• Title/Summary/Keyword: Goodness-Of-Fit Test

검색결과 427건 처리시간 0.025초

Statistical analysis on the fluence factor of surveillance test data of Korean nuclear power plants

  • Lee, Gyeong-Geun;Kim, Min-Chul;Yoon, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Bong-Sang;Lim, Sangyeob;Kwon, Junhyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.760-768
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    • 2017
  • The transition temperature shift (TTS) of the reactor pressure vessel materials is an important factor that determines the lifetime of a nuclear power plant. The prediction of the TTS at the end of a plant's lifespan is calculated based on the equation of Regulatory Guide 1.99 revision 2 (RG1.99/2) from the US. The fluence factor in the equation was expressed as a power function, and the exponent value was determined by the early surveillance data in the US. Recently, an advanced approach to estimate the TTS was proposed in various countries for nuclear power plants, and Korea is considering the development of a new TTS model. In this study, the TTS trend of the Korean surveillance test results was analyzed using a nonlinear regression model and a mixed-effect model based on the power function. The nonlinear regression model yielded a similar exponent as the power function in the fluence compared with RG1.99/2. The mixed-effect model had a higher value of the exponent and showed superior goodness of fit compared with the nonlinear regression model. Compared with RG1.99/2 and RG1.99/3, the mixed-effect model provided a more accurate prediction of the TTS.

주제공원 이용자들의 선택행동 연구 -Constraints-Induced Conjoint Choice Model의 적용- (A Study on the Theme Park Users' Choice behavior -Application of Constraints-Induced Conjoint Choice Model-)

  • 홍성권;이용훈
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2000
  • The importance of constraints has been one of major issues in recreation for prediction of choice behavior; however, traditional conjoint choice model did not consider the effects of these variables or fail to integrate them into choice model adequately. The purposes of this research are (a) to estimate the effects of constraints in theme park choice behavior by the constraints-induced conjoint choice model, and (b) to test additional explanatory power of the additional constraints in this suggested model against the more parsimonious traditional model. A leading polling agency was employed to select respondents. Both alternative generating and choice set generating fractional factorial design were conducted to meet the necessary and sufficient conditions for calibration of the constraints-induced conjoint choice model. Th alternative-specific model was calibrated. The log-likelihood ratio test revealed that suggested model was accepted in the favor of the traditional model, and the goodness-of-fit($\rho$$^2$) of suggested and traditional model was 0.48427 and 0.47950, respectively. There was no difference between traditional and suggested model in estimates of attribute levels of car and shuttle bus because alternatives were created to estimate the effects of constraints independently from mode related variables. Most parameters values of constraints had the expected sign and magnitude: the results reflected the characteristics of the theme parks, such as abundance of natural attractions and poor accessibility in Everland, location of major fun rides indoor in Lotte World, city park like characteristics of Dream Land, and traffic jams in Seoul. Instead of the multinomial logit model, the nested logit model is recommended for future researches because this model more reasonably reflects the real decision-making process in park choice. Development of new methodology too integrate this hierarchical decision-making into choice model is anticipated.

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Can parents prevent tooth loss related to dental avulsion? An assessment of knowledge related to permanent teeth

  • Gowri Sivaramakrishnan;Deena Abawi;Fatima Mohammad Shoaib;Fatema Bucheery;Ahmed Ali Salman;Majeed Jasim Kadhem;Fatema AlSulaiti;Muneera Alsobaiei ;Leena AlSalihi
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: Dental avulsion injuries have a poor prognosis that largely depends on the immediate steps taken to manage the avulsed tooth. A lack of knowledge about the initial management can lead to tooth loss, with further adverse implications for esthetics, phonetics, and overall growth and function. Hence, the present study aimed to assess parents' knowledge regarding dental avulsion and the variables associated with their knowledge of avulsion injuries. Methods: A series of closed-ended questions on parents' knowledge regarding avulsion, such as immediate management, storage media, handling, and urgency of visiting the dentist, was asked. Univariate associations between the outcomes were assessed using the Pearson chi-square test. The chisquare goodness-of-fit test was used to check whether the sample data were representative of the population. Results: In total, 211 mothers and 149 fathers were included, of whom 46.7% had experienced dental trauma during their own childhood. Sixty-one percent of mothers believed that they knew everything necessary about tooth avulsion and its management. A significant number of participants who thought that they had a good level of knowledge about avulsion chose water, tissue, or paper wrap to transport the tooth, and preferred tap water, alcohol, or antiseptic to clean the avulsed tooth. Conclusions: Both mothers and fathers had poor knowledge about tooth avulsion, indicating that there is an immediate need for educational programs focusing on this issue. Since a substantial proportion of participants believed incorrect information, it is vital to disseminate accurate information.

