• 제목/요약/키워드: Global warming potential

검색결과 307건 처리시간 0.035초

VULNERABILITY OF KOREAN COAST TO THE SEA-LEVEL RISE DUE TO $21^{ST}$ GLOBAL WARMING

  • 조광우;맹준호;윤종휘
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 해양환경안전학회 2003년도 추계학술발표회
    • /
    • pp.219-225
    • /
    • 2003
  • The present study intends to assess the long-term steric sea-level change and its prediction, and potential impacts to the sea-level rise due to the 21st global warming in the coastal zone of the Korea in which much socioeconomic activities have been occurred. The analysis of the 23 tide-gauge data near Korea reveals the overall mean sea-level trend of 2.31 mm/yr.In the satellite altimeter data (Topex/Poseidon and ERS), the sea-level trend in the East Sea is 4.6mm/yr. Both are larger than those of the global average value. However, it is quite questionable that the sea-level trends with the tide-gauge data on the neighboring seas of Korea relate to global warming because of the relatively short observation period and large spatial variability. It is also not clear whether the high trend of altimeter data in the East Sea is related to the acceleration of sea level rise in the Sea, short response time of the Sea, natural variability such as decadal variability, short duration of the altimeter. The coastal zone of Korea appears to be quite vulnerable to the 21st sea level rise such that for the I-m sea level rise with high tide and storm surge, the inundation area is 2,643 km2, which is about $1.2\%$ of total area and the population in the risk areas of inundation is 1.255 million, about $2.6\%$ of total population. The coastal zone west of Korea is appeared to be the most vulnerable area compared to the east and south. In the west of the Korea, the North Korea appears to be more vulnerable than South Korea. In order to cope with the future possible impact of sea-level rise to the coastal zone of Korea effectively, it is essential to improve scientific information in the sea-level rise trend, regional prediction, and vulnerability assessment near Korean coast.

  • PDF

기후변화와 농업생산의 전망과 대책 (Climate Change and Coping with Vulnerability of Agricultural Productivity)

  • 윤성호;임정남;이정택;심교문;황규홍
    • 한국농림기상학회지
    • /
    • 제3권4호
    • /
    • pp.220-237
    • /
    • 2001
  • Over the 20th century global temperature increase has been 0.6$^{\circ}C$. The globally averaged surface temperature is projected to increase by 1.4 to 5.8$^{\circ}C$ over the period 1990 to 2100. Nearly all land areas will have higher maximum temperature and minimum temperature, and fewer cold days and frost days. More intense precipitation events will take plate over many areas. Over most mid-latitude continental interiors will have increased summer continental drying and associated risk of drought. By 2100, if the annual surface temperature increase is 3.5$^{\circ}C$, we will have 15.9$^{\circ}C$ from 12.4$^{\circ}C$ at present. Also the annual precipitation will range 1,118-2,447 mm from 972-1,841 mm at present in Korea. Consequently the average crop periods for summer crops will be 250 days that prolonged 32 days than at present. In the case of gradual increase of global warming, an annual crop can be adapted to the changing climate through the selection of filial generations in breeding process. The perennial crops such as an apple should be shifted the chief producing place to northern or high latitude areas where below 13.5$^{\circ}C$ of the annual surface temperature. If global warming happens suddenly over the threshold atmospheric greenhouse gases, then all ecosystems will have tremendous disturbance. Agricultural land-use plan, which state that farmers decide what to plant, based on their climate-based advantages. Therefore, farmers will mitigate possible negative imparts associated with the climate change. The farmers will have application to use agricultural meteorological information system, and agricultural long-range weather forecast system for their agroecosystems management. The ideal types of crops under $CO_2$ increase and climate change conditions are considered that ecological characteristics need indispensable to accomplish the sustainable agriculture as the diversification of genetic resources from yield-oriented to biomass-oriented characteristics with higher potential of $CO_2$ absorption and primary production. In addition, a heat-and-cold tolerance, a pest resistance, an environmental adaptability, and production stability should be also incorporated collectively into integrated agroecosystem.

