• Title/Summary/Keyword: History-based modeling

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Refining and Validating a Two-stage and Web-based Cancer Risk Assessment Tool for Village Doctors in China

  • Shen, Xing-Rong;Chai, Jing;Feng, Rui;Liu, Tong-Zhu;Tong, Gui-Xian;Cheng, Jing;Li, Kai-Chun;Xie, Shao-Yu;Shi, Yong;Wang, De-Bin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.24
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    • pp.10683-10690
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    • 2015
  • The big gap between efficacy of population level prevention and expectations due to heterogeneity and complexity of cancer etiologic factors calls for selective yet personalized interventions based on effective risk assessment. This paper documents our research protocol aimed at refining and validating a two-stage and web-based cancer risk assessment tool, from a tentative one in use by an ongoing project, capable of identifying individuals at elevated risk for one or more types of the 80% leading cancers in rural China with adequate sensitivity and specificity and featuring low cost, easy application and cultural and technical sensitivity for farmers and village doctors. The protocol adopted a modified population-based case control design using 72, 000 non-patients as controls, 2, 200 cancer patients as cases, and another 600 patients as cases for external validation. Factors taken into account comprised 8 domains including diet and nutrition, risk behaviors, family history, precancerous diseases, related medical procedures, exposure to environment hazards, mood and feelings, physical activities and anthropologic and biologic factors. Modeling stresses explored various methodologies like empirical analysis, logistic regression, neuro-network analysis, decision theory and both internal and external validation using concordance statistics, predictive values, etc..

An Online Review Mining Approach to a Recommendation System (고객 온라인 구매후기를 활용한 추천시스템 개발 및 적용)

  • Cho, Seung-Yean;Choi, Jee-Eun;Lee, Kyu-Hyun;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.95-111
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    • 2015
  • The recommendation system automatically provides the predicted items which are expected to be purchased by analyzing the previous customer behaviors. This recommendation system has been applied to many e-commerce businesses, and it is generating positive effects on user convenience as well as the company's revenue. However, there are several limitations of the existing recommendation systems. They do not reflect specific criteria for evaluating products or the factors that affect customer buying decisions. Thus, our research proposes a collaborative recommendation model algorithm that utilizes each customer's online product reviews. This study deploys topic modeling method for customer opinion mining. Also, it adopts a kernel-based machine learning concept by selecting kernels explaining individual similarities in accordance with customers' purchase history and online reviews. Our study further applies a multiple kernel learning algorithm to integrate the kernelsinto a combined model for predicting the product ratings, and it verifies its validity with a data set (including purchased item, product rating, and online review) of BestBuy, an online consumer electronics store. This study theoretically implicates by suggesting a new method for the online recommendation system, i.e., a collaborative recommendation method using topic modeling and kernel-based learning.

A Method of Developing a Ground Layer with Risk of Ground Subsidence based on the 3D Ground Modeling (3차원 지반모델링 기반의 지반함몰 위험 지반 레이어 개발 방법)

  • Kang, Junggoo;Kang, Jaemo;Parh, Junhwan;Mun, Duhwan
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.22 no.12
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2021
  • The deterioration of underground facilities, disturbance of the ground due to underground development activities, and changes in ground water can cause ground subsidence accidents in the urban areas. The investigation on the geotechnical and hydraulic factors affecting the ground subsidence accident is very significant to predict the ground subsidence risk in advance. In this study, an analysis DB was constructed through 3D ground modeling to utilize the currently operating geotechnical survey information DB and ground water behavior information for risk prediction. Additionally, using these results, the relationship between the actual ground subsidence occurrence history and ground conditions and ground water level changes was confirmed. Furthermore, the methodology used to visualize the risk of ground subsidence was presented by reconstructing the engineering characteristics of the soil presented according to the Unified Soil Classification System (USCS) in the existing geotechnical survey information into the internal erosion sensitivity of the soil, Based on the result, it was confirmed that the ground in the area where the ground subsidence occurred consists of more than 40% of sand (SM, SC, SP, SW) vulnerable to internal erosion. In addition, the effect of the occurrence frequency of ground subsidence due to the change in ground water level is also confirmed.

