• Title/Summary/Keyword: Growth failure

Search Result 868, Processing Time 0.1 seconds

Reliability Growth Management in the Development and Initial Production of a System (시스템의 개발 및 초기생산 단계에서의 신뢰성 성장관리)

  • Jung Won;Lee Hwan-Tae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2005.05a
    • /
    • pp.187-192
    • /
    • 2005
  • Under development program for a complex system, the total system or major subsystems are tested to failure, system failure modes are analyzed, and design and engineering changes are made to eliminate these failure modes. If this TAAF(test-analyze-and-fix) process is continued, and modifications are made in a competent manner, then the system reliability increase. This paper presents the reliability growth theory and applies it to some subsystems during their development and initial production testing. The application of these techniques is a part of the product assurance function that plays an important role in product reliability improvement. In addition, the EN 50126 requires essentially reliability growth for RAM growth monitoring.

  • PDF

Evaluation of Creep Crack Growth Failure Probability at Weld Interface Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 모사에 의한 용접 계면에서의 크리프 균열성장 파손 확률 평가)

  • Lee Jin-Sang;Yoon Kee-Bong
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.61-66
    • /
    • 2005
  • A probabilistic approach for evaluating failure risk is suggested in this paper. Probabilistic fracture analyses were performed for a pressurized pipe of a Cr-Mo steel reflecting variation of material properties at high temperature. A crack was assumed to be located along the weld fusion line. Probability density functions of major variables were determined by statistical analyses of material creep and creep crack growth data measured by the previous experimental studies by authors. Distributions of these variables were implemented in Monte Carlo simulation of this study. As a fracture parameter for characterizing growth of a fusion line crack between two materials with different creep properties, $C_t$ normalized with $C^*$ was employed. And the elapsed time was also normalized with tT, Resultingly, failure probability as a function of operating time was evaluated fur various cases. Conventional deterministic life assessment result was turned out to be conservative compared with that of probabilistic result. Sensitivity analysis for each input variable was conducted to understand the most influencing variable to the analysis results. Internal pressure, creep crack growth coefficient and creep coefficient were more sensitive to failure probability than other variables.

MTBF Estimator in Reliability Growth Model with Application to Weibull Process (와이블과정을 응용한 신뢰성 성장 모형에서의 MTBF 추정$^+$)

  • 이현우;김재주;박성현
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.71-81
    • /
    • 1998
  • In reliability analysis, the time difference between the expected next failure time and the current failure time or the Mean Time Between Failure(MTBF) is of significant interest. Until recently, in reliability growth studies, the reciprocal of the intensity function at current failure time has been used as being equal to MTBE($t_n$)at the n-th failure time $t_n$. That is MTBF($t_n$)=l/$\lambda (t_n)$. However, such a relationship is only true for Homogeneous Poisson Process(HPP). Tsokos(1995) obtained the upper bound and lower bound for the MTBF($t_n$) and proposed an estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) as the mean of the two bounds. In this paper, we provide the estimator for the MTBF($t_n$) which does not depend on the value of the shape parameter. The result of the Monte Carlo simulation shows that the proposed estimator has better efficiency than Tsokos's estimator.

  • PDF

Development of P-PIE Program for Evaluating Failure Probability of Pipes in Nuclear Power Plants (원전 배관의 파손확률평가를 위한 P-PIE 프로그램의 개발)

  • Park, Jai-Hak;Lee, Jae-Bong;Choi, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.25 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2010
  • P-PIE program is developed for evaluating failure probability of pipes in nuclear power plants based on the existing PRAISE program. In the program, crack growth due to fatigue loading and stress corrosion can be considered and the probability of fracture or leakage of pipes can be calculated. Crack growth simulation is performed based on stress intensity factor and a damage parameter and failure of a pipe is determined based on J integral or net section yielding. Using the developed program the failure probabilities of tubes in a domestic nuclear power is obtained and discussed.

Parameter Estimation of Reliability Growth Model with Incomplete Data Using Bayesian Method (베이지안 기법을 적용한 Incomplete data 기반 신뢰성 성장 모델의 모수 추정)

  • Park, Cheongeon;Lim, Jisung;Lee, Sangchul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.47 no.10
    • /
    • pp.747-752
    • /
    • 2019
  • By using the failure information and the cumulative test execution time obtained by performing the reliability growth test, it is possible to estimate the parameter of the reliability growth model, and the Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) of the product can be predicted through the parameter estimation. However the failure information could be acquired periodically or the number of sample data of the obtained failure information could be small. Because there are various constraints such as the cost and time of test or the characteristics of the product. This may cause the error of the parameter estimation of the reliability growth model to increase. In this study, the Bayesian method is applied to estimating the parameters of the reliability growth model when the number of sample data for the fault information is small. Simulation results show that the estimation accuracy of Bayesian method is more accurate than that of Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) respectively in estimation the parameters of the reliability growth model.

