• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• v.37 no.4
• /
• pp.395-418
• /
• 2024

The epicentral region of earthquakes is typically where liquefaction-related damage takes place. To determine the maximum distance, such as maximum epicentral distance (R_e), maximum fault distance (R_f), or maximum hypocentral distance (R_h), at which an earthquake can inflict damage, given its magnitude, this study, using a recently updated global liquefaction database, multiple ML models are built to predict the limiting distances (R_e, R_f, or R_h) required for an earthquake of a given magnitude to cause damage. Four machine learning models LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory), BiLSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory), CNN (Convolutional Neural Network), and XGB (Extreme Gradient Boosting) are developed using the Python programming language. All four proposed ML models performed better than empirical models for limiting distance assessment. Among these models, the XGB model outperformed all the models. In order to determine how well the suggested models can predict limiting distances, a number of statistical parameters have been studied. To compare the accuracy of the proposed models, rank analysis, error matrix, and Taylor diagram have been developed. The ML models proposed in this paper are more robust than other current models and may be used to assess the minimal energy of a liquefaction disaster caused by an earthquake or to estimate the maximum distance of a liquefied site provided an earthquake in rapid disaster mapping.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
• /
• v.18 no.5
• /
• pp.1186-1207
• /
• 2024

Bearings are one of the main components of mechanical equipment and one of the primary components prone to faults. Therefore, conducting fault diagnosis on bearings is a key issue in mechanical equipment research. Belief rule base (BRB) is essentially an expert system that effectively integrates qualitative and quantitative information, demonstrating excellent performance in fault diagnosis. However, class imbalance often occurs in the diagnosis task, which poses challenges to the diagnosis. Models with interpretability can enhance decision-makers' trust in the output results. However, the randomness in the optimization process can undermine interpretability, thereby reducing the level of trustworthiness in the results. Therefore, a hierarchical BRB model based on extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) feature selection with interpretability (HFS-IBRB) is proposed in this paper. Utilizing a main BRB alongside multiple sub-BRBs allows for the conversion of a multi-classification challenge into several distinct binary classification tasks, thereby leading to enhanced accuracy. By incorporating interpretability constraints into the model, interpretability is effectively ensured. Finally, the case study of the actual dataset of bearing fault diagnosis demonstrates the ability of the HFS-IBRB model to perform accurate and interpretable diagnosis.

• Annual Conference on Human and Language Technology
• /
• 2020.10a
• /
• pp.563-568
• /
• 2020

본 연구에서는 블랙박스로 알려진 딥러닝 모델에 설명 근거를 제공할 수 있는 설명자 모델을 적용해 보았다. 영화평 감성 분석을 위해 MLP, CNN으로 구성된 딥러닝 모델과 결정트리의 앙상블인 Gradient Boosting 모델을 이용하여 감성 분류기를 구축하였다. 설명자 모델로는 기울기(gradient)을 기반으로 하는 IG와 레이어 사이의 가중치(weight)을 기반으로 하는 CAM, 그리고 설명가능한 대리 모델을 이용하는 LIME과 입력 속성에 대한 선형모델을 추정하는 SHAP을 사용하였다. 설명자 모델의 특성을 보기 위하여 히트맵과 관련성 높은 N개의 속성을 추출해 보았다. 설명자가 제공하는 기여도에 따라 입력 속성을 제거해 가며 분류기 성능 변화를 측정하는 정량적 평가도 수행하였다. 또한, 사람의 판단 근거와의 일치도를 살펴볼 수 있는 '설명 근거 정확도'라는 새로운 평가 방법을 제안하여 적용해 보았다.

• Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
• /
• v.22 no.1
• /
• pp.1-12
• /
• 2020

As one of the essential resources in the agricultural process, soil moisture has been carefully managed by predicting future changes and deficits. In recent years, statistics and machine learning based approach to predict soil moisture has been preferred in academia for its generalizability and ease of use in the field. However, little is known that machine learning based soil moisture prediction is applicable in the situation of South Korea. In this sense, this paper aims to examine 1) whether publicly available weather data generated in South Korea has sufficient quality to predict soil moisture, 2) which machine learning algorithm would perform best in the situation of South Korea, and 3) whether a single machine learning model could be generally applicable in various regions. We used various machine learning methods such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Extremely Randomized Trees (ET), Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM), and Deep Feedforward Network (DFN) to predict future soil moisture in Andong, Boseong, Cheolwon, Suncheon region with open source weather data. As a result, GBM model showed the lowest prediction error in every data set we used (R squared: 0.96, RMSE: 1.8). Furthermore, GBM showed the lowest variance of prediction error between regions which indicates it has the highest generalizability.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
• /
• v.7 no.10
• /
• pp.387-396
• /
• 2018

Stock price prediction has been a difficult problem to solve. There have been many studies to predict stock price scientifically, but it is still impossible to predict the exact price. Recently, a variety of types of cryptocurrency has been developed, beginning with Bitcoin, which is technically implemented as the concept of distributed ledger. Various approaches have been attempted to predict the price of cryptocurrency. Especially, it is various from attempts to stock prediction techniques in traditional stock market, to attempts to apply deep learning and reinforcement learning. Since the market for cryptocurrency has many new features that are not present in the existing traditional stock market, there is a growing demand for new analytical techniques suitable for the cryptocurrency market. In this study, we first collect and process seven cryptocurrency price data through Bithumb's API. Then, we use the gradient boosting model, which is a data-driven learning based machine learning model, and let the model learn the price data change of cryptocurrency. We also find the most optimal model parameters in the verification step, and finally evaluate the prediction performance of the cryptocurrency price trends.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
• /
• v.35 no.6
• /
• pp.417-424
• /
• 2021

