• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global Crisis

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A Study on the Extracting the Core Input and Output Variables in Construction Company using DEA and PCA (DEA와 PCA를 이용한 건설기업의 핵심 투입-산출변수 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Joo;Park, Jung-Lo;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.94-102
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the global financial crisis and the increasing number of unsold houses in Korea are construction companies to assess their efficiency. The most important factor in analyzing the efficiency of a company is the input-output variable. However, systematic stud the core input-output variables, which have a great influence on the efficiency analysis. Thus, to the core input-output variables for efficiency analysis of construction companies, this study propose a model that includes all combinations of input-output variables and to find the core input-output variables using the Data Envelopment Analysis(DEA) model and Principal Component Analysis(PCA). Existing research and theories were studied variables and 21 models were established to measure efficiency. were obtained that the core input and output variable in 2006 the number of employees and sales. For 2008, the core input variable was capital stock and the core output variable was quarterly net profit. For 2010, the core input variable was fixed asset and the core output variable was sales. Through obtaining the variables that greatly affect the efficiency of construction companies, it is considered that individual construction companies will be able to prepare a priority strategy to enhance efficiency.

A Study on the Volatilities of Inbound Tourists Arrivals using the Multivariate BEKK model (다변량 BEKK모형을 이용한 방한 외래 관광객의 변동성에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Soo;Lee, Kyung-Hee
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we try to investigate the spillover effects of volatility in international tourists arrivals between Korea and US, Japan, China by using the multivariate BEKK model from January 2005 to January 2013. In the results of this study, after the global financial crisis, we found a cointegration relationship and tourist arrivals of Japan were adjusted to recovery in the short term. Also tourists arrivals from China and Japan showed the long-term elasticity. In the conditional mean equation of a BEKK model, there were the spillover effects. And in the conditional variance equation, ARCH(${\epsilon}^2_t$) coefficients showed a strong influence on the arrivals of their own and the spillover effects and the asymmetric effects on the volatility of China and Japan arrivals. In GARCH(${\sigma}^2_t$) coefficients showed the asymmetric effects and the spillover effects of the conditional volatility among source arrivals. Therefore, we examined the asymmetric reaction of one-way or two-way tourist arrivals between source countries and Korea and the spillover effects related to tourists arrivals of source countries to Korea. We has confirmed a causal relationship between some of the tourists arrivals from source countries to korea.

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An Analysis on the North-Africa Entry Strategies of Korea Logistics Companies (조선산업의 글로벌 경쟁력 강화를 위한 한중 선박금융제도의 비교연구)

  • Choi, Chang-Yeoul;Ham, Hyung-Bum
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.317-337
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    • 2012
  • This study has investigated shipping finance systems in Korea and China, and extracted negative factors based on it to propose a way to develop the shipping financial system in Korea for shipbuilding industry and marine transportation. From after the global financial crisis in 2008 to right before the Lehman Brothers Holdings bankruptcy, shipping finance has been dominated by the major industrialized countries in Europe. However, the weight point is moving to the countries in Asia region such as Korea, Japan, and China based on relatively strong banking system and low interests rate. This study focused on the alternatives the current situation that the starter of shipping finance among three countries in Northeast Asia, South Korea is facing China's challenges. In the paper, shipping finance in Korea presented its defectives such as the limits of ship financing, lack of professional workforces, ever-present foreign exchange risks, and lack of understandings of the parties. As the countermeasures of them, it proposed establishing professional institute for ship financing, training professionals in financial industry, raising foreign credentials of won, and continuing associations between the parties. Even though we are the first Asian country introduced ship funds, the ship funds growth in China shall be under our eyes while we keep systemic networks between shipping, ship building, and ship financing.

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Stem Cell for the Present: Reconfiguration of Stem Cell Research, Ethics and Bio-industry in South Korea after the Hwang (현재를 위한 줄기세포: 황우석 사태 이후 한국에서 줄기세포 연구와 윤리, 바이오산업의 재구성)