  • PDF

Haines Index를 이용한 동아시아 지역 산불 확산 위험도 변화와 지표-대기 상호관계와의 연관성 연구 (Future Changes of Wildfire Danger Variability and Their Relationship with Land and Atmospheric Interactions over East Asia Using Haines Index)

  • 이미나;홍승범;박선기
    • 대기
    • /
    • 제23권2호
    • /
    • pp.131-141
    • /
    • 2013
  • Many studies have related the recent variations of wildfire regime such as the increasing number of occurrances, their patterns and timing changes, and the severity of their extreme cases with global warming. However, there are only a few numbers of wildfire studies to assess how the future wildfire regime will change in the interactions between land and atmosphere with climate change especially over East Asia. This study was performed to estimate the future changing aspect of wildfire danger with global warming, using Haines Index (HI). Calculated from atmospheric instability and dryness, HI is the potential of an existing fire to become a dangerous wildfire. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, two separated 5-year simulations of current (1995~1999) and far future (2095~2099) were performed and analyzed. Community Climate System Model 3 (CCSM3) model outputs were utilized for the model inputs for the past and future over East Asia; future prediction was driven under the IPCC A1B scenario. The results indicate changes of the wildfire danger regime, showing overall decreasing the wildfire danger in the future but intensified regional deviations between north and south. The overall changes of the wildfire regime seems to stem from atmospheric dryness which is sensitive to soil moisture variation. In some locations, the future wildfire danger overall decreases in summer but increases in winter or fall when the actual fire occurrence are generally peaked especially in South China.

GCM 결과를 이용한 지구온난화에 따른 대청댐 유역의 수문환경 분석 (An Analysis of Hydrologic Changes in Daechung Dam Basin using GCM Simulation Results due to Global Warming)

  • 안재현;유철상;윤용남
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제34권4호
    • /
    • pp.335-345
    • /
    • 2001
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 들어 빈번해지고 잇는 기상이변들의 가장 큰 원인으로 지목 받고 잇는 지구온난화 현상이 한반도 수문환경의 변화에 끼치는 영향에 대한 분석을 시도하였다. 이를 위해 $CO_2$의 증가 시나리오에 따라 모의한 대기대순환모형(GCM) 모의 결과를 이용하여 대청댐 상류 유역의 강수량과 기온 변화에 따른 토양함수비, 증발산, 유출량 등의 변화를 물수지 모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 이를 통해 $CO_2$배증에 따른 지구온난화 현상이 발생할 경우 강수량의 전반적인 증가 경향과 기온의 상승이 나타났으며, 잠재증발산량의 증가와 이로 인한 토양함수비의 감소 및 증발산량의 증가가 예측되었다. 또한, 대청댐 상류 유역의 유출량은 전반적으로 증가경향을 보였다. 그러나, 유출량의 계절적 변화는 여름과 가을의 증가 및 겨울의 감소가 뚜렷할 것으로 분석되어 가뭄과 홍수의 발생 가능성이 현재보다 높아질 것으로 예상되었다.

  • PDF

Problems of Decarbonization of the Economy of Kazakhstan

  • Yessekina, Bakhyt K.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제2권3호
    • /
    • pp.37-39
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this article we consider the modern trends of global warming, GHG pollutions and discussions of the obligations of developed and developing countries before the UN Global Climate Summit in Paris. The article considers decarbonization as a national strategy, including complex tools for the improvement of energy efficiency, reduction of CO2 and development of emissions trading systems. The author underlines that the Central Asian countries such as Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, have the largest GHG potential in the region, and for this reason they should be within the framework of the UNFCCC and join the international process on development of the national decarbonization strategies.Thesemeasuresallowthese countries to join the global carbon trade marketing, international financial recourses, and significantly reduce CO2 pollutions in the region.

Global Trend of Cement Production and Utilization of Circular Resources

  • Lim, Chaeyeon;Jung, Euntae;Lee, Seongho;Jang, Changsun;Oh, Chaewoon;Shin, Kyung Nam
    • 에너지공학
    • /
    • 제29권3호
    • /
    • pp.57-63
    • /
    • 2020
  • In this paper, we reported that the global trend of cement production and utilization as raw materials and as a fuel. As we know, cement is one of the significant materials required for the construction industry. The recent trend of rising urbanization, both the cement and construction industry played a vital role. The cement industry is a major sustainable infrastructure for the countries. Currently, China producing cement half of the world's cement production. During the year 2018, Korea producing cements nearly 57.5 million metric tons. Waste materials are used as circular resources and also having tremendous benefits for cement production. Another important use of these circular resources is fuel for the cement industry. There is a large potential benefit of the cement industry, but it's creating a severe environmental threat. The cement industry contributes to the major emissions of CO2. This leads the global warming. As per the Paris agreement, the Korean government initiated the recycling policy of waste materials and also the utilization of circular resources for the prevention of limited natural resources and also the global warming effect.

