• Title/Summary/Keyword: Generation Prediction

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A Prediction on the Pollution Level of Outdoor Insulator with Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 활용한 옥외 절연물의 오손도 예측)

  • 최남호;구경완;한상옥
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers C
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2003
  • The degree of contamination on outdoor insulator is ons of the most importance factor to determine the pollution level of outdoor insulation, and the sea salt is known as the most dangerous pollutant. As shown through the preceding study, the generation of salt pollutant and the pollution degree of outdoor insulator have a close relation with meteorological conditions, such as wind velocity, wind direction, precipitation and so fourth. So, in this paper, we made an investigation on the prediction method, a statistical estimation technique for equivalent salt deposit density of outdoor insulator with multiple linear regression analysis. From the results of the analysis, we proved the superiority of the prediction method in which the variables had a very close(about 0.9) correlation coefficient. And the results could be applied to establish the Pollution Prediction System for power utilities, and the system could provide an invaluable information for the design and maintenance of outdoor insulation system.

An SAD-Based Selective Bi-prediction Method for Fast Motion Estimation in High Efficiency Video Coding

  • Kim, Jongho;Jun, DongSan;Jeong, Seyoon;Cho, Sukhee;Choi, Jin Soo;Kim, Jinwoong;Ahn, Chieteuk
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.753-758
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    • 2012
  • As the next-generation video coding standard, High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC) has adopted advanced coding tools despite the increase in computational complexity. In this paper, we propose a selective bi-prediction method to reduce the encoding complexity of HEVC. The proposed method evaluates the statistical property of the sum of absolute differences in the motion estimation process and determines whether bi-prediction is performed. A performance comparison of the complexity reduction is provided to show the effectiveness of the proposed method compared to the HEVC test model version 4.0. On average, 50% of the bi-prediction time can be reduced by the proposed method, while maintaining a negligible bit increment and a minimal loss of image quality.

Design of HCBKA-Based IT2TSK Fuzzy Prediction System (HCBKA 기반 IT2TSK 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.7
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    • pp.1396-1403
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    • 2011
  • It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

Sequential prediction of TBM penetration rate using a gradient boosted regression tree during tunneling

  • Lee, Hang-Lo;Song, Ki-Il;Qi, Chongchong;Kim, Kyoung-Yul
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2022
  • Several prediction model of penetration rate (PR) of tunnel boring machines (TBMs) have been focused on applying to design stage. In construction stage, however, the expected PR and its trends are changed during tunneling owing to TBM excavation skills and the gap between the investigated and actual geological conditions. Monitoring the PR during tunneling is crucial to rescheduling the excavation plan in real-time. This study proposes a sequential prediction method applicable in the construction stage. Geological and TBM operating data are collected from Gunpo cable tunnel in Korea, and preprocessed through normalization and augmentation. The results show that the sequential prediction for 1 ring unit prediction distance (UPD) is R2≥0.79; whereas, a one-step prediction is R2≤0.30. In modeling algorithm, a gradient boosted regression tree (GBRT) outperformed a least square-based linear regression in sequential prediction method. For practical use, a simple equation between the R2 and UPD is proposed. When UPD increases R2 decreases exponentially; In particular, UPD at R2=0.60 is calculated as 28 rings using the equation. Such a time interval will provide enough time for decision-making. Evidently, the UPD can be adjusted depending on other project and the R2 value targeted by an operator. Therefore, a calculation process for the equation between the R2 and UPD is addressed.

Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting Based on Environmental Factors and GA-SVM

  • Wang, Jidong;Ran, Ran;Song, Zhilin;Sun, Jiawen
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.64-71
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    • 2017
  • Considering the volatility, intermittent and random of photovoltaic (PV) generation systems, accurate forecasting of PV power output is important for the grid scheduling and energy management. In order to improve the accuracy of short-term power forecasting of PV systems, this paper proposes a prediction model based on environmental factors and support vector machine optimized by genetic algorithm (GA-SVM). In order to improve the prediction accuracy of this model, weather conditions are divided into three types, and the gray correlation coefficient algorithm is used to find out a similar day of the predicted day. To avoid parameters optimization into local optima, this paper uses genetic algorithm to optimize SVM parameters. Example verification shows that the prediction accuracy in three types of weather will remain at between 10% -15% and the short-term PV power forecasting model proposed is effective and promising.

