• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.37 no.6
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• pp.965-972
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• 2017

Assessment of vulnerability of water use to climate change include a variety of climate change scenarios. However, in most future vulnerability studies, only the climate change scenarios are used and not the future scenarios of social and economic indicators. Therefore, in this study, we applied the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenario and Shared Socioeconomic reference Pathway (SSP) developed by IPCC to reflect the future. We selected indicators for estimating the vulnerability of water use, and indices were integrated with a multi-criteria decision making approach - Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The indicator data utilized national statistics and reports, social and economic scenarios, and simulated results from the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model which reflects climate change scenario. Finally, we derived the rankings of water use vulnerability for the short-term future (2020) and mid-term future (2050) within the Han River watershed. Generally, considering climate change alone and considering climate change plus social and economic changes showed a similar spatial distribution. In the future scenarios, the watershed rankings were similar, but showed differences with SSP scenario in some watersheds. Therefore, considering social and economic changes is expected to contribute to more effective responses to climate change.

• Journal of Climate Change Research
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• v.2 no.2
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• pp.69-77
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• 2011

While increased use of energy and fossil fuel in the recent years could worsen air quality and climate change, only few studies have been conducted on estimation of greenhouse gas emissions and characterization of emission types by sectors and regions in Korea. In this study, greenhouse gases emissions based on resions(Si, Gun, Gu) and emitted sectors(industry, transport, cemmercial and institutional, residential, waste, agriculture, others) were investigated using GHG-CAPSS(Greenhouse GasClean Air Policy Support System) developed to support to national and regional greenhouse gases reduction strategies. GHG-CAPSS follows IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Guideline methodology to categorize the emission sources and estimation of greenhouse gases using bottom-up approach. Estimated total greenhouse gases emissions were 588,011 thousand tons as $CO_2$ equivalent. Industry(50.1%) sector exhibited the highest portion followed by transport(17.6%), commercial and institutional(12.6%), residential(12.6%), waste(2.6%), agriculture(2.5%). Based on regional estimation, Gyeonggi(14.9%) demonstrated the highest emitted greenhouse gases among big cities followed by Jeonnam(12.4%), Gyeongbuk(11.0%), Ulsan(9.2%) and Seoul(8.9%).

• Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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• v.58 no.3
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• pp.214-222
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• 2022

This study calculated the on-site measurement (Tier 4) of greenhouse gases emitted during the production stage of major fishing periods that utilize set nets and bamboo weir fishing boats. In addition, using theoretically calculated results (Tier 1), the emission factor presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was comparatively analyzed. On average, carbon emissions for each operating period in the bamboo weir and set net were calculated to be 0.16 and 3.58 kg CO₂ time^-1, respectively; and the measurement values (Tier 4) for each tool were about 4-17 times lower than their respective theoretical values (Tier 1). Significant differences were found based on engine performance. As port entry, port departure, and operating periods of the vessels show negligible variation with short distances, the operation of the vessel engine was considered as the main variable for carbon emissions in anchovy set net fishing.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.43-58
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• 2015

The greenhouse gas emission caused by rapid economic growth and population is increasing in Korea. Also, climate change from greenhouse gases emission is accelerated. IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) report projects an increase of greenhouse gas emissions by 90% from the year 2000 to 2030(SRES, 2000). Within this context, establishing countermeasures on climate adaptation and mitigation is becoming increasingly important to reduce the negative effect of climate change at a global level. Along with global efforts to tackle climate change, Korean government has incorporated 'Low Carbon Green Growth'strategies into its national policy agenda. Local governments have also conducted a number of studies to devise plans for environmentally friendly and sustainable city development. In this paper, the land-use equilibrium model, which reflects economic and geographical characteristics, is used to analyze the change in residential land use and population density. The target area for study is Jeju island in Korea. With an application of land use equilibrium model, it derived three types of scenarios of the land use change: (1) dispersion scenario-reflecting present-day conditions (2) adaptation scenario-applying adaptation measures to climate change and (3) combined scenario-integrating both adaptation and mitigation measures in model to climate change. By applying dispersion to combined scenario, the general trend shows a downward shift in population density. Subsequently, energy consumption and expected cost associated with casualties were calculated on the basis of the findings of respective scenario. The results show a descending trend in energy consumption and expected casualtie. Therefore, understanding for residential land use and population density of each scenario that analyzed land use equilibrium model in the study is expected to devise a environmental city plan for climate change stabilization and climate adaptation and mitigation.

• Journal of Environmental Policy
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.157-184
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• 2010

