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한국전쟁의 교훈과 대비 -병력수(兵力數) 및 부대수(部隊數)를 중심으로- (The lesson From Korean War)

  • 윤일영
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권8호
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    • pp.49-168
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    • 2010
  • Just before the Korean War, the total number of the North Korean troops was 198,380, while that of the ROK(Republic of Korea) army troops 105,752. That is, the total number of the ROK army troops at that time was 53.3% of the total number of the North Korean army. As of December 2008, the total number of the North Korean troops is estimated to be 1,190,000, while that of the ROK troops is 655,000, so the ROK army maintains 55.04% of the total number of the North Korean troops. If the ROK army continues to reduce its troops according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the total number of its troops will be 517,000 m 2020. If North Korea maintains the current status(l,190,000 troops), the number of the ROK troops will be 43.4% of the North Korean army. In terms of units, just before the Korean War, the number of the ROK army divisions and regiments was 80% and 44.8% of North Korean army. As of December 2008, North Korea maintains 86 divisions and 69 regiments. Compared to the North Korean army, the ROK army maintains 46 Divisions (53.4% of North Korean army) and 15 regiments (21.3% of North Korean army). If the ROK army continue to reduce the military units according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of ROK army divisions will be 28(13 Active Division, 4 Mobilization Divisions and 11 Local Reserve Divisions), while that of the North Korean army will be 86 in 2020. In that case, the number of divisions of the ROK army will be 32.5% of North Korean army. During the Korean war, North Korea suddenly invaded the Republic of Korea and occupied its capital 3 days after the war began. At that time, the ROK army maintained 80% of army divisions, compared to the North Korean army. The lesson to be learned from this is that, if the ROK army is forced to disperse its divisions because of the simultaneous invasion of North Korea and attack of guerrillas in home front areas, the Republic of Korea can be in a serious military danger, even though it maintains 80% of military divisions of North Korea. If the ROK army promotes the plans in [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of military units of the ROK army will be 32.5% of that of the North Korean army. This ratio is 2.4 times lower than that of the time when the Korean war began, and in this case, 90% of total military power should be placed in the DMZ area. If 90% of military power is placed in the DMZ area, few troops will be left for the defense of home front. In addition, if the ROK army continues to reduce the troops, it can allow North Korea to have asymmetrical superiority in military force and it will eventually exert negative influence on the stability and peace of the Korean peninsular. On the other hand, it should be reminded that, during the Korean War, the Republic of Korea was attacked by North Korea, though it kept 53.3% of troops, compared to North Korea. It should also be reminded that, as of 2008, the ROK army is defending its territory with the troops 55.04% of North Korea. Moreover, the national defense is assisted by 25,120 troops of the US Forces in Korea. In case the total number of the ROK troops falls below 43.4% of the North Korean army, it may cause social unrest about the national security and may lead North Korea's misjudgement. Besides, according to Lanchester strategy, the party with weaker military power (60% compared to the party with stronger military power) has the 4.1% of winning possibility. Therefore, if we consider the fact that the total number of the ROK army troops is 55.04% of that of the North Korean army, the winning possibility of the ROK army is not higher than 4.1%. If the total number of ROK troops is reduced to 43.4% of that of North Korea, the winning possibility will be lower and the military operations will be in critically difficult situation. [Military Reform Plan 2020] rums at the reduction of troops and units of the ground forces under the policy of 'select few'. However, the problem is that the financial support to achieve this goal is not secured. Therefore, the promotion of [Military Reform Plan 2020] may cause the weakening of military defence power in 2020. Some advanced countries such as Japan, UK, Germany, and France have promoted the policy of 'select few'. However, what is to be noted is that the national security situation of those countries is much different from that of Korea. With the collapse of the Soviet Unions and European communist countries, the military threat of those European advanced countries has almost disappeared. In addition, the threats those advanced countries are facing are not wars in national level, but terrorism in international level. To cope with the threats like terrorism, large scaled army trops would not be necessary. So those advanced European countries can promote the policy of 'select few'. In line with this, those European countries put their focuses on the development of military sections that deal with non-military operations and protection from unspecified enemies. That is, those countries are promoting the policy of 'select few', because they found that the policy is suitable for their national security environment. Moreover, since they are pursuing common interest under the European Union(EU) and they can form an allied force under NATO, it is natural that they are pursing the 'select few' policy. At present, NATO maintains the larger number of troops(2,446,000) than Russia(l,027,000) to prepare for the potential threat of Russia. The situation of japan is also much different from that of Korea. As a country composed of islands, its prime military focus is put on the maritime defense. Accordingly, the development of ground force is given secondary focus. The japanese government promotes the policy to develop technology-concentrated small size navy and air-forces, instead of maintaining large-scaled ground force. In addition, because of the 'Peace Constitution' that was enacted just after the end of World War II, japan cannot maintain troops more than 240,000. With the limited number of troops (240,000), japan has no choice but to promote the policy of 'select few'. However, the situation of Korea is much different from the situations of those countries. The Republic of Korea is facing the threat of the North Korean Army that aims at keeping a large-scale military force. In addition, the countries surrounding Korea are also super powers containing strong military forces. Therefore, to cope with the actual threat of present and unspecified threat of future, the importance of maintaining a carefully calculated large-scale military force cannot be denied. Furthermore, when considering the fact that Korea is in a peninsular, the Republic of Korea must take it into consideration the tradition of continental countries' to maintain large-scale military powers. Since the Korean War, the ROK army has developed the technology-force combined military system, maintaining proper number of troops and units and pursuing 'select few' policy at the same time. This has been promoted with the consideration of military situation in the Koran peninsular and the cooperation of ROK-US combined forces. This kind of unique military system that cannot be found in other countries can be said to be an insightful one for the preparation for the actual threat of North Korea and the conflicts between continental countries and maritime countries. In addition, this kind of technology-force combined military system has enabled us to keep peace in Korea. Therefore, it would be desirable to maintain this technology-force combined military system until the reunification of the Korean peninsular. Furthermore, it is to be pointed out that blindly following the 'select few' policy of advanced countries is not a good option, because it is ignoring the military strategic situation of the Korean peninsular. If the Republic of Korea pursues the reduction of troops and units radically without consideration of the threat of North Korea and surrounding countries, it could be a significant strategic mistake. In addition, the ROK army should keep an eye on the fact the European advanced countries and Japan that are not facing direct military threats are spending more defense expenditures than Korea. If the ROK army reduces military power without proper alternatives, it would exert a negative effect on the stable economic development of Korea and peaceful reunification of the Korean peninsular. Therefore, the desirable option would be to focus on the development of quality of forces, maintaining proper size and number of troops and units under the technology-force combined military system. The tableau above shows that the advanced countries like the UK, Germany, Italy, and Austria spend more defense expenditure per person than the Republic of Korea, although they do not face actual military threats, and that they keep achieving better economic progress than the countries that spend less defense expenditure. Therefore, it would be necessary to adopt the merits of the defense systems of those advanced countries. As we have examined, it would be desirable to maintain the current size and number of troops and units, to promote 'select few' policy with increased defense expenditure, and to strengthen the technology-force combined military system. On the basis of firm national security, the Republic of Korea can develop efficient policies for reunification and prosperity, and jump into the status of advanced countries. Therefore, the plans to reduce troops and units in [Military Reform Plan 2020] should be reexamined. If it is difficult for the ROK army to maintain its size of 655,000 troops because of low birth rate, the plans to establish the prompt mobilization force or to adopt drafting system should be considered for the maintenance of proper number of troops and units. From now on, the Republic of Korean government should develop plans to keep peace as well as to prepare unexpected changes in the Korean peninsular. For the achievement of these missions, some options can be considered. The first one is to maintain the same size of military troops and units as North Korea. The second one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea in terms of military force index. The third one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea, with the combination of the prompt mobilization force and the troops in active service under the system of technology-force combined military system. At present, it would be not possible for the ROK army to maintain such a large-size military force as North Korea (1,190,000 troops and 86 units). So it would be rational to maintain almost the same level of military force as North Korea with the combination of the troops on the active list and the prompt mobilization forces. In other words, with the combination of the troops in active service (60%) and the prompt mobilization force (40%), the ROK army should develop the strategies to harmonize technology and forces. The Korean government should also be prepared for the strategic flexibility of USFK, the possibility of American policy change about the location of foreign army, radical unexpected changes in North Korea, the emergence of potential threat, surrounding countries' demand for Korean force for the maintenance of regional stability, and demand for international cooperation against terrorism. For this, it is necessary to develop new approaches toward the proper number and size of troops and units. For instance, to prepare for radical unexpected political or military changes in North Korea, the Republic of Korea should have plans to protect a large number of refugees, to control arms and people, to maintain social security, and to keep orders in North Korea. From the experiences of other countries, it is estimated that 115,000 to 230,000 troops, plus ten thousands of police are required to stabilize the North Korean society, in the case radical unexpected military or political change happens in North Korea. In addition, if the Republic of Korea should perform the release of hostages, control of mass destruction weapons, and suppress the internal wars in North Korea, it should send 460,000 troops to North Korea. Moreover, if the Republic of Korea wants to stop the attack of North Korea and flow of refugees in DMZ area, at least 600,000 troops would be required. In sum, even if the ROK army maintains 600,000 troops, it may need additional 460,000 troops to prepare for unexpected radical changes in North Korea. For this, it is necessary to establish the prompt mobilization force whose size and number are almost the same as the troops in active service. In case the ROK army keeps 650,000 troops, the proper number of the prompt mobilization force would be 460,000 to 500,000.

