• 제목/요약/키워드: Hazard Model

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다항 위험함수에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구 (A Study for NHPP software Reliability Growth Model based on polynomial hazard function)

  • 김희철
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2011
  • Infinite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rate per fault (hazard function). This infinite non-homogeneous Poisson process is model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. In this paper, polynomial hazard function have been proposed, which can efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm for estimating the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. Model selection based on mean square error and the coefficient of determination for the sake of efficient model were employed. In numerical example, log power time model of the existing model in this area and the polynomial hazard function model were compared using failure interval time. Because polynomial hazard function model is more efficient in terms of reliability, polynomial hazard function model as an alternative to the existing model also were able to confirm that can use in this area.

Estimation on Hazard Rates Change-Point Model

  • Kwang Mo Jeong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.327-336
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    • 2000
  • We are mainly interested in hazard rate changes which are usually occur in survival times of manufactured products or patients. We may expect early failures with one hazard rate and next another hazard rate. For this type of data we apply a hazard rate change-point model and estimate the unkown time point to improve the model adequacy. We introduce change-point logistic model to the discrete time hazard rates. The MLEs are obtained routinely and we also explain the suggested model through a dataset of survival times.

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Cox proportional hazard model with L1 penalty

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.613-618
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    • 2011
  • The proposed method is based on a penalized log partial likelihood of Cox proportional hazard model with L1-penalty. We use the iteratively reweighted least squares procedure to solve L1 penalized log partial likelihood function of Cox proportional hazard model. It provide the ecient computation including variable selection and leads to the generalized cross validation function for the model selection. Experimental results are then presented to indicate the performance of the proposed procedure.

A DEVELOPMENT OF MODEL FOR FIRE HAZARD ASSESSMENTS H THE BUILDINGS

  • Lee, Su-Kyung;Kim, Su-Tae;Ha, Dong-Myung
    • 한국화재소방학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국화재소방학회 1997년도 International Symposium on Fire Science and Technology
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    • pp.384-391
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    • 1997
  • The hazard assessment in which the potential hazard factors In the buildings are investigated and the scale of the hazard is analyzed should be performed first in order to prevent personal and material damages due to building fire. In this study, the building fire hazard are assessed using 822-item checklist, for the qualitative evaluation of which the main factors are classified into 10 items, yielding 100 scale points with some weighting. It is shown that present model is applicable for the assessment of all general buildings through the examination of the suitability of assessment model by actual assessment of existing building. Also, the checklist is prepared in itemized questionnaire form for easy assessment of building fire hazard. Therefore, the present model will be helpful for those working in fire prevention, who are suffering from the lack of manifest evaluation model for the fire prevention assessment so far in Korea.

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Nonparametric Estimation of Mean Residual Life by Partial Moment Approximation under Proportional Hazard Model

  • Cha, Young-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.965-971
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    • 2004
  • In this paper we consider several nonparametric estimators for the mean residual life by using the partial moment approximation under the proportional hazard model. Also we compare the magnitude of mean square error of the proposed nonparametric estimators for mean residual life under the proportional hazard model.

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Bayesian Analysis for Multiple Change-point hazard Rate Models

  • Jeong, Kwangmo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.801-812
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    • 1999
  • Change-point hazard rate models arise for example in applying "burn-in" techniques to screen defective items and in studing times until undesirable side effects occur in clinical trials. Sometimes in screening defectives it might be sensible to model two stages of burn-in. In a clinical trial there might be an initial hazard rate for a side effect which after a period of time changes to an intermediate hazard rate before settling into a long term hazard rate. In this paper we consider the multiple change points hazard rate model. The classical approach's asymptotics can be poor for the small to all moderate sample sizes often encountered in practice. We propose a Bayesian approach avoiding asymptotics to provide more reliable inference conditional only upon the data actually observed. The Bayesian models can be fitted using simulation methods. Model comparison is made using recently developed Bayesian model selection criteria. The above methodology is applied to a generated data and to a generated data and the Lawless(1982) failure times of electrical insulation.