Global climate change is destroying the water circulation balance by changing rates of precipitation, recharge and discharge, and evapotranspiration. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC 2007) makes "changes in rainfall pattern due to climate system changes and consequent shortage of available water resource" a high priority as the weakest part among the effects of human environment caused by future climate changes. Groundwater, which occupies a considerable portion of the world's water resources, is related to climate change via surface water such as rivers, lakes, and marshes, and "direct" interactions, being indirectly affected through recharge. Therefore, in order to quantify the effects of climate change on groundwater resources, it is necessary to not only predict the main variables of climate change but to also accurately predict the underground rainfall recharge quantity. In this paper, the authors selected a relevant climate change scenario, In this context, the authors selected A1B from the Special Report on Emission Scenario (SRES) which is distributed at Korea Meteorological Administration. By using data on temperature, rainfall, soil, and land use, the groundwater recharge rate for the research area was estimated by period and embodied as geographic information system (GIS). In order to calculate the groundwater recharge quantity, Visual HELP3 was used as main model for groundwater recharge, and the physical properties of weather, temperature, and soil layers were used as main input data. General changes to water circulation due to climate change have already been predicted. In order to systematically solve problems associated with how the groundwater resource circulation system should be reflected in future policies pertaining to groundwater resources, it may be urgent to recalculate the groundwater recharge quantity and consequent quantity for using via prediction of climate change in Korea in the future and then reflection of the results. The space-time calculation of changes to the groundwater recharge quantity in the study area may serve as a foundation to present additional measures for the improved management of domestic groundwater resources.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2010.06d
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• pp.444-448
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• 2010

지구 온난화 현상, 국제 유가 급등, 화석 연료의 고갈 등 여러 가지 환경 문제에 대한 세계적인 관심이 높아지면서 UNFCCC(United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) 이 각국의 온실가스 배출량을 제한하기 위한 활동을 벌이고 있다. 그리고 온실가스 배출량을 국가별 또는 산업별로 정량적으로 산출하기 위해 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), WRI/WBCSD (World Resources Institute and World Business Council for Sustainable Development) 및 ISO 등 국제기관과 표준단체에서 표준지침을 제정하여 온실가스를 산정하는 노력을 기울이고 있다. 본 논문에서는 IT산업에서 환경 문제 해결을 위해 자구적인 노력을 하고 있는 그린 IT분야에서 이슈가 되고 있는 그린데이터센터에 대해 알아보고, 데이터센터를 에너지관리 측면에서 관리하기 위한 전력사용량 모니터링에 탄소배출량 산정 지침을 적용한 "스마트 에너지/탄소 관리 시스템 설계"에 대해 살펴보고 향후 구축에 있어 이슈가 될 사항을 점검해 본다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.945-945
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• 2012

본 연구에서는 낙동강 수계의 안동댐 유역을 대상지역으로 선정하여 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 댐 유역의 수환경 영향을 예측해 보고자 하였다. 특히 미래기후에 대한 수환경 평가는 기후자료를 입력 값으로 요구하는 강우-유출모형을 이용하거나 유량 이외에 유사, 영양물질과 같은 수질인자를 동시에 모의할 수 있는 유역모형을 이용하여 평가하는 것이 일반적이다. 이를 위해 선행연구로 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 AR4 시나리오의 RCM 자료를 ANN(Artificial Neural Network)기법을 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 총 4개 기상관측소에 대한 과거 20년(1991~2010) 실측자료를 바탕으로 미래 강수 및 습도 그리고 온도에 대해 상세화 하여 미래 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 또한 안동댐 유역 단위의 수질을 예측하기 위해 토양과 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태에 따른 수문-수질 모의가 가능한 유역모형인 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하였다. 과거의 기상자료와 수질자료를 이용하여 유역모델의 검 보정을 실시하였으며 모형의 보정 및 검증결과에 따른 적합성과 상관성을 판단하기 위해 결정계수($R^2$)와 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE)를 사용하였으며, 모형의 효율성 검증으로는 Nash and Sutcliffe(1970)가 제안한 모형효율성계수(NSE)를 사용하였다. 최종적으로 기후 시나리오에 대해서 전망된 지역상세기후를 유역모형의 입력자료로 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 미래수문 및 수질을 예측하고자 하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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• 2007.05a
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• pp.417-420
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• 2007

This paper proposes a method to calculate the amount of the CO2 emission w.r.t. generator MW output using the input-output coefficients of the thermal power plants. A calculation of CO2 emission for an LNG fired combined cycle power plant is demonstrated.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.10 no.4
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• pp.217-223
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• 1994

Carbon dioxide emission has been increased by 7% in an annual average toward 212.5 million tons in 1990 from 108.7 million tons in 1980. Among emissions in 1990, industry, residential / commercial, transportation, other and non-energy have occupied 91.12, 68.04, 42.13, 7.13 and 4.09 million tons respectively. The Korea-scenarios corresponding to those of IPCC that is Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (A : modest control of $CO_2$; B : stringent control of $CO_2$, C: shifting fuel to renewable and nuclear energy in the second half of the next century ; and D: shifting fuel to renewable and nuclear energy in the first half of the next century show that the global-scale contributions of atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration are 0.77, 0.64 and 0.78% in 2050 for cases A,B, and C respectively. In all cases, the contributions were smaller than 0.09 % in 1985.

• Journal of the Korean Applied Science and Technology
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.213-223
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• 2016

The validity of landfill gas models is an important problem considering that they are frequently used for landfill-site-related policy making and energy recovery planning. In this study, the Monte Carlo method was applied to an landfill gas generation model in order to enhance conformity. Results show that the relative mean deviation between measured data and modeled results (MD) decreased from 19.8% to 11.7% after applying the uncertainty range of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to the methane-generation potential and reaction constants. Additionally, when let reaction constant adjust derived errors from all other modeling components, such as model logic, gauging waste, and measured methane data, MD decreased to 6.6% and the disparity in total methane generation quantity to 2.1%.