• Title/Summary/Keyword: Importance of Risk Factor

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Applications of SMCRE Model on Social Amplification of MERS Risk Information and its Implications (메르스 위험정보유통의 사회적 확산에 관한 SMCRE 모형의 적용과 함의)

  • Choi, Choong-Ik;Bae, Suk-Kyeong;Kim, Chul-Min
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - This article tackles risk communication issues and aims to address the characteristics of MERS risk information distribution in South Korea, and secondly to examine the communicative behavior of the public health authority in terms of the quality of communication strategies. Thirdly, the study attempts to figure out the risk communication to cope with MERS through the applications of SMCRE model in chronological order. We employ the social amplification of risk framework for analyzing the emergent public response as one of the main approaches. Research Design, Data and Methodology - The main framework of this study is theoretically based on the social amplification of risk, which describes signals about risk transmitted and processed by individuals and social groups. The model also reflects the interactions between social groups and institutes about disaster-related risk issues, which are potential amplifiers or attenuators of communication signals. S-M-C-R-E Model is methodologically employed to examine the social amplification for MERS risk information in each period, which we defined operationally. The proposed methodology allows the assessment of effectiveness and ineffectiveness on risk communication to be conceptualized as a countermeasure against disasters. The paper focuses on exploring how social risk amplification can be applied and organized in each stage. Results - The SMCRE model describes the exchange of risk information and is also applied to all forms of communication between stakeholders including public health authority, local government and media. Each factor of risk communication includes source, message, channel, receiver and effect. The results support that the effective risk communication involves not only the improved reliability of public health authority as a key factor of risk communication, but also a close cooperation and good collaboration with local governments. It does not seem to be possible that the government-initiated risk communication based on controllability and management cope effectively with infectious disease in early stage. The results of this study imply that the shared risks between local, regional and national authorities can enhance risk communication system. Conclusions - The study supports that the disparities in how disaster-related risk information is interpreted and coded, have made effective risk communication and public sense-making impeded. Our findings support a more communicative discussion about the role of risk information sharing between governments for the improvement of emergency management and underline the importance of social elements in the risk communication, such as relationship and trust building. Findings suggest that trust building between stakeholders could be added to help explain the processes of social amplification and attenuation of risk. It would be recommended that the continuous risk communication with all the involved stakeholders will be able to help national health promotion policy to be improved regarding emergency management. Furthermore, risk communication has to be a scientific approach for the communication pertaining to potentially sensitive or controversial situations with public concerns and low public trust.

A Study of Asset and Risk Assessment for Established of Industrial Security Management System (산업보안 경영시스템 구축을 위한 자산 및 위험평가에 관한 연구)

  • Koh, Joon-Cheol;Kim, Tae-Soo;Joo, Yong-Ma;Kim, Woo-Hyun;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is, by recognizing that recently, as crimes using information and various adverse-effect phenomena such as hacking and virus occur frequently with rapid development of information network such as Internet in every field of industry, the range of security is widening to the field of industrial areas for preventing the leaking of industrial technology and protecting that technology as well as information security only limited to IT area, and by establishing common concept about industrial security through education on the industrial security at the point of increasing importance of industrial security, to prepare the base of comprehensive risk management system for protecting company's assets (physical factor, technical factor and managerial factor) safely from the random threats or attacks inside and outside the company through assessment of important assets of the company, evaluation of threats and weak points, and risk assessment by building industrial security management system in order to protect company's information assets and resources which are connected to the existence of the company safely from the threats or attacks from inside or outside the company and to spread stable business activities.

Characteristics of Fall Events and Fall Risk Factors among Inpatients in General Hospitals in Korea (입원 환자의 낙상실태 및 위험요인 조사연구: 국내 500병상 이상 종합병원을 중심으로)

  • Choi, Eun Hee;Ko, Mi Suk;Yoo, Cheong Suk;Kim, Mi Kyoung
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.350-360
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the present status of falls among inpatients in general hospitals and to identify the fall risk factors that reflect the characteristics of domestic hospitals. Methods: Data were collected between December 15, 2016 and January 15, 2017 from 32 Korean hospitals having 500 or more beds. First, 42 risk factors were extracted based on literature review and expert opinions. Then the importance of each factor was evaluated by 223 nurses from medical and surgical adult ward and intensive care units in 40 hospitals. Results: The incidence rate of falls in 18 hospitals was 3.87 per 1,000 total discharged patients and 0.55 per 1,000 patient-days, and the rate of injury-related falls was 40.5%. Major risk factors for falling were identified as the following: being over 65 years of age, history of falls during admission, physical mobility disorders requiring assistance, physical factors (dizziness or vertigo, unstable gait, general weakness, walking aids, visual problems), cognitive factors (delirium, lack of understanding on limitations), neurological disease, CNS medications Conclusion: The findings provide information that can be in the development of a fall risk assessment tool for inpatients in general hospitals in Korea.

