• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazus

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Development of seismic fragility curves for high-speed railway system using earthquake case histories

  • Yang, Seunghoon;Kwak, Dongyoup;Kishida, Tadahiro
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2020
  • Investigating damage potential of the railway infrastructure requires either large amount of case histories or in-depth numerical analyses, or both for which large amounts of effort and time are necessary to accomplish thoroughly. Rather than performing comprehensive studies for each damage case, in this study we collect and analyze a case history of the high-speed railway system damaged by the 2004 M6.6 Niigata Chuetsu earthquake for the development of the seismic fragility curve. The development processes are: 1) slice the railway system as 200 m segments and assigned damage levels and intensity measures (IMs) to each segment; 2) calculate probability of damage for a given IM; 3) estimate fragility curves using the maximum likelihood estimation regression method. Among IMs considered for fragility curves, spectral acceleration at 3 second period has the most prediction power for the probability of damage occurrence. Also, viaduct-type structure provides less scattered probability data points resulting in the best-fitted fragility curve, but for the tunnel-type structure data are poorly scattered for which fragility curve fitted is not meaningful. For validation purpose fragility curves developed are applied to the 2016 M7.0 Kumamoto earthquake case history by which another high-speed railway system was damaged. The number of actual damaged segments by the 2016 event is 25, and the number of equivalent damaged segments predicted using fragility curve is 22.21. Both numbers are very similar indicating that the developed fragility curve fits well to the Kumamoto region. Comparing with railway fragility curves from HAZUS, we found that HAZUS fragility curves are more conservative.

Earthquake Direct Economic Loss Estimation of Building Structures in Gangnam-Gu District in Seoul Using HAZUS Framework (HAZUS틀을 사용한 서울시 강남구의 건축물 지진피해에 따른 직접적 경제손실 예측)

  • Jeong, Gi Hyun;Lee, Han Seon;Kwon, Oh-Sung;Hwang, Kyung Ran
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.391-400
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    • 2016
  • For earthquake loss estimation of building structures in Gangnam-Gu district in Seoul, three scenario earthquakes were selected by comparison of the response spectra of these scenario earthquakes with the design spectrum in Korean Building Code (KBC 2009), and then direct losses of the building structures in the Gangnam-Gu district under each scenario earthquake are estimated. The following conclusions are drawn from the results of damage and loss in the second scenario earthquake, which has a magnitude = 6.5 and epicentral distance =15 km: (1) The ratio of building stocks undergoing the extensive and complete damage level is 40.0% of the total. (2) The amount of direct economic losses appears approximately 19 trillion won, which is 1.2% of the national GDP of Korea. (3) About 25% of high-rise (over 10-story) RC building wall structures, were inflicted with the damage exceeding moderate level, when compared to 60% of low-rise building structures. (4) From the economical view point, the main loss, approximately 50%, was caused by the damage in the high-rise RC wall building structures.

Earthquake Loss Estimation of Buried Pipeline Considering Permanent Ground Deformation due to Liquefaction (액상화.영구지반변형을 고려한 지중매설관로의 지진피해 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Wook;Lim, Yun-Mook;Kim, Moon-Kyum
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2005.03a
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2005
  • In this study, a prototype model of earthquake loss estimation method will be proposed for the quantitative and qualitative damage evaluation of buried pipeline subjected to Permanent Ground Deformation(PGD) due to liquefaction. With this objective, domestic and foreign status of the arts related with earthquake loss estimation method is summarized at first. Domestic development of computer aided earthquake loss estimation method seems to be difficult for the time being. Thus, referring to HAZUS : Earthquake Loss Estimation Methodology which is developed by FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) and NIBS (National Institute of Building Sciences), earthquake loss estimation procedure of buried pipeline subjected to PGD due to liquefaction are proposed, and then exemplary loss estimation are executed. Considering that there have been no practical earthquake loss estimation method and procedure in Korea, the research accomplishments such as above are considered to be helpful for the substantial development of earthquake loss estimation method of buried pipeline subjected to PGD due to liquefaction.

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Development of Automatic Conversion Tool for Establishing Inventory Database Exposed to Natural Disaster (자연재난 위험 인벤토리 데이터베이스 구축을 위한 자동변환 툴 개발)

  • Kim, Gilho;Kim, Kyungtak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.403-403
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    • 2020
  • 국외에서 잘 알려진 Hazus-MH, RiskScape와 같은 자연재난 리스크 모델은 위험지역 내 노출된 자산과 인구의 공간적 분포 및 그 특성을 설명하는 지형공간자료 형태의 자산정보(인벤토리)를 필요로 한다. 본 연구는 이러한 자연재난 리스크 모델 운용에 필요한 건물, 인구, 농업, 차량 인벤토리 데이터 구조를 국내에서 가용가능한 자료를 기반으로 설계하고, 이들을 연계, 변환하기 위한 툴을 개발하였다. 본 연구에서 개발된 자동변환 툴은 오픈소스로 제공되는 QGIS를 기반으로 하였고, 개발 툴을 이용하여 2018년 말 기준의 인벤토리를 전국에 대해 구축하였다. 본 연구의 성과는 현재 시범운용 중인 행정안전부 풍수해 피해예측시스템을 비롯한 자연재난 리스크 모델링 과정에 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

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Conceptual Design of Damage Assessment Inventory in Response to Disaster Risk for Infrastructures Close to River (수변구조물 재해 위험에 대응하기 위한 피해 평가 인벤토리 개념 설계)

  • Jo, Yun-Won;Choi, Hyeoung-Wook;Choi, Soo-Young;Jo, Myung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.144-158
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    • 2014
  • This research presented a conceptual design of damage assessment inventory for efficient response to natural disaster damage of infrastructure close to the river. It consists of classification and categorization of facilities for accomplishing the conceptual design of inventory for damage of infrastructure close to the river. However, there are arising problems of efficient management on disaster, such as poor management of data facilities and constructions which is managed by the different types of government departments. Therefore, this research presented conceptual models of damage assessment inventory on risks of damage infrastructure close to the river using the United states' HAZUS-MH to analyze damage facilities, type of asset classification, classification of domestic facilities and guidelines for computing the value of assets. Conceptual models of inventory this research presented is to be used on the data for damage response on protected inland damage assessment and to increase efficiency for evaluating detailed damage amount of private property by natural disaster and to establish a restoration plan.