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인지폐합수요(认知闭合需要), 심리건강화사회인소대충동구매적영향(心理健康和社会因素对冲动购买的影响) (The Impacts of Need for Cognitive Closure, Psychological Wellbeing, and Social Factors on Impulse Purchasing)

  • Lee, Myong-Han;Schellhase, Ralf;Koo, Dong-Mo;Lee, Mi-Jeong
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.44-56
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    • 2009
  • 冲动购买是指一个没有预先购物意向的立即购买. 以往对冲动购买的研究主要集中于和营销组合变量, 环境因素, 消费人口和特征相关的因素. 在以前的研究中, 营销组合变量如产品种类, 产品类型和氛围, 包括广告, 优惠券, 销售活动, 促销刺激销售点, 和媒体格式都已被用于评估产品信息. 有些作者还着重围绕消费者的情境因素. 如信用卡的使用, 时间, 产品运输性, 发现购物同伴的存在和数量对冲动购买/冲动趋势有积极的影响. 研究也已评估了个体特征的影响, 如年龄, 性别, 以及消费者的教育程度, 以及拥挤的感知, 刺激和接触的需要等因素对冲动购买的影响. 概括来说, 以前的研究发现所有的产品都可以被冲动地购买(Vohs and Faber, 2007), 即环境因素可以影响或至少促使冲动购买行为. 最近新的分销渠道的推出, 例如家庭购物渠道, 折扣店和网上商店, 这些24小时都营业的形式增加了冲动购买的可能性. 然而, 以前的文献重点关注情境和营销变量, 因此这些研究所考虑的消费者的主要特征仍然是缺乏的. 为了弥补这个缺陷, 本研究根据研究的第三个惯例并关注个体特质变量, 这些是很少被研究的. 更具体地来说, 本研究探索了冲动购买趋势对冲动购买行为是否有积极的影响, 并评估了消费者特点例如认知闭合需要(NFCC), 心理健康和人际敏感性是如何影响消费者冲动购买的趋势. 这项调查结果显示, 消费者的情感冲动, 对冲动购买行为产生积极的影响, 而认知冲动并没有对冲动购买行为的影响. 此外, 情感冲动购买倾向是被认知闭合需要的构成因素所推动的, 如果断和模糊不适; 心理健康, 如环境控制和生活的目标, 以及规范和信息的影响. 此外, 认知冲动倾向是被认知闭合需要的构成因素所驱动的决断, 模棱两可的不适和密切的态度, 心理健康和环境控制, 以及规范性和信息的影响. 本研究具有重要理论意义. 第一, 情感冲动对冲动购买行为有巨大影响. 以前的研究根据情感和流动理论提出, 低到中等程度的冲动是自我控制减少或自我监管机制失败所造成的. 本研究证实了上述观点. 二, 本研究通过确认冲动购买趋势可以看做是情感和认知两个维度的二维概念, 并说明冲动购买行为主要是由情感冲动解释, 而不是认知冲动. 第三, 目前的研究有新的概念, 如在本研究的模型中作为潜在影响因子的心理健康和认知闭合需要, 从而对现有的文献做出了贡献. 通过多维概念例如心理健康和认知闭合需要, 有关消费者信息过程的多个方面可以被评估. 第五, 本研究通过确定规范和信息这两个竞争路线扩展了现有的文献. 规范影响发生在个人符合别人的期望或提高他们的自我形象时. 而信息的影响发生在个人搜索来自他人知识信息和观察他人行为之后的推论. 本研究显示了这两个相互竞争的社会影响力的路线, 可以归因于不同影响力的来源. 目前的研究也有许多实际的启示. 首先, 它表明, 公司应该更多关注其首要的目标, 有情感冲动的消费者. 这一方面公司可以创造更振奋精神的购物环境. 二, 目前的结果表明, 认知闭合需要与认知方面的冲动有密切相关的. 这些人是被不经意的想法所驱动的, 而不是感觉或兴奋. 在购买点理性的广告会吸引这些客户. 第三, 容易受规范性影响的消费群是另一个潜在的目标市场. 零售商和制造商, 通过宣传其产品和/或可用于识别或符合愿望组在对他人的期望的产品服务. 但是, 作为一个细分市场, 零售商应避免目标消费群易受信息的影响. 这些人对有关购买的产品服务进行了广泛的信息搜索, 因此更详细, 长期理性的广告信息可以内化这些消费者的思想过程. 本文的结果有几个原因应慎重解释. 这项研究采用了数量较少的便利样本, 而且只调查了两个维度的行为. 为此, 今后的研究应包括更多样化特点和衡量行为的不同方面的样本. 未来的研究还应该调查与情感作用理论密切相关的个性特征. 在以后的研究中, 特征变量会是很另人感兴趣的领域, 如感觉的好奇, 人际敏感性的好奇心, 和气氛反应.