Analysis of High School Students' Conceptual Change in Model-Based Instruction for Blood Circulation (혈액 순환 모형 기반 수업에서 고등학생들의 개념 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Kim, Heui-Baik
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.379-393
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this article is to analyze the conceptual change of nine 11th graders after implementing the model-based instruction of blood circulation by multidimensional framework, and to find some implications about teaching strategies for improving conceptual understanding. The model-based instruction consisted of 4 periods: (1) introduction for inducing students' interests using an episode in the science history of blood circulation, (2) vivisectional experiment on rats, (3) visual-linguistic model instruction using the videotape of heartbeat, and (4) modeling activity on the path of blood flow. Based on the data from pre-test, post-test and interviews, we classified students' models on the path of blood flow, and investigated their ontological features and the conceptual status of blood circulation. Most students could describe the path of blood flow and the changes of substances in blood precisely after the instructions. However, the modeling activity were not sufficient to improve students' understanding of the mechanisms of the blood distribution throughout various organs and the material exchanges between blood and tissues. From the interview of 9 students, we acquired informative results about conceptual status elements that were helpful to, preventing from, or not used for students' understanding. It was also found that conceptual status of students depended on the ontological categories into which students' conceptions of blood circulation fell. The results of this study can help design the effective teaching strategy for the understanding of concept of the equilibrium category.

Efficient Filtering Method for RFID Data Streams (RFID 데이터 스트림의 효율적인 필터링 기법)

  • Yun, Hong-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2007
  • Radio Frequency Identification(RFID) technology is set to play an essential role in object tracking or supply chain management systems. New challenges for RFID data management are needed in the RFID applications. RFID data are generated quickly and automatically, and can be used for object tracking, or for real-time monitoring. These applications are mostly associated with the timestamps when the events happen. In this paper, we propose a temporal RFID data model to maintain the history of events and state changes and to monitor the states of RFID objects. Also we propose data filtering method of non active data based on temporal RFID data model. This data model involves essential basic operations for RFID data. We show increased query performance through the data filtering method of non active data.

A Recently Improved Approach to Develop Effective Emission Inventory for Air Quality Planning in US (미국의 대기질 관리계획 수립 시 활용성 강화를 위한 배출량 목록 산정에 대한 최근 접근 방안)

  • Kim, Byeong-Uk;Kim, Hyun Cheol;Kim, Soontae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.342-355
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    • 2018
  • Emission inventory (EI) is often recognized as a foundational pillar for air quality planning. In this manuscript, we reviewed national emission inventory (NEI) development processes in United States(US) and made recommendations for South Korean emission inventory development for the future. First, we examined history of emission inventory development in US while focusing on what has been success and failure. We noticed that, in general, emission reductions led to air pollution abatement although efficacy of same degree of reduction may not result in similar air quality improvement. Second, we described conventional approaches of developing NEI and differences between NEI and EI for State Implementation Plan which is required for air quality management in US. Last, we analyzed how US Environmental Protection Agency and counterpart agencies in states came up with a new plan for the next major regulatory modeling project. Based on our analysis, we conclude that early and steady participation of local governments will lead to effective and efficient emission inventory development and, in turn, will result in successful air quality planning that is necessary for actual air quality improvement.

Development of Distributed Interactive Stochastic Combat Simulation (DISCSIM) Model

  • Hong, Yoon-Gee;Kwon, Soon-Jong
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 1999
  • A number of combat simulation models are scattered and the analytic solution approaches have experienced very difficult computational efforts. Today´s computer communication technology let people to do many unrealistic things possible and the use of those technologies is becoming increasingly prevalent throughout the military operation. Both DIS and ADS are welled defined computer aided military simulations. This study discusses a simulation of stochastic combat network modeling through Internet space. We have developed two separate simulation models, one for clients and another for server, and validated for conducting studies with these models. The object-oriented design was necessary to define the system entities and their relationship, to partition functionality into system entities, and to transform functional metrics into realizations derived from system component behaviors. Heterogeneous forces for each side are assumed at any battle node. The time trajectories for mean number of survivors and combat history at each node, some important combat measures, and relative difference computations between models were made. We observe and may conclude that the differences exit and some of these are significant based on a limited number of experiments.

