• 제목/요약/키워드: Hazard Factors

검색결과 1,022건 처리시간 0.037초

지반침하 피해도 분석을 위한 GIS 활용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Application of GIS for Analysis of Subsidence Hazard)

  • 권광수;유명환;박형동
    • 자원환경지질
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.557-563
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    • 2000
  • Subsidence hazard has never been considered seriously until recent yews in Korea, although its socioeconomic impact on Korea becomes more and more enormous. There have been a few studies for the application of GIS analysis technique to the prediction of subsidence hazard. For GIS analysis, several factors, which are represented by coverage, are considered and selected for building a GIS model. Numerical method was used to quantify the importance of each factor in GIS model and the result from numerical modeling using FLAC was compared with that from previous research based on empirical methods. Analysis in 3-D needs more computer resources (i.e. memory). Therefore that in 2.5-D was considered to overcome the problem. Not only maximum vertical subsidence but also maximum horizontal strain and maximum slope have been considered for the assessment of subsidence hazard. The model can be easily modified for the purpose of applications in any subsidence area, especially cavern or abandoned mines under thick soil layer.

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Analysis of soil erosion hazard zone using GIS

  • Kim J. H.;Kim K.T.;Park J. S.;Choi Y.S.
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2004년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2004
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    • pp.664-667
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    • 2004
  • This paper is aimed at analyzing the soil erosion hazard zone in farm land. RUSLE was used for an analysis of soil erosion amount, and for the spatial data of basin, soil erosion amount was calculated by extracting the respect topography space related factors of RUSLE using DEM, Landuse, Soil map as base map. As a result of analysis on the calculated soil erosion amount according to land use type, it was analyzed that the most soil erosion occurred in orchard area, i.e., 40.08ton/ha/yr at average. It was classified into 5 classes depending on the calculated soil erosion amount. of which Class V was decided as soil erosion hazard zone, and for this area, 72.5ha or so, $2.4\%$ of the entire farm land was assessed as erosion hazard zone.

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광역 지질재해분석(산사태)을 위한 GIS활용 (GIS technolgy for analysing regional geologic hazards (Landslides))

  • 김윤종;김원영;유일현
    • 지질공학
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 1992
  • GIS를 이용, 서울 근교 지역을 대상으로 광역지질재해도를 작성하여 대상 지역데 대한 광역 지질재해, 특히 사면 붕괴에 관한 분석 연구를 시도 하였다. 사면붕괴를 야기 시키는 요소인 사면형태, 지질, 지하수, 토양의 성질, 강우, 식생 등을 GIS 기법을 이용하여 정량적으로 분석 하였으며, 최종적으로 이들 요소들을 지도모형으로 변환 시켜 광역재해도를 작성하게 되었다. 본 연구를 위하여 SUN 4-390 Workstation 과 ARC/INFO & ERDAS가 이용되었다.

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지수형과 로그형 위험함수 학습효과에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 비교연구 (The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Exponential and Log Shaped Type Hazard Function from the Perspective of Learning Effects)

  • 김희철
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • In this study, software products developed in the course of testing, software managers in the process of testing software test and test tools for effective learning effects perspective has been studied using the NHPP software. The finite failure nonhomogeneous Poisson process models presented and the life distribution applied exponential and log shaped type hazard function. Software error detection techniques known in advance, but influencing factors for considering the errors found automatically and learning factors, by prior experience, to find precisely the error factor setting up the testing manager are presented comparing the problem. As a result, the learning factor is greater than autonomous errors-detected factor that is generally efficient model could be confirmed. This paper, a failure data analysis of applying using time between failures and parameter estimation using maximum likelihood estimation method, after the efficiency of the data through trend analysis model selection were efficient using the mean square error and coefficient of determination.

