• Title/Summary/Keyword: Industry-demand

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도심 항공 모빌리티 준비를 위한 승객 수요 예측 : 김포-제주 노선 사례 연구 (Passenger Demand Forecasting for Urban Air Mobility Preparation: Gimpo-Jeju Route Case Study)

  • 김정훈;조희덕;최선미
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.472-479
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    • 2024
  • 세계 전체인구의 절반이 도시에 거주하고 있고, 지속적인 도시화가 진행되고 있으며 2050년 경에는 도시인구가 전체 인구의 2/3를 초과할 것으로 예상하고 있다. 이러한 현상을 해소하기 위해 우리나라 정부에서는 새로운 도심 항공 모빌리티(UAM; urban air mobility) 산업 생태계 구축에 심혈을 기울이고 있다. 항공사 또한 UAM 산업 생태계에 속해 있으며 안전운항, 승객의 안전, 기재 운영 효율성, 정시성 등의 효율성 제고에 대한 준비를 하고 있다. 본 연구는 2019년부터 2023년까지 대한항공의 김포발 제주행 노선의 일일 승객 수에 대한 시계열 데이터를 활용하여 수요 예측을 수행한다. 이를 위해 SARIMA, Prophet, CatBoost, Random Forest와 같은 통계적 및 기계 학습 모델을 적용한다. 다양한 모델을 통해 승객 수요 패턴을 효과적으로 포착할 수 있는 방법을 평가하였고, 머신러닝 기반의 Random Forest 모델이 가장 뛰어난 예측 결과를 나타냈다. 연구 결과는 항공 산업에서 정확한 수요 예측을 위한 최적의 모델을 제시하여 운영 계획 및 자원 할당에 필요한 기초정보를 제공할 것이다.

전력수급기본계획 수립에서 의향서 평가절차의 개천 방안 (A Study on the Improvement of Planning procedure and estimation of Capacity Addition in Long Term Electricity Plan)

  • 김창수;이창호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.745-747
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    • 2005
  • After restructuring electricity industry, national long term electricity plans moved to "Basic plan of electricity supply and demand" from "Long term power development plan". The main point is a change of path from plan of power development at national level to plan of electricity supply and demand at company level. A proposal by generation company is surveyed and reflected to the basic plan of electricity supply and demand. The second plan shows over 40% reserves in result of the proposals. It is the time to evaluating the proposal which covers market function in the basic plan of electricity supply and demand at the stage of market change. This research presents the need of evaluation of proposals and the methods of evaluation. Also it presents the alternative planning procedure to reflecting the evaluation methods.

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우유의 품질향상과 유대지불체계 개선 (Improvement of Milk Quality and Milk Pricing System)

  • 정충일
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.30-38
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    • 2001
  • The most important task in Korean dairy industry is to keep the seasonal and annual balance of raw milk supply and demand. Too much surplus milk supply which causes dumping sale of market milk makes dairy industries get in trouble of management, and eventually affects to farmers and consumers economically. As balancing of supply and demand is so important in the fee economic market system, the adaption of the quota system of milk production and seasonal price differentiation has been recommended very often as a method of controlling the milk supply and demand. However, this recommendation did not go through successfully due to the strong objection of dairy farmers. Recently, the voice of consumer's requirement for safer and more hygienic, and high protein, low fat level dairy product is getting stronger. By knowledge of this kind changes, quality improvement in nutrients and hygiene is the most positive way to expand the volume of milk consumption. To meet the consumer's demand, therefore, it is necessary to revise the level of milk fat content and the hygienic grading system for the payment system of raw milk.

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수용가 부하곡선을 일용한 국제분쟁시 전력사용 행태분석 (An analysis of the End-User electric power consumption trends using the load curve during international conflict)

  • 손학식;김인수;박용욱;임상국;김재철
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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    • pp.165-167
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    • 2004
  • End-user electric power consumption trends shows various load curves dependant on industry, contract, season, day and time. Analysis of end-user electric power consumption trends has a key role to efficiently meet electricity demand. There are several factors of change in electricity demand such as the change of weather, international conflict, and industrial trends during summer. This paper has analyzed the analysis the end-user electric power consumption trends using the load curve during international conflict. We observed that international conflict decreased electric demand by $5.4\%$. This increase is not significant, and therefore we conclude that the international conflict has not greatly affected Korea's electricity demands. This paper provides useful information so as to mon: efficiently perform demand side management.

