• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrologic Simulation Model

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Extension of Rating Curve for High Water Level using Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS를 이용한 고수위 수위-유량관계곡선의 연장에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Suk;Yoon, Sun-Kwon
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.683-686
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    • 2008
  • Flood damage has been increased due to the abnormal climate and extreme rainfall. So, quantitative and qualitative hydrologic data should be improved in oder to enhance accuracy of hydrologic forecast. However, research regarding hydrologic data have not been thorough enough. Therefore, in this study, monte carlo simulation was applied to rainfall runoff model to improve the reliability of runoff analysis and risk analysis. Rainfall-Stage-Discharge curve was developed as a consequence of MCS and it is possible to get correct rating curve for high water level.

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Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model to Predict Flood Runoff in a Small Mountaineous Watershed (산지 소유역의 홍수유출 예측을 위한 모의발생 수문모형의 개발)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.58-68
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    • 1988
  • Most of the Korean watersheds are mountaineous and consist of various soil types and land uses And seldom watersheds are found to have long term hydrologic records. The SNUA, a hydrologic watershed model was developed to meet the unique characteristics of Korean watershed and simulate the storm hydrographs from a small mountaineous watershed. Also the applicability of the model was tested by comparing the simulated storm hydrographs and the observed from Dochuk watershed, Gwangjugun, Kyunggido The conclusions obtained in this study could be summarized as follows ; 1. The model includes the simulation of interception, evaporation and infiltration for land surface hydrologic cycle on the single storm basis and the flow routing features for both overland and channel systems. 2. Net rainfall is estimated from the continuous computation of water balance at the surface of interception storage accounting for the rainfall intensities and the evaporation losses at each time step. 3. Excess rainfall is calculated by the abstraction of infiltration loss estimated by the Green and Ainpt Model from the net rainfall. 4. A momentum equation in the form of kinematic wave representation is solved by the finite differential method to obtain the runoff rate at the exit of the watershed. 5. The developed SNUA Model is a type of distributed and event model that considers the spatial distribution of the watershed parameters and simulates the hydrograph on a single storm basis. 6. The results of verification test show that the simulated peak flows agree with the observed in the occurence time but have relative enors in the range of 5.4-40.6% in various flow rates and also show that the simulated total runoff have 6.9-32% of relative errors against the observed. 7. To improve the applicability of the model, it was thought that more studies like the application test to the other watersheds of various types or the addition of the other hydrologk components describing subsurface storages are needed.

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Development and Application of the Catchment Hydrologic Cycle Assessment Tool Considering Urbanization (I) - Model Development - (도시화에 따른 물순환 영향 평가 모형의 개발 및 적용(I) - 모형 개발 -)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Noh, Seong-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study is to develop a catchment hydrologic cycle assessment model which can assess the impact of urban development and designing water cycle improvement facilities. Developed model might contribute to minimize the damage caused by urban development and to establish sustainableurban environments. The existing conceptual lumped models have a potential limitation in their capacity to simulate the hydrologic impacts of land use changes and assess diverse urban design. The distributed physics-based models under active study are data demanding; and much time is required to gather and check input data; and the cost of setting up a simulation and computational demand are required. The Catchment Hydrologic Cycle Assessment Tool (hereinafter the CAT) is a water cycle analysis model based on physical parameters and it has a link-node model structure. The CAT model can assess the characteristics of the short/long-term changes in water cycles before and after urbanization in the catchment. It supports the effective design of water cycle improvement facilities by supplementing the strengths and weaknesses of existing conceptual parameter-based lumped hydrologic models and physical parameter-based distributed hydrologic models. the model was applied to Seolma-cheon catchment, also calibrated and validated using 6 years (2002~2007) hourly streamflow data in Jeonjeokbigyo station, and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies were 0.75 (2002~2004) and 0.89 (2005~2007).

Application of SDAHL-74 Watershed Model to a Long Term Runoff Analysis in the Mountainous Watershed (산지유역에 대한 USDAHL-74 유역수문모형의 장기유출 해석적용)

  • 권순국;고덕구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 1987
  • Due to their wide range of application, deterministic comprehensive hydrologic models using digital computers have been developed in all countries of the world and researches are being undertaken for their appropriate applications. The aim of this study has been to demonstrate the practical implementation of a physically based distributed hydrologic model, the USDAHL-74 model and to investigate its ability to simulate the long term estimate of water balance quantities in a Korean mountainous watershed. Application of the model to Dochuk watershed indicates the following results. 1.Since the USDAHL-74 model includes all the major components of the hydrologic cycle in agricultural watersheds, thus is comprehnsive, the model seems to have a wide range of application from the fact that simulation results obtained are not only runoff volumes m various time units but their spatial variation as well as even soil moisture within the watershed. 2.An approximate calibration to determine the parameter values in the model using various data obtained from D0chuk shed shows that the simulation error of yearly runoff volume is only 0.6 % and a correlation coefficient between observed daily runoff volume and simulated one is 0.91 in all calibrated period.3.As a verification test of the model, runoff volumes are simulated using 1986 year data without changing the parameter values determined by 1985 year data. The tests show that the USDAHL-74 model is a flexible tool and that realistic production to simulate the long term estimate of runoff in Korean mountainous watershed could be obtained using only a short period of calibration.4. Despite of the encouraging results, there still remain minor problems concerning the practical application of the model to improve the result of simulations. Some of these are the small descrepancies between observed and simulated daily runoff volume appeared in the vicinity of peaks and the recession of1 the daily hydrographs and the model performance for the frozen ground and melting process in the model. 5. Alough the use of parameter with physical significance and the ability to improve calibrations on the basis of physical reasoning represents advantages in the simulation for ungaged watersheds, further researches are needed to use the USDAHL-74 mode to simulate runoff in ungaged watersheds.