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초산모의 분만유형별 분만경험에 대한 지각과 모아상호작용 과정에 관한 연구 (Primiparas만 Perceptions of Their Delivery Experience and Their Maternal-Infant Interaction : Compared According to Delivery Method)

  • 조미영
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.153-173
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    • 1990
  • One of the important tasks for new parents. especially mothers, is to establish warm, mutually affirming interpersonal relationships with the new baby in the family, with the purpose of promoting the healthy development of the child and the wellbeing of the whole family. Nurses assess the quality of the behavioral characteristics of the maternal-infant interaction. This study examined the relationships between primiparas pereptions of their delivery experience and their maternal infant interaction. It compared to delivery experience of mothers having a normal vaginal delivery with those having a casearean section. The purpose was to explore the relationships between the mother's perceptions of her delivery experience with her maternal infant interaction. The aim was to contribute to the development of theoretical understanding on which to base care toward promoting the quality of maternal-infant interaction. Data were collected directly by the investigator and a trained associate from Dec. 1, 1987 to March 8, 1988. Subjects were 3 random sample of 62 mothers, 32 who had a normal vaginal delivery and 30 who had a non-elective cesarean section (but without other perinatal complications) at three general hospitals in Seoul. Instruments used were the Stainton Parent -infant Interaction Scale(1981) and the Marut and Mercer Perception of Birth Scale(1979). The first observations were made in the delivery room (for vaginally delivered mothers only), followed by day 1, day 2, day 3, and 2 weeks, 4 weeks, 6 weeks and 8 weeks after birth, for a total of 7-8 contacts(Cesarean section mothers were observed on days 4 and 5 but the data not used for analysis). Observations in the hospital were made during the hour prior to scheduled feedings. The infant was placed beside the mother. Later contacts were made at home. Data analysis was done by computer using as SPSS program and indulded X² test, paired t-test, t-test, and Pearson Correlation coefficient ; the results were as follows. 1. Mothers who had a normal vaginal delivery tended to perceive the delivery experience more positively than cesarean section mothers(p=0.002). The finding supported the hypothesis I that perception of delivery would vary according to the method of delivery. Mothers' perceptions of birth were classified into three dimensions, labor, delivery and the bady. There was a significantly different and positive perception by the vaginally delivered mothers to the delivery experience(p=0.000) but no differences for labor or the bady according to the delivery method(p=0.096, p=0.389), 2. Mothers who had a normal vaginal delivery had higher average maternal-infant interaction scores(p=0.029) than mothers who had a cesarean section. There were similar higher scores for the 1st day(p=0.042), 2nd day (p=0.009), and the 3rd day(p=0.006) after delivery but not for later times. The findings supported the hypothesis Ⅱ that there would be differences in maternal-infant interaction for mothers having vaginal and cesarean section deliveries. However these differences deccreased section deliveries. However these differences decreased over time . by eight weeks the scores for vaginal delivery mothers averaged 8.1 and for cesarean section mothers, 7.9. 3. The more highly positive the pereption of the delivery experience, the higher the maternal-infant interaction score for all subjects(F=.3206, p=.006). The findings supported the hypothesis Ⅲ that there would be correlations between perceptions of delivery and maternal-infant interaction. The maternal infant interaction was highest when the perception of the bady and deliery was positive(r=.4363, p=.000, r=.2881, p=.012). No correlations between perceptions of labor and maternal-infant interaction were found(p=0.062). 4. The daily maternal-infant interaction score for the initial contact after birth to 8 weeks postpartum had the lowest average score 5.20 and the highest 7.98(in a range of 0-10). This subjects group of mothers needed nursing intervention to promote their maternal- infant interaction. The daily scores for the maternal-infant over the period of eight weeks. However, there were significantly different increases in maternal-infant interaction only from the first to second day(p=0.000) and from the fourth to sixth weeks after birth(P=0.000). 5. When the eight items of maternal-infant interaction were evaluated separately, “Expresses feelings about her role as mother” had the highest average score, 1.64(ina range of 0-3)and “Speaks to baby” the lowest, 0.9. All items, with the possible exception of “Expresses feelings about her role as mother”, suggested the subjects' need of nursing intervention to promote maternal-infant interaction. 6. There were positive correlations between certain general charateristis, namely, both a higher economic status(p=0.002) and breast feeding(p=0.202) and maternal - infant interaction. There were positive correlations between a mother's confidence in her role as a mother and the perception of the birth experience(p=0.004). For mothers who had a cesarean section, a positive perception of the birth experience was related to the duration of her marriage(p=0.010), a wanted pregnancy (P=0.030) and her confidence in her role as a mother(p=0.000). Pereptions of birth for mothers who had a normal vaginal delivery were positive than those for mothers who had a cesarean section. The level of maternalinfant interaction for mothers delivered vaginally was higher than for cesarean section mothers. The relationship between perception of birth and materanalinfant interaction was confirmed. Cesarean section has an impact on the mother's perceived experience of birth which, in turn, is positively related to maternal-infant in turn, is positively related to maternal-infant interaction. Nursing intervention to enhance maternal-infant interaction should begin in prenatal classes with an exploration of the potential impact of cesarean section on the perceptions of the birth experience and continue throughout the perinatal and post-natal periods to promote the mother's ability to control with this crisis experience and to mobilize social support. Nursing should help transform a relatively negatively perceived experience into an accepted, positively perceived and self affirming experience which enhances the maternal-infant relationship.