Extracting the Risk Factor of Ground Excavation Construction and Confidence Analysis using Statistical Test Procedure (지반굴착공사 위험요소 도출 및 통계적 검정 방법을 통한 신뢰성 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Min;Kim, Woo-Seok;Baek, Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2017
  • The case study on ground subsidence was conducted and the cause of ground subsidence was evaluated, main cause were insufficient site exploration, inaccurate strength parameters, defective temporary wall, insufficient reaction for boiling and heaving, excessive excavation and so on. Risk factors during excavation were identified from the cause of ground subsidence and risk factors were site exploration, selecting excavation method, structure analysis, measurement plan, excavation method construction, underground water level change, natural disaster and construction management. The survey of the experts on risk factors identified was conducted to evaluate the importance of risk factors, and confidence analysis was performed to evaluate the significance level between survey result and survey respondent using Chi-square Test.

Safety Management Factor Analysis of Expert Perceptions Based on 4M Method for Plant Construction Phase (플랜트 시설물 시공단계의 4M기법을 활용한 전문가 인식조사에 의한 안전관리요인 분석)

  • Kim, Kyujin;Choi, Byungsun;Chun, Jaeyoul
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to classify main risk factors on a construction phase of a plant project and analyze importance by the risk factors. Plant Industry is continuing boom and the increase in overseas plant orders in 2014 has showed a performance increase of 61% of the total orders, as the plant industry are risk factors for the construction phase, safety management target recognition and variety of accident prevention and safety factors by importance, etc. a situation that requires the development and introduction of management. So, it is performed that collected disaster conditions data on a construction phase of a plant project, is questioned by plant construction professional and is classified by 4M. Then, it is performed that is questioned by plant construction and safety professional in order to apply AHP method, and is presented from analyzing the risk factors, which are results of the survey, by importance and priority. This study will recognize from identifying the main risk factors in advance and will be utilized as a basic data is to prevent the risk factors.

A Critique on Project Management View from Project Finance Perspective on the Critical Success Factors of PPP

  • Kim, Jung-Ju;Chae, Myungsin
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.21-46
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This study aims to find if the introduction of project finance perspective leads to any modification to the view of PM industry on CSFs of PPP and their relative importance rank. Design/methodology/approach - Through literature reviews, this study came up with a set of CSFs reflective of both perspectives. AHP method was applied for analysis by developing an Analytic Hierarchical Model from this set and survey questionnaires of pairwise comparison to solicit 46 qualified expert responses. Findings - This study concurs with PM industry to acknowledge 'risk allocation', 'legal framework' and 'quality of feasibility' as ones of most important CSFs. However, relative importance rank of individual CSFs goes through significant modification under this study in favor of 'sponsor commitment and quality' but against 'political environment', in particular. Research implications or Originality - Discussions on the CSFs led by PM industry have not been properly reflective of project finance perspective, which is injected into this study to cure the partiality. For researchers, findings of this study may call attention to financing perspective when they discuss CSFs of PPP. Practitioners may benefit from this study by allocating resources in view of this new finding when pursuing PPP projects.

A Lower T1 Slope as a Predictor of Subsidence in Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion with Stand-Alone Cages