Inundation Hazard Zone Created by Large Lahar Flow at the Baekdu Volcano Simulated using LAHARZ

  • Park, Sung-Jae;Lee, Chang-Wook
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2018
  • The Baekdu volcano (2,750 m a.s.l.) is located on the border between Yanggando Province in North Korea and Jilin Province in China. Its eruption in 946 A.D. was among the largest and most violent eruptions in the past 5,000 years, with a volcanic explosivity index (VEI) of 7. In this study, we processed and analyzed lahar-inundation hazard zone data, applying a geographic information system program with menu-driven software (LAHARZ)to a shuttle radar topography mission 30 m digital elevation model. LAHARZ can simulate inundation hazard zones created by large lahar flows that originate on volcano flanks using simple input parameters. The LAHARZ is useful both for mapping hazard zones and estimating the extent of damage due to active volcanic eruption. These results can be used to establish evacuation plans for nearby residents without field survey data. We applied two different simulation methods in LAHARZ to examine six water systems near Baekdu volcano, selecting weighting factors by varying the ratio of height and distance. There was a slight difference between uniform and non-uniform ratio changes in the lahar-inundation hazard zone maps, particularly as slopes changed on the east and west sides of the Baekdu volcano. This result can be used to improve monitoring of volcanic eruption hazard zones and prevent disasters due to large lahar flows.

Estimation of Hazard Function and its Associated Factors in Gastric Cancer Patients using Wavelet and Kernel Smoothing Methods

  • Ahmadi, Azadeh;Roudbari, Masoud;Gohari, Mahmood Reza;Hosseini, Bistoon
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.5643-5646
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    • 2012
  • Background and Objectives: Increase of mortality rates of gastric cancer in Iran and the world in recent years reveal necessity of studies on this disease. Here, hazard function for gastric cancer patients was estimated using Wavelet and Kernel methods and some related factors were assessed. Materials and Methods: Ninety-five gastric cancer patients in Fayazbakhsh Hospital between 1996 and 2003 were studied. The effects of age of patients, gender, stage of disease and treatment method on patient's lifetime were assessed. For data analyses, survival analyses using Wavelet method and Log-rank test in R software were used. Results: Nearly 25.3% of patients were female. Fourteen percent had surgery treatment and the rest had treatment without surgery. Three fourths died and the rest were censored. Almost 9.5% of patients were in early stages of the disease, 53.7% in locally advance stage and 36.8% in metastatic stage. Hazard function estimation with the wavelet method showed significant difference for stages of disease (P<0.001) and did not reveal any significant difference for age, gender and treatment method. Conclusion: Only stage of disease had effects on hazard and most patients were diagnosed in late stages of disease, which is possibly one of the most reasons for high hazard rate and low survival. Therefore, it seems to be necessary a public education about symptoms of disease by media and regular tests and screening for early diagnosis.

통계적 고찰과 수목분포에 따른 열량분석을 통한 산림화재 위험성 평가에 관한 연구 (A study on the assessment of wildland fire hazard through statistic examination and calorie analysis according to the geographical distribution of vegetation)

  • 김광일;김동현
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2000
  • 산림에 대한 화재 위험성 평가는 산불의 예방, 진화 및 관리에 있어서 우선적으로 고려되어야 할 부분이다. 단일 화재로서는 축내 최대 규모인 1997년 4월에 발생한 강원도 고성산불과 2000년 4월에 발생한 강원도 영동지방 산불은 이러한 화재위험성 평가의 필요성을 절실히 요구하고 있다. 현재 국내에서의 사용하고 있는 위험도의 표현은 기상인자에 의해 연료가 화재에 노출될 수 있는 위험을 나타낸 것으로 습도측정봉 무게 환산식을 통해 산불 발생 위험지수 산정하여 산불경보시스템을 사용하며 나타내고 있다. 앞으로, 지역별 종합적인 산림화재 위험성 평가를 위해서는 주요 인자들의 위험성을 측정하고 통계적 고찰을 통한 위험성 평가를 표현할 필요성이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 먼저 통계적 고찰을 통해 발생 빈도와 피해의 심각성을 분석하여 위험성을 평가하였고 수목의 열량적 가치를 시차주사열량계 실험을 통해 분석하여 수목분포도에 따를 열적 상대 위험성을 평가하였다

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퍼지 AHP를 이용한 수중터널의 재해위험도 분석 (Risk Assessment of Submerged Floating Tunnels based on Fuzzy AHP)