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일부 농촌주민의 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도 (A Study of the Health Promoting Life Style in Rural Area)

  • 정영옥;김상순
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.133-148
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    • 1995
  • 본 연구는 1995년 4월 1일부터 4월 30일까지 농촌지역인 청도군 각북면에 거주하는 20세에서 59세까지의 성인 1,252명 중 450명을 임의 추출하여 보건요원, 마을건강원, 보건진료원이 설문지로 직접 면담하여 조사한 411명을 대상으로 건강증진 생활양식 수행에 관련되는 여러 요인과의 관계를 분석한 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 지각된 현재의 건강상태는 나쁜 편이 연령이 증가할수록 높게 나타났고 여자군이 높게 나타났다. 건강 증진 생활양식의 문항별 수행정도를 보면 "전혀 수행하진 않음"에 50% 이상 응답한 문항은 "하루에 3번 이상 심호흡"과 "담배 피우지 않음"에서 였으며, 50% 이상이 "항상 수행함"에 응답한 문항은 "하루에 세끼식사를 거르지 않음", "집에서 정성껏 조리한 음식을 섭취한다", "아침식사는 곡 먹음", "내의는 면제품으로 입고 자주 갈아 입음"이었다. 지각된 현재의 건강상태별 건강증진 생활양식의 문항별 수행정도는 건강상태가 좋을수록 수행도가 높았고 "건강문제에 대해서 전문가와 상담"은 나쁜 건강 상태에서 수행정도가 높았다. 성별에 따른 건강증진 생활양식 수행전도는 남자군에서는 "마음을 터놓고 이야기 할 수 있는 친구 있음", "마음이 맞는 사람과 모임을 가짐", "자신감 있는 생활", 자신의 생활(직업)에 만족감을 느낌", "목표를 가지고 생활", "하루에 3번 이상 심호흡", "건강과 관련된 서적이나 신문기사를 관심 있게 읽음", "일주일에 서너번 적어도 20분 동안 활발하게 운동", "정상 체중유지를 위해 노력함" 문항이 높았고, 여자군에서는 "건강문제에 대해 전문가와 상담"과 "술을 과하게 마시지 않음" 문항이 높았다. 연령 다른 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도는 "아침식사는 꼭 먹음", "일찍 자고 일찍 일어남", "적당한 수면을 취함"은 연령이 증가할수록 수행도가 높았고 "취미", "여가선용", "청결", "건강과 관련된 서적 읽음"은 연령이 낮은 중에서 높은 수행도를 나타냈다. 종교유무에 따른 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도는 종교 있는 군이 "하루에 3번 이상 심호흡", "정기적 혈압측정", "건강에 해롭다고 알려진 음식은 먹지 않음", "평소에 바른 자세로 앉거나 걸음" 문항에서 수행도가 높았다. 학력에 다른 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도는, 학력이 높을수록 높았고, 낮은 학력을 가진 근에서는 "일찍 자고 일찍 일어남" 문항의 수행도가 높았다. 결혼 유무에 따른 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도는 미혼군이 "하루에 3번 이상 심호흡", "일주일에 서너번 적어도 20분 동안 활발하게 운동", "가금 자기만의 시간과 생활을 가지면서 여유를 찾음", "나름으로의 긴장과 압박감을 풀 수 있는 방법을 찾으려고 노력함", "활동시 신체 각 부위를 골고루 움직임" 문항에서 수행도가 높았고, 기혼군에서는 "정성껏 조리한 음식 섭취", "하루세끼 식사를 거르지 않음", "일찍 자고 일찍 일어남", 문항의 수행도가 높았다. 가족수에 따른 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도는 "목표를 가지고 생활" 문항은 가족수가 많을수록 수행도가 높았다. 가족 형태에 다른 건강증진 생활양식 수행정도는 핵가족에서 "건강과 관련된 서적이나 신문기사를 관심 있게 읽음", "긍정적인 사고방식으로 생활함", "여가시 좋아하는 취미활동을 함" 문항이 높은 수행도를 나타냈고 대가족에서는 "하루세끼 식사를 거르지 않음"과 "아침식사는 꼭 먹음" 문항이 높은 수행도를 나타냈다. 수행에 영향을 미치는 요인의 다변량분석 결과는 건강상태가 좋을수록, 학력이 높을수록, 나이가 많을수록 수행도가 높았고 결정계수는 14.6%였다.

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도입주체에 따른 인터넷경로의 도입효과 (The Impact of the Internet Channel Introduction Depending on the Ownership of the Internet Channel)