Algal bloom is an ongoing issue in the management of freshwater systems for drinking water supply, and the chlorophyll-a concentration is commonly used to represent the status of algal bloom. Thus, the prediction of chlorophyll-a concentration is essential for the proper management of water quality. However, the chlorophyll-a concentration is affected by various water quality and environmental factors, so the prediction of its concentration is not an easy task. In recent years, many advanced machine learning algorithms have increasingly been used for the development of surrogate models to prediction the chlorophyll-a concentration in freshwater systems such as rivers or reservoirs. This study used a light gradient boosting machine(LightGBM), a gradient boosting decision tree algorithm, to develop an ensemble machine learning model to predict chlorophyll-a concentration. The field water quality data observed at Daecheong Lake, obtained from the real-time water information system in Korea, were used for the development of the model. The data include temperature, pH, electric conductivity, dissolved oxygen, total organic carbon, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and chlorophyll-a. First, a LightGBM model was developed to predict the chlorophyll-a concentration by using the other seven items as independent input variables. Second, the time-lagged values of all the input variables were added as input variables to understand the effect of time lag of input variables on model performance. The time lag (i) ranges from 1 to 50 days. The model performance was evaluated using three indices, root mean squared error-observation standard deviation ration (RSR), Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (NSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The model showed the best performance by adding a dataset with a one-day time lag (i=1) where RSR, NSE, and MAE were 0.359, 0.871 and 1.510, respectively. The improvement of model performance was observed when a dataset with a time lag up of about 15 days (i=15) was added.

• Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
• /
• v.21 no.5
• /
• pp.617-625
• /
• 2018

Phishing website has become a crucial concern in cyber security applications. It is performed by fraudulently deceiving users with the aim of obtaining their sensitive information such as bank account information, credit card, username, and password. The threat has led to huge losses to online retailers, e-business platform, financial institutions, and to name but a few. One way to build anti-phishing detection mechanism is to construct classification algorithm based on machine learning techniques. The objective of this paper is to compare different classifier ensemble approaches, i.e. random forest, rotation forest, gradient boosted machine, and extreme gradient boosting against single classifiers, i.e. decision tree, classification and regression tree, and credal decision tree in the case of website phishing. Area under ROC curve (AUC) is employed as a performance metric, whilst statistical tests are used as baseline indicator of significance evaluation among classifiers. The paper contributes the existing literature on making a benchmark of classifier ensembles for web phishing detection.

• Journal of Multimedia Information System
• /
• v.5 no.2
• /
• pp.99-104
• /
• 2018

Phishing website has become a crucial concern in cyber security applications. It is performed by fraudulently deceiving users with the aim of obtaining their sensitive information such as bank account information, credit card, username, and password. The threat has led to huge losses to online retailers, e-business platform, financial institutions, and to name but a few. One way to build anti-phishing detection mechanism is to construct classification algorithm based on machine learning techniques. The objective of this paper is to compare different classifier ensemble approaches, i.e. random forest, rotation forest, gradient boosted machine, and extreme gradient boosting against single classifiers, i.e. decision tree, classification and regression tree, and credal decision tree in the case of website phishing. Area under ROC curve (AUC) is employed as a performance metric, whilst statistical tests are used as baseline indicator of significance evaluation among classifiers. The paper contributes the existing literature on making a benchmark of classifier ensembles for web phishing detection.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
• /
• v.46 no.2
• /
• pp.43-55
• /
• 2016

This study estimated land prices using instance-based learning. A k-nearest neighbor method was utilized among various instance-based learning methods, and the 10 distance metrics including Euclidean distance were calculated in k-nearest neighbor estimation. One distance metric prediction which shows the best predictive performance would be normally chosen as final estimate out of 10 distance metric predictions. In contrast to this practice, an ensemble technique which combines multiple predictions to obtain better performance was applied in this study. We applied the gradient boosting algorithm, a sort of residual-fitting model to our data in ensemble combining. Sales price data of farm lands in Haenam-gun, Jeolla Province were used to demonstrate advantages of instance-based learning as well as an ensemble technique. The result showed that the ensemble prediction was more accurate than previous 10 distance metric predictions.

• Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
• /
• v.41 no.5
• /
• pp.185-194
• /
• 2020

Arrhythmia is basically diagnosed with the electrocardiogram (ECG) signal, however, ECG is difficult to measure and it requires expert help in analyzing the signal. On the other hand, the radial pulse can be measured with easy and uncomplicated way in daily life, and could be suitable bio-signal for the recent untact paradigm and extensible signal for diagnosis of Korean medicine based on pulse pattern. In this study, we developed an irregular radial pulse detection algorithm based on a learning model and considered its applicability as arrhythmia screening. A total of 1432 pulse waves including irregular pulse data were used in the experiment. Three data sets were prepared with minimal preprocessing to avoid the heuristic feature extraction. As classification algorithms, elastic net logistic regression, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting were applied to each data set and the irregular pulse detection performances were estimated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve based on a 10-fold cross-validation. The extreme gradient boosting method showed the superior performance than others and found that the classification accuracy reached 99.7%. The results confirmed that the proposed algorithm could be used for arrhythmia screening. To make a fusion technology integrating western and Korean medicine, arrhythmia subtype classification from the perspective of Korean medicine will be needed for future research.