• 제목/요약/키워드: Global Trade

검색결과 1,181건 처리시간 0.023초

Macroeconomic Buffer Effects of Mega-FTA Formation: A CGE Analysis for Korea

  • Jung, Jae-Won;Kim, Tae-Hwang
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.118-137
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - As global trade disputes intensify and global trade uncertainty increases due to the prevailing trade protectionism all over the world, mega-FTAs such as the RCEP and CPTPP are suggested as strategic trade policy options for export-driven small open economies, such as Korea. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Korea's mega-FTA participation and the induced implications for the Korean economy. Design/methodology - We use a multi-region, multi-sector global CGE model, and investigate the different effects of both the US-China and US-EU trade wars on the relative changes in GDP, welfare, and trade under different trade policy regimes; (i) Korea does not participate in any mega-FTA, (ii) Korea participates in the RCEP, and (iii) Korea participates in the CPTPP. Findings - We show, among others, that though industrial effects might be largely varied, the overall enlarging of free trade zones through multilateral mega-FTA participation may contribute significantly to the macroeconomic soundness and stability of Korea, even when global trade protectionism prevails. Under RCEP and CPTPP trade regimes, Korea's GDP may increase even when the global trade environment deteriorates as trade wars occur and intensify between the US and China, or between the US and EU. It is also estimated that RCEP participation increases Korea's GDP, welfare (measured in equivalent variation), and total trade by 1.12%, $1.09 billion, and 2.54%, respectively, while CPTPP participation increases them by 0.19%, $0.92 billion, and 0.13%, respectively. Originality/value - Existing studies usually focus on the direct impacts of mega-FTA participation on macroeconomic variables such as GDP, welfare, and trade, and do not consider the possible buffer effects of a mega-FTA when the global trade environment worsens. In this paper, we analyze and quantify not only the direct impacts of RCEP and CPTPP on the main macroeconomic variables but also the possible buffer effects of the RCEP and CPTPP in the cases of the US-China and US-EU trade wars.

전자무역 확산을 위한 글로벌 인증시스템의 개선방안에 관한 연구 -아이덴트러스 인증시스템을 중심으로- (A Study on Improved Global Certification System for Global Electronic Trade Expansion -Based on the Identrus Certification System-)

  • 김학민;최승신
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.265-285
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study has two folds. The first is to investigate current global certification system and the second is to suggest some possible solutions for expanding global e-trade networks. Both research and industrial communities recognize the importance of global certification problems in connection with global e-trade payment because global e-trade volume continue to grow. But not many research results have been reported to the communities in identifying some barriers against active global certification systems. This paper intents to suggest some possible solutions for improved global certification system and the results are summarized as follows: First, strict certification structure has to be relaxed by considering diverse mutual certification methods in global e-trade practice. This paper provides some comparative results about mutual certification methods among different nations. Second, numerous business models have to be derived such that they can be applied to other global certification applications than global e-trade. Third, global certified networks have to be expanded beyond mutual certification level. Once the certified structure among different nations have been established then diverse certified authority channels have to be implemented. Finally, since Korea has already established very good public certification infrastructure within the nation this platform has to be positioned in the center of global e-trade networks. This paper has of course to accept a critique such as this study provided limited results to generalized global e-trade certification model, and therefore empirical study for assessing robust model should be pursued in the future.

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차세대 전자무역 시스템의 요건 분석 (A Study on Requirements Analysis for the Next Generation of Global e-trade)

  • 김학민;이호형
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.307-328
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    • 2007
  • This paper discusses some requirement issues of future global e-trade. Korea has been making lots of efforts on e-trade promotions and many research results support that the performance of e-trade should be increased. There are still many unsolved issues as well as future demands in this area. In this paper, we propose some e-trade requirements for next generation and those are e-trade governance, collaboration enhancement among trading participants, the utilization of e-trade documents repository, the expansion of global e-trade network, and e-trade intelligence just to name a few. For each requirement, we propose some research topics as well as practical implications for improving the performance of global e-trades. One can find some useful thoughts for the future research based on the propositions made by this paper.

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Trade, Trade Finance, and Global Liquidity in Asia; Markov-Switching FAVAR Approach

  • Brooks, Douglas H.;Kurmanalieva, Elvira;Yang, Doo Yong
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.339-363
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyzes why the global financial crisis in 2008 severely affected Asia's trade. Asia has been suffering from the falls in export demand from developed countries. However the abrupt trade declines in Asia are not fully explained by reactions to this as in previous experiences. The question is why the financial crisis in 2008 brought about the abrupt and deep collapse in world trade, while other world-wide recessions had more moderate effects on world trade. This paper shows that the dynamic relationship between trade and trade finance is one important factor in explaining this question. This paper also applies the Granger (causality) test to uncover different relationships in the developed and developing economies and show different results for different countries in Asia. We employ a Markov-Switching FAVAR (Factor Augmented VAR) to show that global liquidity shocks are important factors in explaining the huge and abrupt trade drops in Asia.