기후변화와 인수공통전염병 관리 (The Climate Change and Zoonosis (Zoonotic Disease Prevention and Control))

  • 정석찬
    • 한국환경농학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국환경농학회 2009년도 정기총회 및 국제심포지엄
    • /
    • pp.228-239
    • /
    • 2009
  • The observations on climate change show a clear increase in the temperature of the Earth's surface and the oceans, a reduction in the land snow cover, and melting of the sea ice and glaciers. The effects of climate change are likely to include more variable weather, heat waves, increased mean temperature, rains, flooding and droughts. The threat of climate change and global warming on human and animal health is now recognized as a global issue. This presentation is described an overview of the latest scientific knowledge on the impact of climate change on zoonotic diseases. Climate strongly affects agriculture and livestock production and influences animal diseases, vectors and pathogens, and their habitat. Global warming are likely to change the temporal and geographical distribution of infectious diseases, including those that are vector-borne such as West Nile fever, Rift Valley fever, Japanese encephalitis, bluetongue, malaria and visceral leishmaniasis, and other diarrheal diseases. The distribution and prevalence of vector-borne diseases may be the most significant effect of climate change. The impact of climate change on the emergence and re-emergence of animal diseases has been confirmed by a majority of countries. Emerging zoonotic diseases are increasingly recognized as a global and regional issue with potential serious human health and economic impacts and their current upward trends are likely to continue. Coordinated international responses are therefore essential across veterinary and human health sectors, regions and countries to control and prevent emerging zoonoses. A new early warning and alert systems is developing and introducing for enhancing surveillance and response to zoonotic diseases. And international networks that include public health, research, medical and veterinary laboratories working with zoonotic pathogens should be established and strengthened. Facing this challenging future, the long-term strategies for zoonotic diseases that may be affected by climate change is need for better prevention and control measures in susceptible livestock, wildlife and vectors in Korea. In conclusion, strengthening global, regional and national early warning systems is extremely important, as are coordinated research programmes and subsequent prevention and control measures, and need for the global surveillance network essential for early detection of zoonotic diseases.

  • PDF

CO2농도 및 온도 상승이 하천변 잠재자연식생인 졸참나무와 갈참나무 잎의 형태학적 반응에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Elevated CO2 and Temperature on the Leaf Morphological Responses of Quercus serrata and Quercus aliena, Potential Natural Vegetation of Riverine)

  • 조규태;김해란;정헌모;유영한
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제15권2호
    • /
    • pp.171-177
    • /
    • 2013
  • 한반도의 참나무 중 하천변 잠재자연식생인 졸참나무와 갈참나무를 대상으로 지구온난화의 핵심 요소인 $CO_2$농도와 온도를 상승시킬 때 잎의 형태학적 반응이 어떻게 일어나는지 알아보고자 유리온실 내에서 대기 중의 $CO_2$농도를 그대로 반영한 대조구와 이보다 $CO_2$농도는 약 1.6배와 온도는 $2.2^{\circ}C$상승시킨 온난화처리구에서 실험하여 관찰하였다. 그 결과, 졸참나무와 갈참나무는 $CO_2$농도와 온도의 상승으로 인하여 잎폭 길이, 잎몸 무게 그리고 엽면적이 증가하고 잎 수와 비엽면적은 감소하는 경향을 나타냈다. 졸참나무는 잎폭 길이, 잎몸 길이, 잎몸 무게, 잎 수, 엽면적 그리고 비엽면적 모두 대조구와 온난화처리구 간에 차이가 없었다. 그러나 갈참나무는 잎폭 길이와 잎몸 무게의 증가, 비엽면적의 감소가 뚜렷하였다. 이상의 잎의 형태학적 반응으로 볼 때, 갈참나무는 $CO_2$농도와 온도에 대하여 졸참나무 보다 민감하게 반응한다는 것을 알 수 있다. 주성분분석 결과, 두 종은 요인 1과 2에 의해 대조구와 온난화처리구에서 배열에 차이가 있었고, 온난화처리에 대한 변화는 졸참나무보다 갈참나무에서 명확히 구별되었다.

