• 제목/요약/키워드: Hydrological impact analysis

검색결과 110건 처리시간 0.023초

토지이용변화에 따른 수문영향분석 (Evaluation of Hydrological Impacts Caused by Land Use Change)

  • Park, Jin-Yong
    • 한국농공학회지
    • /
    • 제44권5호
    • /
    • pp.54-66
    • /
    • 2002
  • A grid-based hydrological model, CELTHYM, capable of estimating base flow and surface runoff using only readily available data, was used to assess hydrologic impacts caused by land use change on Little Eagle Creek (LEC) in Central Indiana. Using time periods when land use data are available, the model was calibrated with two years of observed stream flow data, 1983-1984, and verified by comparison of model predictions with observed stream flow data for 1972-1974 and 1990-1992. Stream flow data were separated into direct runoff and base flow using HYSEP (USGS) to estimate the impacts of urbanization on each hydrologic component. Analysis of the ratio between direct runoff and total runoff from simulation results, and the change in these ratios with land use change, shows that the ratio of direct runoff increases proportionally with increasing urban area. The ratio of direct runoff also varies with annual rainfall, with dry year ratios larger than those for wet years shows that urbanization might be more harmful during dry years than abundant rainfall years in terms of water yield and water quality management.

기후변화에 따른 저유량 전망 및 불확실성 분석 (Future Projection and Uncertainty Analysis of Low Flow on Climate Change in Dam Basins)

  • 이문환;배덕효
    • 한국기후변화학회지
    • /
    • 제7권4호
    • /
    • pp.407-419
    • /
    • 2016
  • The low flow is the necessary and important index to establish national water planning, however there are lots of uncertainty in the low flow estimation. Therefore, the objectives of this study are to assess the climate change uncertainty and the effects of hydrological models on low flow estimation. The 5 RCMs (HadGEM3-RA, RegCM4, MM5, WRF, and RSM), 5 statistical post-processing methods and 2 hydrological models were applied for evaluation. The study area were selected as Chungju dam and Soyang river dam basin, and the 30 days minimum flow is used for the low flow evaluation. The results of the uncertainty analysis showed that the hydrological model was the largest source of uncertainty about 41.5% in the low flow projection. The uncertainty of hydrological model is higher than the other steps (RCM, statistical post-processing). Also, VIC model is more sensitive for climate change compared to SWAT model. Therefore, the hydrological model should be thoroughly reviewed for the climate change impact assessment on low flow.

Uncertainty Analysis in Hydrologic and Climate Change Impact Assessment in Streamflow of Upper Awash River Basin

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeonjun;Jang, Cheolhee;Park, Sanghyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2019년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.327-327
    • /
    • 2019
  • The study will quantify the total uncertainties in streamflow and precipitation projections for Upper Awash River Basin located in central Ethiopia. Three hydrological models (GR4J, CAT, and HBV) will be used to simulate the streamflow considering two emission scenarios, six high-resolution GCMs, and two downscaling methods. The readily available hydrometeorological data will be applied as an input to the three hydrological models and the potential evapotranspiration will be estimated using the Penman-Monteith Method. The SCE-UA algorithm implemented in PEST will be used to calibrate the three hydrological models. The total uncertainty including the incremental uncertainty at each stage (emission scenarios and model) will be presented after assessing a total of 24 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2$) high-resolution precipitation projections and 72 (=$2{\times}6{\times}2{\times}3$) streamflow projections for the study basin. Finally, the primary causes that generate uncertainties in future climate change impact assessments will be identified and a conclusion will be made based on the finding of the study.