  • 한상훈
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제13권7호
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    • pp.3244-3251
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    • 2012
  • 대형 해양구조물의 건설과 운영에서 중요한 항목 중의 하나가 재해위험도를 분석하고 평가하는 것이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 수중터널의 건설과 운영 시에 발생할 수 있는 재해 위험요소를 도출하고 퍼지 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) 방법으로 이러한 위험요소의 수준을 파악하고자 하였다. 재해 위험도로는 자연재해 위험도와 인적재해 위험도로 구분하고 이러한 위험도 항목들이 수중터널에 미치는 영향을 전문가 설문을 통하여 조사하였다. 조사된 전문가 설문결과 데이터를 퍼지 AHP 기법으로 분석하여 재해위험도를 각 위험요소별로 정량화하였다. 또한, 수중 터널과 교량, 해저터널, 침매터널의 재해위험도 수준을 분석하여 수중터널이 가지고 있는 고유의 재해위험도 수준을 평가하였다. 재해위험도에서는 쯔나미와 지진이 가장 위험도 인식수준이 높았고, 인적재해 위험도는 화재와 폭발의 위험도 인식이 높은 수준이었다. 또한, 수중터널은 침매터널에 비해서는 1.4배, 교량에 비해서는 3.2배 위험도 인식수준이 높은 것으로 조사되었다.

Economic Factors as Major Determinants of Ustekinumab Drug Survival of Patients with Chronic Plaque Psoriasis in Korea

  • Choi, Chong Won;Yang, Seungkeol;Jo, Gwanghyun;Kim, Bo Ri;Youn, Sang Woong
    • Annals of dermatology
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.668-675
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    • 2018
  • Background: Drug survival, defined as the time until discontinuation, is a parameter reflecting real-world therapeutic effectiveness. Few studies have examined the influence of economic factors on the drug survival of biologic agents for psoriasis, particularly in Asian countries. Objective: To determine the drug survival for ustekinumab in real-life settings and investigate the factors affecting drug survival for psoriasis patients in Korea. Methods: We evaluated 98 psoriasis patients who were treated with ustekinumab at a single center. We analyzed the efficacy and drug survival of ustekinumab. Cox proportional hazard analysis and competing risk regression analysis were performed to reveal the factors affecting the drug survival of ustekinumab. Results: The overall mean drug survival was 1,596 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 904~2,288). Among the 39 cessations of ustekinumab treatment, 9 (23.1%) patients discontinued treatment after experiencing satisfactory results. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that paying on patients' own expense was the major predictor for the discontinuation of ustekinumab (hazard ratio [HR], 9.696; 95% CI, 4.088~22.998). Competing risk regression analysis modeling of discontinuation because of factors other than satisfaction of an event also revealed that ustekinumab treatment at the patient's expense (HR, 4.138; 95% CI, 1.684~10.168) was a predictor of discontinuation rather than satisfaction. Conclusion: The results of our study revealed that the cost of biologics treatment affects the drug survival of ustekinumab and suggested that economic factors affect the drug survival of ustekinumab treatment in Korea.

Modeling of Breast Cancer Prognostic Factors Using a Parametric Log-Logistic Model in Fars Province, Southern Iran

  • Zare, Najaf;Doostfatemeh, Marzieh;Rezaianzadeh, Abass
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.1533-1537
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    • 2012
  • In general, breast cancer is the most common malignancy among women in developed as well as some developing countries, often being the second leading cause of cancer mortality after lung cancer. Using a parametric log-logistic model to consider the effects of prognostic factors, the present study focused on the 5-year survival of women with the diagnosis of breast cancer in Southern Iran. A total of 1,148 women who were diagnosed with primary invasive breast cancer from January 2001 to January 2005 were included and divided into three prognosis groups: poor, medium, and good. The survival times as well as the hazard rates of the three different groups were compared. The log-logistic model was employed as the best parametric model which could explain survival times. The hazard rates of the poor and the medium prognosis groups were respectively 13 and 3 times greater than in the good prognosis group. Also, the difference between the overall survival rates of the poor and the medium prognosis groups was highly significant in comparison to the good prognosis group. Use of the parametric log-logistic model - also a proportional odds model - allowed assessment of the natural process of the disease based on hazard and identification of trends.