• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.67 no.1
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• pp.52-59
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• 1984

A Gentan probability q(j) is the probability that a newly planted forest will be felled at age-class j. A future change in growing stock and yield of the forests can be predicted by means of this probability. On the other hand a state of the forests is described in terms of an n-vector whose components are the areas of each age-class. This vector, called age-class vector, flows in a n-1 dimensional simplex by means of $n{\times}n$ matrices, whose components are the age-class transition probabilities derived from the Gentan probabilities. In the simplex there exists a fixed point, into which an arbitrary forest age vector sinks. Theoretically this point means a normal state of the forest. To each age-class-transition matrix there corresponds a single normal state; this means that there are infinitely many normal states of the forests.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.76 no.4
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• pp.390-396
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• 1987

The model and its example were provided to predict wood production for a district forest planning. The method of Gentan probability is widely accepted for the prediction of wood production. The suggested model is different in the decision of cutting age distribution from that of Prof. Suzuki; the former can use either Weibull distribution or Gamma distribution, but the latter is possible only by Gamma distribution. This developed system can be used not only for establishing a district forest planning, but also for providing forest management information, such as periodic harvest volume, growing stock, labor requirement, and so forth.

• Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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• v.82 no.3
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• pp.292-304
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• 1993

This research developed a forest-level harvest scheduling model using linear programming (LP). The formulations of the LP model include timber production schemes with constraints of nondecling yield forest conversion strategies, the minimum timber supply, levels and the maximum cut acrages. The model is able to generate both Model I and Model II types of input matrix in MPS format. In this paper, use of LP in building the framework of the strategic forest planning model was justified by comparing the algorithmic characteristics of LP with those of Gentan probability and binary search approaches through literature reviews. In order to demonstrate the field applicability of the model proposed. (1) the harvest scheduling problem for about 11,000-hectare case study area (Mt. Baekun area in Southern Experimental Forest of Seoul National University) was formulated and soloed and (2) the effects of the change in task regulatory timber production constraints or. optimal harvesting schedules here investigated.