  • PDF

산지사면의 실측토양수분을 이용한 전이함수 모형의 적용 (Transfer Functional Modeling Using Soil Moisture Measurements at a Steep Forest Hillslope)

  • 김상현
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제22권4호
    • /
    • pp.415-424
    • /
    • 2013
  • In this paper, time series of soil moisture were measured for a steep forest hillslope to model and understand distinct hydrological behaviours along two different transects. The transfer function analysis was presented to characterize temporal response patterns of soil moisture for rainfall events. The rainfall is a main driver of soil moisture variation, and its stochastic characteristic was properly treated prior to the transfer function delineation between rainfall and soil moisture measurements. Using field measurements for two transects during the rainy season in 2007 obtained from the Bumrunsa hillslope located in the Sulmachun watershed, a systematic transfer functional modeling was performed to configure the relationships between rainfall and soil moisture responses. The analysis indicated the spatial variation pattern of hillslope hydrological processes, which can be explained by the relative contribution of vertical, lateral and return flows and the impact of transect topography.

Accuracy analysis of flood forecasting of a coupled hydrological and NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) model

  • Nguyen, Hoang Minh;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.194-194
    • /
    • 2017
  • Flooding is one of the most serious and frequently occurred natural disaster at many regions around the world. Especially, under the climate change impact, it is more and more increasingly trend. To reduce the flood damage, flood forecast and its accuracy analysis are required. This study is conducted to analyze the accuracy of the real-time flood forecasting of a coupled meteo-hydrological model for the Han River basin, South Korea. The LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) products with the spatial resolution of 1.5km and lead time of 36 hours are extracted and used as inputs for the SURR (Sejong University Rainfall-Runoff) model. Three statistical criteria consisting of CC (Corelation Coefficient), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and ME (Model Efficiency) are used to evaluate the performance of this couple. The results are expected that the accuracy of the flood forecasting reduces following the increase of lead time corresponding to the accuracy reduction of LDAPS rainfall. Further study is planed to improve the accuracy of the real-time flood forecasting.

  • PDF

하도만곡형상에 따른 수리특성분석 (The Analysis of Hydrological Property with Curved-channel Type)

  • 안승섭;이상일;박동일;김위석
    • 한국환경과학회지
    • /
    • 제20권10호
    • /
    • pp.1309-1317
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study selected 6 river reach, which have various curved-channel, included in an object of study as making the Nakdong River, which is a real nature river, as a point of an object of study by using SMS RMA-2 model, a 2D numerical analysis model, and applied project flood and analyzed and examined characteristic of hydrological property and super-elevation, which includes characteristic of the velocity of a moving fluid. As a result, in a river reach, whose width is wide, angle of curved-channel has impact on the velocity of a moving fluid of inside of curved-channel and in a river reach, whose width is narrow, the radius of curvature and width of the river have impact on the velocity of a moving fluid of inside of curved-channel. Also it found out that the ratio of reduction in water-level of inside of curved-channel is more bigger than ratio of increasing in water-level of outside of curved-channel when project flood is increasing and angle of curve is increasing. Based on this, this study would be used as a expectation of danger and preliminary data in planning real river or a business, that creates an environment.

WMS HEC-1을 이용한 안성천 유역의 경년 수문 변화 분석 (Analysis of Hydrological Impact for Long-term Land Cover Change using WMS HEC-l Model in Anseong-Cheon Watershed)

  • 박근애;김성준
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
    • /
    • pp.293-296
    • /
    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the hydrological impact due to temporal land cover change urbanization of Anseong-cheon watershed $(585.09km^2)$. WMS (Watershed Modeling System) HEC-1 was adopted, and burned DEM with $200{\times}200m$ resolution and soil map reclassified by hydrologic soil groups were prepared. Land cover for 1985, 1990, 1995 and 2000 were classified by maximum likelihood method, using Landsat MSS and TM imageries. Calibration and verification of HEC-1 were conducted using 4 storm events. Peak flow at Pyeong taek station increased $25.9m^3/sec$ during the past 15 years due to paddy and forest decrease. Streamflow impact by just paddy area decrease and forest area decrease were also analysed keeping watershed CN values unchanged of the given year, respectively.

