• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard function

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Effect of PSD Function on Linear Response and Inelastic Response of Single Degree of Freedom System (단자유도 시스템의 선형응답과 비탄성응답에 미치는 PSD함수의 영향)

  • Choi, Dong-Ho;Lee, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Yong-Sik;Koh, Jung-Hoon
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.257-259
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    • 2008
  • Acceleration time history (ATH) used in the seismic analysis should envelop a target power spectral density (PSD) function in addition to the design response spectrum in order to have sufficient energy at each frequency for the purpose of ensuring adequate load. Even though design regulations require the ATH used in seismic analysis to meet a target PSD function, the reason that ATHs meet to a target PSD function is not described. Thus, artificial ATHs for high PSD function and artificial ATHs for low PSD function are generated. And then elastic and inelastic single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) systems are loaded with these artificial time histories as the earthquake load. As a result, linear response and inelastic response of SDOF systems are affected by PSD function.

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Parameter Estimation of Storage Function Method using Metamodel (메타모델을 이용한 저류함수법의 매개변수추정)

  • Chung, Gun-Hui;Oh, Jin-A;Kim, Tae-Gyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.81-87
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    • 2010
  • In order to calculate the accurate runoff from a basin, nonlinearity in the relationship between rainfall and runoff has to be considered. Many runoff calculation models assume the linearity in the relationship or are too complicated to be analyzed. Therefore, the storage function method has been used in the prediction of flood because of the simplicity of the model. The storage function method has five parameters with related to the basin and rainfall characteristics which can be estimated by the empirical trial and error method. To optimize these parameters, regression method or optimization techniques such as genetic algorithm have been used, however, it is not easy to optimize them because of the complexity of the method. In this study, the metamodel is proposed to estimate those model parameters. The metamodel is the combination of artificial neural network and genetic algorithm. The model is consisted of two stages. In the first stage, an artificial neural network is constructed using the given rainfall-runoff relationship. In the second stage, the parameters of the storage function method are estimated using genetic algorithm and the trained artificial neural network. The proposed metamodel is applied in the Peong Chang River basin and the results are presented.

Prediction of Stream Flow on Probability Distributed Model using Multi-objective Function (다목적함수를 이용한 PDM 모형의 유량 분석)

  • Ahn, Sang-Eok;Lee, Hyo-Sang;Jeon, Min-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2009
  • A prediction of streamflow based on multi-objective function is presented to check the performance of Probability Distributed Model(PDM) in Miho stream basin, Chungcheongbuk-do, Korea. PDM is a lumped conceptual rainfall runoff model which has been widely used for flood prevention activities in UK Environmental Agency. The Monte Carlo Analysis Toolkit(MCAT) is a numerical analysis tools based on population sampling, which allows evaluation of performance, identifiability, regional sensitivity and etc. PDM is calibrated for five model parameters by using MCAT. The results show that the performance of model parameters(cmax and k(q)) indicates high identifiability and the others obtain equifinality. In addition, the multi-objective function is applied to PDM for seeking suitable model parameters. The solution of the multi-objective function consists of the Pareto solution accounting to various trade-offs between the different objective functions considering properties of hydrograph. The result indicated the performance of model and simulated hydrograph are acceptable in terms on Nash Sutcliffe Effciency*(=0.035), FSB(=0.161), and FDBH(=0.809) to calibration periods, validation periods as well.

Development of Empirical Formulas for Storage Function Method (저류함수법의 매개변수 산정식 개발)

  • Choi, Jong-Nam;Ahn, Won-Shik;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Chung, Gun-Hui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2009
  • Storage function method which considers the non-linearity of the relationship between rainfall and runoff has been frequently used to predict runoff in a basin and a flood pattern. However, it is time-consuming to estimate appropriate parameters of every basin and rainfall event, which requires the empirical parameter equation applicable in Korea. In this study, multiple regression analysis is used to develop empirical equations to estimate parameters of Storage Function method using basin characteristics. The basin area, maximum stream length, and stream slope are considered as the basin characteristics as the result of the regression analysis. Collinearity is removed and trial-and-error method is used to choose the most descriptive parameters to the dependent variables in Han River basin which is divided into 30 subbasins. The developed equations are validated using the rainfall events in MunMak gauging station and named as 'Han River equation'. The equation could provide the useful information about Storage Function method parameter to calculate runoff from a basin and predict river stage.