  • 유원상
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2009
  • The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce announced in May 2008 that U.S. retail e-commerce sales for 2006 reached $ 107 billion, up from $ 87 billion in 2005 - an increase of 22 percent. From 2001 to 2006, retail e-sales increased at an average annual growth rate of 25.4 percent. The explosive growth of E-Commerce has caused profound changes in marketing channel relationships and structures in many industries. Despite the great potential implications for both academicians and practitioners, there still exists a great deal of uncertainty about the impact of the Internet channel introduction on distribution channel management. The purpose of this study is to investigate how the ownership of the new Internet channel affects the existing channel members and consumers. To explore the above research questions, this study conducts well-controlled mathematical experiments to isolate the impact of the Internet channel by comparing before and after the Internet channel entry. The model consists of a monopolist manufacturer selling its product through a channel system including one independent physical store before the entry of an Internet store. The addition of the Internet store to this channel system results in a mixed channel comprised of two different types of channels. The new Internet store can be launched by the independent physical store such as Bestbuy. In this case, the physical retailer coordinates the two types of stores to maximize the joint profits from the two stores. The Internet store also can be introduced by an independent Internet retailer such as Amazon. In this case, a retail level competition occurs between the two types of stores. Although the manufacturer sells only one product, consumers view each product-outlet pair as a unique offering. Thus, the introduction of the Internet channel provides two product offerings for consumers. The channel structures analyzed in this study are illustrated in Fig.1. It is assumed that the manufacturer plays as a Stackelberg leader maximizing its own profits with the foresight of the independent retailer's optimal responses as typically assumed in previous analytical channel studies. As a Stackelberg follower, the independent physical retailer or independent Internet retailer maximizes its own profits, conditional on the manufacturer's wholesale price. The price competition between two the independent retailers is assumed to be a Bertrand Nash game. For simplicity, the marginal cost is set at zero, as typically assumed in this type of study. In order to explore the research questions above, this study develops a game theoretic model that possesses the following three key characteristics. First, the model explicitly captures the fact that an Internet channel and a physical store exist in two independent dimensions (one in physical space and the other in cyber space). This enables this model to demonstrate that the effect of adding an Internet store is different from that of adding another physical store. Second, the model reflects the fact that consumers are heterogeneous in their preferences for using a physical store and for using an Internet channel. Third, the model captures the vertical strategic interactions between an upstream manufacturer and a downstream retailer, making it possible to analyze the channel structure issues discussed in this paper. Although numerous previous models capture this vertical dimension of marketing channels, none simultaneously incorporates the three characteristics reflected in this model. The analysis results are summarized in Table 1. When the new Internet channel is introduced by the existing physical retailer and the retailer coordinates both types of stores to maximize the joint profits from the both stores, retail prices increase due to a combination of the coordination of the retail prices and the wider market coverage. The quantity sold does not significantly increase despite the wider market coverage, because the excessively high retail prices alleviate the market coverage effect to a degree. Interestingly, the coordinated total retail profits are lower than the combined retail profits of two competing independent retailers. This implies that when a physical retailer opens an Internet channel, the retailers could be better off managing the two channels separately rather than coordinating them, unless they have the foresight of the manufacturer's pricing behavior. It is also found that the introduction of an Internet channel affects the power balance of the channel. The retail competition is strong when an independent Internet store joins a channel with an independent physical retailer. This implies that each retailer in this structure has weak channel power. Due to intense retail competition, the manufacturer uses its channel power to increase its wholesale price to extract more profits from the total channel profit. However, the retailers cannot increase retail prices accordingly because of the intense retail level competition, leading to lower channel power. In this case, consumer welfare increases due to the wider market coverage and lower retail prices caused by the retail competition. The model employed for this study is not designed to capture all the characteristics of the Internet channel. The theoretical model in this study can also be applied for any stores that are not geographically constrained such as TV home shopping or catalog sales via mail. The reasons the model in this study is names as "Internet" are as follows: first, the most representative example of the stores that are not geographically constrained is the Internet. Second, catalog sales usually determine the target markets using the pre-specified mailing lists. In this aspect, the model used in this study is closer to the Internet than catalog sales. However, it would be a desirable future research direction to mathematically and theoretically distinguish the core differences among the stores that are not geographically constrained. The model is simplified by a set of assumptions to obtain mathematical traceability. First, this study assumes the price is the only strategic tool for competition. In the real world, however, various marketing variables can be used for competition. Therefore, a more realistic model can be designed if a model incorporates other various marketing variables such as service levels or operation costs. Second, this study assumes the market with one monopoly manufacturer. Therefore, the results from this study should be carefully interpreted considering this limitation. Future research could extend this limitation by introducing manufacturer level competition. Finally, some of the results are drawn from the assumption that the monopoly manufacturer is the Stackelberg leader. Although this is a standard assumption among game theoretic studies of this kind, we could gain deeper understanding and generalize our findings beyond this assumption if the model is analyzed by different game rules.

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국제항공운송 승무원이 항공기내에서 사상(死傷)을 당한 경우 법률관계 - 국내외 판례의 분석을 중심으로 - (Legal Issue in Case of Death or Injury of an International Crew While on Board)

  • 김선아
    • 항공우주정책ㆍ법학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.137-168
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    • 2020
  • 여객이 1999년 몬트리올 협약 제17조상 사고로 인정되는 범위 내에서 사상을 당하였을 때 항공운송인은 위 협약을 근거로 손해배상을 받을 수 있다. 항공기에 탑승한 승무원이 같은 사고로 인하여 사상을 당한 경우 몬트리올협약을 배타적으로 적용받는 여객과는 달리 항공사와 체결한 근로 계약상 준거법인 노동법에 의하여 보상받게 된다. 승무원이 근로제공을 위하여 항공기에 탑승하는 것은 근로계약을 근거로 한 것이지 항공여객운송계약을 근거로 하는 것이 아니다. 그러므로 사고로 인하여 항공기에 탑승한 승무원이 사상을 당한 경우, 사용자인 항공사에 대하여 근로계약에 기한 채무불이행 책임을 묻는 경우에는 노동법이, 근로자 또는 유족이 사용자를 상대로 불법행위에 기한 손해배상을 청구하는 경우에는 민법이 적용된다. 이와 관련하여 중국항공사에 근무하는 중국승무원이 대한민국에서 사고를 당하여 사망한 경우 유족이 중국 항공사를 상대로 손해배상을 청구하는 사건에서 불법행위지인 대한민국에서 국제재판관할이 있는지 여부, 이때의 준거법은 법정지법인 대한민국법이 되는지 근로계약의 준거법인 중국법이 적용되는지 대법원 2010. 7. 15. 선고 2010다18355 판결을 통하여 살펴보았다. 또한 서울지방법원 1995.5.18. 선고 94가단14412판결은 비행근무 중 상해를 입은 승무원이 근로기준법상 재해보상, 산업재해보상보험법상 보험급여에 만족하지 않고, 사고에 관하여 책임이 있는 사용자나 제3자를 상대로 불법행위나 채무불이행을 원인으로 한 민사상 손해배상을 청구할 수 있다는 것을 보여준다. 출근 중 기존의 질병으로 인하여 사망한 사건에서는 근로복지공단에서 망인의 사망을 업무상 재해로 인정하지 아니하여 망인의 부모가 유족급여 및 장의비 부지급 처분을 취소하는 소송에서 1심(서울행정법원 2017.8.31. 선고 2016구합 81642 판결)에서는 업무상 재해로 인정되었지만, 항소심(서울고등법원 2018.7.19. 선고 2017누74186 판결)에서 패소하여 고인의 질병 및 업무량에 관한 분석을 통하여 항소심의 판결을 비판하였다. 승무원의 근무 형태는 타 직종과는 다르게 항공기에 탑승하여 이루어지는 것이므로 다른 근무지로 이동하거나 비행근무 종료 후 모기지 또는 체류지로 돌아오기 위하여 비행임무는 수행하지 않으나 비행근무시간의 50%만 인정받는 형태로 항공기에 탑승하는 경우도 발생한다. 여객과 동일하게 간주할 수는 없지만 비행임무를 하지 않는 승무원이 사고로 사상을 당한 경우 근로계약에 기인한 손해배상 청구를 할 것인지 국제항공운송에서 사고발생시 여객에게 적용되는 몬트리올협약이 배타적으로 적용될 지에 관한 논의와 함께 그와 관련된 판례인 In re Mexico City Aircrash of October 31, 1979, 708 F.2d 400 (9th Cir. 1983), Demanes v. United Airlines, 348 F.Supp. 13 (C.D.Cal. 1972), Sulewski v. Federal Express Corp., 749 F.Supp. 506 (S.D.N.Y. 1990)을 검토해 보고 유럽사법재판소(CJEU)에서 Wucher Helicopter GmbH and Euro-Aviation Versicherungs AG v. Fridolin Santer를 통하여 정의한 '여객'의 개념을 명확하게 이해해 보도록 한다.

