• Title/Summary/Keyword: In-Sample Prediction

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THE EFFECT OF THE REPEATABILITY FILE IN THE NIRS EATTY ACIDS ANALYSIS OF ANIMAL EATS

  • Perez Marin, M.D.;De Pedro, E.;Garcia Olmo, J.;Garrido Varo, A.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.4107-4107
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    • 2001
  • Previous works have shown the viability of NIRS technology for the prediction of fatty acids in Iberian pig fat, but although the resulting equations showed high precision, in the predictions of new samples important fluctuations were detected, greater with the time passed from calibration development to NIRS analysis. This fact makes the use of NIRS calibrations in routine analysis difficult. Moreover, this problem only appears in products like fat, that show spectrums with very defined absorption peaks at some wavelengths. This circumstance causes a high sensibility to small changes of the instrument, which are not perceived with the normal checks. To avoid these inconveniences, the software WinISI 1.04 has a mathematic algorithm that consist of create a “Repeatability File”. This file is used during calibration development to minimize the variation sources that can affect the NIRS predictions. The objective of the current work is the evaluation of the use of a repeatability file in quantitative NIRS analysis of Iberian pig fat. A total of 188 samples of Iberian pig fat, produced by COVAP, were used. NIR data were recorded using a FOSS NIRSystems 6500 I spectrophotometer equipped with a spinning module. Samples were analysed by folded transmission, using two sample cells of 0.1mm pathlength and gold surface. High accuracy calibration equations were obtained, without and with repeatability file, to determine the content of six fatty acids: miristic (SECV$\sub$without/=0.07% r$^2$$\sub$without/=0.76 and SECV$\sub$with/=0.08% r$^2$$\sub$with/=0.65), Palmitic (SECV$\sub$without/=0.28 r$^2$$\sub$without/=0.97 and SECV$\sub$with/=0.24% r$^2$$\sub$with/=0.98), palmitoleic (SECV$\sub$without/=0.08 r$^2$$\sub$without/=0.94 and SECV$\sub$with/=0.09% r$^2$$\sub$with/=0.92), Stearic (SECV$\sub$without/=0.27 r$^2$$\sub$without/=0.97 and SECV$\sub$with/=0.29% r$^2$$\sub$with/=0.96), oleic (SECV$\sub$without/=0.20 r$^2$$\sub$without/=0.99 and SECV$\sub$with/=0.20% r$^2$$\sub$with/=0.99) and linoleic (SECV$\sub$without/=0.16 r$^2$$\sub$without/=0.98 and SECV$\sub$with/=0.16% r$^2$$\sub$with/=0.98). The use of a repeatability file like a tool to reduce the variation sources that can disturbed the prediction accuracy was very effective. Although in calibration results the differences are negligible, the effect caused by the repeatability file is appreciated mainly when are predicted new samples that are not in the calibration set and whose spectrum were recorded a long time after the equation development. In this case, bias values corresponding to fatty acids predictions were lower when the repeatability file was used: miristic (bias$\sub$without/=-0.05 and bias$\sub$with/=-0.04), Palmitic (bias$\sub$without/=-0.42 and bias$\sub$with/=-0.11), Palmitoleic (bias$\sub$without/=-0.03 and bias$\sub$with/=0.03), Stearic (bias$\sub$without/=0.47 and bias$\sub$with/=0.28), oleic (bias$\sub$without/=0.14 and bias$\sub$with/=-0.04) and linoleic (bias$\sub$without/=0.25 and bias$\sub$with/=-0.20).

