• Title/Summary/Keyword: General Election

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Election Prediction on Basis of Sentimental Analysis in 3rd World Countries

  • Bilal, Hafiz Syed Muhammad;Razzaq, Muhammad Asif;Lee, Sungyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2014.11a
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    • pp.928-931
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    • 2014
  • The detection of human behavior from social media revolutionized health, business, criminal and political prediction. Significance of it, in incentive transformation of public opinion had already proven for developed countries in improving democratic process of elections. In $3^{rd}$ World countries, voters poll votes for personal interests being unaware of party manifesto or national interest. These issues can be addressed by social media, resulting as ongoing process of improvement for presently adopted electoral procedures. On the optimistic side, people of such countries applied social media to garner support and campaign for political parties in General Elections. Political leaders, parties, and people empowered themselves with social media, in disseminating party's agenda and advocacy of party's ideology on social media without much campaigning cost. To study effectiveness of social media inferred from individual's political behavior, large scale analysis, sentiment detection & tweet classification was done in order to classify, predict and forecast election results. The experimental results depicts that social media content can be used as an effective indicator for capturing political behaviors of different parties positive, negative and neutral behavior of the party followers as well as party campaign impact can be predicted from the analysis.

Policy Network Analysis on Korean Child Care Cash Benefit Expansion (한국 양육수당의 확대는 어떠한 정책형성과정을 거쳤는가?: 정책네트워크 분석을 활용하여)

  • Lee, Sophia Seung-yoon;Kim, Min Hye;Lee, Ju-yong
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.195-232
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    • 2013
  • Child care cash benefit policy in Korea started in 2009 limited to the those under 2 years old in the poverty group entitled to National Basic Living Security Act and the near poor group (100,000 won a month). However, in 2013 the coverage has been expanded to everyone under 5 (200,000 won for those between babies in their first year, 150,000 won for the second year and 100,000 won for those between 2 to 5 years old) regardless of the household income level. The policy change between year 2012 and year 2013 requires a rapid increase in child care budget - 760% increase. This paper examines this exceptional expansion in child care cash benefit using policy network analysis. We found that local election as well as general election immediately effect the interaction between policy actors and the types of networks. This suggest that policy actors recognize child care cash benefit to be more directly related to the election result compared with child care services. Also conflictive interaction between the parties and government bodies with budget restraint also facilitated the diversification on the child care cash benefit discussion. The policy making process of child care cash benefit was led to policy adoption immediately after the presidential election suggesting that policy formation process and the policy adoption had an close relationship in the Korean child care cash benefit policy process.

Empirical Analysis of Political Communication Mode at Cyberspace (사이버 공간에서의 정치 커뮤니케이션 양식 분석 연구 : 제16대 공선 후보자 사이버 게시판 분석을 중심으로)

  • Hwang, Geun
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.16
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    • pp.207-254
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    • 2001
  • This study is focused on forecasting the future of tole-democracy. Many Scholars expect that internet provides technological space needing realizing the tole-democracy or deliberate democracy. Especially in Korea, this expectation is higher than other nations because of political corruption and inefficiency. Therefore internet is intended to considering as new technologies reforming political process. In 16th the general election period, many candidates established home page and used as election campaign tool. And a little of home pages is payed attention to among voters. In spite of using internet as political medium, many political communication researchers have a doubt that internet will realize ideal direct democracy. It's reason is that internet is open and anonymous space. At anonymous space, communication participators is tended to be irresponsible and non-serious. Therefore it is hard that cyber-politics will be ideal type of democracy. In this context, this paper analyzed how pauicipators communicate with others at cyber bulletin board establishing candidate's home pages. Main research questions is how do discussions at cyberspace fulfill the conditions of deliberate democracy. Therefore, concrete questions include; who are participators at candidate's cyber bulletin board; which pattern do they communicate; what is the theme of communication; which effects do the anonymous character of cyberspace influence. To that purpose, this study conducted content analysis on 4,210 written matters at 82 cyber bulletin boards of candidate's home page establishing during 16th the general election period. It can be found that cyberspace in Korea still is not deliberate democracy space and not will be. Firstly, discussion patterns at cyber bulletin board is "candidate with supporters communication space. To be exact, it is said that candidate's home page is "the space of self-convincing among supporters." Secondly, the main themes of discussion are simple emotional expressions; "I support you!" "fighting" "Be vigor" etc. By contrast, real political contents'-central or local political matters - is relatively few. In the mode of expression, real political messages are more positive, logical than simple expressions, candidates private matters. Especially this characteristic will make cyberspace as "mutual slander space" consolidating anonymous characteristic of cyberspace. finally, Cyberspace in Korea still is not real "public sphere" realizing deliberate process. Therefore to be real public sphere, it is needed to participant's ethical maturity and political citizenship. In conclusion, it is difficult that cyberspace will reconstruct the Athene's Agora. On the contrary, Cyberagora will like to be irrespectable area fulfilling the sweeping. Making the deliberate space, technological possibility and ethical condition will have to be balanced together.

