• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

검색결과 811건 처리시간 0.053초

시뮬레이션을 통한 실내 오염물질 확산의 예측 방법 (A Prediction of the Indoor Contaminant diffusion using Network Simulation)

  • 강기남;송두삼
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2006년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2006
  • CFD simulation is a tool very useful to predict the generation and absorption of the contaminant from the construction materials for the single room condition. However, there is a limit in multi-room simulation for analyzing air movement and contaminant concentration at the condition that the door of each room was closed. A lot of network simulation tool were developed which can used to analyze the mass transfer and contaminant concentration as results in the multi-room condition. However, existing network simulation method was not able to analyze the change of the heating and cooling load with the ventilation as though the change of the indoor air-pollution density was predictable. In this study, new approach to predict heating/cooling load and indoor contaminant concentration will be reviewed. New indoor contaminant concentration module reviewed in this study wad coupled with existing ESP-r network simulation method. The validity of new approach will be analysed for comparison the results of simulation and field measurement results.

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Will You Buy It Now?: Predicting Passengers that Purchase Premium Promotions Using the PAX Model

  • Al Emadi, Noora;Thirumuruganathan, Saravanan;Robillos, Dianne Ramirez;Jansen, Bernard Jim
    • Journal of Smart Tourism
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2021
  • Upselling is often a critical factor in revenue generation for businesses in the tourism and travel industry. Utilizing passenger data from a major international airline company, we develop the PAX (Passenger, Airline, eXternal) model to predict passengers that are most likely to accept an upgrade offer from economy to premium. Formulating the problem as an extremely unbalanced, cost-sensitive, supervised binary classification, we predict if a customer will take an upgrade offer. We use a feature vector created from the historical data of 3 million passenger records from 2017 to 2019, in which passengers received approximately 635,000 upgrade offers worth more than $422,000,000 U.S. dollars. The model has an F1-score of 0.75, outperforming the airline's current rule-based approach. Findings have several practical applications, including identifying promising customers for upselling and minimizing the number of indiscriminate emails sent to customers. Accurately identifying the few customers who will react positively to upgrade offers is of paramount importance given the airline 'industry's razor-thin margins. Research results have significant real-world impacts because there is the potential to improve targeted upselling to customers in the airline and related industries.

유효가뭄지수(EDI)를 이용한 한반도 미래 가뭄 특성 전망 (Projection of Future Changes in Drought Characteristics in Korea Peninsula Using Effective Drought Index)

  • 곽용석;조재필;정임국;김도우;장상민
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2018
  • This study implemented the prediction of drought properties (number of drought events, intensity, duration) using the user-oriented systematical procedures of downscaling climate change scenarios based the multiple global climate models (GCMs), AIMS (APCC Integrated Modeling Solution) program. The drought properties were defined and estimated with Effective Drought Index (EDI). The optimal 10 models among 29 GCMs were selected, by the estimation of the spatial and temporal reproducibility about the five climate change indices related with precipitation. In addition, Simple Quantile Mapping (SQM) as the downscaling technique is much better in describing the observed precipitation events than Spatial Disaggregation Quantile Delta Mapping (SDQDM). Even though the procedure was systematically applied, there are still limitations in describing the observed spatial precipitation properties well due to the offset of spatial variability in multi-model ensemble (MME) analysis. As a result, the farther into the future, the duration and the number of drought generation will be decreased, while the intensity of drought will be increased. Regionally, the drought at the central regions of the Korean Peninsula is expected to be mitigated, while that at the southern regions are expected to be severe.

원통형셀 기반 직렬배터리팩의 외형(정사/직사면체) 차이에 의한 내부 열분포 기초해석 (Inner Temperature Distribution by Two Appearances of Series-Cell Configured Battery Pack using Cylindrical Cells)

  • 한동호;이평연;박진형;김종훈;유기수;조인호
    • 전력전자학회논문지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.408-414
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    • 2018
  • Given that lithium-ion batteries are expected to be used as power sources for electric and hybrid vehicles, thermodynamics experimentation and prediction based on experimental data were performed. Thermal, electrochemical, and electrochemical/electrical-thermal models were used for accurate battery modeling. Various applications of different battery packs were demonstrated, and thermal analysis was performed using the same experimental conditions for square and rectangular battery packs. Accurate thermal analysis for a single cell should be prioritized to determine the thermal behavior of the battery pack. The energy balance equation, which contains heat generation and heat transfer factors, defines the thermal behavior of the battery pack. By comparing battery packs of different shapes tested under the same condition, this study revealed that the rectangular battery pack is superior to the square battery pack in terms of the maximum temperature of inner cells and temperature variation between cells.