주택의 조명과 거주자의 면경착용 실태조사연구 (A Study on the Illumination of Household and Research on the Actual Conditions of Wearing Spectacles in Dwellers)

  • 석호작;남철현
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 1991
  • As a result of measuring illumination and making up a question at home visit directly by investigator who trained over twenty days period from October 4 to 24, 1990, in order to render help which illumination problem against house, society against eyes or framing of health instruction potgram by seizing natural lighting actual conditions of house and actual conditions of wearing spectacles and by investigating interrelationship, I can summarize as follows. 1) In property of investigation subject, woman 66.9%, In an age, the twenties was largest of 27.4%, the forties was 20.2%, the fifties was 18.6%, the thirties was 17.4%. In academic career, those of upper secondary school grauates was largest of 28.6%, those who possess university career was 25.9%, those who middle school career was 20.9%, decoding of Korean alphabet was 2%. 2) By a residence area, a big city was 43.3%, farming and fishing villages were 20.3%, the rest was a small town and the administrative office of town, township. In positon of house, the middle area was 43.6%, resident of suburb area was 38.0%. In form of house, a Korean-style house was 40.8%, a western-style house was 34.8%, an apartment house was 11.0%. In the a standard of living, the middle classes 77.2%, the lower classes were 15.3%. In residential house unit of area, from 21 to 30 unit of area was largest of 31.5%, from 10 to 20 unit of area was 19.9%, from 31 to 40 was 18.7%. 3) The wearing spectacles rate of study user was 44.1%. By the area, those who wearing spectacles was more than a half of 50.8% in the resident of big city area. As passing from the farm area to the city, that is being resident of big city was high wearing spectacles rate. In position of house, as being residence in central street showed high wearing spectacles rate. (central street was 51.5%, the middle area was 44.5% and the suburb area was 40.1%.) It seemed similarity difference a variable by position of house from wearing spectacles in standard of 1%. By form of house, wearing spectacles rate those who resident in apartment house was 49.5%, that rate those who resident in a western-style house was high of 49.0%, that rate those who resident in a Korean-style house was the lowest 39.0%. By social position of resident in room, in students case who study showed very high, as university students were very high of 62.3% idn wearing spectacles rate, middle and high school students 'were 50.0%, members of society were 47.6%, workers 20.3%. It seemed similarity difference from academic career in standard of 1%. By an age, the thirties was high of 54.1% in wearing spectacles rate, the twenties was 43.2%, the teenage was the lowest of 11.8%. 4) In illumination of study, over 200Lux was high of 40.1%. but below 99Lux which inappropriate illumination to see the books was 32.4%. Average by area, below 99Lux was 22.7% and over 400Lux was 50.0% in case of wooden floor. As examine by area, below 99Lux was high of 27.0% a case of wooden floor in the big city area, it was not good in illumination passing from the farm area(15.0%) to the city(19.0%). Average illlumination by area of the main living room below 99Lux was high of 37.5%, less than 200Lux was 58.5% of whole. In general, illumination of the main livingroom was inappropriate. By area, the big city was 32.5% below 99Lux, the middle and small city area were 33.8%, town and township area were 45.0%, farming and fishing area were 42.8%. By area, in the big city, illumination of study was 52.5% over 200Lux and 28.9% below 99Lux. In case of the middle and small city, study user of below 99Lux was 38.8% and over 200Lux was 46.9%. In case of the seat of town township, below 99Lux was 34.1% and over 200Lux was 39.7%. In case of farming and fishing area, illumination of study was 33.4% below 99Lux and 48.4% over 200Lux. It tends to high rate of inappropriate illumination. 5) By position of house, in case of wooden floor, less than 100Lux was 24.5% in central street. It was bad illumination than others position of house. In case of the main livingroom, less than 100Lux was 40.4% in the suburb area. It was bad iliumnation than others position of house. In case of study, less than 100Lux was 35.4% in the middle area, it was worse in illumination. In case of the main living room, is seemed similarity difference in standard of 1%. 6) By form of house, in case of wooden floor, illumination of less than 100Lux was 23.8% in a western-style house, it was bad illumination than others form of house. In case of the main livingroom, illumination of less than 100Lux was 47.4% in a Korean-style house, it was remarkably bad illumination than others form of house. In case of study, a Korean-style house was 38.8%, it was very bad illumination than others form of house. In case of the main livingroom and study, it seemed similatrity difference each as P < 0.01 and P < 0.05 in standard of 1%. 7) The wearing spectacles rate of those who use room of illumination over 400Lux was 40.7%, and that of those who use room of illumination less than 100Lux was 28.1%. It seemed similarity differecce in standard of 1%. 8) In period of wearing spectacles, 21.3% of total investigator-highest-was from before five years, 8.6% was from before three years. Among those who use of illumintion less than 99Lux, 34.0% began to wear spectacles from before two years 31.7% was from before five years, 30.3% was from before four years. It seemed similarity difference from period of wearing spectacles by illumination in standard of 1 %. 9) Among cause which sight grow worse, the first was that it was each 33.2% and 27.4% in response rate because watch TV nearly to wearing spectacles person and non-wearing person. The second was that a lot of seeing books was 25.3% in wearing spectacles person and response rate for dark illumination was 7.4% in nonwearing spectacles person. It seemed similarity difference in standard of 1%. (P < 0.01). 10) In experience which take medicine good for eyes, it was 50.1% in wearing spectacles person and 8.5% in non-wearing spectacles person. It seemed similarity difference in standard of 1%(P < 0.01). As we have seen above, inappropriate illumination can be a cause of wearing spectacles. Nevertheless, actually, is realities to indifferent against illumination of house. So it must learn knowledge about health obstacle of illumination through society instruction and school eduction against students as well as general residents. In case that natural lighting is inappropriate structural of house, we must be able to maintain appropriate illumination through artificial illumination. And so eyes which is core of human life have to be protected, related the authorities, related group, and all health medical personnel will organically cooperate with and make efforts.