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Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

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Analysis of Hydrologic Geo-Spatial Information Using Runoff-Management Model (유출관리모형을 활용한 수문학적 공간정보 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Noh, Joon-Woo;Ahn, Jung-Min;Kim, Joo-Cheol
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2009
  • GIS (Geographic Information System) is very useful in describing basin wide geographic characteristics and hydrologic analysis. This study estimated long term hydrologic variations in the Geum river basin using the SSARR rainfall runoff simulation model to provide reliable hydrologic information associated with rainfall runoff management module. Calibrated various hydrologic information such as soil moisture index, water use, direct and base flow are generated using GIS tools to display spatial hydrologic information in the unit of subbasin of target watershed. In addition, the graphic user interface toolkit designed for data compilation is expected to support efficient basin wide rainfall runoff analysis.

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Automatic Calibration for Noncontinuous Observed Data using HSPF-PEST (HSPF-PEST를 이용한 불연속 실측치 자동보정)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Lee, Sae-Bom
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2012
  • Applicability of 8 day interval flow data for the calibration of hydrologic model was evaluated using Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) at Kyungan watershed. The 8 day interval flow monitored by Ministry of Environment located at upstream was calibrated and periodically validated during 2004-2008. And continuous daily flow monitored by Ministry of Construction & Transportation (MOCT) and located at the mouth was compared with daily simulated data during 2004-2007 as spatial validation. Automatic calibration tool which is Model-Independent Parameter Estimation & Uncertainty Analysis (PEST) was applied for HSPF calibration procedure. The model efficiencies for calibration and periodic validation were 0.63 and 0.88, and model performances were fair and very good, respectively, based on criteria of calibration tolerances. Continuous daily stream flow at the mouth of Kyungan watershed were good agreement with observed continuous daily stream flow with showing 0.63 NS value. The PEST program is very useful tool for HSPF hydrologic calibration using non-continuous daily stream flow as well as continuous daily stream flow. The 8 day interval flow data monitored by MOE could be used to calibrate hydrologic model if the continuous daily stream flow is unavailable.

Effects of subbasin spatial scale on runoff simulation using SWAT

  • Tegegne, Getachew;Kim, Youngil;Seo, Seung Beom
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.156-156
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    • 2018
  • The subbasin spatial scale can affect a hydrological simulation result. The objective of this study was to investigate an appropriate subbasin spatial scale for reproducing the different flow phases with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Moreover, this study addressed the total hydrologic model uncertainty using the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method. The hydrologic modelling uncertainty analysis revealed that the courser subbasin spatial scale provided a relatively better coverage of most of the observations by the 95PPU. On the other hand, the finer subbasin spatial scale produced the best single simulation output closer to the observation. Moreover, most of the observed high flows were enveloped by the 95PPU while this did not happen for the low flows. The overall average performance improvement through an appropriate subbasin spatial scale for reproducing the different flow phases in the Yongdam and Gilgelabay watersheds were found to be 36% and 53%, respectively. It is, therefore, a worth that to put more effort in reproducing the different flow phases by investigating an appropriate subbasin spatial scale to improve our understanding about the frequency and magnitude of the different flow phases.

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Development of Hydrologic Simulation Model for the Prediction of Long-Term Runoff from a Small Watershed

  • 고덕구;권순국
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.32 no.E
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    • pp.33-46
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    • 1990
  • Abstract Over 700/0 of the rural land area in Korea is mountainous and small watersheds provide most of the water resources for agricutural use. To provide an appropriate tool for the agricultural water resource development project, SNUA2, a mathematical model for simulating the physical processes governing the precipitation-runoff relationships and predicting the storm and long-term runoff quantities from the small mountainous watersheds was developed. The hydrological characteristics of small mountainous watersheds were reviewed to select appropriate theories for the simulation of the runoff processes, and a deterministic and distributed model was developed. In this, subsurface flows are routed by solving Richard's two dimensional equation, the dynamics of soil moisture contents are simulated by the consideration of phenological factors of canopy plants and surface flows are routed by solving the kinematic wave theory by numerical analysis. As a result of an application test of the model to the Sanglim watershed, peak flow rates of storm runoff were over-estimated by up to 184.2%. The occurence time of peak flow and total runoff volume of storm runoffs simulated were consistent with observed values and the annual runoff volumes were simulated in the error range of less than 5.8%.

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Rainfall-Runoff Analysis using SURR Model in Imjin River Basin

  • Linh, Trinh Ha;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.439-439
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    • 2015
  • The temporal and spatial relationship of the weather elements such as rainfall and temperature is closely linked to the streamflow simulation, especially, to the flood forecasting problems. For the study area, Imjin river basin, which has the specific characteristics in geography with river cross operation between North and South Korea, the meteorological information in the northern area is totally deficiency, lead to the inaccuracy of streamflow estimation. In the paper, this problem is solved by using the combination of global (such as soil moisture content, land use) and local hydrologic components data such as weather data (precipitation, evapotranspiration, humidity, etc.) for the model-driven runoff (surface flow, lateral flow and groundwater flow) data in each subbasin. To compute the streamflow in Imjin river basin, this study is applied the hydrologic model SURR (Sejong Univ. Rainfall-Runoff) which is the continuous rainfall-runoff model used physical foundations, originally based on Storage Function Model (SFM) to simulate the intercourse of the soil properties, weather factors and flow value. The result indicates the spatial variation in the runoff response of the different subbasins influenced by the input data. The dependancy of runoff simulation accuracy depending on the qualities of input data and model parameters is suggested in this study. The southern region with the dense of gauges and the adequate data shows the good results of the simulated discharge. Eventually, the application of SURR model in Imjin riverbasin gives the accurate consequence in simulation, and become the subsequent runoff for prediction in the future process.

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