• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard Rate

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Spread Speed of Forest Fire based on Slope (경사에 따른 산불의 확산속도)

  • An, Sang-Hyun;Shin, Young-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.75-79
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    • 2008
  • As Information Technology developed, Information requirement has been went higher. In the field of GIS(Geographic Information System) more information is processed more quickly and accurately. Especially, quick analysis of forest fire information (topography, ignition point, weather condition, etc.) over a wide area is essential in order to minimize victim, environmental damage, and economical damage, decide course of evacuating, estimate a fire spread course, and attack resource arrangement. We determined a fire spread distance at each unit time through an experiment with various slope degrees and distinction of flat, upslope and downslope. For the tests on the upslope, as the slope increased, the rate of spread increased. On the downslope in contrast with the upslope, as the slope increased, the rate of spread decreased. We analyzed a spread rate of forest fire on each slope as the method classified upslope(+) and downslope(-) using the results obtained from the experiment. Consequently, the proposed method is able to be used to effectively support the attack of forest fire by providing accurate predictions of fire spread.

Assessment of Semi-Quantitative Health Risks of Exposure to Harmful Chemical Agents in the Context of Carcinogenesis in the Latex Glove Manufacturing Industry

  • Yari, Saeed;Asadi, Ayda Fallah;Varmazyar, Sakineh
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.sup3
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    • pp.205-211
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    • 2016
  • Excessive exposure to chemicals in the workplace can cause poisoning and various diseases. Thus, for the protection of labor, it is necessary to examine the exposure of people to chemicals and risks from these materials. The purpose of this study is to evaluate semi-quantitative health risks of exposure to harmful chemical agents in the context of carcinogenesis in a latex glove manufacturing industry. In this cross-sectional study, semi-quantitative risk assessment methods provided by the Department of Occupational Health of Singapore were used and index of LD50, carcinogenesis (ACGIH and IARC) and corrosion capacity were applied to calculate the hazard rate and the biggest index was placed as the basis of risk. To calculate the exposure rate, two exposure index methods and the actual level of exposure were employed. After identifying risks, group H (high) and E (very high) classified as high-risk were considered. Of the total of 271 only 39 (15%) were at a high risk level and 3% were very high (E). These risks only was relevant to 7 materials with only sulfuric acid placed in group E and 6 other materials in group H, including nitric acid (48.3%), chromic acid (6.9%), hydrochloric acid (10.3%), ammonia (3.4%), potassium hydroxide (20.7%) and chlorine (10.3%). Overall, the average hazard rate level was estimated to be 4 and average exposure rate to be 3.5. Health risks identified in this study showed that the manufacturing industry for latex gloves has a high level of risk because of carcinogens, acids and strong alkalisand dangerous drugs. Also according to the average level of risk impact, it is better that the safety design strategy for latex gloves production industry be placed on the agenda.

Prediction of Forest Fire Hazardous Area Using Predictive Spatial Data Mining (예측적 공간 데이터 마이닝을 이용한 산불위험지역 예측)

  • Han, Jong-Gyu;Yeon, Yeon-Kwang;Chi, Kwang-Hoon;Ryu, Keun-Ho
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.9D no.6
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    • pp.1119-1126
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose two predictive spatial data mining based on spatial statistics and apply for predicting the forest fire hazardous area. These are conditional probability and likelihood ratio methods. In these approaches, the prediction models and estimation procedures are depending un the basic quantitative relationships of spatial data sets relevant forest fire with respect to selected the past forest fire ignition areas. To make forest fire hazardous area prediction map using the two proposed methods and evaluate the performance of prediction power, we applied a FHR (Forest Fire Hazard Rate) and a PRC (Prediction Rate Curve) respectively. In comparison of the prediction power of the two proposed prediction model, the likelihood ratio method is mort powerful than conditional probability method. The proposed model for prediction of forest fire hazardous area would be helpful to increase the efficiency of forest fire management such as prevention of forest fire occurrence and effective placement of forest fire monitoring equipment and manpower.

A Study on Foam Mixing Characteristics in Steady State to Enhance the Performance of Proportioner for Foam System (포 소화설비용 소화약제 혼합장치의 성능향상을 위한 정량 혼합특성에 관한 연구)

  • Ku, Jae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2009
  • This study describes to analyze foam mixing characteristics in steady state to enhance the performance of proportioner for foam system designed to accurately proportion a foam liquid concentrate into a water stream up to constant concentration. The proportioner developed is experimentally evaluated in performance evaluation system consisted of a pump, tanks, pressure gauges, flow meters, a nozzle. As a result, the foam mixing performance of the line proportioner is found to increase with increased the water flow rate due to the venturi effect and with increased the cross-sectional area of the orifice and is analysed with 3 % in the error rate of $\pm4%$. For the pressure proportioner, the foam mixing performance is analyzed to increase with increased the water flow rate and with increased the inlet pressure and is analysed with 3% in the error rate of $\pm2%$.

