• Title/Summary/Keyword: Independent rainfall

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Comparison of Annual Maximum Rainfall Series and Annual Maximum Independent Rainfall Event Series (연최대치 계열과 연최대치 독립 호우사상 계열의 비교)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Cheol-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.431-444
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    • 2012
  • This study investigated the differences between annual maximum series and annual maximum independent rainfall event series with relatively short and long rainfall durations. Annual maximum independent rainfall events were selected by applying various IETDs and thresholds to the hourly rainfall data in Seoul for the duration from 1961 to 2010. Annual maximum independent rainfall event series decided were then compared with the conventional annual maximum series. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the effect of IETD and threshold was not beyond the expected level. For example, as the IETD increases, the frequencies of independent rainfall events decreased similarly in their rate for both with short and long durations. However, as the threshold increases, the frequency of those with rather long durations decreased much higher. Second, The mean rainfall intensity of the independent rainfall events was found to remain constant regardless of their duration. This indicates that the annual maximum rainfall intensity could be found in a rainfall event with longer durations. Lastly, the difference between the annual maximum rainfall series and the annual maximum independent rainfall event series with rather short rainfall durations was found significantly large, which decreases with longer durations. This result indicates that the conventional data analysis method, especially for small basins with short concentration time, could lead an unrealistic design rainfall with little possibility of occurrence.

Some models for rainfall focused on the inner correlation structure

  • Kim, Sangdan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1290-1294
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    • 2004
  • In this study, new stochastic point rainfall models which can consider the correlation structure between rainfall intensity and duration are developed. In order to consider the negative and positive correlation simultaneously, the Gumbels type-II bivariate distribution is applied, and for the cluster structure of rainfall events, the Neyman-Scott cluster point process is selected. In the theoretical point of view, it is shown that the models considering the dependent structure between rainfall intensity and duration have slightly heavier tail autocorrelation functions than the corresponding independent mode]s. Results from generating long time rainfall events show that the dependent models better reproduce historical rainfall time series than the corresponding independent models in the sense of autocorrelation structures, zero rainfall probabilities and extreme rainfall events.

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Analysis on the Characteristics about Representative Temporal-distribution of Rainfall in the Annual Maximum Independent Rainfall Events at Seoul using Beta Distribution (베타분포를 이용한 서울 지점 연 최대치 독립 호우사상의 대표 시간분포 특성 분석)

  • Jun, Chang Hyun;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.361-372
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    • 2013
  • This study used the beta distribution to analyze the independent annual maximum rainfall events from 1961 to 2010 and decided the representative rainfall event for Seoul. In detail, the annual maximum rainfall events were divided into two groups, the upper 50% and the lower 50%. For each group, a beta distribution was derived to pass the mean location of the rainfall peaks. Finally, the representative rainfall event was decided as the rainfall histogram of the arithmetic average of the two beta distributions derived. The representative rainfall event derived has a realistic shape very similar to those observed annual maximum rainfall events, especially with the higher rainfall peak compared to that of the Huff distribution. Comparison with other rainfall distribution models shows that the temporal distribution of the representative rainfall event derived in this study is most similar to the Keifer & Chu model.

Application of the Beta Distribution for the Temporal Quantification of Storm Events (호우사상의 시간적 정량화를 위한 베타분포의 적용)

  • Jun, Chang-Hyun;Yoo, Chul-Sang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.531-544
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    • 2012
  • This study suggested the parameter estimation method for given rainfall events to be properly expressed by the beta distribution. For this purpose, this study compared the characteristics of probability density function with the parameter proposed considering the cases with and without addition to the rainfall peak, and the cases of using the real hyetograph and the rearranged hyetograph about the rainfall peak. As an example, this study analyzed the independent rainfall events at Seoul in 2010 and the annual maximum independent rainfall events from 1961 to 2010. The results derived are as follows. First, this study confirmed the necessity of additional consideration on rainfall peak to mimic the real hyetograph of rainfall events by the beta distribution. Second, this study confirmed the case of using rearranged hyetograph about the rainfall peak derived a better beta distribution to well mimic the characteristics of real rainfall than the case using the real hyetograph.

