• Title/Summary/Keyword: Growth simulation

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Analysis Method of the Effect of National R&D investments on Economic Growth

  • Choi, Eun-Chul
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 1999
  • This paper investigates the effects of various R&D investments on economic growth empirically. To this end, the relationships between various R&D investments and economic growth are analysed, and the rates of return of R&D investments are estimated. Furthermore, the effect of government R&D investment on private sector R&D investment, and the effect of social factors, which affect the relationship between the R&D inputs and economic growth, are analysed. Based on the results of this analysis, a simulation model is developed, which shows the relationship between R&D investments and economic growth rate; this model is verified by analysing the correlation between the actual and the estimated economic growth rate, using the data between 1981 and 1995 of eight selected countries. The validation results show that the simulation model has sufficient accuracy to be used for evaluating and proposing R&D policies for the countries for which appropriate data is available. However, the time-lag effect, which is naturally believed to exist between the R&D input and the economic growth, could not be analysed in a mathematical form, because of the lack of the data to establish this relationship. Thus, when estimating the relationship between them, the time-lag effect in this relationship was included implicitly by using the data of fifteen years.

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Evaluation of Leak Probability in Pipes using P-PIE Program (P-PIE 프로그램을 이용한 배관에서의 누설확률 평가)

  • Park, Jai Hak;Shin, Chang Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2017
  • P-PIE is a program developed to estimate failure probability of pipes and pressure vessels considering fatigue and stress corrosion crack growth. Using the program, crack growth simulation was performed with an initially existing crack in order to examine the effects of initial crack depth distribution on the leak probability of pipes. In the simulation stress corrosion crack growth was considered and several crack depth distribution models were used. From the results it was found that the initial crack depth distribution gives great effect on the leak probability of pipes. The log-normal distribution proposed by Khaleel and Simonen gives lower leak probability compared other exponential distribution models. The effects of the number and the quality of pre-service and in-service inspections on the leak probability were also examined and it was recognized that the number and the quality of pre-service and in-service inspections are also give great effect on the leak probability. In order to reduce the leak probability of pipes in plants it is very important to improve the quality of inspections. When in-service inspection is performed every 10 years and the quality of inspection is above the very good level, the leak probability shows nearly constant value after the first inspection for an initially existing crack.

Reduction of Grain Growth for Al6061 Alloy by the Die Cooling System in Hot Extrusion Process (Al6061 합금의 열간 압출공정에서 금형 냉각시스템에 의한 압출재의 결정립 성장 제어)

  • Ko, Dae-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Ho;Ko, Dae-Cheol;Kim, Ho-Kwan;Kim, Byung-Min
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.7
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    • pp.673-680
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    • 2009
  • In this study, die cooling system using the nitrogen gas has been applied to hot aluminum extrusion process for refining grains and reducing of grain growth. Computational fluid dynamics(CFD) has been carried out to evaluate die cooling effect by nitrogen gas, and the results of CFD have been used to FE-simulation for the prediction of the extrudate temperature in hot extrusion process. Experimental hot extrusion has been performed to observe microstructure and to measure temperature of extrudate. The results of FE-Simulation have been good agreement with those of experiment. Finally, process condition of hot extrusion can be established to reduce grain growth of Al6061 through the experiment.

Evaluation of Creep Crack Growth Failure Probability at Weld Interface Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 모사에 의한 용접 계면에서의 크리프 균열성장 파손 확률 평가)

  • Lee Jin-Sang;Yoon Kee-Bong
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2005
  • A probabilistic approach for evaluating failure risk is suggested in this paper. Probabilistic fracture analyses were performed for a pressurized pipe of a Cr-Mo steel reflecting variation of material properties at high temperature. A crack was assumed to be located along the weld fusion line. Probability density functions of major variables were determined by statistical analyses of material creep and creep crack growth data measured by the previous experimental studies by authors. Distributions of these variables were implemented in Monte Carlo simulation of this study. As a fracture parameter for characterizing growth of a fusion line crack between two materials with different creep properties, $C_t$ normalized with $C^*$ was employed. And the elapsed time was also normalized with tT, Resultingly, failure probability as a function of operating time was evaluated fur various cases. Conventional deterministic life assessment result was turned out to be conservative compared with that of probabilistic result. Sensitivity analysis for each input variable was conducted to understand the most influencing variable to the analysis results. Internal pressure, creep crack growth coefficient and creep coefficient were more sensitive to failure probability than other variables.

