• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제11D권7호
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• pp.1451-1458
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• 2004

Gompertz 성장곡선에 기반한 기존의 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장모델들은 모두 대수형이다. 대수형 Gompertz 성장 곡선에 기반한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델들은 모수 추정에 어려움을 갖고 있다. 그러므로 본 논문은 로지스틱형 Gompertz 성장곡선에 기반한 신뢰성 성장 모델을 제안한다. 13개의 다른 소프트웨어 프로젝트로부터 얻은 고장 데이터를 분석하여 그 유용성을 검토하였다. 모델의 모수들은 변수변환을 통한 선형희귀분석과 Virence의 방법으로 추정되었다. 제안된 모델은 평균 상대 예측 오차에 기반하여 성능을 비교하였다. 실험 결과 제안된 모델은 대수형 Gompertz 성장 곡선에 기반한 모델보다 좋은 성능을 보였다.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제19권12호
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• pp.219-225
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• 2014

Gompertz modeling은 고령화 사회에 접어들기 시작하며 노령인구 예측에 성공적인 결과를 보여줌으로써 최근 많은 주목을 받고 있다. 또한 항암 치료제의 독성으로 인해 발생할 수 있는 부작용을 미연에 방지하고자 보다 효과적인 치료제의 사용에 관한 의료 생체분야에서 활발한 개발이 시도되어 왔으나 전임상 및 임상실험으로의 응용이 가능한 모델링은 극히 제한적이며, 모델링의 검증을 위한 생체실험의 분석 시스템의 최적화가 힘들다는 한계가 있다. 본 논문에서는 Gompertz modeling을 응용하여 새로운 겸형적혈구의 약물유출 예측시스템을 개발하고, 여기된 광증감제의 겸형적혈구 부착을 통해 효과적인 약물유출 제어방법을 ex-vivo 실험을 통해 검증하여 최적화된 예측 시스템의 결과를 비교 분석 할 수 있었다. 따라서 이와 같이 최적화된 Gompertz modeling을 이용한 새로운 약물전달 시스템이 항암치료에 반영된다면 부작용에 기인한 환자들의 신체적 고통과 치료를 위한 경제적 부담을 경감시키는 효과를 유도하며, 나아가 항암 치료제의 정확한 전달률을 증가시켜 보다 효과적인 항암치료를 기대할 수 있다.

• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.29-36
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• 2014

Finite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, proposes the Gompertz distribution reliability model, which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination$(R^2)$, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using real data set for the sake of proposing fixed shape parameter of the Gompertz distribution was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the Gompertz distribution model of shape parameter. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the proposed Gompertz model is more efficient in terms of reliability in this area. Thus, Gompertz model can also be used as an alternative model. From this paper, software developers have to consider the growth model by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can was helped.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제15D권2호
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• pp.207-212
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• 2008

본 논문은 소프트웨어 비용추정 모델의 적합성을 평가하고, 가장 적합한 모델을 제시하였다. 먼저, 해당 모델의 함수를 변수변환시켜 선형식으로 만든다. 다음으로 실제 개발 소프트웨어의 비용 데이터가 모델의 선형식에 얼마나 적합한지로 모델의 성능을 평가한다. 모델 성능평가에는 절대오차 대신 상대오차 개념인 MMRE를 적용하였다. 기존의 소프트웨어 비용추정 모델은 Weibull, Gamma와 Rayleigh 함수를 따르고 있다. 본 논문에서는 성장곡선의 일종인 Gompertz 곡선 모델을 제안하였다. 추가로 다른 성장곡선들도 적합성을 검증하였다. 모델 성능평가 결과 Gompertz 성장곡선이 소프트웨어 비용추정 모델로 가장 적합한 성능을 보였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.445-455
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• 1999

We modify the Gompertz regression model for estimation of cure rates from pediatric clinical trials by assuming different hazard rates on the different periods. A treatment period may be divided by the stages of treatments under the different treatment arms. The piecewise Gompertz models provide an efficient method for estimation of the cure rates and a method for testing the difference of the treatment effects in the given interval.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제18권1_2호
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• pp.311-320
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• 2005

Studies in the evolutionary biology of aging require good estimates of the age-dependent mortality rate coefficient (one of the Gompertz parameters). In this paper we introduce an alternative algorithm for estimating this parameter. And we discuss the sensitivity of the estimates to changes in the other model parameters.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.84-88
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• 1998

The aim of this study was to describe growth patterns of mice using Gompertz model. Two distinct types of mice, laboratory mouse $CF_{\sharp1}$ (Mus musculus domesticus) and Yonakuni wild mouse (Yk, Mus musculus molossinus yonakuni) were used. From all possible crosses, there were two parental types and two reciprocal $F_1$ crosses obtained. Individual body weights were measured weekly from birth to ten weeks of age on 321 mice. Standardization to six mice was conducted and only first litters were used. Growth curve parameters were estimated to fit growth data. The results showed that growth among genetic groups were significantly different (p < 0.05) for both sexes, in which parental type of $CF_{\sharp1}$ and Yk had the highest and the smallest values, respectively. Meanwhile, reciprocal $F_1$ crosses were intermediate between parental types. It was concluded that Gompertz model provided and excellent fit for the growth data with a high coefficient determination $(R^2 = 0.999)$.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제12권8호
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• pp.1177-1180
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• 1999

This study describes the growth of broiler chickens to the two forms of Gompertz function for application in broiler production models. The first form is based on the estimated mature weight ($W_A$), while the second is based on the estimated hatch weight ($W_O$). Both equations gave identical estimation because they are mathematically identical. To fit the growth curve of commercial broilers that marketed at 35-42 days, it is unnecessary to keep broilers to near maturity (> day 140) to obtain growth data for deriving the Gompertz function. This date does not improve the curve fitting of the early growing period. Additionally, a high mortality and health problem occurred to this type of chicken after day 105.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.521-528
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• 2014

A stochastic Gompertz diffusion model for tumor growth is a topic of active interest as cancer is a leading cause of death in Korea. The direct maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic differential equations would be possible based on the continuous path likelihood on condition that a continuous sample path of the process is recorded over the interval. This likelihood is useful in providing a basis for the so-called continuous record or infill likelihood function and infill asymptotic. In practice, we do not have fully continuous data except a few special cases. As a result, the exact ML method is not applicable. In this paper we proposed a method of parameter estimation of stochastic Gompertz differential equation via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that is applicable for several data structures. We compared a Markov transition data structure with a data structure that have an initial point.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제39권6호
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• pp.113-125
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• 2019

With the opening of the small power brokerage business market in December 2018, the small power trading market has started in Korea. Operators must submit the day-ahead estimates of power output and receive incentives based on its accuracy. Therefore, the accuracy of power generation forecasts is directly affects profits of the operators. The forecasting process for power generation can be divided into two procedure. The first is to forecast solar irradiation and the second is to transform forecasted solar irradiation into power generation. There are two methods for transformation. One is to simulate with physical model, and another is to use regression model. In this study, we found the best-fit regression model by analyzing hourly data of PV output and solar irradiation data during three years for 242 PV plants in Korea. The best model was not a linear model, but a sigmoidal model and specifically a Gompertz model. The combined linear regression and Gompertz curve was proposed because a the curve has non-zero y-intercept. As the result, R² and RMSE between observed data and the curve was significantly reduced.