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Identifying the Actual Impact of Online Social Interactions on Demand

  • Dong Soo Kim
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2024
  • Firms often engage in manipulating online reviews as a promotional activity to influence consumers' evaluation on their products. With the prevalence of the promotional activities, consumers may notice and discount the reviews generated by the promotional activities. Discounting the firm-generating reviews may cause systematic measurement errors in the valence variable and lead to a negative bias when estimating the effect of consumers' organic reviews on demand. To correct the bias, this study proposes including product-specific bias-correction terms representing the proportion of extreme reviews in analysis. For illustration, the proposed method is applied to a demand model for data of movies released in South Korea. The results confirm a negative bias in the estimate of the valence sensitivity of demand. The negative bias potentially leads to an underestimation of the magnitude of the contagion effect through social interactions, a key component of evaluating the value of a satisfied consumer.

산학 기술 협력 참여기업의 참여목적, 참여프로그램, 만족도 평가 (A Study on Evaluation of Purpose, Program and Satisfaction for Participating Company for Industry-University Technology Cooperation)

  • 이상천;배성문;박종훈
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.40-48
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    • 2016
  • The engineering knowledge and technology is core driving forces of continuous growth in knowledge based society. Companies, the government, and universities are the subjects of an innovation and the cooperation between them is very important. Nowadays, the main purpose of industry-university cooperation moves to train experts and develop a new product. A shift of the paradigm came from the change of recognition that the final consumers of the program are companies and the universities are supporters of the program. In this paper, we investigate the purpose, participation and satisfaction of companies to industry-academy technology cooperation through empirical studies. The need to expert training, product development and process development makes companies participate industry-academy technology cooperation and companies have different purpose of participation by the business type. Companies often feel that expert training, subsidiary purpose of industry-academy technology cooperation, is more important than product development or process development. This result is caused by the real world environment of small and mid-size companies, lacking of technology experts. The participation of companies to each technology cooperation program (technology transfer, joint technology development, consigned technology development, technology consulting, co-op. lab.) is also different by business type. The companies' satisfaction with the purpose of process development is relatively higher than that with the purpose of product development and companies show also different satisfaction value by business type and participating program. The results of this study can give a contribution to the design of demand oriented industry-academy technology cooperation model.

한국의 환경오염방지산업 (Environmental Pollution Control Industry in Korea)

  • 이달우
    • 환경위생공학
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.53-68
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    • 1992
  • Since 1962, Korea has made a remarkable progress with continuous success of Five-Year Economic Development Plans. Over the last 30 years, Korea has achieved a fast growth in various industries including heavy industry and chemical industry with rapid urbanization at the same time. The fast industrialization and urbanization brought about huge amount of hazardous/toxic substances and wastes. The environmental pollution problems have now emerged from regional concerns to overall social issues accordingly. The situation has come to a point where pollution control and environment preservation have become one of the nation's major policies. Following the recent Earth Summit of UNCED Conference held in Riode Janeiro in June 1992, where the topic was environmentally sound and sustainable development, awareness upon the importance of environmental preservation has been heightened globally, The environmental issues will gradually influence the international society more and more, politically as well as economically, The environmental pollution control industry in Korea started in the early 70's with the development of the nation's industrialization, As the people's awareness on pollution increases and environmental laws and enforcing regulations were established, demand for pollution control began to increase. The environmental pollution control business came to be recognized as an independent industry in the mid'70's. It should be evaluated properly that over the last 30 years, the Korean pollution control industry has supplied locally manufactured pollution control facilities to the increasing local demand. Concerning the quality and customer satisfaction, however, there are still many aspects which need to be improved compared with those of advanced countries. Although the start of the pollution control industry in Korea is just 10 to 15 years behind the advanced countries such as Japan and European countries, current gap in the environmental technology is rather considerable. And, studies should be made to find out the reasons for the current technology gap, and therefore, to implement solutions to improve the technology and competitiveness of the environmental pollution control industry in Korea.