장기유출랑의 추계학적 모의 발생에 관한 연구 (I) (Studies on the Stochastic Generation of Long Term Runoff (1))

  • 이순혁;맹승진;박종국
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.100-116
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    • 1993
  • It is experienced fact that unreasonable design criterion and unsitable operation management for the agricultural structures including reservoirs based on short terms data of monthly flows have been brought about not only loss of lives, but also enormous property damage. For the solution of this point at issue, this study was conducted to simulate long series of synthetic monthly flows by multi-season first order Markov model with selection of best fitting frequency distribution and to make a comparison of statistical parameters between observed and synthetic flows of six watersheds in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. The results obtained through this study can be summarized as follows. 1.Both Gamma and two parameter lognormal distribution were found to be suitable ones for monthly flows in all watersheds by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test while those distributions were judged to be unfitness in Nam Pyeong of Yeong San and Song Jeong and Ab Rog watersheds of Seom Jin river systems in the $\chi$$^2$ goodness of fit test. 2.Most of the arithmetic mean values for synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are much closer to the results of the observed data than those of two parameter lognomal distribution in the applied watersheds. 3.Fluctuation for the coefficient of variation derived by Gamma distribution was shown in general as better agreement with the results of the observed data than that of two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds both in Yeong San and Seom Jin river systems. Especially, coefficients of variation calculated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to those of the observed data during July and August. 4.It can be concluded that synthetic monthly flows simulated by Gamma distribution are seemed to be much closer to the observed data than those by two parameter lognormal distribution in the applied watersheds. 5.It is to be desired that multi-season first order Markov model based on Gamma distribution which is confirmed as a good fitting one in this study would be compared with Harmonic synthetic model as a continuation follows.

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A Study on Minimum Number of Ship-handling Simulation Required for Evaluating Vessel's Proximity Measure

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Pan, Bao-Feng
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.689-694
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    • 2014
  • The Korean government has introduced and enforced maritime traffic safety assessment to secure traffic safety since 2010. The maritime traffic safety assessment is needed by law to design a new port or modify an existing one. According to Korea Maritime Safety Act, in the assessment the propriety of marine traffic system consists of the safety of channel transit and berthing/unberthing maneuver, safety of mooring, and safety of marine traffic flow. The safety of channel transit and berthing/unberthing maneuver can be evaluated only by ship-handling simulation. The ship-handling simulation is carried out by sea pilots working with the port concerned. The vessel's proximity measure is an important factor to evaluate traffic safety. The proximity measure is composed of vessel's closest distance to channel boundary and probability of grounding/collision. What is more, the probability of grounding becomes important. According to central limit theorem, a sample has a normal distribution on condition that its size is more than 30. However, more than 30 simulation runs bring about the increase of assessment period and difficulty of employing sea pilots. Therefore this paper is to find out minimum sample size for evaluating vessel's proximity. First sample sets of size of 3, 5, 7, 9 etc. are selected randomly on the basis of normal distribution. And then KS test for goodness of fit and t-test for confidence interval are applied to each sample set. Finally this paper decides the minimum sample size. As a result this paper suggests the minimum sample size of 5, that is, the simulation of more than five times.

말초 정맥주사 삽입 어려움 예측을 위한 노모그램 구축 (Construction of a Nomogram for Predicting Difficulty in Peripheral Intravenous Cannulation)

  • 김경숙;최수정;장수미;안현주;나은희;이미경
    • 가정∙방문간호학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.48-58
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to construct a nomogram for predicting difficulty in peripheral intravenous cannulation (DPIVC) for adult inpatients. Methods: This study conducted a secondary analysis of data from the intravenous cannulation cohort by intravenous specialist nurses at a tertiary hospital in Seoul. Overall, 504 patients were included; of these, 166 (32.9%) patients with failed cannulation in the first intravenous cannulation attempt were included in the case group, while the remaining 338 patients were included in the control group. The nomogram was built with the identified risk factors using a multiple logistic regression analysis. The model performance was analyzed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, area under the curve (AUC), and calibration plot. Results: Five factors, including vein diameter, vein visibility, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, and chemotherapy, were risk factors of DPIVC. The nomogram showed good discrimination with an AUC of 0.81 (95% confidence interval: 0.80-0.82) by the sample data and 0.79 (95% confidence interval: 0.74-0.84) by bootstrapping validation. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed a p-value of 0.694, and the calibration curve of the nomogram showed high coherence between the predicted and actual probabilities of DPIVC. Conclusion: This nomogram can be used in clinical practice by nurses to predict DPIVC probability. Future studies are required, including those on factors possibly affecting intravenous cannulation.

