• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

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Assessment of Transmission Losses with The 7th Basic Plan of Long-term Electricity Supply and Demand (7차 전력수급계획에 따른 송전계통 손실 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Yul;Lee, Yeo-Jin
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.112-118
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, decentralized power have been increasing due to environmental problems, liberalization of electricity markets and technological developments. These changes have led to the evolution of power generation, transmission, and distribution into discrete sectors and the division of integrated power systems. Therefore, studies are underway to efficiently supply power and reduce losses to each sector's demand. This is a major concern for system planners and operators, as it accounts for a relatively high proportion of total power, with a transmission and distribution loss of 4-6%. Therefore, this paper analyzes the status of loss management based on the current transmission and distribution loss rate of each country and transmission loss management cases of each national power company, and proposes a loss rate prediction algorithm according to the long-term transmission system plan. The proposed algorithm predicts the demand-based long-term evolution and the loss rate of the grid to which the transmission plan is applied.

C* Based Life Assessment of 3D Crack at High Temperature (C*에 기초한 3차원 고온균열 수명평가)

  • Han, Tae-Soo;Yoon, Kee-Bong;Lee, Hyung-Il
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.823-833
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    • 2001
  • In recent years, the subject of remaining life assessment has drawn considerable attention in chemical plants, where various structural components typically operate at high temperature an pressure. Thus a life prediction methodology accounting for high temperature creep fracture is increasingly needed for the components. Critical defects in such structures are generally found in the form of semi-elliptical surface crack, and the analysis of which is consequently an important problem in engineering fracture mechanics. On this background, we first develop an auto mesh generation program for detailed 3-D finite element analyses of axial and circumferential semi-elliptical surface cracks in a piping system. A high temperature creep fracture parameter C-integral is obtained from the finite element analyses of generated 3-D models. Post crack growth module is further appended here to calculate the amount of crack growth. Finally the remaining lives of surface cracked pipes for various analytical parameters are assessed using the developed life assessment program.

Prediction of greenhouse gas emission from municipal solid waste for South Korea

  • Popli, Kanchan;Lim, Jeejae;Kim, Hyeon Kyeong;Kim, Young Min;Tuu, Nguyen Thanh;Kim, Seungdo
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.462-469
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    • 2020
  • This study is proposing a System Dynamics Model for estimating Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission from treating Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) in South Korea for years 2000 to 2030. The government of country decided to decrease the total GHG emission from waste sector in 2030 as per Business-as-usual level. In context, four scenarios are generated to predict GHG emission from treating the MSW with three processes i.e., landfill, incineration and recycling. For prior step, MSW generation rate is projected for present and future case using population and waste generation per capita data. It is found that population and total MSW are directly correlated. The total population will increase to 56.27 million and total MSW will be 21.59 million tons in 2030. The methods for estimating GHG emission from landfill, incineration and recycling are adopted from IPCC, 2006 guidelines. The study indicates that Scenario 2 is best to adopt for decreasing the total GHG emission in future where recycling waste is increased to 75% and landfill waste is decreased to 7.6%. Lastly, it is concluded that choosing proper method for treating the MSW in country can result into savings of GHG emission.

Prediction of Radionuclide Inventory for the Low- and Intermediate-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Facility by the Radioactive Waste Classification (방사성폐기물 신분류기준을 고려한 중저준위 방사성폐기물 처분시설의 핵종재고량 예측)

  • Jung, Kang Il;Jeong, Noh Gyeom;Moon, Young Pyo;Jeong, Mi Seon;Park, Jin Beak
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.63-78
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    • 2016
  • To meet nuclear regulatory requirements, more than 95% individual radionuclides in the low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste inventory have to be identified. In this study, the radionuclide inventory has been estimated by taking the long-term radioactive waste generation, the development plan of disposal facility, and the new radioactive waste classification into account. The state of radioactive waste cumulated from 2014 was analyzed for various radioactive sources and future prospects for predicting the long-term radioactive waste generation. The predicted radionuclide inventory results are expected to contribute to secure the development of waste disposal facility and to deploy the safety case for its long-term safety assessment.

Prediction of the Volume of Solid Radioactive Wastes to be Generated from Korean Next Generation Reactor

  • Cheong, Jae-Hak;Lee, Kun-Jai;Maeng, Sung-Jun;Song, Myung-Jae;Park, Kyu-Wan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.218-228
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    • 1997
  • Correlations between the amount of DAW (Dry Active Waste) generated from present Korean PWRs and their operating parameters were analyzed. As the result of multi-variable linear regressions, a model predicting the volume of DAW using the number of shutdowns ( $f_{FS}$ ) and total personnel exposure ( $P_{\varepsilon}$) was derived. Considering one standard error bound, the model could successfully simulate about 8575 of the real data. In order to predict the amount of DAW to be generated from a KNGR another model was derived by taking into account the additional volume reduction by supercompaction system. In addition, the volume of WAW (Wet Active Waste) to be generated from KNGR (Korean Next Generation Reactor) was calculated by considering conceptual design data and replacement effect of radwaste evaporator with selective ion exchangers. Finally, total volume of SRW (Solid Radioactive Waste) to be generated from KNGR was predicted by inserting design goal values of $f_{FS}$ and $P_{\varepsilon}$ into the model. The result showed that the expected amount of SRW to be generated from KNGR would be in the range of 33~44㎥. $y^{-1}$ . It was proved that the value would meet the operational target of KNGR proposed by KEPCO, that is, 50㎥. $y^{-1}$ .