  • Paik, Young-Gyung
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.185-207
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    • 2012
  • Since the Hwang scandal, the South Korean state has expressed often-conflicting interests of encouraging stem cell research and the IVF industry to save the country and introducing the ethical regulation in conformity with "Global Standard." As the tightening ethical regulation of stem cell research has enervated the field of human Embryonic stem cell(hESC) research, somatic stem cells (re-)emerged as an alternative savior that could rescue the future of research communities, bio-industry, practicing doctors, patients and the nation itself from the crisis. The recent literature on Korean biotechnology, however, mainly focus on hESC and relatively little attention has been given to the rapidly growing field of research on somatic stem cells like hematopoietic stem cells(HSCs) or Adipose derived stem cells(ASCs). While the hESC therapy is often regarded as experimental and ethically controversial, the HSCs or Mesenchymal stem cell(MSC) therapies have already made their ways into people's everyday life through market without much public discussion. Many ordinary people in South Korea are familiar with the story of patients who survived leukemia with the HSCs treatment; the number of doctors who are actively marketing the ASCs therapies is on the rapid increase; the concept of cosmetic products made from ASCs is gaining popularity among consumers. In this context, this article argues that the current ethical debates solely focusing on hESC or on the state policy and research regulation are too limiting to fully illuminate the politics of stem cell technologies in South Korea.

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A Study on the Biography of Men in International Marriage - A Story of Neo-diaspora of Seven Men - (국제 결혼한 남성들의 생애사 연구: 7인의 새로운 디아스포라(neo-diaspora) 이야기)

  • Lee, Keun-Moo;Kim, Jin-Sook
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.135-162
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    • 2009
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate Korean men that chose international marriage in terms of motivations, relationships with their spouses in terms of content and process, and quality changes by approaching them in a biography research method, as well as to look into the world of their specific experiences. Ten Korean men in international marriage participated in the study. In-depth interviews with them generated plenty of data. The analysis results of the data indicate that the instrumental nature was strong as for their motivation to marry a woman of a different nationality. They maintained partner relationships with their spouses until the exchange values became equal between them, when tension and conflicts started to happen. The ways they reacted to the crisis determined whether their marital relationships would continue or end. Most of the subjects that succeeded in maintaining their marital relationships deconstructed their own culture, reorganized it at the contact points with the culture of their spouses, and then moved to a new diaspora. The research implications emphasize an academic need to regard female marriage immigrants as a neo-diaspora in the global age. And suggestions were made as to intercultural education.

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Predicting Stock Liquidity by Using Ensemble Data Mining Methods

  • Bae, Eun Chan;Lee, Kun Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2016
  • In finance literature, stock liquidity showing how stocks can be cashed out in the market has received rich attentions from both academicians and practitioners. The reasons are plenty. First, it is known that stock liquidity affects significantly asset pricing. Second, macroeconomic announcements influence liquidity in the stock market. Therefore, stock liquidity itself affects investors' decision and managers' decision as well. Though there exist a great deal of literature about stock liquidity in finance literature, it is quite clear that there are no studies attempting to investigate the stock liquidity issue as one of decision making problems. In finance literature, most of stock liquidity studies had dealt with limited views such as how much it influences stock price, which variables are associated with describing the stock liquidity significantly, etc. However, this paper posits that stock liquidity issue may become a serious decision-making problem, and then be handled by using data mining techniques to estimate its future extent with statistical validity. In this sense, we collected financial data set from a number of manufacturing companies listed in KRX (Korea Exchange) during the period of 2010 to 2013. The reason why we selected dataset from 2010 was to avoid the after-shocks of financial crisis that occurred in 2008. We used Fn-GuidPro system to gather total 5,700 financial data set. Stock liquidity measure was computed by the procedures proposed by Amihud (2002) which is known to show best metrics for showing relationship with daily return. We applied five data mining techniques (or classifiers) such as Bayesian network, support vector machine (SVM), decision tree, neural network, and ensemble method. Bayesian networks include GBN (General Bayesian Network), NBN (Naive BN), TAN (Tree Augmented NBN). Decision tree uses CART and C4.5. Regression result was used as a benchmarking performance. Ensemble method uses two types-integration of two classifiers, and three classifiers. Ensemble method is based on voting for the sake of integrating classifiers. Among the single classifiers, CART showed best performance with 48.2%, compared with 37.18% by regression. Among the ensemble methods, the result from integrating TAN, CART, and SVM was best with 49.25%. Through the additional analysis in individual industries, those relatively stabilized industries like electronic appliances, wholesale & retailing, woods, leather-bags-shoes showed better performance over 50%.

