• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제26권1호
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• pp.168-176
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• 2010

This study proposes the improvement of the present Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) management system of MOE (Ministry of Environment). The margin of safety (MOS) is calculated by a method using standard error and a method using variability and uncertainty. The allocation of pollutant loads are calculated using three methods, equal load reduction method, equal percent removal method and method using equity standards. This study applied the improved TMDL management system to the Anyangcheon watershed. Since MOS varies from 12% to 44% due to the high variability of measured and simulated data, it must not be ignored in the TMDL. The method using equity standards is the most proper in this application since the others produced unrealistic allocations. Area, runoff, water use quantity, population and budget are considered for equity standards. This study shows that this allocation method can be also applicable for the administrative units as well as the sub-watersheds. Finally, Hydrologic Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF) with the allocated pollutant load was used to confirm whether it satisfy the water quality standard or not. This study will be helpful to improve the MOS and allocation system TMDL in the future.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.419-419
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• 2023

하천의 최종 유출부와 해양이 만나는 지점을 하구라고 하며, 우리나라는 주로 서해안 지역에 하구 방조제 건설에 따른 담수호가 조성되어 다양한 목적으로 수자원이 활용되고 있다. 이러한 하구 담수호는 바다로 유입되기 직전의 물을 저류시켜 수자원 확보에 긍정적이나, 일반적으로 유역의 최하류에 위치해 있어 오염물질 유입, 부영양화, 염분 침출로 인한 오염물질 용출 등에 취약하다. 따라서 담수호의 회복탄력성 향상과 지속가능한 수자원 관리를 위해서는 미래 기후변화에 따른 영향 분석이 필수적이다. 특히 기후변화는 거대규모의 홍수과 같은 자연재난, 농업가뭄 및 식생가뭄 등의 증가로 이어질 수 있으므로, 이에 효과적으로 대비하기 위해서는 미래 기후조건에 따른 하천의 미래 유출량 변화 예측이 수행되어야 한다. 본 연구에서는 불확실한 미래 수문변화를 예측하기 위해 CMIP6(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) GCMs(Global Climate Models)의 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 시나리오를 유역 유출모델에 적용하여 기후변화에 따른 미래 유출특성의 변화를 예측하였다. 충청남도 서산시에 위치한 간월호 유역을 대상유역으로 선정하고, HSPF(Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN) 모형을 적용하여 상류유역의 과거 및 미래 장기유출량 모의를 수행하였다. 모의된 시나리오별 유출량을 기반으로 최빈유량곡선법을 적용하여 미래의 기준유량 발생시점 및 지속기간의 변화를 분석하였으며, CVDs(Center-of-volume dates)의 변화를 통해 기후변화에 따른 홍수기의 시기적 변화 양상을 파악하고자 하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 미래 유역 환경변화를 고려한 담수호의 수자원 보전관리계획 수립에 있어 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제65권5호
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• pp.25-35
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• 2023

The estuary reservoir is a major source of agricultural water in Korea; for effective and sustainable water resource management of the estuary reservoir, it is crucial to comprehensively consider various water resource factors, including water supply, flood, and pollutant management, and analyze future runoff changes in consideration of environmental changes such as climate change. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of future climate change on the runoff characteristics of an estuary reservoir watershed. Climate data on future Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios were derived from two Global Climate Models (GCMs) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) was used to simulate past and future long-term runoff of the Ganwol estuary reservoir watershed. The findings showed that as the impact of climate change intensified, the average annual runoff in the future period was higher in the order of SSP5, SSP3, SSP1, and SSP2, and the ratio of runoff in July decreased while the ratio of runoff in October increased. Moreover, in terms of river flow regime, the SSP2 scenario was found to be the most advantageous and the SSP3 scenario was the most disadvantageous. The findings of this study can be used as basic data for developing sustainable water resource management plans and can be applied to estuary reservoir models to predict future environmental changes in estuary reservoirs.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.375-385
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• 2009