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재래식 간장 및 된장 제조가 대두 단백질의 영양가에 미치는 영향 제2보 메주장의 숙성중에 일어나는 성분 변화 (The Effect of Korean Soysauce and Soypaste Making on Soybean Protein Quality Part II. Chemical Changes During Meju-brine Ripening)

  • 이철호
    • 한국식품과학회지
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 1976
  • 실험실에서 제조된 메주와 한국에서 보내온 재래식가정 메주와 개량메주를 사용하여 장을 담그고 8개월동안의 숙성(장담금)기간중 일어나는 화학성분변화를 검토하였고 메주 종류에 의한 차이를 비교하였다. 또한 분석된 아미노산 조성에 의거하여 과정에 일어나는 대두단백질의 영양가 변화를 추정하였다. 8개월간의 숙성기간중 일반 화학조성의 변화는 거의 일어나지 않았으나 수용성 질소율은 메주의 $13{\sim}29%$에서 $66{\sim}78%$로 증가되었다. 유리아미노태 질소율은 메주의 $4{\sim}7%$에서 8개월 숙성후 $29{\sim}35%$로 증가되었으며 암모니아태 질소율은 $1{\sim}4%$에서 $5{\sim}14%$로 증가되었다. 메주장 숙성중에 일어나는 이들 질소화합물의 성분변화는 사용된 메주의 종류에 크게 의존하였다. 숙성중 메주의 아미노산 조성도 크게 변화되었으며, 특히 methionine은 숙성 1개월동안 급격히 감소하여 원래 농도의 거의 1/2에 달하게되며 그후 숙성 7개월동안 농도의 변화가 없었다. Arginine 과 histidine 은 숙성 1개월이 지난 후부터 나머지 7개월 동안 급격히 파괴되었다. 한편 메주제조 과정까지는 거의 존재가 없던 ornithine 이 숙성과정중에 상당량이 합성되었다. 대체적으로 숙성 3개월동안은 아미노산 조성의 전반적인 큰 변화가 일어나지 않았으며, 이들 변화는 사용된 메주의 종류에 따라 큰 차이를 보였다. 3개월된 실험실 메주로 8개월 장담금을 하였을 경우 대두중의 영양가 수율은 탄수화물이 99%, 조지방이 107%, 조단백질이 93%, 총 아미노산이 74%였다. Histidine, arginine 및 methionine은 과정중 가장 심한 손상을 보였으며 회수율은 각각 25, 27, 및 49%였다. 한편 lysine회수율은 79%였다. 장 걸름 과정 즉, 간장과 된장의 분리과정에 의하여 메주장중에 함유된 약 60%의 조단백질, 거의 모든 조지방 및 80%의 탄수화물이 된장에 남아 있었다. 또한 된장은 lysine을 제외한 모든 아미노산의 농도(16g 중)가 간장보다 높았다. 대두 및 메주를 포함한 모든 시험장류의 제한 아미노산은 methionine 과 cystine 등 유황을 함유하는 아미노산이었으며 제2제한 아미노산은 원류대두에서 valine, 메주와 대부분의 메주장에서 threonine, 된장에서 lysine 그리고 대부분의 간장에서는 tryptophan 으로 나타났다. FAO 표준 아미노산 조성을 기준으로 한 원료 대두 단백질의 단백가(chemical score)는 82 였으며 이것은 대두의 삶음과정에서 77로 저하되었으며 메주발효과정에서 $71{\sim}74$로 다시 저하되었다. 재래식 가정메주의 단백가는 실험실 메주의 그것보다 낮았으며 개량메주는 실험실 메주보다 높은 단백가를 나타내었다. 메주장의 8개월 숙성후 단백가는 $51{\sim}66$으로 상당히 떨어졌으며 분리에 의하여 된장의 단백가는 $60{\sim}71$로, 간장은$45{\sim}57$의 단백가를 갖게되었다. 일반적으로 개량메주로 만든 장들이 높은 단백가를 가졌으며 가정 메주로 만든 장들은 가장 낮은 단백가를 나타내었다. 계란 단백질 조성을 기준으로한 필수 아미노산지수(EAAI)는 단백가(chemical score)와 유사한 수치를 나타내었다. 그리고 이 필수 아미노산지수는 검체단백질중의 아미노산조성의 전반적인 변화를 단백가보다 더 근사하게 나타내었다.

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원인 없는 열로 입원한 생후 28일에서 90일 사이 영아들에 대한 임상적 고찰 (A Clinical Study of Hospitalized Infants 28 to 90 Days of Age with Fever without Source)