Development of a Knowledge Discovery System using Hierarchical Self-Organizing Map and Fuzzy Rule Generation

  • Koo, Taehoon;Rhee, Jongtae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2001.01a
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    • pp.431-434
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    • 2001
  • Knowledge discovery in databases(KDD) is the process for extracting valid, novel, potentially useful and understandable knowledge form real data. There are many academic and industrial activities with new technologies and application areas. Particularly, data mining is the core step in the KDD process, consisting of many algorithms to perform clustering, pattern recognition and rule induction functions. The main goal of these algorithms is prediction and description. Prediction means the assessment of unknown variables. Description is concerned with providing understandable results in a compatible format to human users. We introduce an efficient data mining algorithm considering predictive and descriptive capability. Reasonable pattern is derived from real world data by a revised neural network model and a proposed fuzzy rule extraction technique is applied to obtain understandable knowledge. The proposed neural network model is a hierarchical self-organizing system. The rule base is compatible to decision makers perception because the generated fuzzy rule set reflects the human information process. Results from real world application are analyzed to evaluate the system\`s performance.

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An implementation of the dynamic rate leaky bucket algorithm combined with a neural network based prediction (신경회로망 예측기법을 결합한 Dynamic Rate Leaky Bucket 알고리즘의 구현)

  • 이두헌;신요안;김영한
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.259-267
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    • 1997
  • The advent of B-ISDN using ATM(asynchronous transfer mode) made possible a variety of new multimedia services, however it also created a problem of congestion control due to bursty nature of various traffic sources. To tackle this problem, UPC/NPC(user parameter control/network parameter control) have been actively studied and DRLB(dynamic rate leaky bucket) algorithm, in which the token generation rate is changed according to states of data source andbuffer occupancy, is a good example of the UPC/NPC. However, the DRLB algorithm has drawbacks of low efficiency and difficult real-time implementation for bursty traffic sources because the determination of token generation rate in the algorithm is based on the present state of network. In this paper, we propose a more plastic and effective congestion control algorithm by combining the DRLB algorithm and neural network based prediction to remedy the drawbacks of the DRLB algorithm, and verify the efficacy of the proposed method by computer simulations.

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Computational Grid Generation for Aero-Performance Prediction of Multi-staged Axial Compressors (다단축류압축기의 공력성능 예측용 계산격자 생성기법 연구)

  • Chung, H.T.;Kim, J.S.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 1998
  • Computational grids used in the numerical simulation of multi staged turbomachinery flow fields are generated. A multiblock structure simplifies the creation of structured H-grids about complex turbomachinery geometries and facilitate the creation of a grid for multi-row topologies. The numerical algorithm adopts the combination of the algebraic and elliptic method to create the internal grids efficiently and quickly. The input module is made of the results of the preliminary design, i.e., flow-path, aerodynamic conditions along the spanwise direction, and the blade profile data. The final grids generated from each module of the system are used as the preprocessor for the performance prediction of the single row cascades and the flow simulation inside the multi staegd blade passage. Application to low pressure compressor of industrial gas turbine engines was demonstrated to be very reliable and practical in support of design activities.

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Future 2nd generation face prediction web service using StyleGAN (StyleGAN을 이용한 미래 2세대 얼굴 예측 웹 서비스)

  • Hwang Kim;Min-Jeong Kim;JI-Hyeon Lee;Jin-Ah Jung;Dong-Uk Kim;Ho-Young Kwak
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2024.01a
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    • pp.329-330
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    • 2024
  • 최근 생성형 AI에 대한 수요가 상승하고 있으며, MZ세대의 자기애 성향으로 자신의 얼굴을 활용한 미디어 콘텐츠에 대한 호기심이 높아지고 있다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 MZ세대의 창의성과 미디어 소비를 고취시키기 위해, StyleGAN 기술을 중심으로 자신과 닮은 2세의 가상 모습을 생성하는 웹 서비스를 설계하고 구현하였다.

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Grid Generation for Turbomachinery Cascades (터보기계 익렬을 위한 격자 형성)

  • Jeong, Hui-Taek;Baek, Je-Hyeon
    • 연구논문집
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    • s.25
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    • pp.67-76
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    • 1995
  • A grid generation algorithm associated with turbomachinery cascade flow fields has been developed. The present grid generation system consists of four separate modules. The system input is made of the results of the preliminary design, i.e., flow-path, aerodynamic conditions along the spanwise direction, and the blade profile data. The grid generation method generates a series of two-dimensional grids in the blade-to-blade passage to build up the three-¬dimensional grid, The numerical algorithm adopts the combination of the algebraic and elliptic method to create the internal grids efficiently and quickly. The resultant grids generated from each module of the system are used as the preprocessor for the performance prediction of the turbomachinery blade using Naveir-Stokes method in addition to the blade surface modelling for CAD data. For purposes of illustration, the grid generation system is applied to several complex geometries inculding a turbine rotor with and without a tip flow grid. Application to the blade design of the LP compressor was demonstrated to be very reliable and practical in support of design activities. This customized system are coupled strongly with the design procedure and reduces the man-hours required to predict the aerodynamic performance of the turbomachinery cascades using the CFD technique.

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