의료 빅데이터로 분석한 만성질환자의 건강정보 수준별 차이 연구 (A Study On The Difference By Health Literacy Level Of Chronic Patients Analyzed By Medical Big Data)

  • 박새한;이상엽;한기현;김지연;구지현;정병호
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to prepare basic data that can be applied to the development of personalized programs in which chronic patients can actively participate in health care on their own, by analyzing the relationship between health literacy, level of metal health, and level of life health of patients with chronic diseases. For the study, the Korean Medical Panel's annual data(Version 2.1) was used, and 4,095 people aged 19 or older with chronic diseases and without disabilities were extracted, and frequency analysis, t-test, ANOVA, and chi-squared goodness of fit test, etc. were performed with IBM SPSS Statistics 26.0. As a result, it was found that the higher health literacy, the higher level of mental health and level of life health. In addition, the distribution between health literacy, level of mental health, and level of life health was found to be different from each other. Respondents with higher ability to health literacy tend to evaluate level of metal health and life health lower, and the rate of change in this trend was relatively higher than the rate of change in the tendency to evaluate level of mental health and life health higher in respondents with lower ability to health literacy.

복합확률분포의 파라메타 추정을 위한 EM 알고리즘의 적용 연구 (An Approach for the Estimation of Mixture Distribution Parameters Using EM Algorithm)

  • 심대영;김상구
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 2023
  • 그동안 차두시간분포를 나타내는 확률분포로 음지수분포, Erlang 분포, 정규분포 등 다양한 단일확률분포들이 사용되어져 왔다. 그러나, 실제 도로에서 차두시간분포의 조사결과는 단일확률분포로서 설명하기 어려운 경우가 있었다. 본 연구는 차량의 차두시간에 대해 두 개의 정규분포가 일정한 관련성을 가지고 결합된 복합확률분포의 파라메타에 대해 최우추정법 중 하나인 EM 알고리즘을 이용하여 추정하는 접근방법을 시도하였다. 이에 대한 분석결과 기존에 알려진 단일확률분포로서 잘 설명되기 어려웠던 차량도착 차두시간 분포를 EM 알고리즘을 이용하여 복합확률분포의 파라메타를 추정하여 설명하였다. χ2 test 적합도 검정결과, 유의수준 1%에서 통계학적으로 유의성이 확보되어 EM 알고리즘을 이용한 복합확률분포의 파라메타 추정의 신뢰성이 입증되는 것으로 분석되었다.

구조방정식을 이용한 치과위생사의 감정노동과 직무특성이 직무스트레스와 이직의도에 미치는 영향 (Effects of emotional labor and job characteristics on job stress and turnover intention in dental hygienists using the structural equation model)

  • 최부근;김진수;하미나
    • 한국치위생학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: This study aims to alleviate dental hygienists' job stress caused by emotional labor, lower their turnover rate, improve the working environment, and offer better quality of services by understanding correlations among emotional labor, job characteristics, job stress, and turnover intention. Methods: A survey was conducted in the subjects with dental hygienists who were working at general hospitals, dental university hospitals, and private dental clinics located in Seoul, Gyeonggi, and Chungnam by the convenience sampling method from June 1 through 30, 2017, and the collected data were analyzed using by SPSS Windows Ver. 22.0 (IBM CO, Armonk, NY, USA) and AMOS 21. As the statistical analysis methods, convergent validity test, structural equation model analysis and model goodness of fit were conducted using independent samples t-test, one-way ANOVA, path analysis, and confirmatory factor analysis. Results: It turned out that the more dental hygienists' deep acting of emotional labor and the more their workload of job characteristics, the higher their job stress got, and that the higher their job stress, the higher their turnover intention got. Conclusions: As a method of lowering dental hygienists' turnover intention, they may resolve emotional disharmony with their own problem-solving method, but it is necessary to develop and support organizational culture for the improvement of working environment. Dental hygienists' organizations should implement the measures to minimize their turnover rate and job stress level by allocating appropriate workload.

무작위성을 보이는 지반정수의 확률분포 및 변동성 (Probabilistic Distribution and Variability of Geotechnical Properties with Randomness Characteristic)

  • 김동휘;이주형;이우진
    • 한국지반공학회논문집
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    • 제25권11호
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2009
  • 지반정수의 신뢰성 높은 확률분포형을 결정하기 위해서는 분석자료에 대한 이상치 및 무작위성 검정, 적용한 확률 분포형의 매개변수 추정 및 매개변수 적합성 검정, 마지막으로 확률분포형의 적합성 검정의 과정이 필요하며, 위의 순서로 지반정수의 확률분포형을 산정할 것을 제안하였다. 본 연구에서는 제안한 절차에 따라 분석대상 지반으로 선정된 인천 송도지역 지반정수들의 확률분포형을 추정하였으며, 추가로 지반정수들의 변동성을 나타내는 변동계수를 산정하였다. 이와 같이 신뢰성 높은 지반정수들의 확률분포형과 변동계수는 확률론적 설계방법에 사용될 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 결정론적 설계에 사용될 지반정수의 합리적인 결정에 사용될 수 있는 중요한 자료로 판단된다.