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민감도 분석에 의한 LHR 모형의 검증 (Verification of Landfill Hazard Ranking Model by Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 홍상표;김정욱
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 1997
  • LHR(Landfill Hazard Ranking Model) was developed for assessing the relative hazard of landfills by using the method of value-structured approach. LHR consists of combining a multiattribute decision-making method with a qualitative risk assessment approach. A pairwise comparision method was applied to determine weights of landfill factors related. To prove the validity of weights allocation of landfill hazard evaluation factors, sensitivity analysis was applied. Firstly, the impact on landfill hazard score according to variations of weights of landfill hazard factors was analyzed. Secondly, the impact on landfill hazard score according to conditions change of landfill hazard factors was analyzed. As a result of sensitivity analysis, LHR composite scores are largely influenced by some factors following sequential order such as waste volume, proximity to sensitive environments, containment facilities, distance from drinking water supplies, and waste toxicity. The relative order of landfill hazard evaluated by LHR is not influenced by the weights change of individual factors. Therefore, LHR seems to be a credible model to determine priorities of landfill remediation based on the vulnerability of water resources.

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위험원 분석 결과를 반영한 시스템 안전 요구사항 생성에 관한 연구 (On the Development of Systems Safety Requirements Using Hazard Analysis Results)

  • 김재철;이재천
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2011
  • Modern systems become more complex and the demand for systems safety goes up sharply. Thus, the proper handling of the safety requirements in the systems design is getting greatly increased attention these days. Hazard analysis has been one of the active areas of research in connection with systems safety. In this paper, we study a subject on how the hazard analysis results can be incorporated in the systems design. To this end we set up a goal on how to systematically generate safety requirements that should reflect hazard analysis results and be implemented in the systems design and development. To do so, we first review the process for systems design and suggest the associated Model. Then the process and results of hazard analysis are analyzed and Modeled particularly with emphasis on the safety data. The resulting data Model incorporating both the hazard analysis and system life cycle is used in the generation of safety requirements. Based on the developed data Model, the generation of the requirements, the construction of requirements DB, and the change management later on is demonstrated through the use of a computer-aided software tool.

건물의 화재 위험성 평가를 위한 모델(Model) 개발 (A Development of Model for Fire Hazard Assessment in the Buildings)

  • 이수경;김수태
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 1996
  • 건축물 화재로 인한 인적, 물적 피해를 방지하기 위하여는 먼저 이들 시설, 설비에 존재하는 잠재위험요인을 찾아내고 위험이 얼마나 큰가를 분석하는 위험성 평가가 수행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 건물의 화재 위험성을 822개의 Checklist에 의해 평가하도록 하였으며, 정량적 평가를 위하여 주요 구성 요소를 10개의 대분류로 나누고, 가중치를 부여하여 100점 만점의 점수를 산출하도록 하였다. 건물의 실제평가를 통하여 평가 모델의 적정성을 검토한 결과, 본 모델은 일반 모든 건물에 대하여 평가 적용이 가능하도록 되었다. 또한 Checklist에 의한 세부적인 질문기법으로 작성되어 건물의 화재 위험성 평가를 수월하게 수행할 수 있도록 하였다. 따라서 본 평가모델의 제시는 이제까지 국내에서 소방진단을 위한 뚜렷한 평가모델이 마련되지 못한 현시점에서 방화관리자 등 소방관련자에게 매우 유익한 평가모델이 될 것이다.

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Quantitative Hazard Analysis of Information Systems Using Probabilistic Risk Analysis Method

  • Lee, Young-Jai;Kim, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.59-71
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    • 2009
  • Hazard analysis identifies probability to hazard occurrence and its potential impact on business processes operated in organizations. This paper illustrates a quantitative approach of hazard analysis of information systems by measuring the degree of hazard to information systems using probabilistic risk analysis and activity based costing technique. Specifically the research model projects probability of occurrence by PRA and economic loss by ABC under each identified hazard. To verify the model, each computerized subsystem which is called a business process and hazards occurred on information systems are gathered through one private organization. The loss impact of a hazard occurrence is produced by multiplying probability by the economic loss.

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