The estimation of delivery ratio is a essential part of Korean Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDL) procedure which needs a number of observed stream flow and pollutants data. If observed data were not sufficient, researchers have to find other alternatives. One of them is to make indirect data by using watershed models, such as Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Hydrological Simulation Program - FORTRAN (HSPF) and so on. In this study, indirect daily data was made by using SWAT model. To build the Byongseong-SWAT model accurately, crop cultures are reflected by handling the MGT.file in SWAT model. Especially, mass of manure and schedule of crop culture are inputted through investigating domestic research papers as well as fieldwork. After calibrating SWAT model in comparison with the 22-years flow and pollutants observed outlet data, the delivery ratio of Byongseong watershed is calculated by using daily simulated data during 2004-2007. Empirical equations for delivery ratio through multi-regression analysis are developed by using meteorological and physical factors such as flow, watershed area, stream length, catchment slope, curve number (CN) and subbasin's pollutant discharge loads.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.536-548
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• 2019

기타 수계 중 삽교천 유역에 새롭게 수립된 오염총량관리제도의 시행에 따른 효과를 정량화하기 위해 2015년을 기준으로 유역유출모형인 HSPF 모형을 구축한 후, 최종 목표연도인 2030년의 부하량을 입력하여 각 단위유역 말단에 설정된 목표수질 달성여부를 평가하였으며, 미시행지역인 무한천과 삽교천 유역을 포함하여 유량구간별 수질(BOD, T-P)을 예측하였다. 보정 및 검증이 완료된 모형에 2030년의 부하량을 입력하여 재구동한 후, 모의결과로부터 부하지속곡선을 작성함으로써 기준년도 부하량을 입력하여 구동한 모의 수질과 목표연도 부하량을 입력하여 모의한 예측 수질을 유량구간별로 도식화한 결과, 평수량 구간(40~60%)에서 3개의 단위유역 모두 BOD 목표수질에 근접하게 모의되었으며, 목표수질 달성율도 높게 산정되었다. T-P의 경우, 천안A 46%, 곡교A 29%, 남원A 25% 정도의 수질이 개선되는 것으로 예측되었으며, 무한천과 삽교천유역은 중권역 목표기준인 III등급 이내의 수질로 모의되었다. 총량관리 대상 단위유역은 목표수질을 달성하고, 미시행지역은 목표등급을 달성하는 수준의 수질이 삽교호 내로 유입될 것으로 예측됨으로써 총량제 시행에 따른 삽교천 유역의 수질개선효과가 긍정적일 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제49권4호
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• pp.13-22
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• 2007

The uncertainty in water quality model predictions is inevitably high due to natural stochasticity, model uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. An integrated modeling system under uncertainty was described and demonstrated for use in watershed management and receiving-water quality prediction. A watershed model (HSPF), a receiving water quality model (WASP), and a wetland model (NPS-WET) were incorporated into an integrated modeling system (modified-BASINS) and applied to the Hwaseong Reservoir watershed. Reservoir water quality was predicted using the calibrated integrated modeling system, and the deterministic integrated modeling output was useful for estimating mean water quality given future watershed conditions and assessing the spatial distribution of pollutant loads. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the effect of various uncertainties on output prediction. Without pollution control measures in the watershed, the concentrations of total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorous (T-P) in the Hwaseong Reservoir, considering uncertainty, would be less than about 4.8 and 0.26 mg 4.8 and 0.26 mg $L^{-1}$, respectively, with 95% confidence. The effects of two watershed management practices, a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and a constructed wetland (WETLAND), were evaluated. The combined scenario (WWTP + WETLAND) was the most effective at improving reservoir water quality, bringing concentrations of T-N and T-P in the Hwaseong Reservoir to less than 3.54 and 0.15 mg ${L^{-1}$, 26.7 and 42.9% improvements, respectively, with 95% confidence. Overall, the Monte Carlo simulation in the integrated modeling system was practical for estimating uncertainty and reliable in water quality prediction. The approach described here may allow decisions to be made based on probability and level of risk, and its application is recommended.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.520-530
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• 2021