Validation of Geostationary Earth Orbit Satellite Ephemeris Generated from Satellite Laser Ranging

  • Oh, Hyungjik;Park, Eunseo;Lim, Hyung-Chul;Lee, Sang-Ryool;Choi, Jae-Dong;Park, Chandeok
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2018
  • This study presents the generation and accuracy assessment of predicted orbital ephemeris based on satellite laser ranging (SLR) for geostationary Earth orbit (GEO) satellites. Two GEO satellites are considered: GEO-Korea Multi-Purpose Satellite (KOMPSAT)-2B (GK-2B) for simulational validation and Compass-G1 for real-world quality assessment. SLR-based orbit determination (OD) is proactively performed to generate orbital ephemeris. The length and the gap of the predicted orbital ephemeris were set by considering the consolidated prediction format (CPF). The resultant predicted ephemeris of GK-2B is directly compared with a pre-specified true orbit to show 17.461 m and 23.978 m, in 3D root-mean-square (RMS) position error and maximum position error for one day, respectively. The predicted ephemeris of Compass-G1 is overlapped with the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) final orbit from the GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) analysis center (AC) to yield 36.760 m in 3D RMS position differences. It is also compared with the CPF orbit from the International Laser Ranging Service (ILRS) to present 109.888 m in 3D RMS position differences. These results imply that SLR-based orbital ephemeris can be an alternative candidate for improving the accuracy of commonly used radar-based orbital ephemeris for GEO satellites.

자율주행 차량의 다 차선 환경 내 차량 추종 경로 계획 (Car-following Motion Planning for Autonomous Vehicles in Multi-lane Environments)

  • 서장필;이경수
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2019
  • This paper suggests a car-following algorithm for urban environment, with multiple target candidates. Until now, advanced driver assistant systems (ADASs) and self-driving technologies have been researched to cope with diverse possible scenarios. Among them, car-following driving has been formed the groundwork of autonomous vehicle for its integrity and flexibility to other modes such as smart cruise system (SCC) and platooning. Although the field has a rich history, most researches has been focused on the shape of target trajectory, such as the order of interpolated polynomial, in simple single-lane situation. However, to introduce the car-following mode in urban environment, realistic situation should be reflected: multi-lane road, target's unstable driving tendency, obstacles. Therefore, the suggested car-following system includes both in-lane preceding vehicle and other factors such as side-lane targets. The algorithm is comprised of three parts: path candidate generation and optimal trajectory selection. In the first part, initial guesses of desired paths are calculated as polynomial function connecting host vehicle's state and vicinal vehicle's predicted future states. In the second part, final target trajectory is selected using quadratic cost function reflecting safeness, control input efficiency, and initial objective such as velocity. Finally, adjusted path and control input are calculated using model predictive control (MPC). The suggested algorithm's performance is verified using off-line simulation using Matlab; the results shows reasonable car-following motion planning.

EMI Prediction and Reduction of Zero-Crossing Noise in Totem-Pole Bridgeless PFC Converters

  • Zhang, Baihua;Lin, Qiang;Imaoka, Jun;Shoyama, Masahito;Tomioka, Satoshi;Takegami, Eiji
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.278-287
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    • 2019
  • In this study, a zero-crossing spike current issue in a totem-pole bridgeless power factor correction (PFC) converter is comprehensively investigated for the first time. Spike current occurs when input voltage crosses zero, becomes a noise source, and causes severe common mode emission issues. A generation mechanism for electromagnetic interference (EMI) is presented to investigate the EMI problem caused by zero-crossing issue, and a noise spectrum due to this issue is predicted by a theoretical analysis based on the Fourier coefficient of an approximate spike current waveform. Furthermore, a noise reduction method is proposed and then improved to reduce the spike current. Experimental measurements are implemented on a GaN-based totem-pole bridgeless PFC converter, and the spike current can be effectively suppressed through the proposed method. Furthermore, the noise spectrums measured without and with the reduced zero-crossing spike current are compared. Experimental results validate the analysis of the noise spectrum caused by the zero-crossing spike current issue.

