• Title/Summary/Keyword: Influential Factors of Long-memory Properties

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An Empirical Study for the Existence of Long-term Memory Properties and Influential Factors in Financial Time Series (주식가격변화의 장기기억속성 존재 및 영향요인에 대한 실증연구)

  • Eom, Cheol-Jun;Oh, Gab-Jin;Kim, Seung-Hwan;Kim, Tae-Hyuk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.63-89
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    • 2007
  • This study aims at empirically verifying whether long memory properties exist in returns and volatility of the financial time series and then, empirically observing influential factors of long-memory properties. The presence of long memory properties in the financial time series is examined with the Hurst exponent. The Hurst exponent is measured by DFA(detrended fluctuation analysis). The empirical results are summarized as follows. First, the presence of significant long memory properties is not identified in return time series. But, in volatility time series, as the Hurst exponent has the high value on average, a strong presence of long memory properties is observed. Then, according to the results empirically confirming influential factors of long memory properties, as the Hurst exponent measured with volatility of residual returns filtered by GARCH(1, 1) model reflecting properties of volatility clustering has the level of $H{\approx}0.5$ on average, long memory properties presented in the data before filtering are no longer observed. That is, we positively find out that the observed long memory properties are considerably due to volatility clustering effect.

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