• 제목/요약/키워드: In-Sample Prediction

검색결과 556건 처리시간 0.028초

Study on the Evaluation of Stability of Gel Structured Cosmetics

  • Park, Chan-Ik;Kim, Ki-Sun;Lee, Sung-Jun;Yoon, Myeong-Suk;Kang, Seh-Hoon
    • 대한화장품학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 1996
  • The stability of gel structured emulsion and the effect of polyols on it have been studied by rheological property and interfacial tension. In this paper, three types of gel structured emulsions were prepared by using three polyols respectively(glycerine for sample 1, 1.3 BG for sample 2, PG for sample 3). And both complex modulus($G^*$) and loss angle[$\delta$ = tan-1(G"/G')] of samples were investigated against oscillating shear stress and frequency($\omega$). The results show sample 1 is most highly consistent with oscillating shear stress. And the results were compared with those of accelerated tests concerning storage stability of gel structured emulsion. To correlate consistency of rheological property with storage stability, interfacial tension from which adsorption efficiency of surfactant(Octyldodecyl Ether) could be known was measured. Sample 1 showed the largest value of [$d{\gamma}/dIn_{Cconc. of surfactant}$] in Gibbs equation. In summary, the prediction of stability could be correctly made by the consistency of rheological property(G*,$\gamma$) of gel structured emulsion against oscillating shear stress and it could be supported by measuring interfacial tension. And polyol affected the value of [$d{\gamma}/dIn_{Cconc. of surfactant}$], consequently affected the stability.lity.

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평면 음향 홀로그래피에서 센서간 특성 차이와 측정 위치의 부정확성에 의한 음압 추정 오차의 정량화 (Quantification of Acoustic Pressure Estimation Error due to Sensor and Position Mismatch in Planar Acoustic Holography)

  • 남경욱;김양한
    • 소음진동
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.1023-1029
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    • 1998
  • When one attempts to construct a hologram. one finds that there are many sources of measurement errors. These errors are even amplified if one predicts the pressures close to the sources. The pressure estimation errors depend on the following parameters: the measurement spacing on the hologram plane. the prediction spacing on the prediction plane. and the distance between the hologram and the prediction plane. This raper analyzes quantitatively the errors when these are distributed irregularly on the hologram plane The sensor mismatch and inaccurate measurement location. position mismatch. are mainly addressed. In these cases. one can assume that the measurement is a sample of many measurement events. The bias and random error are derived theoretically. Then the relationship between the random error amplification ratio and the parameters mentioned above is examined quantitatively in terms of energy.

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Improved Single-Tone Frequency Estimation by Averaging and Weighted Linear Prediction

  • So, Hing Cheung;Liu, Hongqing
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제33권1호
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    • pp.27-31
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    • 2011
  • This paper addresses estimating the frequency of a cisoid in the presence of white Gaussian noise, which has numerous applications in communications, radar, sonar, and instrumentation and measurement. Due to the nonlinear nature of the frequency estimation problem, there is threshold effect, that is, large error estimates or outliers will occur at sufficiently low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) conditions. Utilizing the ideas of averaging to increase SNR and weighted linear prediction, an optimal frequency estimator with smaller threshold SNR is developed. Computer simulations are included to compare its mean square error performance with that of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator, improved weighted phase averager, generalized weighted linear predictor, and single weighted sample correlator as well as Cramer-Rao lower bound. In particular, with smaller computational requirement, the proposed estimator can achieve the same threshold and estimation performance of the ML method.

Large-Sample Comparisons of Statistical Calibration Procedures When the Standard Measurement is Also Subject to Error: The Replicated Case

  • Lee, Seung-Hoon;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.9-23
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    • 1988
  • The classicla theory of statistical calibration assumes that the standard measurement is exact. From a realistic point of view, however, this assumption needs to be relaxed so that more meaningful calibration procedures may be developed. This paper presents a model which explicitly considers errors in both standard and nonstandard measurements. Under the assumption that replicated observations are available in the calibration experiment, three estimation techniques (ordinary least squares, grouping least squares, and maximum likelihood estimation) combined with two prediction methods (direct and inverse prediction) are compared in terms of the asymptotic mean square error of prediction.