Testing Goodness of Fit in Nonparametric Function Estimation Techniques for Proportional Hazards Model

  • Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.435-444
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    • 1997
  • The objective of this study is to investigate the problem of goodness of fit testing based on nonparametric function estimation techniques for the random censorship model. The small and large sample properties of the proposed test, $E_{mn}$, were investigated and it is shown that under the proportional hazard model $E_{mn}$ has higher power compared to the powers of the Kolmogorov -Smirnov, Kuiper, Cramer-von Mises, and analogue of the Cramer-von Mises type test statistic.

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Some Characterization Results Based on Dynamic Survival and Failure Entropies

  • Abbasnejad, Maliheh
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.787-798
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop some characterization results in terms of survival entropy of the first order statistic. In addition, we generalize the cumulative entropy recently proposed by Di Crescenzo and Logobardi (2009) to a new measure of information (called the failure entropy) and study some properties of it and its dynamic version. Furthermore, power distribution is characterized based on dynamic failure entropy.

Simple Estimate of the Relative Risk under the Proportional Hazards Model

  • Lee, Sung-Won;Kim, Ju-Sung;Park, Jung-Sub
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.347-353
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    • 2004
  • We propose a simple nonparametric estimator of relative risk in the two sample case of the proportional hazards model for complete data. The asymptotic distribution of this estimator is derived using a functional equation. We obtain the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator and compare with Begun's estimator by confidence interval through simulations.

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Development of a Landslide Hazard Prediction Model using GIS (GIS를 이용한 산사태 위험지 판정 모델의 개발)

  • Lee, Seung-Kii;Lee, Byung-Doo;Chung, Joo-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2005
  • Based on the landslide hazard scoring system of Korea Forest Research Institute, a GIS model for predicting landslide hazards was developed. The risk of landslide hazards was analyzed as the function of 7 environmental site factors for the terrain, vegetation, and geological characteristics of the corresponding forest stand sites. Among the environmental factors, slope distance, relative height and shapes of slopes were interpreted using the forestland slope interpretation module developed by Chung et al. (2002). The program consists of three modules for managing spatial data, analyzing landslide hazard and report-writing, A performance test of the model showed that 72% of the total landslides in Youngin-Ansung landslides area took place in the highly vulnerable zones of grade 1 or 2 of the landslide hazard scoring map.

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Development of a Voluntary Hazard Assessment Model for Small- and Medium-Sized Ship-building Plants (중소규모 조선업 사업장을 위한 자율 위험성 평가 모델의 개발)

  • Lim, Hyeon-Kyo;Lee, Kyung-Tae;Bae, Dong-Chul;Chang, Seong-Rok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2011
  • Industrial accident frequency in small- and medium-sized ship-building plants is much higher than that of large-sized ones so that safety management activities should be different. In that sense, voluntary hazard assessment would be helpful for small- and medium-sized plants. However, conventional hazard assessment items and methods had some problems that discouraged voluntary participation of plants concerned. This study aimed to develop a new model for small- and medium-sized ship-building plants that can promote and encourage voluntary hazard assessment activities. For that purpose, ship-building process was assumed as a sequence of phases, and accident characteristics were compared with them. From that result, relative weights of accident factors including ship-building phases, accident types, occupational category, accident-induced objects, and hazardous items were determined with accident frequency data and with the help of expert groups. Therefore, for web-based integrative computer programming, a plain but accident data-dependent model was developed, with an additive function for related agencies that want to collect assessment results. It is expected that this model would help small- and medium-sized ship-building plants that wanted not only simple checklists but also effective assessment and management guidelines.

A Conceptual Design of Spatial and Non-spatial Information for Water Hazard Information Management and Service (수재해 정보관리 및 서비스를 위한 공간, 비공간 정보 자료 개념 설계)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ju;Kim, Dong-Young;Jung, Young-Hun;Hwang, Eui-Ho;Chae, Hyo-Sok
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2016
  • This study conducted a basic design of system and interface which provide both of spatial and non-spatial data for water hazard information management. This helps to decide directions of the future integrated water hazard information platform and possible technical examinations of the web-based system for the realization of the prototype. For user friendly system, this study did a survey to investigate the data format, service environment, image processing level and visualization type that users prefer. Also, authorization range was set up by type of the user group. In the water hazard information platform, the data and analysis algorithm were classified by the fields. Furthermore, the platform was consisted with six block systems according to the function and the interface and designed to flexibly mount or modify the additional functions. For a basic design of the data exchange method and protocols, a prototype was constructed by using the spatial information web service technology. The portal service system to visualize and provide spatial data was designed by the WMS/WFS type of OGC standard interface and the FTP/HTTP interface type through open source GIS software for server environment.