Influence of nano-silica on the failure mechanism of concrete specimens

  • Nazerigivi, Amin;Nejati, Hamid Reza;Ghazvinian, Abdolhadi;Najigivi, Alireza
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • v.19 no.4
    • /
    • pp.429-434
    • /
    • 2017
  • Failure of basic structures material is usually accompanied by expansion of interior cracks due to stress concentration at the cracks tip. This phenomenon shows the importance of examination of the failure behavior of concrete structures. To this end, 4 types of mortar samples with different amounts of nano-silica (0%, 0.5%, 1%, and 1.5%) were made to prepare twelve $50{\times}50{\times}50mm$ cubic samples. The goal of this study was to describe the failure and micro-crack growth behavior of the cement mortars in presence of nano-silica particles and control mortars during different curing days. Failure of mortar samples under compressive strength were sensed with acoustic emission technique (AET) at different curing days. It was concluded that the addition of nano-silica particles could modify failure and micro-crack growth behavior of mortar samples. Also, monitoring of acoustic emission parameters exposed differences in failure behavior due to the addition of the nanoparticles. Mortar samples of nano-silica particles revealed stronger shear mode characteristics than those without nanoparticles, which revealed high acoustic activity due to heterogeneous matrix. It is worth mentioning that the highest compressive strength for 3 and 7 test ages obtained from samples with the addition of 1.5% nano-silica particles. On the other hand maximum compressive strength of 28 curing days obtained from samples with 1% combination of nano-silica particles.

Practical Reliability Growth Management for RAM Growth Monitoring (RAM 성장모니터링을 위한 실용적인 신뢰성 성장관리)

  • Jung Won
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2005.11a
    • /
    • pp.258-263
    • /
    • 2005
  • The purpose of this research is to present a practical method for efficiently monitoring a reliability growth process using AMSAA(Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity) reliability growth model. The presented method is viable for identifying failure modes, incorporating design changes and monitoring reliability progress on an on-going basis during the early stages of a product development program. According to the Application Guide for EN 50126(RAM part for Rolling Stock), reliability growth monitoring is essential part of the main tasks of design phase in RAM growth monitoring. Implementation of reliability growth management program will provide very useful information on concept selection, product/process reliability, and cost effectiveness without too much time, money and engineering effort being spent on the development of failure suspect parts.

  • PDF

Evaluating the Effect of Specimen Thickness on Fatigue Crack Growth in AZ31 Alloy Using ANOVA (분산분석법을 이용한 AZ31 합금의 피로균열성장에 미치는 시편두께 효과 평가)

  • Choi, Seon Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.9-16
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to assess the effects of specimen thickness (ST) on fatigue crack growth in the early stages of crack propagation and near failure in magnesium alloys. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) method was adopted because fatigue crack propagation in magnesium alloys exhibits statistical behavior. The equality of variance test and residual diagnostics were performed on the grown cracks to confirm the validity of ANOVA by verifying the normal distribution and mutual independence of the residuals and their homoscedasticity. ANOVA confirmed that ST heavily impacts crack growth; i.e., when ST is smaller, cracks grow faster in the early crack propagation stage and break more quickly before the formation of larger cracks. We found that ST significantly affects fatigue crack growth in the early crack propagation stage and near the failure stage in magnesium alloys. The regression model was also used to predict crack formation near the failure stage.

Comparison of Failure Rates in Measuring Software Reliability (소프트웨어 신뢰도 측정에서 고장률 비교)

  • Jung, Hye Jung
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.5
    • /
    • pp.15-20
    • /
    • 2022
  • This research studied the evaluation of reliability among the software quality characteristics: suitability, reliability, usability, portability, maintainability, performance efficiency, security, and compatibility. It proposes a quantitative evaluation of reliability in the measurement of software quality. This study introduces a method for measuring the failure rate included in maturity during reliability evaluation, which is one of the characteristics of software quality, and is a study with experimental data on how the failure rate changes depending on the form of failure data. Focusing on software testing, the failure rate was measured and compared according to the type of failure data by applying it to the software reliability growth model, focusing on the number of failures per day. The failure rate was measured around the failure time found through the 6-day test, and the failure rate was compared with the failure rate proposed by the international standard ISO/IEC 25023 using the measurement results, and the application was reviewed according to the data type.

Crack Growth and Debonding Behaviors of the Pre-cracked RC Beams Repaired with Carbon Fiber Sheets (사전균열로 손상된 RC 보의 탄소섬유시트 보수 후의 균열성장 및 박락거동)

  • Kim, Chung Ho;Ko, Sin Woong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.10 no.5
    • /
    • pp.121-129
    • /
    • 2006
  • This study look into the mechanisms of growth and magnification of the cracks and delamination in the pre-cracked RC beams repaired with carbon fiber sheets. The experimental parameters were loading type, loading speed and crack. In the experiments, it was confirmed that a failure of beams began with development and propagation of the stepped delamination in the below the loading point due to the rapid change of shear force, but mechanisms of the failure were not influenced with loading type, loading speed and pre-cracks. Particularly, in the case of beams having the pre-cracks, growth of crack concentrated at the special crack below the loading point and led to failure of the beam by delamination due to magnification of crack.