Influence Factors Suggestion and Prediction Model Development of Regional Building Damage Costs according to Typhoon (태풍에 따른 지역별 건물피해액에 영향을 미치는 요인 도출 및 피해 예측모델 개발)

  • Kim, Ji-myung;Kim, Boo-Young;Yang, Seongpil;Oh, Jeongill;Son, Kiyoung
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.515-525
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    • 2015
  • Currently, according to the climate change, serious damage by typhoon has been occurred in the world. In this respect, the research on the prediction model to minimize the damage from various natural disaster has been conducted in several developed countries. In the case of U.S, various models to predict building damage costs have been used widely in many organizations such as insurance companies and governments. In South Korea, although studies regarding damage prediction model according to typhoon have been conducted, the scope has been only limited to consider the property of typhoon. However, it is necessary to consider various factors such as typhoon information, geography, construction environment, and socio-economy factors to predict the damages. Therefore, to address this issue, first, correlation analysis is conducted between various variables based on the data of typhoon from 2003 to 2012. Second, the damage prediction model by using regression analysis is developed based on suggested influence factors. The findings of this study can be utilized to develop the model for predicting the damage costs of buildings by typhoon like HAZUS-MH of US.

The Seismic Hazard Study on Chung-Nam Province using HAZUS (HAZUS를 이용한 충남지역의 지진피해 연구)

  • Kang, Ik-Bum;Park, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.2 no.2 s.5
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2002
  • HAZUS developed by FEMA is applied to estimation on seismic hazard in Chung-Nam Province using basic data on general building, population, and geology of well-logging. Through the investigation on historical and instrumental earthquakes in Korean Peninsula seismic hazard is estimated in Chung-Nam Province in two ways for calculation of acceleration, deterministically and probabilistically. In deterministic method seismic hazard in Chung-Nam Province is estimated by generation of the maximum event that occurs in Hongsung and has magnitude of 6.0. According to the result, Hongsung Gun, Yesan Gun, and Boryung City are the most severe in building damage. The expected number of people who need hospitalization in Hongsung Gun and Yesan Gun due to the earthquake are 1.1 and 0.4, respectively. In probabilistic(return period of 5,000 year) method seismic hazard in Chung-Nam Province is estimated. According to the result, Gongju City is the most severe in building damage. The expected number of people who need hospitalization in Gongju City and Nonsan City due to the earthquake are 0.1 and 0.15, respectively.

Annual Loss Probability Estimation of Steel Moment-Resisting Frames(SMRFs) using Seismic Fragility Analysis (지진취약도를 통한 철골모멘트골조의 연간 손실 평가)

  • Jun, Saemee;Shin, Dong-Hyeon;Kim, Hyung-Joon
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 2014
  • The ultimate goal of seismic design is to reduce the probable losses or damages occurred during an expected earthquake event. To achieve this goal, this study represents a procedure that can estimate annual loss probability of a structure damaged by strong ground motion. First of all, probabilistic seismic performance assessment should be performed using seismic fragility analyses that are presented by a cumulative distribution function of the probability in each exceedance structural damage state. A seismic hazard curve is then derived from an annual frequency of exccedance per each ground motion intensity. An annual loss probability function is combined with seismic fragility analysis results and seismic hazard curves. In this paper, annual loss probabilities are estimated by the structural fragility curve of steel moment-resisting frames(SMRFs) in San Francisco Bay, USA, and are compared with loss estimation results obtained from the HAZUS methodology. It is investigated from the comparison that seismic losses of the SMRFs calculated from the HAZUS method are conservatively estimated. The procedure presented in this study could be effectively used for future studies related with structural seismic performance assessment and annual loss probability estimation.

A Study on the Development of Korean Inventory for the Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment -Based on Earthquake Damage Analysis (복합재난 손실 평가를 위한 한국형 인벤토리 구축 방안 연구 -지진재해 손실 평가를 중심으로)

  • Chai, Su-Seong;Shin, Su-mi;Suh, Dongjun
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1127-1134
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    • 2017
  • The main goal of this study is to develop the system of multi-hazard risk assessment tools based on major inventories and functions. As a first step, designing and building a Korean inventory of the loss assessment was performed due to earthquake disasters. We focused on the special features, taking account of the possibly conflicting features of the various conditions such as different type of formats, environmental differences, and collected data relevant to the use of proposed risk assessment system in terms of constructing the Korean inventory including buildings and population.

A Review and Analysis of Earthquake Disaster Risk Assessment Tools and Applications (지진 재해 위험도 평가 분석 도구 사례 분석 연구)

  • Chai, Su-Seong;Suh, Dongjun
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.899-906
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    • 2018
  • In the entire process of disaster management, it is very significant to construct related information as well as perform quantitative assessment of damage losses with respect to minimizing the effect of disasters. Many countries have paid much attention not only to studying risk assessment methodologies including constructing inventories, hazard mapping, vulnerability assessment and direct/indirect damage loss estimation, but also to developing risk analysis tools investigated in this paper. We conducted comparison studies of representative earthquake damage risk analysis tools, and the result of this study is able to provide useful information to decision makers and researchers who can contribute to development of effective disaster management.