A comprehensive analysis of temporal characteristics in independent rainstorm events in Seoul: focusing on changes in unit time and secondary peak constant (서울특별시 내 독립 호우사상의 시간분포 특성 분석: 분 단위와 차첨두 상수의 조건 변화를 중심으로)

  • Cha, Hoyoung;Lee, Jinwook;Jun, Changhyun;Byun, Jongyun;Baik, Jongjin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.785-799
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we proposed a new concept termed the Secondary Peak Constant (SPC) and discerned the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events based on unit time and SPC about 24 observation stations in Seoul. Utilizing rainfall observations from 2000 to 2022, independent rainstorm events discreted from rainfall data per unit time. The temporal characteristics of these events were derived according to unit time, and temporal characteristics of the peak rainfall were identified through the SPC. Finally, the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events were examined distinctively when analyzed by unit time and SPC. Independent rainstorm events with smaller unit time showed significantly larger total rainfall, rainfall duration, and rainfall intensity. The temporal characteristics of the largest peak rainfall (1st Peak) within independent rainstorm events followed a sequence of Q4>Q2>Q3>Q1. Additionally, the 2nd Peak rainfall predominantly occurred the location where the 1st Peak appeared. The proportion of independent rainstorm events with multiple peak rainfalls exceeded 50.0% when the SPC was 0.7 or lower. The average number of peak rainfalls within independent rainstorm events ranged from 1.5 to 3.4. This study identified the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events based on unit time. Then, the peak rainfall of temporal characteristics was quantified by SPC on this study. Hence, it is evident that the temporal characteristics of independent rainstorm events for specific area can be anlayzed and quantified based on unit time and SPC.

Comparison of Chukwooki and Modern data Using Annual Maximum Rainfall Event Series (연최대 호우사상 계열을 이용한 측우기자료 및 현대자료의 비교)

  • Park, Minkyu;Yoo, Chulsang;Kim, Hyeon Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.2B
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2010
  • In this study, Chukwooki and modern data were compared using annual maximum rainfall event series. Annual maximum series for specified rainfall duration in modern frequency analysis can not be constructed from Chukwooki data, so the concept of independent rainfall event is introduced to compare Chukwooki and modern data. Annual maximum rainfall event is determined by applying the bivariate exponential distribution and the parameters estimated annually are selected. The results using the annual parameter show that the hydrological meaning of the parameters is related to the variation of annual total rainfall amounts. For the whole independent rainfall events, the total rainfall and the rainfall intensity of Chukwooki data are greater than those of modern data, and rainfall duration of the two periods is similar. However modern annual maximum rainfall events show different characteristics that rainfall duration is much longer, rainfall intensity is similar and the total rainfall is greater than those of Chukwooki period. The increasing trend of rainfall duration and total rainfall of the modern annual rainfall events may be regarded as the one of components of the long-term cycle.

A Study of Relationships between the Sea Surface Temperatures and Rainfall in Korea (해수면온도와 우리나라 강우량과의 상관성 분석)

  • Moon Young-Il;Kwon Hyun-Han;Kim Dong-Kwon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.12 s.161
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    • pp.995-1008
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    • 2005
  • In this study, the principal components of rainfall in Korea are extracted by a method which consists of the independent component analysis combined with the wavelet transform, to examine the spatial correlation between seasonal rainfalls and global sea surface temperatures (SSTs). The 2-8 year band retains a strong wavelet power spectrum and the low frequency characteristics are shown by the wavelet analysis. The independent component analysis is performed by using the Scale Average Wavelet Power(SAWP) that is estimated by wavelet analysis. Interannual-interdecadal variation is the dominant variation, and an increasing trend is observed in the spring and summer seasons. The relationships between principal components of rainfall in the spring/summer seasons and SSTs existed in Indian and Pacific Oceans. Particularly, the SST zones, which represent a statistically significant correlation are located in the Philippine offshore and Australia offshore. Also, the three month leading SSTs in the same region we strongly correlated with the rainfall. Hence, these results propose a promising possibility of seasonal rainfall prediction by SST predictors.

