• Title/Summary/Keyword: Granger casuality test

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Investigating the Causal Relationship between Service Quality and Customer Satisfaction by Granger's Test of Casuality Method (서비스품질과 고객만족간의 인과관계 실증 분석 : Granger 검정법을 중심으로)

  • Park, Yoon-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.143-160
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    • 2011
  • In the marketing research area, service quality and customer satisfaction have been considered as ones of the most important marketing variables. However, there has been a lot of controversy over the direction of the casual relationship between the service quality and the customer satisfaction. The purpose of this study is to investigate the casual relationship between the service quality and the customer satisfaction. Granger's test of casuality method has been used to test the casuality relationship between two variables. In this paper, we applied the Granger's test of casuality method to KS-SQI and NCSI data of 17 business area which had been gathered annually. As the research result, we found that the customer satisfaction might cause the service quality in many service area.

An Empirical Study on the Causalities and Effects between Inbound Tourism and Service Industry GDP in China (국제 인바운드 관광과 중국내 서비스 산업 GDP간의 인과관계 및 효과에 관한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Sup
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.363-387
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    • 2010
  • This papers studies the causalities and effects on the relationship between inbound tourism(TOU) and the production amount of service industry in China, using the unit root test, the Granger causality test, the cointegration test, and VECM. we take their natural logarithm and define them as TOU and SGDP: these represent the distributed variable based the lagged values of the number of international tourists by continent and real production amount in service industry of China, respectively. The results of empirical study of this papers are as follows: Firstly, in the unit root test, we found that each time series was unstable one that has unit root. This result made me use 1st differenced data for this empirical study. Secondly, in the Granger casuality test, the study results show that there is unilateral casuality relation between DLSGDP-$DLTOU_i$ except DLSGDP-DLTOUL model for the same time, while no casuality relation between DLTOU-DLSGDP for all models of China. Thirdly, there is cointegration relation between all models for the period of 1980-2008.

A Study On Causal Relationship between Exchange Rate and Economic Growth in Korea (한국의 환율과 경제성장과의 인과관계)

  • Choi, Bong-Ho
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.329-347
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the causal relationship between the exchange rate and economic growth, and to induce policy implications. In order to test whether time series data is stationary and the model is fitness or not, we put in operation unit root test, cointegration test. And we apply Granger causality based on an error correction model. The results indicate that uni-dierctional causality between exchange rate and economic growth is detected. Exchange rate impacts on economic growth, but economic growth don't impact on exchange rate. The analysis of impulse reaction function shows that the impulse of exchange rate impacts on Korean economic growth in negative direction. We can infer policy suggestion as follows: The fluctuation of exchange rate much affects economic growth, thus we must make a stable policy of exchange rate to continue economic growth.

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Impulse Responses Analysis of Government and Public Sector R&D in IT Industry (정보통신산업 공공 연구개발(R&D)투자의 파급효과 분석)

  • Yang, Chang-Joon;Hong, Jung-Sik;Ko, Sang-Won
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2008
  • We investigate the effect of government and public sector R&D Investment at IT Industry on the amount of Production, export and nongovernment R&D Investment at IT Industry. We, firstly, examine the stationarity of each variable by the unit root t-test and perform the co-integration test for the pairs of variables. We use YECM(Vector Error Correction Model) according to the results of co-integration test for the examination of Granger-causality between variables. It is found that there exist an Granger-causality between public sector R&D Investment and nongovernment R&D investment and also between public sector R&D Investment and export. Secondly, we analyze the impulse response of government and public sector R&D Investment at IT Industry on the amount of production, export and nongovernment R&D investment at IT Industry based on VECM model. It is found that the response of the amount of production is highest at 3th period and is lowest at 8th period and that of export shows similar pattern.

The performance evaluation of dam management by using Granger causal analysis (그랜저 인과분석을 통한 댐관리 성과평가)

  • Cho, Sung-Min;Yoo, Myoung-Kwan;Lee, Deokro
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2021
  • This paper attempted to find implications for water resource management and water quality improvement by analyzing the causal relationship among discharge, water temperature and pollution index, which were expected to have a great effect on water quality with the rise of water temperature and precipitation change as the warming effect in recent years. For this purpose, the unit root test, cointegration test, and Granger causal test were carried out for 10 multi-purpose dams in Korean major water systems using time series data on discharge, water temperature, BOD, COD and DO. It was analyzed that the fluctuation of water temperature affected the pollution index more than the fluctuation of discharge volume. Also, Hapcheon dam and Chungju dam were the best water quality management dams based on the high causal relationship between water quality and discharge. The second rank was Daecheong dam. The third-ranking group were Yongdam and Andong dam, whose causal relationships between water quality and discharge were low. The last group were the remaining five dams.

The Law of One Price and Dynamic Relationship between EU ETS and Nord Pool Carbon Prices (국제 탄소배출권 가격의 일물일가 검정 및 동태적 분석)

  • Mo, Jung-Youn;Yang, Seung-Ryong;Cho, Yong-Sung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.569-593
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    • 2005
  • This study tests for the law of one price and Grander Causality between the EU ETS and Nord Pool $CO_2$ allowance prices. The Johansen cointegration test shows that there exists a long run equilibrium between EU ETS and Nord Pool prices and support the law of one price. The Granger casuality test suggests that the EU ETS leads Nord Pool for all vintages traded. The test results imply that the EU ETS can be regarded as the representative carbon market in the EU where many exchanges just started competing for the newly rising market for carbon.

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Comovement of International Stock Market Price Index (주가동조현상에 관한 연구)

  • Khil, Jae-Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.181-200
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    • 2003
  • Comovement of international stock market prices has been lately a major controversy in the global stock market. This paper explores whether the common trend has really existed among the US, Japan and Korea's stock markets using the econometric techniques such as VAR, VECM as applied. Pair of indices from the exchange market and the over-the-counter market in each country has been tested, and the exchange market only has been turned out that the common trend existed. The dynamic analyses using the Granger causality test, impulse response function, and the forecast error decomposition have followed to show that the US stock market has played some important role in the Korea and Japan's market in the exchange as well as in the OTC market. The results of the paper imply that the more careful investigation with respect to the co-integration may be necessary in the global market integration studies.

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