  • 류민혁;노윤일;이성훈;이선영;허남진;이동진
    • Pediatric Infection and Vaccine
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.191-198
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    • 2001
  • 목 적 : 최근 3개월 이하의 열이 나는 영아에서 특정 임상 경과나 검사실 소견으로 확인된 일부의 환자들은 심각한 세균 감염에 대해 저위험군에 속하며 이들은 외래 치료가 가능할 수도 있다고 한다. 본원 소아과에서는 원인 없이 열이 나는 생후 28일에서 90일 사이의 어린 영아들은 패혈증 의심하에 입원하여 세균성 원인이 아니라는 것이 밝혀질 때까지는 항생제를 투여하였다. 지난 1년 동안 원인 없이 열이 나서 입원 치료한 이 연령군의 영아들을 임상적으로 분석하여 앞으로 치료 방향에 도움을 얻고자 본 연구를 시행하였다. 방 법 : 2000년 1월부터 2000년 12월까지 울산동강병원 소아과에 원인 없이 열이 나서(직장 체온${\geq}38^{\circ}C$) 패혈증 의심하에 입원 치료하였던 131례를 대상으로 성별분포, 계절분포, 원인질환, 발열기간 등을 후향적으로 검토하였다. 또한, 심각한 세균감염증에 대한 저위험군의 환아를 식별하기 위해 흔히 사용되는 기준인 개선된 Rochester criteria를 이용하여 대상환아들을 분석하였다. 결 과 : 대상 환아 131례 중 요로감염이 60례(45.8%)로서 가장 많았고, 무균성 뇌막염이 33례(25.2%), 균혈증 2례(1.5%), 특별한 진단명을 붙일 수 없는 예가 36례(27.5%)였다. 균혈증 2례의 원인균은 Staphylococcus aureus였다. Rochester criteria의 저위험군에 속하는 예가 57례(43.5%), 그렇지 않은 군에 속하는 예가 74례(56.5%)였으며, 요로감염은 저위험군, 그렇지 않은 군은 각각 43.8%, 47.3%, 무균성 뇌막염이 각각 28.1%, 23.0%, 특별한 진단명을 붙일 수 없는 예가 각각 28.1%, 27.0%로서 두 군간의 차이가 없어 Rochester criteria가 본 연구대상 환아들에게는 이들 질환을 구별할 수 있다는 결론을 얻지 못했다. 2례의 균혈증은 모두 저위험군이 아닌 군에 속해 있었다. 남아 85례, 여아 46례로서 남녀비가 1.8 : 1이였고, Rochester criteria에 의한 저위험군과 그렇지 않은 군의 남녀비는 1.9 : 1, 1.8 : 1오서 두 군간의 차이는 없었다. 봄철과 여름철에 각각 35.1%, 36.7% 발생하여 대다수를 차지하였고 무균성 뇌막염은 봄철 16례(48.5%), 여름철 13례(39.4%), 겨울철 4례(12.1%) 발생하였는데, 봄철에 발생한 환아 중 12례는 5월에, 여름철에 발생한 13례 중 12례는 6월에 발생하여 5월과 6월에 대부분 발생하였다. 항생제 투여 후 발열이 소실되는 기간이 48시간 이내에 61.8%, 72시간 이내가 83.2%로서 48~72시간 이내에 대부분의 열이 소실되었으며, Rochester criteria에 의한 저위험군과 그렇지 않은 군의 비교시 48시간 이내가 각각 54.4%, 67.6%, 72시간 이내가 각각 78.9%, 86.5%로서 두군간의 차이는 없었다. 결 론 : 생후 28일에서 90일 사이의 원인 없이 열이 나는 어린 영아는 철저한 이학적 검사와 검사실 소견으로 저위험군에 속하는 경우 보호자가 잘 돌볼 능력이 있고 의사와 연락이 잘 되는 경우 외래 치료가 가능하겠으며, 소변 배양 검사는 채뇨백보다는 도뇨관 채뇨법이나 방광 천자로서 채취한 소변으로 검사를 실시해야 하겠다. 향후 좀 더 바람직한 치료방침을 정하기 위해서 전향적인 연구가 꼭 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

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도농복합지역 기혼여성들의 출산과 성 선호에 대한 인식 및 관련요인 (Perceptions of Married Women on Childbirth and Sex Preference and Related Factors in Gyeongju, Korea)

  • 염석헌;강복수;김창윤;이경수;황태윤;황인섭
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.260-273
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    • 2010
  • 이 연구는 경상북도 경주지역의 20세 이상 기혼 여성들을 대상으로 결혼관, 자녀 출산 관, 저 출산에 대한 인식과 성선호도 및 성비 불균형에 대한 인식도를 분석하고, 성선별 강요 경험률과 남아 출산에 대한 강요와 인위적 성선별 출산 의도와의 관련성 및 저 출산과 성 선호와 관련된 요인을 분석하고자 시행하였다. 경주시의 25개 읍 면 동 중 도시지역과 농촌지역 각각 4개 동과 5개 읍.면지역을 임의로 추출한 453명의 연구대상자를 대상으로 2005년 12월부터 2006년 2월까지 조사를 시행하였으며, 392명에 대하여 조사를 완료하였으며 이 중 불완전한 설문조사를 제외한 348명을 대상으로 분석하였다. 결혼에 대한 인식의 경우 연령과 유의한 관련성이 있었는데(p<0.01), 연령이 높을수록 결혼은 '반드시 해야 한다'라고 응답한 비율이 높아졌다. 자녀 출산에 관한 인식은 연령(p<0.01), 거주 지역(p<0.01), 그리고 교육수준(p<0.05)과 유의한 관련성이 있었다. 자녀의 수의 제한 없다는 가정 하에 아들 또는 딸에 대한 성 선호에 대한 응답은 연령(p<0.05) 및 직업 유무(p<0.01)와 유의한 관련성이 있었다. 이상적인 자녀의 수로는 49세 이하는 '2명'이 34.8%로 가장 많았고, 50-69세 군과 70세 이상군에서는 '4명'이 각각 35.4%, 33.7%였다. 출생성비 불균형에 대한 인식은 경제상태(p<0.01) 및 직업 유무(p<0.01)와 유의한 관련성이 있었다. 저 출산 원인의 경우 모든 연령군에서 '경제적 부담'이 가장 중요한 요인으로 생각하였다. 자녀가 한명일 경우의 남아 선호 여부를 종속변수로 하여 49세 이하의 군과 50-69세, 70세 이상의 군으로 구분하여 다중 로지스틱 회귀분석을 시행한 결과, 49세 이하에서는 주관적 경제상태(p<0.01)와 거주 지역(p<0.05)이 유의한 영향을 미치는 변수였으며, 50-69세에서는 교육수준(p<0.05), 거주 지역(p<0.01)이 유의한 영향을 미치는 변수였으나, 70세 이상에서는 유의한 영향을 미치는 변수가 없었다. 출산순위가 낮은 출생아의 성선별에 대한 홍보와 더불어 소 자녀관을 개선시키는 것을 국가 정책과 홍보의 우선과제로 하는 것이 필요하고, 직장생활과 결혼, 출산 등을 연계하여 인식하고 있고, 사회활동을 통한 개인의 성취를 중요하게 생각하는 경향이 가속화 될 것이 때문에 결혼과 자녀의 출산 등이 직장생활에 장애요인으로 작용하지 않도록 하는 정책과 사회적 배려가 필요한 것이다.