글로벌 전자무역 마케팅 확산전략에 대한 연구 (A study on the Korea's global e-Trade marketing spreading strategy)

  • Park, Yong-Hwan;Lee, Seung-Kwan
    • 정보학연구
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2004
  • 최근 정보기술을 활용하여 무역의 효율을 극대화하고 있다. 이를 위해 전자무역(e-Trade)을 활용하여, 고효율의 글로벌 마케팅을 적극 추진하고 있다. 기존 종합상사의 기능고도화를 목적으로 e무역상사가 등장하여, 새로운 마케팅을 적극 추진하고 있다. 이를 위해서는 계약체결이전의 바이어 발굴 등 마케팅의 고도화가 전자무역을 통해 활성화되고 있으며, 계약체결이후의 운송, 보험, 결제 등의 전자화도 적극 추진하고 있다. 이와 관련하여 e무역상사의 글로벌 마케팅 추진현황을 살펴보고, 향후 지식형 전자무역을 가능하게 해주고 있는 전자무역의 확산을 위한 전략적 제언을 하고자 한다.

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Trade in Developing East Asia: How It Has Changed and Why It Matters

  • Constantinescu, Cristina;Mattoo, Aaditya;Ruta, Michele
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.427-465
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    • 2018
  • East Asia, for long the epitome of successful engagement in trade, faces serious challenges: technological change that may threaten the very model of labor intensive industrialization and a backlash against globalization that may reduce access to important markets. The analysis in this article suggests that how East Asia copes with these global challenges will depend on how it addresses three more proximate national and regional challenges. The first is the emergence of China as a global trade giant, which is fundamentally altering the trading patterns and opportunities of its neighbors. The second is the asymmetric implementation of national reform - in goods trade and investment versus services - which is affecting the evolution of comparative advantage and productivity in each country. The third is the divergence between the relatively shallow and fragmented agreements that regulate the region's trade and investment and the growing importance of regional and global value chains as crucial drivers of productivity growth.

The Reorganization of Global Value Chains in East Asia before and after COVID-19

  • Miroudot, Sebastien
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.389-416
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    • 2020
  • This paper provides empirical evidence on the reorganization of GVCs in East Asia, highlighting that structural trends explain a decrease in the fragmentation of production after 2011 but that it is not the result of rising trade costs along the value chain. Using harmonized inter-country input-output tables, the paper first analyzes the global import intensity of production to document changes in the structure of GVCs. It then calculates theory-consistent bilateral trade costs for intermediate and final products using an approach derived from the gravity literature and introduces a new index of cumulative trade costs along the value chain. These data are used to discuss whether the decrease in global imports is the consequence of shifts in demand, efficiency-enhancing strategies of firms or rising trade costs. Between 2011 and 2016, cumulative trade costs have decreased in East Asian GVCs. However, as COVID-19 is likely to intensify trade and investment uncertainties, trade costs could increase in the future. Policies aimed at reducing uncertainties and preserving the gains from trade and investment liberalization will be key in this new environment.

The Structure and Evolution of Renewable Energy Trade Networks in the RCEP Region: Application of SNA Method

  • Jinyan Tian;Qianli Wu;Congying Sun;Ziyang Liu
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.3-35
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    • 2024
  • This paper utilizes social network analysis to examine the structural characteristics and trade dynamics of the renewable energy (hydropower, wind energy, and solar energy) trade network within the RCEP region from 2011 to 2020. The findings reveal: (1) The renewable energy trade network within the RCEP exhibits dynamism, heterogeneity, and an uneven development. The solar energy network is the most balanced and stable, while the wind energy network lags and shows marked fluctuations, with the hydropower network falling between these two. This demonstrates the diversity of energy trade within the region. (2) China, Singapore, and Japan are identified as the key exporting and importing countries, with Vietnam showing substantial growth potential. Individual analyses shed light on the stark disparities in trade status among nations, reflecting the diverse roles and future potential of member countries. (3) The QAP regression analysis reveals a significant influence of environmental pressure, particularly carbon dioxide emissions, on the renewable energy trade network. This study contributes to promoting environmental sustainability and energy security in the RCEP region and provides empirical evidence for global renewable energy trade strategies.

RFID 시스템 환경 하에서 무역업무의 접근에 관한 고찰 (A Review on Approach of International Trade Practice Under RFID System Environment)

  • 서갑성
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.153-169
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this paper is to review the major issues of between electronic trade and Ubiquitous computing. The rapidly developed environment by ubiquitous computing make the paradigm form e-trade to u-trade. This Article suggests an a-trade performance framework based on both field and literatures surveys. We propose some research subjects as well as practical implications for improving the performance of global c-trade under ubiquitous.

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정보기술 수용 모델을 이용한 무역업체의 전자무역 활용 및 성과에 관한 실증 연구 (An Empirical Study on the Implementation and Performance of e-Trade of Korean Export and Import Firms through IT Acceptance Model)

  • 손태규;홍사능;김영춘
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.29-57
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    • 2010
  • Global e-Trade system which electronically processes all trade transactions of trading companies is an essential platform where export and import firms enhance international competitiveness. This study is to develop research models suitable for e-Trade and empirically analyze them in order to examine and verify factors affecting e-Trade system of trading companies on the basis of previously-verified studies on global e-Trade such as TAM, TOE, and Task-Technology Fit Model(TTF). Among many factors, this paper comprehensively analyzes an acceptance factor, which is one of the factors affecting the implementation and performance of e-Trade, from the technological, organizational, and environmental context. The finding from this paper will be applied to e-Trade projects carried out by the government in the future by analyzing the correlation between acceptance and performance.

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