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Characterizing Fluorescence Properties of Dissolved Organic Matter for Water Quality Management of Rivers and Lakes (하천 및 호소 수질관리를 위한 용존 자연유기물질 형광특성 분석)

  • Hur, Jin;Shin, Jae-Ki;Park, Sung-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.940-948
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    • 2006
  • Fluorescence measurements of dissolved organic matter(DOM) have the superior advantages over other analysis tools for applying to water quality management. They are simple and fast and require minimal pretreatment of samples. Fluorescence index($F_{450}/F_{500}$), synchronous spectra, and fluorescence excitation-emission matrices(EEM) of various DOM samples were investigated to discriminate autochthonous/allochthonous composition, protein-like fluorescence, fulvic-like fluorescence, humic-like fluorescence, terestrial humic-like fluorescence by comparing among the real DOM samples of different origins with the help of literature. The samples used included standard purified DOM, lake, river and wastewater treatment effluent. The relative distribution of various DOM composition was derived from the ratios of each fluorescence region. The results were very consistent with those expected from the sample properties. Allochthonous and terrestrial humic-like fluorescence were more prominent in the samples with abundant soil-derived DOM components. In addition, the protein-like fluorescence property was more pronounced in the samples where strong algal or microbial activities were expected. It was also shown that the ratio of protein-like/terrestrial humic-like fluorescence obtained from synchronous spectrum and fluorescence EEM could be used as an indicator for the evaluation of wastewater treatment on the downstream water quality of rivers and for the prediction of the degree of algal/microbial activities in lakes. It is expected that the results of this study will provide the basic information to develop the future water quality management techniques using DOM fluorescence measurements.

Prediction of Consumer Acceptance of Oriental Melon based on Physicochemical and Sensory Characteristics (이화학적·관능적 품질 특성에 기반한 참외의 소비자 기호도 예측)

  • Lee, Da Uhm;Bae, Jeong Mi;Lim, Jeong Ho;Choi, Jeong Hee
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.446-455
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    • 2017
  • We investigated the physicochemical and sensory characteristics of oriental melon (Cucumis melo L.) to provide a consumer-oriented quality index. Oriental melon fruits were harvested at 20, 25, or 30 days after fruit set (DAFS), and each group was sorted by size (small, medium, and large). Fruits harvested at 25 and 30 DAFS had higher CIE $a^*$ and $b^*$ values, higher soluble solids content (SSC), and lower CIE $L^*$, firmness, and titratable acidity (TA) values than fruits harvested at 20 DAFS. Fruits harvested at 25 and 30 DAFS scored more highly for overall acceptance. A significant correlation was found between physicochemical characteristics and overall acceptance. In the delayed-harvest sample, increased sweetness and yellowness, and decreased sensorial texture were associated with an increase in overall acceptance. In principal component analysis, F1 and F2 explained 62.16% and 17.91% of the total variance (80.07%), respectively. Regression analysis of overall acceptance and F1 gave a coefficient of determination ($r^2$) of 0.87. Our results show that consideration of the physicochemical characteristics (CIE value, SSC, pH, SSC/TA ratio, and firmness) and sensory characteristics (yellowness, placenta area condition, oriental melon odor, sweetness, oriental melon flavor, texture, and off odor) of oriental melon in this way can be used as quality indices to predict consumer acceptance.

Estimation of Diameter and Basal Area Growth Pattern for Thuja orientalis Stand Grown in Yeongcheon (영천 측백림의 직경 및 흉고단면적 생장추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Hoi-Seon;Kim, Hyun;Choi, Soo-Im;Cho, Young-Jin;Lim, Ho-Sub
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.96 no.1
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this research was to provide basic information of Thuja orientalis stand for prediction system, which consists of the best model of diameter and basal area. Data was from cores of 45 sample trees of Thuja orientalis stand that was designated as a natural monument (No. 62) in Yeongcheon, Chungbuk. Of the projection functions tested, polymorphic equation using the overlapping data showed higher precision of the fitting than anamorphic equation using. In diameter growth, Schumacher polymorphic equation of $D_2={\exp}({\ln}(D_1)(T_1/T_2)^{0.4495}+3.8535(1-(T_1/T_2)^{0.4495}))$, and in basal area growth, Schumacher polymorphic equation of $BA_2={\exp}({\ln}(BA_1)(T_1/T_2)^{0.1235}+11.3793(1-(T_1/T_2)^{0.1235}))$ showed the highest precision of the fitting among them. The equation, therefore, could be available as basic information for estimation of growth and management of Thuja orientalis stand.