  • Lee, Su Hun;Lee, Jun Seok;Sung, Soon Ki;Son, Dong Wuk;Lee, Sang Weon;Song, Geun Sung
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.567-576
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    • 2017
  • Objective : Preoperative parameters including the T1 slope (T1S) and C2-C7 sagittal vertical axis (SVA) have been recognized as predictors of kyphosis after laminoplasty, which is accompanied by posterior neck muscle damage. The importance of preoperative parameters has been under-estimated in anterior cervical discectomy and fusion (ACDF) because there is no posterior neck muscle damage. We aimed to determine whether postoperative subsidence and pseudarthrosis could be predicted according to specific parameters on preoperative plain radiographs. Methods : We retrospectively analyzed 41 consecutive patients (male : female, 22 : 19; mean age, $51.15{\pm}9.25years$) who underwent ACDF with a stand-alone polyether-ether-ketone (PEEK) cage (>1 year follow-up). Parameters including SVA, T1S, segmental angle and range of motion (ROM), C2-C7 cervical angle and ROM, and segmental inter-spinous distance were measured on preoperative plain radiographs. Risk factors of subsidence and pseudarthrosis were determined using multivariate logistic regression. Results : Fifty-five segments (27 single-segment and 14 two-segment fusions) were included. The subsidence and pseudarthrosis rates based on the number of segments were 36.4% and 29.1%, respectively. Demographic data and fusion level were unrelated to subsidence. A greater T1S was associated with a lower risk of subsidence (p=0.017, odds ratio=0.206). A cutoff value of T1S<$28^{\circ}$ significantly predicted subsidence (sensitivity : 70%, specificity : 68.6%). There were no preoperative predictors of pseudarthrosis except old age. Conclusion : A lower T1S (T1S<$28^{\circ}$) could be a risk factor of subsidence following ACDF. Surgeons need to be aware of this risk factor and should consider various supportive procedures to reduce the subsidence rates for such cases.

FAIR-Based Loss Measurement Caused by Personal Information Breach of a Company (FAIR를 통한 개인정보 유출에 따른 기업의 손해금액 산출에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gyu;Lee, Kyung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.129-145
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    • 2017
  • This study proposes a methodology to estimate the financial damages by personal information breach of a company and to analyse risk systematically through a case study of a company which experiences private information breach. Using FAIR(Factor Analysis of Information Risk) model, estimate the loss amount and to analyse risk objectively of a company by personal information breach. This study estimates adequacy and importance of corresponding factors applying AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) on each factors for assessing loss amount. By adopting proposed methodology in this study, the person in charge of actual work can assess and prove the loss amount though the latest risk estimation methodology. In addition, the person in charge can select the proper parameters for the corresponding company and can obtain the objective quantitative estimation. Hence it can be reported to the management by accurately assessing loss amount caused by personal information breach.

Comparison of Feature Selection Methods Applied on Risk Prediction for Hypertension (고혈압 위험 예측에 적용된 특징 선택 방법의 비교)

  • Khongorzul, Dashdondov;Kim, Mi-Hye
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we have enhanced the risk prediction of hypertension using the feature selection method in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) database of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The study identified various risk factors correlated with chronic hypertension. The paper is divided into three parts. Initially, the data preprocessing step of removes missing values, and performed z-transformation. The following is the feature selection (FS) step that used a factor analysis (FA) based on the feature selection method in the dataset, and feature importance (FI) and multicollinearity analysis (MC) were compared based on FS. Finally, in the predictive analysis stage, it was applied to detect and predict the risk of hypertension. In this study, we compare the accuracy, f-score, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and mean standard error (MSE) for each model of classification. As a result of the test, the proposed MC-FA-RF model achieved the highest accuracy of 80.12%, MSE of 0.106, f-score of 83.49%, and AUC of 85.96%, respectively. These results demonstrate that the proposed MC-FA-RF method for hypertension risk predictions is outperformed other methods.

Prevalence of Abdominal Obesity and Associated Factors among Korean Adults: The 2001 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (한국 성인의 복부비만 빈도와 관련 인자: 2001 국민건강영양조사)

  • Chung, Hae-Rang
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.39 no.7
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    • pp.684-691
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    • 2006
  • Abdominal obesity (AO) is a strong risk factor for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease, which has shown a remarkable increase in Korea. This study aimed to identify prevalence of AO and related risk factors in Korean adults. A total of 5,132 men and women aged 20-85 years old from the 2001 Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey were included in the analyses. AO was defined as waist circumference >=90 cm in men and >=85 cm in women as proposed by Korean Society of Obesity. Multiple logistic regression was carried out to identify risk factors for AO. Three models were specified: (i) demographic and socioeconomic factors (model 1: age, education, poverty income ratio, employment), (ii) lifestyle factors and covariates (model 2: physical activity, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, dietary quality, type 2 diabetes, co-morbidity) and (iii) demographic, socioeconomic and lifestyle factors (model 3). The prevalence of AO was 24.1 % in men, 23.5% in women. High poverty income ratio in men and low education attainment in women were risk factors for AO in model. 1. There was a significant association of AO with alcohol consumption, physical inactivity and dietary quality in men, alcohol consumption and cigarette smoking in women. These factors except alcohol consumption in men became insignificant in model 3. This findings underscore the importance of developing AO prevention programs in Korea that target the at risk groups identified in this study. A program focusing on low income men or less educated women would be more efficient.