LCA 기법을 활용한 합류식 하수도 월류수 사업의 잠재적 환경영향 저감효과 분석 (An Analysis of Potential Environmental Impact Reduction for Combined Sewer Overflow Project using a LCA Methodology)

  • 조현정;송장환;황용우;박지형
    • 상하수도학회지
    • /
    • 제25권6호
    • /
    • pp.885-892
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, LCA(Life Cycle Assessment) on 'Saemangum CSO Project' was carried out to evaluate environmental impact which occurred during the construction and operation periods and the potential environmental impact reduction was analyzed by comparing production and reduction level of pollution loads. LCA was conducted out according to the procedure of ISO14040 which suggested Goal and Scope Definition, Life Cycle Inventory Analysis, Life Cycle Impact Assessment and Interpretation. In the Goal and Scope Definition, the functional unit was 1 m3 of CSO, the system boundary was construction and operation phases, and the operation period was 20 years. For the data collection and inventory analysis, input energies and materials from civil, architecture, mechanical and electric fields are collected from design sheet but the landscape architecture field is excepted. LCIA(Life Cycle Impact Assessment) was performed following the procedure of Eco-Labelling Type III under 6 categories which were resource depletion, eutrophication, global warming, ozone-layer destruction, and photochemical oxide formation. In the result of LCA, 83.4% of environmental impact occurred in the construction phase and 16.6% in the operation phase. Especially 78% of environmental impact occurred in civil works. The Global warming category showed the highest contribution level in the environmental impact categories. For the analysis on potential environmental impact reduction, the reduction and increased of environmental impact which occurred on construction and operation phases were compared. In the case of considering only the operation phase, the result of the comparison showed that 78% of environmental impact is reduced. On the other hand, when considering both the construction and operation phases, 50% of environmental impact is increase. Therefore, this study showed that eco-friendly material and construction method should be used for reduction of environmental impact during life cycle, and it is strongly necessary to develop technology and skills to reduce environmental impact such as renewable energies.

Environmental Impacts on Concentrate Feed Supply Systems for Japanese Domestic Livestock Industry as Evaluated by a Life-cycle Assessment Method

  • Kaku, K.;Ogino, A.;Ikeguchi, A.;Osada, T.;Shimada, K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
    • /
    • 제18권7호
    • /
    • pp.1022-1028
    • /
    • 2005
  • The objectives of this study were to evaluate and compare the environmental load of two different concentrate feed supply systems to the Japanese domestic livestock industry using the Life-cycle Assessment (LCA) method. The current system was defined as that requiring 11.469 million tons of corn imported from the US by sea transport and supplied as concentrate feed to the Japanese domestic livestock industry. The new system proposed by Kaku et al. in 2004 was defined as where 802,830 tons of US imported corn would not be planted in US and would be replaced by barley planted in 278 thousand ha of Japanese domestic land left fallow for the past year. In this case, 909,000 tons of domestic harvest barley would have been supplied as concentrate feed to the Japanese domestic livestock industry in 2000. The activities taken into account within the two system boundaries were three stages: concentrate feed production, feed transportation and gas emission from the soil by chemical fertilizer. Finished compost was regarded as organic fertilizer and was put instead of chemical fertilizers within the system boundary. Adoption of this new concentrate feed supply system by the Japanese domestic livestock industry could reduce 78,462 tons $CO_2$-equivalents of global warming potential, 347 tons $SO_2$-equivalents of acidification potential, 54 tons $PO_4$-equivalents of eutrophication potential and 0.842 million GJ as energy consumption below 2,000 levels. This LCA study comparing two Japanese domestic livestock concentrate feed supply systems showed that the stage of feed transport contributed most to global warming and the stage of emission from the soil contributed most to acidification and eutrophication. The Japanese domestic livestock industry could participate in emissions trading with $CO_2$-equivalents reduced by shifting from some imported US corn as a concentrate feed to domestic barley planted in land left fallow. In that case the Japanese government could launch emissions trading in accordance with Kyoto Protocol in the future.