Optimal Periodic Preventive Maintenance Schedule When Preventive Maintenance is Imperfect (예방보전이 불완전할 때 최적 주기적 예방보전 계획)

  • Kim, Dae-Kyung;Shin, Sang-Wook;Lim, Jae-Hak
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.140-146
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider a periodic imperfect preventive maintenance(PM) policy in which the system's failure rate after each PM remains unchanged. The system undergoes only minimal repairs at failures between PMs. Exact mathematical formula of the expected cost rate per unit time is derived. Optimal number of PMs and optimal maintenance period are derived by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed approach under Weibull lifetime distribution.

Parameters estimation of the generalized linear failure rate distribution using simulated annealing algorithm

  • Sarhan, Ammar M.;Karawia, A.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.91-104
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    • 2012
  • Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

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조사연구-콘칼로리메타를 이용한 화재시험에 대하여

  • Lee, Du-Hyeong
    • Fire Protection Technology
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    • s.19
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 1995
  • The rate of heat release is probably the single most important measure of fire hazard. Several tech-niques were developed for the measurement of rate of heat release, but were not suitable for fire test-ing purpose. Recently the application of oxygen consumption principle made it possible to development of well-characterized heat release rate measurement apparatus, the furniture calorimeter for large-scale fire tests and the cone calorimeter for bench-scale fire tests. The cone calorimeter can be used to determine the ignitability as well as heat release rate and smoke development, mass loss rate, combustion gas production etc. from burning materials. Thus, test method using cone calorimeter, an internationally recognized and accepted for the evalua-tion of fire properties, is a very promising tool for combustion study on various kind of materials and products.

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Effects of Meteorological Variations and Sensor Burial Depths on HVSR Analysis (기상변화와 지진계 설치 깊이가 HVSR 분석결과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kang, Su Young;Kim, Kwang-Hee;Kim, Doyoung;Jeon, Byeong-Uk;Lee, Jin-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.658-669
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    • 2020
  • The horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (HVSR) analysis is conducted to estimate the site amplification effect and the thickness of the sedimentary layer beneath the measurement site. We investigated the effects of meteorological variations (wind and precipitation rate) and sensor burial depths on HVSR analysis. The HVSR results were unstable when seismographs were exposed on the ground. The HVSR results of ambient noise data measured under strong winds were also unstable. It is recommended to measure the ambient noise at wind speeds of <3 m s-1. Stable HVSR results were obtained when seismographs were buried, regardless of the precipitation rates. The results of this study provide the best observations and optimal weather conditions required to acquire accurate and reliable HVSR results.

Study on Combustion and Explosion Hazard of Rice Bran Dusts (쌀겨 분진의 연소 및 폭발 위험성에 관한 연구)

  • 이창우;현성호;이한철;허윤행
    • Journal of environmental and Sanitary engineering
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.93-98
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    • 1999
  • We had investigated combustion properties of rice bran dusts. Decomposition of rice bran dusts with temperature were investigated using DSC and the weight loss according to temperature using TGA in order to find the thermal hazard of rice bran dusts, and the properties of dust explosion in variation of their dust with the same particle size. Using Hartman's dust explosion apparatus which estimate dust explosion by electric ignition after making dust disperse by compressed air, dust explosion experiments have been conducted by varying concentration and size of rice bran dust.According to the results for thermodynamic stability of rice bran dust, there are little change of initiation temperature of heat generation and heating value for used particle size. But initiation temperature of heat generation decreased with high heating rate whereas decomposition heat increased with particle size. Average maximum explosion pressure was $10kgf/cm^2$ for 60/70 mesh and $1.5mg/cm^2$ dust concentration.

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Nonparametric Analysis of Warranty Data on Engine : Case Study (엔진에 대한 품질보증데이터의 비모수적 분석 사례연구)

  • Baik, Jai-Wook;Jo, Jin-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2006
  • Claim history data of rather long period were collected to assess reliability and warranty cost analyses. The data were appropriately organized to be used for further statistical analyses. For each critical component, nonparametric statistical method was applied to obtain reliability plot. Hazard plots of the components in a subsystem or system level were also obtained. Competing risk model was assumed to obtain the performance of the subsystem or system level.