Multivariate statistical analysis and an environmental hydrological model were applied for investigating the causes of water pollution and providing best management practices for water quality improvement in urban and agricultural watersheds. Principal component analysis (PCA) and cluster analysis (CA) for water quality time series data show that chemical oxygen demand (COD), total organic carbon (TOC), suspended solids (SS) and total phosphorus (T-P) are classified as non-point source pollutants that are highly correlated with river discharge. Total nitrogen (T-N), which has no correlation with river discharge and inverse relationship with water temperature, behaves like a point source with slow and consistent release. Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) shows intermediate characteristics between point and non-point source pollutants. The results of the PCA and CA for the spatial water quality data indicate that the cluster 1 of the watersheds was characterized as upstream watersheds with good water quality and high proportion of forest. The cluster 3 shows however indicates the most polluted watersheds with substantial discharge of BOD and nutrients from urban sewage, agricultural and industrial activities. The cluster 2 shows intermediate characteristics between the clusters 1 and 3. The results of hydrological simulation program-Fortran (HSPF) model simulation indicated that the seasonal patterns of BOD, T-N and T-P are affected substantially by agricultural and livestock farming activities, untreated wastewater, and environmental flow. The spatial analysis on the model results indicates that the highly-populated watersheds are the prior contributors to the water quality degradation of the river.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2005년도 학술발표논문집
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• pp.534-539
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• 2005

The purpose of this study is the introduction of pollutant loads's estimation into Saemangeum watershed area with M.E.'s guidebook for TMDL and GIS tool. To estimate reliable pollutants loads, it is necessary to think about characteristic of removal, discharge and runoff as time series. In this study, it was calculated for generation loads which be came from pollutant source, discharge loads which be reduced in the treatment facilities and delivery loads which be considered the self purification parameter and delivery distance. To assess the delivery distance handily, it was particularly estimated using Arc-GIS. It was met with good results that delivery loads of BOD, T-N and T-P was reflected to seasonal precipitation. Lastly to verify the estimated pollutant loads, HSPF developed by USEPA was applied to it. It was showed a relativity of observed to simulated data for flow, Temperature, DO, BOD, $NO_3^--N$ TN and TP. Consequantly, this delivery loads can make full use of model input data for prediction of pollutant loads.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제44권7호
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• pp.25-35
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• 2002

In this study, the effect of DEM (Digital Elevation Model) resolution (15m, 30m, 50m, 70m, 100m, 200m, 300m) on the hydrological simulation was examined using the BASINS (Better Assessment Science Integrating point and Nonpoint Source) for the Heukcheon watershed (303.3 ㎢) data from 1998 to 1999. Generally, as the cell size of DEM increased, topographical changes were observed as the original range of elevation decreased. The processing time of watershed delineation and river network needed more time and effort on smaller cell size of DEM. The larger DEM demonstrated had some errors in the junction of river network which might affect on the simulation of water quantity and quality. The area weighted average watershed slope became milder but the length weighted average channel slope became steeper as the DEM size increased. DEM resolution affected substantially on the topographical parameter but less on the hydrological simulation. Considering processing time and accuracy on hydrological simulation, DEM grid size of 100m is recommended for this range of watershed size.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제64권6호
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• pp.1-12
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• 2022

Estuary reservoirs were artificial reservoir with seawalls built at the exit points of rivers. Although many water resources can be saved, it is difficult to manage due to the large influx of pollutants. To manage this, it is necessary to analyze watersheds and reservoirs through accurate modeling. Therefore, in this study, we linked the Hydrological Simulation Program-FORTRAN (HSPF), Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code (EFDC), and Water quality Analysis Simulation Program (WASP) models to simulate the hydrology and water quality of the watershed and the water level and quality of estuary lakes. As a result of applying the linked model in stream, R² 0.7 or more was satisfied for the watershed runoff except for one point. In addition, the water quality satisfies all within 15% of PBIAS. In reservoir, R² 0.72 was satisfied for water level and the water quality was within 15% of T-N and T-P. Through the modeling system, We applied upstream pollutant management scenarios to analyze changes in water quality in estuary reservoirs. Three pollution source management were applied as scenarios, the improvement of effluent water quality from the sewage treatment plant and the livestock waste treatment plant was effective in improving the quality of the reservoir water, while the artificial wetland had little effect. Water quality improvement was confirmed as a measure against upstream pollutants, but it was insufficient to achieve agricultural water quality, so additional reservoir management is required.