation to other dimensions. Moreover, when negativity effect is added on spillover effect, spillover effect is more increased. It means that negative messages related to legal and ethical responsibility is more harmful to corporate image than negative message related to economic responsibility. The results of this study will help companies to manage corporate image using CSR messages as marketing communication tools. Companies should manage messages related to legal and ethical responsibility for more efficiently managing corporate image. Specially, because negative messages related to legal and ethical responsibility are more harmful to corporate image, companies must take care not to spread out negative message related to legal and ethical responsibility. Finally, we discuss the implications of the findings and limitations.

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Information Flow Effect Between the Stock Market and Bond Market (주식시장과 채권시장간의 정보 이전효과)

  • Choi, Cha-Soon
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigated the information spillover effect between stock market and bond market with the KOSPI daily index and MMF yield data. The overall analysis period is from May 2, 1997 to August 30, 2019. The empirical analysis was conducted by dividing the period from May 2, 1997 to December 30, 2008 before the global financial crisis, and from December 30, 2008 to August 30, 2019 after the global financial crisis, and the overall analysis period. The analysis shows that the EGARCH model considering asymmetric variability is suitable. The price spillover effect and volatility spillover effect existed in both directions between the stock market and the bond market, and the price transfer effect was greater in the period before the global financial crisis than in the period after the global financial crisis. Asymmetric volatility in information between stock and bond markets appears to exist in both markets.

A Variability Analysis on the Flatfish Production and Revenue using Expectation Hypotheses and GARCH Model

  • Yoon, Hyung-Mo;Yoon, Ji-Young
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2017
  • This work studies the variability of flatfish sales revenue. The theoretical analysis draws functions for equilibrium price and quantity using expectation hypotheses. The functions include unpredictable phenomenon with dummy variable and GARCH. The equilibrium function, using adaptive expectation hypothesis, contains the independent variables of supply and demand, while the equilibrium function, embodying rational expectation hypothesis, includes only the independent variables of supply side, because the demand side disappears by the information extraction process theoretically, if economic subjects build the expectation rational. The empirical analysis shows: the variability of flatfish production has a spillover effect on the variability of revenue with the adaptive expectation hypothesis. In the case when the model has a rational expectation hypothesis, the variability of flatfish production has a spillover effect on the revenue (the mean equation of GARCH model). This study indicates that there is the variability in flatfish production and sales revenue, and the spillover effect between them. The result can help to build of the rational system for the fishery income stability.

A Study on the Spillover Effect of Information between Factors Related to Steel Materials and BCI (제철원료 관련 요인과 BCI 간의 정보전이 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Yo-Pyung Hwang;Ye-Eun Oh;Keun-Sik Park
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.133-154
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    • 2022
  • The Baltic Capesize Index (BCI), which is used as an indicator for marine transportation of steel raw materials, is one of the key economic indexes for managing the risk of loss due to rapid market fluctuations when steel companies establish business strategies and procuring plans for raw materials. Still, the conditions of supply and demand of steel raw materials has been extremely affected by volatility shocks from drastic events like the financial crisis such as the Lehman Brothers incident and changes in the external environment such as COVID-19. And, especially since the 2008 financial crisis, endeavors to predict the market conditions of the steel raw material is becoming more and more arduous for the deepening uncertainty and increased volatility of BCI, which has been used as a leading indicator of the real economy. This study investigates the correlation between the steel raw material market and the marine transportation market by estimating the spillover effect of information between markets. The vector error correction model (VECM) was used to analyze information transfer based on the correlation between the BCI and crude steel production, capesize fleet supply, raw material price, and cargo volume.

Analysis of Spillover by the Japan TV Broadcasting Signals (일본 TV 방송신호의 전파월경 분석)

  • Her, Young-Tae;Kim, Kwang-Ui;Kwon, Won-Hyun;Son, Young-Ick
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.47 no.12
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    • pp.104-110
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    • 2010
  • Japan TV broadcasting signals are measured and analyzed to estimate spillover level from Japan during 44 months from Feb. 2003 to Oct. 2009. Electric field intensity spillover into Korea is measured using fixed measurement system in Busan, and the relationship between the measured data and the predicted value is analyzed by year and seasons. Measurement results show that spillover signals from Japan have a serious effect on Korea broadcasting environment, and so that proper digital switchover strategy is necessary to cope with the spillover situation.

A Study on Co-movements and Information Spillover Effects Between the International Commodity Futures Markets and the South Korean Stock Markets: Comparison of the COVID-19 and 2008 Financial Crises

  • Yin-Hua Li;Guo-Dong Yang;Rui Ma
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.167-198
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper aims to compare and analyze the co-movements and information spillover effects between the international commodity futures markets and the South Korean stock markets during the COVID-19 and the 2008 financial crises. Design/methodology - The DCC-GARCH model is used in the co-movements analysis. In contrast, the BEKK-GARCH model is used to evaluate information spillover effects. The statistical data used is from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2022. It comprises the Korea Composite Stock Price Index data and daily international commodity futures prices of natural gas, West Texas Intermediate crude oil, gold, silver, copper, nickel, soybean, and wheat. Findings - The results of the co-movement analysis were as follows: First, it was shown that the co-movements between the international commodity futures markets and the South Korean stock markets were temporarily strengthened when the COVID-19 and 2008 financial crises occurred. Second, the South Korean stock markets were shown to have high correlations with the copper, nickel, and crude oil futures markets. The results of the information spillover effects analysis are as follows: First, before the 2008 financial crisis, four commodity futures markets (natural gas, gold, copper, and wheat) were shown to be in two-way leading relationships with the South Korean stock markets. In contrast, seven commodity futures markets, except for the natural gas futures market, were shown to be in two-way leading relationships with the South Korean stock markets after the financial crisis. Second, before the COVID-19 crisis, most international commodity futures markets, excluding natural gas and crude oil future markets, were shown to have led the South Korean stock markets in one direction. Third, it was revealed that after the COVID-19 crisis, the connections between the South Korean stock markets and the international commodity futures markets, except for natural gas, crude oil, and gold, were completely severed. Originality/value - Useful information for portfolio strategy establishment can be provided to investors through the results of this study. In addition, it is judged that financial policy authorities can utilize the results as data for efficient regulation of the financial market and policy establishment.