• 제목/요약/키워드: Index Modeling

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Fuzzy Identification by Means of an Auto-Tuning Algorithm and a Weighted Performance Index

  • 오성권
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.106-118
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    • 1998
  • The study concerns a design procedure of rule-based systems. The proposed rule-based fuzzy modeling implements system structure and parameter identification in the efficient from of "IF..., THEN..." statements, and exploits the theory of system optimization and fuzzy implication rules. The method for rule-based fuzzy modeling concerns the from of the conclusion part of the the rules that can be constant. Both triangular and Gaussian-like membership function are studied. The optimization hinges on an autotuning algorithm that covers as a modified constrained optimization method known as a complex method. The study introduces a weighted performance index (objective function) that helps achieve a sound balance between the quality of results produced for the training and testing set. This methodology sheds light on the role and impact of different parameters of the model on its performance. The study is illustrated with the aid of two representative numerical examples.

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VARIOGRAM-BASED URBAN CHARACTERIZATION USING HIGH RESOLUTION SATELLITE IMAGERY

  • Yoo, Hee-Young;Lee, Ki-Won;Kwon, Byung-Doo
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume I
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    • pp.413-416
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    • 2006
  • As even small features can be classified as high resolution imagery, urban remote sensing is regarded as one of the important application fields in time of wide use of the commercialized high resolution satellite imageries. In this study, we have analyzed the variogram properties of high resolution imagery, which was obtained in urban area through the simple modeling and applied to the real image. Based on the grasped variogram characteristics, we have tried to decomposed two high-resolution imagery such as IKONOS and QuickBird reducing window size until the unique variogram that urban feature has come out and then been indexed. Modeling results will be used as the fundamental data for variographic analysis in urban area using high resolution imagery later on. Index map also can be used for determining urban complexity or land-use classification, because the index is influenced by the feature size.

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변압기 용량을 고려한 수용률 산출 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on Simulator for Computing Demand Rate Considering a Transformer Capacity)

  • 김영일
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제56권4호
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the method of computing demand rate with respect to a transformer capacity is proposed and addressed to predict a future demand rate. The simulation data are taken from switchgears of a real medium voltage transformer. Data taken from the electrical instrument at 22.9 kVY power receiving panels are employed to evaluate the correlation between demand rate and power usage of transformer. It is verified a usefulness with respect to an proposed index of demand rate for transformer by using a least square error of regressive modeling, As a result of investigation and simulation on the spot to a few buildings, it is considered that there is necessity to make a partial amendment of demand rate being applicable currently for electrical energy saving in domestic.

Predicting the Unemployment Rate Using Social Media Analysis

  • Ryu, Pum-Mo
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.904-915
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    • 2018
  • We demonstrate how social media content can be used to predict the unemployment rate, a real-world indicator. We present a novel method for predicting the unemployment rate using social media analysis based on natural language processing and statistical modeling. The system collects social media contents including news articles, blogs, and tweets written in Korean, and then extracts data for modeling using part-of-speech tagging and sentiment analysis techniques. The autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous variables (ARIMAX) and autoregressive with exogenous variables (ARX) models for unemployment rate prediction are fit using the analyzed data. The proposed method quantifies the social moods expressed in social media contents, whereas the existing methods simply present social tendencies. Our model derived a 27.9% improvement in error reduction compared to a Google Index-based model in the mean absolute percentage error metric.

최적 알고리즘과 합성 성능지수에 의한 퍼지-뉴럴네트워크구조의 설계 (Design of Fuzzy-Neural Networks Structure using Optimization Algorithm and an Aggregate Weighted Performance Index)

  • 윤기찬;오성권;박종진
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 G
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    • pp.2911-2913
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    • 1999
  • This paper suggest an optimal identification method to complex and nonlinear system modeling that is based on Fuzzy-Neural Network(FNN). The FNN modeling implements parameter identification using HCM algorithm and optimal identification algorithm structure combined with two types of optimization theories for nonlinear systems, we use a HCM Clustering Algorithm to find initial parameters of membership function. The parameters such as parameters of membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are adjusted using optimal identification algorithm. The proposed optimal identification algorithm is carried out using both a genetic algorithm and the improved complex method. Also, an aggregate objective function(performance index) with weighted value is proposed to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model, we use the time series data for gas furnace, the data of sewage treatment process and traffic route choice process.

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Dynamic Relationship between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Nepal

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Subedi, Shyam;Chung, Sang-Kuck
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.123-144
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the linkages between returns both in foreign exchange and stock markets, and uncertainties in two markets using daily data for the period of 16 July 2004 to 30 June 2014 in Nepalese economy. Four hypotheses are tested about how uncertainty influences the stock index and exchange rates. From the empirical results, a bivariate EGARCH-M model is the best to explain the volatility in the two markets. There is a negative relationship from the exchange rates return to stock price return. Empirical results do provide strong empirical confirmation that negative effect of stock index uncertainty and positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty on average stock index. GARCH-in-mean variables in AR modeling are significant and shows that there is positive effect of exchange rates uncertainty and negative effect of stock index uncertainty on average exchange rates. Stock index shocks have longer lived effects on uncertainty in the stock market than exchange rates shock have on uncertainly in the foreign exchange market. The effect of the last period's shock, volatility is more sensitive to its own lagged values.