Feasibility Model Development by Applying System Dynamics Method in Residential Officetel (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 오피스텔 사업타당성 분석 모델 개발)

  • Jang, Jun-Ho;Ha, Sun-Geun;Kim, Kyeong-Ryoung;Son, Ki-Young;Son, Seung-Hyun;Lee, Taick-Oun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2018
  • Due to the low interest rates of banks according to the breakdown economy after the global financial crisis in 2008 As a substitute for financial products, the investment demand has been increased for rentable investment funds such as commercial building and officetel. However, the problems such as oversupply, decrease of a rental profit and negative perception of development projects have been occurred. One of the primary problems is the existing deterministic method of project feasibility analysis. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop feasibility model by applying system dynamics method in residential officetel. To achieve the objective, first, the previous studies are investigated. Second, the causal loop diagram is structured based on the collected data. Third, the feasibility model is developed through the causal loop diagram. Fourth, the effectiveness is validated and compared to collected actual data. The proposed model can be helpful whether or not conduct execution of an officetel development project to the decision makers.

Analysis on Recent Changes in the Covered Interest Rate Parity Condition (글로벌 금융위기 전후 무위험 이자율 평형조건의 동태성 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Jung Sung;Kang, Kyu Ho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.103-136
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    • 2014
  • The covered interest rate parity condition (CIRP) has been widely used in open macroeconomic analysis, risk management, exchange rate forecasts, and so forth. Due to the recent global financial crises, there have been remarkable changes in the financial markets of the emerging markets. These changes possibly influenced the dynamics of the covered interest rate parity condition. In this paper, we investigate whether the CIRP dynamics has changed, and what is the nature of the regime changes. To do this, we propose and estimate multiple-state Markov regime switching models using a Bayesian MCMC method. Our estimation results indicate that the default risk or the deviation from the CIRP has been decreased after the crisis. It seems to be associated with the more active interaction between the short-term bond market and the short-term foreign exchange market than before. The tightened relation of these two financial markets is caused by the arbitrage transaction of foreign investors.

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Survival analysis on the business types of small business using Cox's proportional hazard regression model (콕스 비례위험 모형을 이용한 중소기업의 업종별 생존율 및 생존요인 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Kyung;Oh, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2012
  • Global crisis expedites the change in the environment of industry and puts small size enterprises in danger of mass bankruptcy. Because of this, domestic small size enterprises is an urgent need of restructuring. Based on the small business data registered in the Credit Guarantee Fund, we estimated the survival probability in the context of the survival analysis. We also analyzed the survival time which are distinguished depending on the types of business in the small business. Financial variables were also conducted using COX regression analysis of small businesses by types of business. In terms of types of business wholesale and retail trade industry and services were relatively high in the survival probability than light, heavy, and the construction industries. Especially the construction industry showed the lowest survival probability. In addition, we found that construction industry, the bigger BIS (bank of international settlements capital ratio) and current ratio are, the smaller default-rate is. But the bigger borrowing bond is, the bigger default-rate is. In the light industry, the bigger BIS and ROA (return on assets) are, the smaller a default-rate is. In the wholesale and retail trade industry, the bigger bis and current ratio are, the smaller a default-rate is. In the heavy industry, the bigger BIS, ROA, current ratio are, the smaller default-rate is. Finally, in the services industry, the bigger current ratio is, the smaller a default-rate is.

Study on Market Prospects, Financing Challenges and Alternative Solutions in New Nuclear Power Projects (신규 원전의 시장전망 및 금융조달의 과제와 대안)

  • Lee, Jang-pyo
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2016
  • Although construction of any new nuclear power projects had not been launched since mid-1970s until recently in the USA, many new nuclear power plants have been constructed in many countries with the support of their governments mainly as part of their national energy security and electric source diversification policies. For many reasons, the nuclear power industry seemed to reclaim their renaissance from the beginning of this century and the investment in the nuclear power projects draw positive concern from the private financial sector. But the global financial crisis in 2008 and subsequent economic slow-down together with tighter bank credit regulations caused commercial banks, the main source of financing, to lose appetite for investing in new nuclear power projects. But the nuclear power economics shows that the nuclear power is viable in terms of the environmental benefit and long-term average cost compared to other power generation sources. Also doubt about nuclear power safety was much mitigated due to technology development and reinforced safety-related tests and monitoring. Therefore, the prospect for nuclear power market expansion remains positive although there are comparatively big differences among different scenarios. After Korea Electric Power Corp. won the UAE nuclear power project in December of 2009, the competition in nuclear power markets is undergoing huge changes. Competitors backed by the support of their own governments are now entering the market with many aggressive and innovative financing packages to win bids of new nuclear power projects. This report analyzed the nuclear power market prospects, competitive edges of nuclear power, risk management measures, and financing challenges and recommends alternative solutions to promote competitive edges in winning bids of new nuclear power projects.