The Long-Run Relation of Public Debt and Fiscal Balance to Government Bond Rates: An Empirical Study on the Validity of Modern Monetary Theory (국가부채 및 재정수지와 국채이자율의 장기적 관계: 현대화폐이론 검증을 중심으로)

  • Kangwoo Park
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.181-230
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    • 2023
  • Evaluating the empirical validity of Modern Monetary Theory, this study implements panel cointegration analysis on annual panel data (2000-2022) of OECD countries. Specifically, the sample countries are divided into groups based on the presence of their own sovereign currencies, and for each group, the long-run equilibrium relation (cointegration) between the ratio of public debt or fiscal deficit and government bond rates is tested and estimated. Main findings are as follows: applying the pooled mean-group estimation for panel cointegration, it is found that both the ratios of public debt and fiscal deficit have significantly positive long-run correlation with government bond rates in countries without sovereign currency such as the Euro-zone or fixed exchange rate regime countries. However, in countries with sovereign currency such as non-Euro-zone or floating exchange rate regime countries, the long-run correlation is either negative or not statistically significant. Particularly, in countries without sovereign currency, the ratio of public debt has significantly positive correlation with the real government bond rates in the short run as well as the long run. These results are consistent with the prediction of Modern Monetary Theory, thus providing a supporting evidence for the empirical validity of the theory.

Information Needs and Satisfaction among Family Members of Terminal Cancer Patients through Phone Cancer Information Services (말기 암 환자 가족의 전화상담을 통한 정보요구와 만족도 조사)

  • Kwon, Kyeung-Eun;Kim, Boon-Han;Chang, Yoon-Jung;Kim, Hee-Jung;Jung, Yun
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: This exploratory study was undertaken to analyze the information needs of family members of terminal cancer patients, collected through the telephone counselling service by National Cancer Information Center. Methods: The study included 113 family members of terminal cancer patients who had enrolled at the National Cancer Information Center for the period from June, 2007 through March, 2008 and had agreed to the survey. Results: The subjects (n=113) consisted of grown-up children (n=82) and spouses (n=8) of patients'. Those in their 40's (n=40) and 30's (n=36) accounted for the majority of the sample. The questions raised most were about the information on treatment methods (n=117), management of terminal cancer patients (n=46), terminal cancer patients' life (n=27), deathbed and prediction of remaining life (n=18), hospitalization (n=16), and financial support (n=15). Most of the subjects were satisfied with the telephone counseling services, and 69% of the subjects had come to know about the telephone counseling service via Internet, and 10.6% of them stated that the PR for the service was poor. Conclusion: It is deemed essential for the government to use the mass media for PR of the hospice services, since family members of terminal cancer patients' are less aware of the hospice conducive to enhancement of patients' remaining quality of life, being involued too deeply in their treatment.

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Model for predicting ground surface settlement by field measuring and numerical analysis in shield TBM tunnel (현장계측과 수치해석에 의한 쉴드TBM 터널의 지표침하 예측모델)

  • Kim, Seung-Chul;Ahn, Sung-Youll;Lee, Song;Noh, Tae-Kil
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.271-287
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    • 2013
  • In this study, more convenient model(S-model) for predicting ground surface settlement is developed through comparing field monitoring data of the domestic subway applied shield TBM method with conventional equation & numerical analysis. Sample stations are chosen from whole of excavation section and lateral & vertical ground surface settlement characteristic with excavation are analysed. Based on analysis result, through the comparison with actual monitoring data, the model that is possible to compute maximum surface settlement and settlement influence area is suggested with assumption that lateral surface settlement forms are composed relaxed zone and elastic zone. In addition, vertical ground surface settlement patterns with excavation are similar to cubic-function and S-model with assumption that coefficients are function of tunnel diameter and depth is suggested. Consequently, the ground surface settlement patterns are significantly similar to actual monitoring data and numerical method result. Thus, as a result, when tunnels are excavated using sheild TBM through rather soft weathered soil & rock layer, prediction of ground surface settlement with excavation using convenient S-model is practicable.