A Study on the Electrical Characteristics of Photovoltaic Module Depending on Micro-Crack Patterns of Crystalline Silicon Solar Cell (결정질 태양전지의 Micro-crack 패턴에 따른 PV모듈의 전기적 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Young-Hun;Kang, Gi-Hwan;Yu, Gwon-Jong;Ahn, Hyung-Gun;Han, Deuk-Young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.407-412
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    • 2012
  • This study investigated the process of thermal-induced growth of micro-crack developed at the crystalline solar cell using EL image, determined the output characteristic according to the pattern of micro-crack, analyzed the I-V characteristic according to the pattern of crack growth, and predicted the output value using simulation. The purpose of this study was, therefore, to investigate the process of thermal-induced growth of micro-crack developed at the early stage of PV module completion using EL image, to analyze the resulting decrement of output and predict the output value using simulation. It was observed that the crack grew increasingly by the thermal condition, and accordingly the lowering of output was accelerated. The output values of crack patterns with various direction were predicted using simulation, resulting in close I-V curve with only around 4% of error rate. It is considered that it is possible to predict the electric characteristic of solar cell module using only pattern of micro-crack occurred at solar cell based on our results.

A GENERAL SIMULATION MODEL FOR CATTLE GROWTH AND BEEF PRODUCTION

  • Hirooka, H.;Yamada, Y.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.205-218
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    • 1990
  • A general model was developed to simulate cattle growth and beef production. The present model was constructed, based on ARC metabolizable energy system in principle, and incorporated up-to-date knowledge and information into previous models, which were reported by Sanders and Cartwright (1979a,b) and Kahn (1982). The model may apply to cover a wide range of genetic and environmental conditions, because many factors relating to cattle growth and beef production are taken into consideration. The model may provide better understanding of various components and processes of beef cattle production systems.

Generation of Pseudo-Random Load Waves and Preliminary Study on Surface Fatigue Crack Growth under Random Loading (유사랜덤하중파형 작성과 이를 이용한 랜덤하중하의 표면피로 균열진전에 관한 기초적 검토)

  • 송지호;김종한;김정엽
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 1989
  • Pseudo-random load waves for fatigue testing were generated by personal computer simulation and preliminary study was performed on the growth behavior of surface fatigue crack under random ladings. The closure behavior and growth rates of surface fatigue crack were significantly influenced by the characteristics of random waves. It was also found that the growth rates of surface fatigue crack under random loadings could not be always described by the effective stress intensity factor based on the concept of crack closure.

Fatigue Crack Growth Simulation of Arbitrarily Shaped Three Dimensional Cracks Using Finite Element Alternating Method (유한요소 교호법을 이용한 임의 형상의 삼차원 균열의 피로균열 성장 해석)

  • Park, Jai-Hak;Kim, Tae-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.1 s.73
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2006
  • The finite element alternating method is a convenient and efficient method to analyze three-dimensional cracks embedded in an infinite or a finite body because the method has the property that the uncracked body and cracks can be modeled independently. In this paper the method was applied for fatigue crack growth simulation. A surface crack in a cylinder was considered as an initial crack and the crack configurations and stress intensity factors during the crack growth were obtained. In this paper the finite element alternating method proposed by Nikishkov, Park and Atluri was used after modification. In the method, as the required solution for a crack in an infinite body, the symmetric Galerkin boundary element method formulated by Li and Mear was used. And a crack was modeled as distribution of displacement discontinuities, and the governing equation was formulated as singularity-reduced integral equations.

Finding Policy Leverages with Analysis of Dynamic Growth Behaviors of Cyberspace and Electronic Commerce (전자공간과 전자상거래 성장의 동태성 분석을 통한 Policy Leverage 탐색)

  • 하원규;김도훈;문태훈;최남희;홍민기
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.29-56
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    • 2000
  • During the past few years, cyberspace and electronic commerce has been expanding throughout the world rapidly. The purpose of this paper is to find out policy leverages for boosting up cyberspace and electronic commerce using system dynamics simulation modeling approach. The system dynamics simulation model developed in this paper allows analysis of both the effect of factors on dynamic growth pattern of cyberspace as well as the effect of time delay in information processing, money transfer and delivery on model behavior. Finding of this study is that capacity of information infrastructure and size of cyberspace population are key factors of cyberspace growth. Also, reducing time delay in information flow, money flow, and delivery flow is an important policy leverages for growth of electronic commerce.

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Advances in Simulation of Arbitrary 3D Crack Growth using FRANC3Dv5

  • Wawrzynek, P.A.;Carter, B.J.;Hwang, Chang-Yu;Ingraffea, A.R.
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.607-613
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    • 2010
  • FRANC3D is a program for simulating arbitrary three-dimensional crack growth. Recently, a completely new version of the program, FRANC3D/NG, has been created. Unlike previous versions, which relied largely on boundary element analysis, the new version of the program works with finite element analysis exclusively and is designed to work with general-purpose commercial finite element packages. This paper presents the theoretical underpinnings of the procedures to adaptively modify the geometry and mesh of a model to simulate crack growth.