Maxent를 활용한 가는털비름(Amaranthus patulus)의 잠재서식지 예측 및 위험도 평가 (Predicting the Potential Habitat and Risk Assessment of Amaranthus patulus using MaxEnt)

  • 이용호;나채선;홍선희;손수인;김창석;이인용;오영주
    • 환경생물
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.672-679
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 MaxEnt 모형을 활용하여 가는털비름의 잠재서식지를 예측하고, 예측된 잠재서식지와 밭면적을 활용하여 가는털비름의 잡초로서의 부정적 영향에 대한 위험도 지수를 예측하기 위하여 수행되었다. 가는털비름의 분포 예측을 위하여 MaxEnt 모형을 구축하기 위하여 남한 전국의 254지점의 분포 자료와 6개의 생물 기후 인자를 활용하였다. 밭농업에 대한 두가지 방법의 위험도 평가를 수행하였고 격자 위험도 지수(raster risk index)는 $1km^2$ 격자별로 잠재 서식지 분포 확률과 밭면적의 비율을 서로 곱하여 나타냈다. 지역 위험도 지수(regional risk index)는 잠재 서식지 분포 확률의 평균과 전체 밭 면적 중 지방자치단체의 실제 밭면적의 비율을 곱하여 산출하였다. MaxEnt모형으로 예측된 가는털비름의 잠재서식지는 실제서식지와 유사하게 나타났으며 모델의 AUC 값 또한 0.711로 좋은 설명력을 지니는 것으로 분석되었다. 잠재서식지 비율이 가장 높게 나타난 지역은 광주광역시였고 격자 위험도 지수가 가장 높게 나타난 지역은 제주도였다. 지역 위험도 지수가 가장 높게 나타난 지역은 경상북도였다. 잠재 서식지 비율과 위험도 지수의 서로 다른 순위는 외래식물의 위험성을 예측할 때 잠재 서식지 비율만을 활용하여 외래식물의 위험성을 예측하는 것보다 외래식물이 부정적 영향을 주는 대상과 결합된 위험도 지수의 필요성을 제시한다. 또한 격자 위험도 지수, 지역 위험도 지수의 서로 다른 순위는 분석의 필요성에 따라서 다양한 평가 기법이 개발될 필요성을 보여준다.

선형 및 비선형 상대궤도운동 모델들의 정확도 분석 (Analysis of Linear and Nonlinear Relative Orbit Dynamics for Satellite Formation Flying)

  • 박한얼;박상영;이상진;최규홍
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.317-328
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    • 2009
  • 위성의 상대운동 모델은 두 위성 사이의 상대적인 운동을 기술하며, 위성편대비행 연구의 기본이 된다. 이 연구에서는 선형 및 비선형 상대운동 모델들의 정확도를 산출하고 이를 비교 분석하였다. 우선 모델의 정확도를 나타내는 '모델링 오차 지수(Modeling Error Index)'를 정의하였다. 다양한 주위성 궤도의 이심률과 두 위성 사이의 거리에 대해 모델링 오차 지수를 계산하여, 여러 궤도환경에 따른 기존의 여러 가지 상대운동 모델들의 정확도를 산출하였다. 여러 가지 상대운동 방정식들의 모델링 오차 지수는 주위성의 이심률의 크기, J2 섭동 고려 여부, 위성들의 상대 거리의 크기에 따라 달라진다. 이 연구에서 사용한 상대운동 모델의 정확도는 편대비행 동역학모델의 오차를 나타내므로, 이 연구 결과를 이용해서 주어진 편대비행 임무에 알맞은 모델을 선택하는 것이 가능하다.

A direct damage detection method using Multiple Damage Localization Index Based on Mode Shapes criterion

  • Homaei, F.;Shojaee, S.;Amiri, G. Ghodrati
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.183-202
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    • 2014
  • A new method of multiple damage detection in beam like structures is introduced. The mode shapes of both healthy and damaged structures are used in damage detection process (DDP). Multiple Damage Localization Index Based on Mode Shapes (MDLIBMS) is presented as a criterion in detecting damaged elements. A finite element modeling of structures is used to calculate the mode shapes parameters. The main advantages of the proposed method are its simplicity, flexibility on the number of elements and so the accuracy of the damage(s) position(s), sensitivity to small damage extend, capability in prediction of required number of mode shapes and low sensitivity to noisy data. In fact, because of differential and comparative form of MDLIBMS, using noise polluted data doesn't have major effect on the results. This makes the proposed method a powerful one in damage detection according to measured mode shape data. Because of its flexibility, damage detection process in multi span bridge girders with non-prismatic sections can be done by this method. Numerical simulations used to demonstrate these advantages.

가중유출수질지표를 이용한 활성오니공정모델의 민감도 분석과 매개변수 보정 (Sensitivity Analysis and Parameter Estimation of Activated Sludge Model Using Weighted Effluent Quality Index)

  • 이원영;김민한;김영황;이인범;유창규
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제14권11호
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    • pp.1174-1179
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    • 2008
  • Many modeling and calibration methods have been developed to analyze and design the biological wastewater treatment process. For the systematic use of activated sludge model (ASM) in a real treatment process, a most important step in this usage is a calibration which can find a key parameter set of ASM, which depends on the microorganism communities and the process conditions of the plants. In this paper, a standardized calibration protocol of the ASM model is developed. First, a weighted effluent quality index(WEQI) is suggested far a calibration protocol. Second, the most sensitive parameter set is determined by a sensitive analysis based on WEQI and then a parameter optimization method are used for a systematic calibration of key parameters. The proposed method is applied to a calibration problems of the single carbon removal process. The results of the sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation based on a WEQI shows a quite reasonable parameter set and precisely estimated parameters, which can improve the quality and the efficiency of the modeling and the prediction of ASM model. Moreover, it can be used for a calibration scheme of other biological processes, such as sequence batch reactor, anaerobic digestion process with a dedicated methodology.