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Empirical seismic vulnerability probability prediction model of RC structures considering historical field observation

  • Si-Qi Li;Hong-Bo Liu;Ke Du;Jia-Cheng Han;Yi-Ru Li;Li-Hui Yin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제86권4호
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    • pp.547-571
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    • 2023
  • To deeply probe the actual earthquake level and fragility of typical reinforced concrete (RC) structures under multiple intensity grades, considering diachronic measurement building stock samples and actual observations of representative catastrophic earth shocks in China from 1990 to 2010, RC structures were divided into traditional RC structures (TRCs) and bottom reinforced concrete frame seismic wall masonry (BFM) structures, and the empirical damage characteristics and mechanisms were analysed. A great deal of statistics and induction were developed on the historical experience investigation data of 59 typical catastrophic earthquakes in 9 provinces of China. The database and fragility matrix prediction model were established with TRCs of 4,122.5284×104 m2 and 5,844 buildings and BFMs of 5,872 buildings as empirical seismic damage samples. By employing the methods of structural damage probability and statistics, nonlinear prediction of seismic vulnerability, and numerical and applied functional analysis, the comparison matrix of actual fragility probability prediction of TRC and BFM in multiple intensity regions under the latest version of China's macrointensity standard was established. A novel nonlinear regression prediction model of seismic vulnerability was proposed, and prediction models considering the seismic damage ratio and transcendental probability parameters were constructed. The time-varying vulnerability comparative model of the sample database was developed according to the different periods of multiple earthquakes. The new calculation method of the average fragility prediction index (AFPI) matrix parameter model has been proposed to predict the seismic fragility of an areal RC structure.

감마선 조사 건멸치의 저장수명 예측 (Shelf-life Prediction of ${\gamma}-Irradiated$ Boiled-Dried Anchovies)

  • 권중호;변명우;서재수
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.1557-1562
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    • 1999
  • 건멸치의 저장법 개발을 위한 일련의 연구로써 건멸치의 흡습특성을 조사하고, 선택된 포장조건에서 위생화에 필요한 5 kGy의 감마선을 처리한 다음 저장성 예측시험을 수행하였다. 건멸치의 등온흡습곡선으로부터 구한 BET 단분자층 수분함량은 5.47%, 이에 해당되는 수분활성은 0.15로써 품질안정성을 유지하기 위해서는 낮은 수분활성의 유지와 방습 포장이 필요한 것으로 나타났다. 폴리에틸렌필름(0.1 mm)과 접합필름(nylon/polyethylene, NY/PE)으로 포장된 건멸치에 5 kGy의 감마선을 조사한 다음 $15^{\circ}C/68%\;RH,\;25^{\circ}C/75%RH$$35^{\circ}C/84%$ RH의 조건에 각각 저장하면서 품질변화를 측정하였다. 건멸치 품질지표성분으로 확인된 갈변반응과 관능적 기호도 변화의 속도상수는 저장온도에 비례하여 포장재와 감마선 조사에 따라 $2.17{\sim}2.40$범위의 온도계수$(Q_{10})$를 나타내었다. 그리고 25℃에서의 shelf-life는 비조사구의 PE와 NY/PE 포장이 각각 84일과 125일, 감마선 조사구(5 kGy)의 PE와 NY/PE 포장은 각각 126일과 138일로 나타나, 적정선량의 감마선 조사와 접합포장재의 사용은 건멸치의 위생적 품질개선은 물론 저장성 향상에도 효과적으로 나타났다.

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초고강도 판재 다점성형공정에서의 인공신경망을 이용한 2중 곡률 스프링백 예측모델 개발 (A Development of Longitudinal and Transverse Springback Prediction Model Using Artificial Neural Network in Multipoint Dieless Forming of Advanced High Strength Steel)

  • 곽민준;박지우;박근태;강범수
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.76-88
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    • 2020
  • The need for advanced high strength steel (AHSS) forming technology is increasing as interest in light weight and safe automobiles increases. Multipoint dieless forming (MDF) is a novel sheet metal forming technology that can create any desired longitudinal and transverse curvature in sheet metal. However, since the springback phenomenon becomes larger with high strength metal such as AHSS, predicting the required MDF to produce the exact desired curvature in two directions is more difficult. In this study, a prediction model using artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to predict the springback that occurs during AHSS forming through MDF. In order to verify the validity of model, a fit test was performed and the results were compared with the conventional regression model. The data required for training was obtained through simulation, then further random sample data was created to verify the prediction performance. The predicted results were compared with the simulation results. As a result of this comparison, it was found that the prediction of our ANN based model was more accurate than regression analysis. If a sufficient amount of data is used in training, the ANN model can play a major role in reducing the forming cost of high-strength steels.