Deep Learning Model on Gravitational Waves of Merger and Ringdown in Coalescence of Binary Black Holes

  • Lee, Joongoo;Cho, Gihyuk;Kim, Kyungmin;Oh, Sang Hoon;Oh, John J.;Son, Edwin J.
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.46.2-46.2
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    • 2019
  • We propose a deep learning model that can generate a waveform of coalescing binary black holes in merging and ring-down phases in less than one second with a graphics processing unit (GPU) as an approximant of gravitational waveforms. Up to date, numerical relativity has been accepted as the most adequate tool for the accurate prediction of merger phase of waveform, but it is known that it typically requires huge amount of computational costs. We present our method can generate the waveform with ~98% matching to that of the status-of-the-art waveform approximant, effective-one-body model calibrated to numerical relativity simulation and the time for the generation of ~1500 waveforms takes O(1) seconds. The validity of our model is also tested through the recovery of signal-to-noise ratio and the recovery of waveform parameters by injecting the generated waveforms into a public open noise data produced by LIGO. Our model is readily extendable to incorporate additional physics such as higher harmonics modes of the ring-down phase and eccentric encounters, since it only requires sufficient number of training data from numerical relativity simulations.

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3구 노즐을 이용한 플라즈마 가스 용존율 향상을 위한 플라즈마 공정의 최적화 (Optimization of Plasma Process to Improve Plasma Gas Dissolution Rate using Three-neck Nozzle)

  • 김동석;박영식
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.399-406
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    • 2021
  • The dissolution of ionized gas in dielectric barrier plasma, similar to the principle of ozone generation, is a major performance-affecting factor. In this study, the plasma gas dissolving performance of a gas mixing-circulation plasma process was evaluated using an experimental design methodology. The plasma reaction is a function of four parameters [electric current (X1), gas flow rate (X2), liquid flow rate (X3) and reaction time (X4)] modeled by the Box-Behnken design. RNO (N, N-Dimethyl-4-nitrosoaniline), an indictor of OH radical formation, was evaluated using a quadratic response surface model. The model prediction equation derived for RNO degradation was shown as a second-order polynomial. By pooling the terms with poor explanatory power as error terms and performing ANOVA, results showed high significance, with an adjusted R2 value of 0.9386; this indicate that the model adequately satisfies the polynomial fit. For the RNO degradation, the measured value and the predicted values by the model equation agreed relatively well. The optimum current, gas flow rate, liquid flow rate and reaction time were obtained for the highest desirability for RNO degradation at 0.21 A, 2.65 L/min, 0.75 L/min and 6.5 min, respectively.

냉각계통 동적 예측을 위한 수전해 시스템 동적 모사 모델 (Dynamic Model of Water Electrolysis for Prediction of Dynamic Characteristics of Cooling System)

  • 윤상현;윤진원;황건용
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • Water electrolysis technology, which generates hydrogen using renewable energy resources, has recently attracted great attention. Especially, the polymer electrolyte membrane water electrolysis system has several advantages over other water electrolysis technologies, such as high efficiency, low operating temperature, and optimal operating point. Since research that analyzes performance characteristics using test bench have high cost and long test time, however, model based approach is very important. Therefore, in this study, a system model for water electrolysis dynamics of a polymer electrolyte membrane was developed based on MATLAB/Simulink®. The water electrolysis system developed in this study can take into account the heat and mass transfer characteristics in the cell with the load variation. In particular, the performance of the system according to the stack temperature control can be analyzed and evaluated. As a result, the developed water electrolysis system can analyze water pump dynamics and hydrogen generation according to temperature dynamics by reflecting the dynamics of temperature.