Regression Analysis of the Log-Normally Distributed Data and Mean Field Bias Correction of Radar Rainfall (대수정규분포를 따르는 자료의 회귀분석과 레이더 강우의 편의 보정)

  • Yoo, Chul Sang;Park, Cheol Soon;Yoon, Jung Soo;Ha, Eun Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.431-438
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    • 2011
  • This study investigated the problem of mean-field bias correction under the assumption that the radar and rain gauge rainfall data follow the log-normal distribution. Regression curves for the average, median and mode of the radar and rain gauge rainfall were derived and evaluated for their usefulness. Additionally, these regression curves were compared with those derived under the assumption that the radar and rain gauge data follow the normal distribution. This study investigated the regression results for the Typhoon Meami occurred in 2003 as an example. As results, three regression lines with the radar rainfall as the independent variable were found to underestimate the rainfall, while those with the rain gauge rainfall as the independent variable to overestimate. Among three types of regression curves considered, the result for the average was most appropriate. However this case was found to be inferior to the regression line passing the origin under the assumption of the normal distribution with the rain gauge rainfall as its independent variable. So it was hard to conclude that the consideration of the log-normality on the correction of radar rainfall is beneficial.

Decision of G/R Ratio for the Correction of Mean-Field Bias of Radar Rainfall and Linear Regression Problem (레이더 강우의 평균보정을 위한 G/R 비의 결정과 선형 회귀 문제)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Park, Cheolsoon;Yoon, Jungsoo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.393-403
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    • 2011
  • This study theoretically reviewed the empirical G/R ratio by considering three regression and trend lines; the general linear regression curve, linear regression curve passing the origin, and the line passing the origin and the mass center of observed data. This review included the problem of choosing the independent variable and that of considering the zero measurements. This review result was also applied to the Typhoon Maemi in 2003 for their evaluation. Additionally, those regression and trend lines were compared using the RMSE between the corrected radar rainfall and observed rain gauge rainfall to select the most appropriate G/R ratio. Summarizing the results is as follows. First, the results of selecting the rain gauge rainfall as the independent variable were found better than the opposite case. Second, the effect of zero measurements varies depending on the structure of radar and rain gauge rainfall. Finally, the results from the comparison of three regression and trend lines shows that the slope of the regression line passing the origin with its independent variable of rain gauge rainfall would be used most appropriately for the G/R ratio, especially when the corrected radar rainfall is used for the flood analysis. The effect of zero measurements in this case was found not so significant.

A study on the rainfall management target considering inter-event time definition (IETD) (무강우 지속시간(IETD)을 고려한 빗물관리 목표량 설정 방안 연구)

  • Baek, Jongseok;Kim, Jaemoon;Park, Jaerock;Lim, Kyoungmo;Shin, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.603-611
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    • 2022
  • In urban areas, the impermeable area continues to increase due to urbanization, which interferes with the surface penetrating and infiltrating of rainwater, causing most rainwater runoff to the surface, deepening the distortion of water circulation. Distortion of water circulation affects not only flood disasters caused by rainfall and runoff, but also various aspects such as dry stream phenomenon, deterioration of water quality, and destruction of ecosystem balance, and the Ministry of Environment strongly recommends the use of Low Impact development (LID) techniques. In order to apply the LID technique, it is necessary to set a rainwater management target to handle the increase in outflow after the development of the target site, and the current standard sets the rainwater management target using the 10-year daily rainfall. In this study, the difference from the current standards was analyzed through statistical analysis and classification of independent rainfall ideas using inter-event time definition (IETD) in setting the target amount of rainwater management to improve water circulation. Using 30-year rainfall data from 1991 to 2020, methods such as autocorrelation coefficient (AC) analysis, variation coefficient (VC) analysis, and annual average number of rainfall event (NRE) analysis were applied, and IETD was selected according to the target rainfall period. The more samples the population had, the more IETD tended to increase. In addition, by analyzing the duration and time distribution of independent rainfall according to the IETD, a plan was proposed to calculate the standard design rainfall according to the rainwater management target amount. Therefore, it is expected that it will be possible to set an improved rainwater management target amount if sufficient samples of independent rainfall ideas are used through the selection of IETD as in this study.