간호사의 조직몰입 예측요인 (Prediction Factors on the Organizational Commitment in Registered Nurses)

  • 한상숙;박성원
    • 동서간호학연구지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2006
  • Purpose: This research has been conducted in order to confirm the major factors that prediction organizational commitment in registered nurses. Method: The subjects were 350 registered nurses from 3 hospitals in Seoul. The sample for data collection consisted of 329 useable questionnaires (94% overall return rate) for 2 weeks. The Instrument tools utilized in this study were organizational commitment scale, empowerment scale, job stress scale and job satisfaction scale and thoroughly modified to verify validity and reliability. The collected data have been analyzed using SPSS 11.0 program. Three outliers which were bigger than 3 in absolute value were found, so after taking them off, Multiple Regression was used for further analysis. Result: The major factors that prediction organizational commitment in registered nurses were job satisfaction, empowerment, age and unit experience, which explained 51.9% of organizational commitment. Conclusion: It has been confirmed that the regression equation model of this research may serve as a organizational commitment prediction factors in Registered Nurses.

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A Research on Pecking Order Theory of Financing: The Case of Korean Manufacturing Firms

  • Lee, Jang-Woo;Hurr, Hee-Young
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2009
  • This paper empirically tests pecking order theory. Korean listed firms are used as the samples. On the whole we find supportive results for pecking order theory. The fixed effect model on the whole period shows that as pecking order theory suggests that debt ratio decreases as cash flow. ROA, physical assets, and firm size increase. Again, it is shown that corporate debt ratio significantly decreases as cash flow or ROA increases in every sub-sample, which coincides with the prediction of pecking order theory. Corporate debt ratio significantly decreases as physical assets or jinn size increases in case of the whole sample, pre-financial crisis period, and the sub-samples by q-ratio, which also supports the prediction of pecking order theory. Statistical significance of the coefficients of physical assets or firm size completely disappears after Korean financial crisis. Perhaps it is because the role of physical assets or firm size as a mitigator of information asymmetry significantly weakens after the financial crisis as Korean financial market becomes more transparent. For small firms only size variable is negatively and significantly related with debt to assets. It seems that size is an important factor for smaller firms in making financing decision.

제주지역 호텔기업 부실예측모형 평가 (Assessing Distress Prediction Model toward Jeju District Hotels)

  • 김시중
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This current study will investigate the average financial ratio of top and failed five-star hotels in the Jeju area. A total of 14 financial ratio variables are utilized. This study aims to; first, assess financial ratio of the first-class hotels in Jeju to establishing variables, second, develop distress prediction model for the first-class hotels in Jeju district by using logit analysis and third, evaluate distress prediction capacity for the first-class hotels in Jeju district by using logit analysis. Research design, data, and methodology - The sample was collected from year 2015 and 14 financial ratios of 12 first-class hotels in Jeju district. The results from the samples were analyzed by t-test, and the independent variables were chosen. This was an empirical study where the distress prediction model was evaluated by logit analysis. This current research has focused on critically analyzing and differentiating between the top and failed hotels in the Jeju area by utilizing the 14 financial ratio variables. Results - The verification result of the accuracy estimated by logit analysis has shown to indicate that the distress prediction model's distress prediction capacity was 83.3%. In order to extract the factors that differentiated the top hotels in the Jeju area from the failed hotels among the 14 chosen, the analysis of t-black was utilized by independent variables. Logit analysis was also used in this study. As a result, it was observed that 5 variables were statistically significant and are included in the logit analysis for discernment of top and failed hotels in the Jeju area. Conclusions - The distress prediction press' prediction capability was compared in this research analysis. The distress prediction press prediction capability was shown to range from 75-85% by logit analysis from a previous study. In this current research, the study's prediction capacity was shown to be 83.33%. It was considered a high number and was found to belong to the range of the previous study's prediction capacity range. From a practical perspective, the capacity of the assessment of the distress prediction model in the top and failed hotels in the Jeju area was considered to be a prominent factor in applications of future hotel appraisal.