The Non-Enzymatic Browning and Shelf-Life of Dried Shrimp during Storage under Fluctuating Temperature Conditions (건조 새우의 변온저장중 갈변 및 Shelf-life)

  • KIM Yong-Ju;KIM Mu-Nam;KANG Moon-Sun;CHO Young-Je;KIM Yuck-Yong;CHUN Soon Sil
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1994
  • The kinetics of browning reaction of dried shrimp powder samples were investigated during storage. The temperature conditions of the ding process were $25^{\circ}C\;and\;45^{\circ}C$, and the samples were stored at water activity ($a_w$) of 0.33, 0.44, 0.52, 0.65 and temperatures of $35^{\circ}C,\;45^{\circ}C,\;55^{\circ}C$ and temperature fluctuations between $33^{\circ}C\;and\;55^{\circ}C$. When the shrimp was dried at $25^{\circ}C$ the activation energies obtained from the Arrhenius plot ranged from 13.57 to 14.33 kcal/mol. From these energies of activation, the $Q_{10}$ values at $25^{\circ}C$ showed 1.93 to 2.00. In the case of drying at $45^{\circ}C$ the activation energies were $13.12{\sim}13.61\;kcal/mol$ and $Q_{10}$ values were $1.89{\sim}1.93$, respectively. In addition, a storage study under square-wave fluctuating temperature conditions was carried out by varying the shrimp sample temperature between $35^{\circ}C\;and\;55^{\circ}C$ within 7 days regular fluctuation cycle. The data obtained from the fluctuating temperature storage study will be used in the prediction of shelf-lives. The shelf-lives assessed at $25^{\circ}C$ from the accelerated shelf-life tests ranged from 4 days at aw 0.65 to 139 days at aw 0.33.

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Characteristics of Material Function Related to Permeability and Compressibility for Soft Clay Ground (투수 및 압축에 대한 연약 점토지반의 물질함수 특성)

  • Lee, Song;Jeon, Je-Sung;Yi, Chang-Tok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.183-194
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    • 2004
  • It's essential process to study non-linear material function related to characteristics of compressibility and permeability when we predict the consolidation behavior of soft clay ground. In this study, laboratory tests were conducted to find out the material function using marine clay. Standard oedometer test and Rowe cell test were performed with conditions, which were classified into vertical drainage only, radial drainage only and vertical-radial drainage case. Modified oedometer test equipment was developed to find out the material function and special extrusion device was originated to minimize the sample disturbance effect. Reliability of the results in modified oedometer test could be confirmed by comparing with the Rowe cell's one. Effective stress - void ratio - permeability relations were analyzed using all testing results. As a result, void ratio with effective stress level could be expressed by the power function and permeability with void ratio could be expressed by exponential function. In soft clay with high initial water content and low shear strength, non-linear characteristics related to compressibility and permeability varied with wide range by the effective stress levels. It's important to note that non-linearity of the material function should be considered at prediction of the consolidation behavior.

An Interpretable Log Anomaly System Using Bayesian Probability and Closed Sequence Pattern Mining (베이지안 확률 및 폐쇄 순차패턴 마이닝 방식을 이용한 설명가능한 로그 이상탐지 시스템)

  • Yun, Jiyoung;Shin, Gun-Yoon;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kim, Sang-Soo;Han, Myung-Mook
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2021
  • With the development of the Internet and personal computers, various and complex attacks begin to emerge. As the attacks become more complex, signature-based detection become difficult. It leads to the research on behavior-based log anomaly detection. Recent work utilizes deep learning to learn the order and it shows good performance. Despite its good performance, it does not provide any explanation for prediction. The lack of explanation can occur difficulty of finding contamination of data or the vulnerability of the model itself. As a result, the users lose their reliability of the model. To address this problem, this work proposes an explainable log anomaly detection system. In this study, log parsing is the first to proceed. Afterward, sequential rules are extracted by Bayesian posterior probability. As a result, the "If condition then results, post-probability" type rule set is extracted. If the sample is matched to the ruleset, it is normal, otherwise, it is an anomaly. We utilize HDFS datasets for the experiment, resulting in F1score 92.7% in test dataset.