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Advanced In-Vessel Retention Design for Next Generation Risk Management

  • Kune Y. Suh;Hwang, Il-Soon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.713-718
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    • 1997
  • In the TMI-2 accident, approximately twenty(20) tons of molten core material drained into the lower plenum. Early advanced light water reactor (LWR) designs assumed a lower head failure and incorporated various measures for ex-vessel accident mitigation. However, one of the major findings from the TMI-2 Vessel Investigation Project was that one part of the reactor lower head wall estimated to have attained a temperature of 1100$^{\circ}C$ for about 30 minutes has seemingly experienced a comparatively rapid cooldown with no major threat to the vessel integrity. In this regard, recent empirical and analytical studies have shifted interests to such in-vessel retention designs or strategies as reactor cavity flooding, in-vessel flooding and engineered gap cooling of the vessel Accurate thermohydrodynamic and creep deformation modeling and rupture prediction are the key to the success in developing practically useful in-vessel accident/risk management strategies. As an advanced in-vessel design concept, this work presents the COrium Attack Syndrome Immunization Structures (COASIS) that are being developed as prospective in-vessel retention devices for a next-generation LWR in concert with existing ex-vessel management measures. Both the engineered gap structures in-vessel (COASISI) and ex-vessel (COASISO) are demonstrated to maintain effective heat transfer geometry during molten core debris attack when applied to the Korean Standard Nuclear Power Plant(KSNPP) reactor. The likelihood of lower head creep rupture during a severe accident is found to be significantly suppressed by the COASIS options.

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A Study on The Pulsating Combustion of Premixed Gas in a Tube with a Honeycomb (다공성 물질에 의한 예혼합기의 맥동연소에 관한 연구)

  • 권영필;이동훈;현길학
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.676-684
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    • 1990
  • This study is on the pulsating combustion of premixed gas in a Rijke type combustor made of a honeycomb flame holder in a tube. Modelling for the onset condition of the oscillation is made by the ratio of the acoustic power generation based on the analysis of heat transfer to the power loss due to the thermoviscous dissipation and radiation. Experiment is performed for the characteristics of acoustic, thermal and combustion. It is shown that the theoretical modelling for the oscillation may be used as a limit condition. And the combustion analysis for the acoustic power generation is needed for better prediction of the onset condition. Experimental result shows that, by pulsation, the flame length is shortened and the flame temperature is decreased with increase in the heat transfer coefficient. The NO$_{x}$ concentration in the exhaust gas is significantly reduced by pulsation and the concentration of unburned hydrocarbon shows a little increase.e.

Development and Application of a Generation Method of Human Models for Ergonomic Product Design in Virtual Environment (가상환경상의 인간공학적 제품설계를 위한 인체모델군 생성기법 개발 및 적용)

  • Ryu, Tae-Beum;Jung, In-Jun;You, Hee-Cheon;Kim, Kwang-Jae
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.16 no.spc
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    • pp.144-148
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    • 2003
  • A group of digital human models with various sizes which properly represents a population under consideration is needed in the design process of an ergonomic product in virtual environment. The present study proposes a two-step method which produces a representative group of human models in terms of stature and weight. The proposed method first generates a designated number of pairs of stature and weight within an accommodation range from the bivariate normal distribution of stature and weight of the target population. Then, from each pair of stature and weight, the method determines the sizes of body segments by using 'hierarchical' regression models and corresponding prediction distributions of individual values. The suggested method was applied to the 1988 US Army anthropometric survey data and implemented to a web-based system which generates a representative group of human models for the following parameters: nationality, gender, accommodation percentage, and number of human models.

A Study on the Reliability Prediction and Lifetime of the Electrolytic Condenser for EMU Inverter (전동차 인버터 구동용 전해콘덴서의 신뢰도예측과 수명 연구)

  • Han, Jae-Hyun;Bae, Chang-Han;Koo, Jeong-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2014
  • Inverter module, which feeds the converted power to the traction motor for EMU. Consists of the power semiconductors with their gate drive unit(GDU)s and the control computer for driving, voltage, current and speed controls. Electrolytic condenser, connected to the gate drive unit and a core component to drive the power semiconductor, has problems such as reduction in lifetime and malfunction caused by electrical and mechanical characteristic changes from heat generation during high speed switching for generation of stable power. In this study, To check the service life of electrolytic condenser, the test was carried out in two ways. First, In the case of accelerated life testing of condenser, the Arrhenius model is a way of life testing. Another way is to analyze the reliability of the failure data by the method of parametric data analysis. Eventually, life time by accelerated life test than a method of failure data analysis(Weibull distribution) was found to be slightly larger output.

Assessment of Wind Energy Potentiality in Wolryong using Short-term Observation (단기관측에 의한 월령 연안지역 풍력에너지 잠재량 평가)

  • Jeong, Tae-Yoon;Lim, Hee-Chang
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2009
  • Wind energy resources are recently considered as an important power generation alternative in the future. The fact that the investment of wind turbine installation continues to increase has motivated a need to develop more widely applicable methodologies for evaluating the actual benefits of adding wind turbines to conventional generating systems. This study is aiming to estimate the future wind resources with various estimation methods. The wind power is calculated at the hub height 75m of 800KW and 1,500KW wind turbines in Wolryong site, Jeju island, South Korea. Three equations - logarithmic, profile, and power law methods are applied for the accurate prediction of wind profile. In addition, yearly wind power can be calculated by using Weibull & Rayleigh distribution. It is found that predicted wind speed is highly affected by friction velocity, atmospheric stability, and averaged roughness length. It is concluded that Rayleigh distribution provides greater power generation than the Weibull distribution, especially for low wind-speed condition.

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