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항공산업발전계획과 디지털항공산업의 활성화에 관한 연구 - 김포지역을 중심으로 - (A Study on the Development Plan of Aerospace Industry and the Activation of Digital Aerospace Industry - Focused on the Gimpo Area -)

  • 조정환;윤경배
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2011
  • 세계 항공산업은 디지털 기술의 발전과 더불어 지속적으로 성장하고 있다. 김포지역의 항공전자 시스템을 기반으로 하는 디지털 항공산업 발전방안을 수요적 측면, 제도적 측면, 산업구조적 측면에서 연구 하였다. 항공산업의 성장동력화를 위한 추진전략을 제시하고 전략 달성을 위하여 항공수요의 지속적 창출, 핵심 부품소재 육성 및 경쟁우위 디지털 기술력 확보, 제도 운용의 활성화를 위한 인프라 구축, 행정지원제도의 개선, 민 산 군 학 관의 정책조정기능 강화를 추진과제로 제안하였다. 연구를 수행한 결과 행정적, 산업적인 분야에서 관련 제도 등을 보완하면 항공정비산업과 헬기산업을 중심으로 김포지역의 디지털항공산업 발전이 가능하다는 결론을 도출 하였다.

전력시장의 발전기 보수계획을 고려한 확률적 발전 모델링 (Probabilistic Generation Modeling in Electricity Markets Considering Generator Maintenance Outage)

  • 김진호;박종배
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.418-428
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a new probabilistic generation modeling method which can address the characteristics of changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of a probabilistic generation modeling considering generator maintenance outage and in the classification of market demand into multiple demand clusters for the applications to electricity markets. Conventional forced outage rates of generators are conceptually combined with maintenance outage of generators and, consequently, effective outage rates of generators are newly defined in order to properly address the probabilistic characteristic of generation in electricity markets. Then, original market demands are classified into several distinct demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the original demand. We have found that generators have different effective outage rates values at each classified demand cluster, depending on the market situation. From this, therefore, it can be seen that electricity markets can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns and that the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed in electricity markets perspectives, for this classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

우리나라 재래공업 산지의 사회적 분업 - 담양죽제품과 여주 도자기 산지를 사례로 - (Social division of labor in the traditional industry district - foursed on Damyang bamboo ware industry of Damyang and Yeoju pottery industry of Yeoju, South Korea)

  • 박양춘;이철우;박순호
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.269-295
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    • 1995
  • 본 연구에서는 담양 죽제품과 여주 도자기 산지를 사례로 재래공업 존립의 중요한 요소인 산지내 사회적 분업의 실태, 특성 그리고 의의를 밝히고자 하였다. 산지내 사회적 분 업은 주로 원자재조달과 제품생산, 제품생산과 제품판매간에 이루어지고 있으며, 생산공정상 의 사회적 분업 및 제품생산 부문과 그 관련시설, 기계제작 부문간의 사회전 분업은 부분적 으로 이루어지고 있다. 그 성격에 있어서는 담양 죽제품산지는 산지완결형의 그리고 여주 도자기 산지는 미산지완결형의 특성이 강하다. 그리고 사회적 분업체계를 구성하는 기업들 은 독자성을 가진 수평적 분업체계를 유지하고 있으나 수요변화에 적극적으로 대응하기 위 한 신제품의 개발과 판로개척을 선도할 수 있는 기업이 밭달하지 못하고 있다. 산지존립에 있어서의 사회적 분업의 의의로는 생산공정의 세분화와 업종분화를 통해서 노동력 부족을 극복함과 동시에 생산비를 절감할 수 있고 소자본의 신규참여를 용이하게 하고 경기변동에 따른 위험부담을 분산하며 다방면에 걸친 축적된 노-하우를 활용한 업종과 제품의 전환을 통하여 제품의 다양화와 제품수명주기가 연장된다는 점을 들 수 있다.

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