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Dynamic Model Development and Simulation of Crawler Type Excavator (크롤러형 굴삭기의 동역학적 모델 개발 및 시뮬레이션)

  • Kwon, Soon-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.642-651
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    • 2009
  • The history of excavator design is not long enough which still causes most of the design considerations to be focused on static analysis or simple functional improvement based on static analysis. However, the real forces experiencing on each component of excavator are highly transient and impulsive. Therefore, the prediction and the evaluation of the movement of the excavator by dynamic load in the early design stage through the dynamic transient analysis of the excavator and ensuring of design technique plays an importance role to reduce development-cost, shorten product-deliver, decrease vehicle-weight and optimize the system design. In this paper, Commercial software DADS and ANSYS help to develop the track model of the crawler type excavator, and to evaluate the performance and the dynamic characteristics of excavator with various simulations. For that reason, the track of crawler type excavator is modelled with DADS Track Vehicle Superelement, and the reaction forces on the track rollers were predicted through the driving simulation. Also, the upper frame and cabin vibration characteristics, at the low RPM idle state, were evaluated with engine rigid body modelling. And flexibility body effects were considered to determine the more accurate joint reaction forces and accelerations under the upper frame swing motion.

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Performance Estimation for Shipboard Directional Pedestal by Using M&S Methodologies (M&S기법을 활용한 선박용 지향성 요동보상장치 성능 분석)

  • Lee, Sungkyun;Go, Jinyong;Han, Yongsu;Kim, Changhwan
    • IEMEK Journal of Embedded Systems and Applications
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.297-303
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the tasks assigned to surface ship are becoming diverse and important. In this trend, shipboard directional pedestals are widely used for surveillance and electronic warfare because ships are always under angular motion such as rolling, pitching and yawing. To estimate the performance of pedestal, the motion responses of vessel as well as mechanical characteristics of pedestal should be considered. In this study, both the motion responses of vessel which the pedestal will be mounted and the behavior of 3-axis pedestal are considered. Numerical analysis based on potential theory is used to obtained motion characteristics of vessel and then 6-DOF motions of vessel are simulated under operational condition. 1st-order time delay model and LQR control algorithm are used for modeling of pedestal drive model and control model, respectively. By using coordinate transform, the angular motions which the pedestal should compensate are calculated from the vessel's angular motion. Through these M&S methodologies, time history of pedestal behavior and maximum angular error of each pedestal axis are obtained. Overall M&S results show that 3-axis pedestal compensate the angular motion induced by vessel, efficiently.

Nonlinear analysis of stability of rock wedges in the abutments of an arch dam due to seismic loading

  • Mostafaei, Hasan;Behnamfar, Farhad;Alembagheri, Mohammad
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.295-317
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    • 2020
  • Investigation of the stability of arch dam abutments is one of the most important aspects in the analysis of this type of dams. To this end, the Bakhtiari dam, a doubly curved arch dam having six wedges at each of its abutments, is selected. The seismic safety of dam abutments is studied through time history analysis using the design-based earthquake (DBE) and maximum credible earthquake (MCE) hazard levels. Londe limit equilibrium method is used to calculate the stability of wedges in abutments. The thrust forces are obtained using ABAQUS, and stability of wedges is calculated using the code written within MATLAB. Effects of foundation flexibility, grout curtain performance, vertical component of earthquake, nonlinear behavior of materials, and geometrical nonlinearity on the safety factor of the abutments are scrutinized. The results show that the grout curtain performance is the main affecting factor on the stability of the abutments, while nonlinear behavior of the materials is the least affecting factor amongst others. Also, it is resulted that increasing number of the contraction joints can improve the seismic stability of dam. A cap is observed on the number of joints, above which the safety factor does not change incredibly.