  • PDF

Decision Support System for Determination of Types and Locations of Low Impact Development Practices

  • Abdulai, Patricia Jitta;Song, Jae Yeol;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.181-181
    • /
    • 2017
  • Low impact development (LID) practices has become important to mitigate the damage from natural disasters in urban areas. Thereby many hydrological simulation models can simulate the hydrological impact of LID practices. However, commonly used models are not able to provide specific information to most users such as where LIDs should be placed and what kind of LID should be designed. In this study, a decision support system which can be used with the EPA's SWMM was developed for the determination of LID types and locations of LID practices, named Water Management Prioritization Module (WMPM), was applied to a urbanized university campus. Eight sub-catchments were selected as feasible candidate areas for the planning of LID practices. Pre-designated infiltration trenches and permeable pavements were applied to each selected sub-catchments, followed by peak and total runoffs comparison between before/after planning of LIDs. Moreover, TOPSIS, one of a multi-criteria decision analysis method was used in the procedure of selecting target sub-catchment areas and final prioritization of LID types and locations. As a result, sub-catchments S4 with permeable pavements and S16 with infiltration trenches has shown the most decrease in total and peak runoffs, respectively. Therefore, WMPM was found to be effective in determining the best alternative among various scenarios generated and simulated.

  • PDF

Atmospheric River의 한반도 수문학적 영향에 대한 연구 (Hydrological impact of Atmospheric River landfall on the Korean Peninsula)

  • 한희찬;최창현;문혜진;정재원;이충기;김형수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제53권11호
    • /
    • pp.1039-1047
    • /
    • 2020
  • 중위도에서 내륙으로 많은 양의 수증기를 운반하는 대기천(Atmospheric rivers, AR)은 물 순환과 극한 수문현상에 큰 영향을 미친다. 본 연구에서는 2000 - 2015년도에 한반도에 상륙한 AR이 수문학적으로 미치는 영향력을 분석하였다. 그 결과 AR은 한반도 지역의 강우, 하천수위 및 유량특성과 밀접하게 연관되어 있는 것으로 나타났다. AR의 상륙이 한반도 연 강우량의 약 57%에 영향을 주었고, 여름철 강우량에 큰 영향을 주는 결과를 보였다. AR은 한반도 5대강 주변의 하천 수위와 유량 발생에도 영향을 주었는데, AR이 상륙한 당시 홍수 주의보 및 경보 기준을 넘는 수위가 관측되었다. 또한 유량의 경우, 한반도 5대강 대부분 지역의 3분위 이상 유량 값의 발생에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과들은 AR이 한반도 수문학적 특성에 큰 영향을 미칠 뿐만 아니라, 홍수와 같은 극한 수문 현상 발생과 매우 밀접한 관련이 있음을 시사하고 있다. 본 연구는 한반도의 다양한 영역에 대한 AR의 영향 분석에 대한 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대하는 바이다.

Water Management Analysis Module 모형을 이용한 투수성포장시설의 설계 및 계획 매개변수 도출 (Derivation of design and planning parameters for permeable pavement using Water Management Analysis Module)

  • 송재열;정은성;송영훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제51권6호
    • /
    • pp.491-501
    • /
    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 도시 유역의 물 순환을 개선시키기 위해 최근 활발하게 적용되고 있는 저영향개발(low impact development, LID) 시설의 설계 및 계획 매개변수를 선정하기 위한 방법을 제시하였다. 이때 Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) 모형의 LID 시설 모의 기능을 활용하여 다양한 매개변수에 대해 민감도 분석 및 다양한 시나리오를 자동으로 수행하여 비교할 수 있도록 개발된 Water Management Analysis Module (WMAM)을 이용하였다. 본 연구는 최근 도시화가 진행되고 있는 서울의 한 유역에 적용하였다. 적용 결과 LID 중 하나인 투수성포장 시설이 없는 경우와 임의로 결정된 설계 및 계획 시나리오 보다 본 방법을 통해 도출된 시나리오가 총유출량 및 첨두유량 감소와 침투량 증가에 더 좋은 효과를 보였다. 향후 경제성을 고려한 방법을 개발한다면 실무에서도 활용될 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.