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Relationship between the High School Chemistry I, II, and the General Chemistry, and College Students' Cognition about the Subject (대학교 일반화학과 고등학교 화학 I, 화학 II 교과의 연계성 및 일반화학에 대한 대학생들의 인식조사)

  • Moon, Sook-Hee;Lee, Sang-Joa
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.112-123
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    • 2011
  • The chemistry has the academic system in which a concept is jointly developed into the single strain, so the contents of the chemistry I II of the high school are very important in the connection of the general chemistry in the university. At this moment, it is possible for high school graduates to be accepted into science or engineering majors without taking the chemistry II. These the highest intensive election subject cause problems of differences in level of understanding and difficult of quality educations. In this study, we have analyzed similarity between the contents of the chemistry I II and the general chemistry. We also analyzed the cognition level of students without taking the chemistry II in understanding the general chemistry level classes. We found that the high school level chemistry I and II introduced about 27% and 62% of the essential concepts required for the general chemistry, respectively. In a case of M university in Chonnam, about 70% of students in the general chemistry classes have no exposure to the chemistry II in their high schools, causing difficulty of understanding new subjects due to their insufficient concepts for classes. The lack of knowledge caused lowering of learning achievement and decrease of interests in chemistry.

Spatial Autocorrelation and the Turnout of the Early Voting and Regular Voting: Analysis of the 21st General Election at Dong in Seoul (공간적 자기상관성과 관내사전투표와 본투표의 투표율: 제21대 총선 서울시 동별 분석)

  • Lim, Sunghack
    • Korean Journal of Legislative Studies
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2020
  • This study is meaningful in that it is the first analysis of Korean elections using the concept of spatial autocorrelation. Spatial autocorrelation means that an event occurring in one location in space has a high correlation with an event occurring in the surrounding area. The voter turnout rate in the 21st general election of Seoul area was divided into the early-voting turnout and voting-day turnout, and the spatial pattern of the turnout was examined. Most of the previous studies were based on the unit of the precinct and personal data, but this study analyzed on the basis of the lower unit, Eup-myeon-dong, and analyzed using spatial data and aggregate data. Moran I index showed a fairly high spatial autocorrelation of 0.261 in the voting-day turnout, while the index of the early-voting turnout was low at 0.095, indicating that there was little spatial autocorrelation despite statistical significance. The voting-day turnout, which showed strong spatial autocorrelation, was compared and analyzed using the OLS regression model and the spatial statistics model. In the general regression model, the coefficient of determination R2 rose from 0.585261 to 0.656631 in the spatial error model, showing an increase in explanatory power of about 7 percentage points. This means that the spatial statistical model has high explanatory power. The most interesting result is the relationship between the early-voting turnout and the voting-day turnout. The higher the early-voting turnout is, the lower the voting-day turnout is. When the early-voing turnout increases by about 2%, the voting-day turnout drops by about 1%. In this study, the variables affecting the early-voting turnout and the voting-day turnout are very different. This finding is different from the previous researches.

Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Internet Survey (인터넷 여론조사의 정확도 관련요인)

  • Cho, Sung-Kyum;Joo, Young-Soo;Cho, Eun-Hee
    • Survey Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.51-74
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    • 2005
  • The internet survey methods have been more and more widely used as the coverage of the fixed-line telephone is being reduced due to the diffusion of mobile phone. So, there is a need to know the accuracy of this new survey method. This study aims to estimate the accuracy of the internet survey method and identify the factors affecting the accuracy of this method, For this purpose, we analyzed the election poll data during the 17th general election period. These data include fixed-line telephone survey data, internet survey data, mobile phone survey data and the election voting data. The analysis shows that the prediction errors of the internet survey were a little more than those of the telephone or mobile phone survey. But the differences are not significant. It follows from this result that we can use the internet survey method in social survey context. This study also found that the respondent's willingness to participate in the survey, the probability of being at home during survey and the respondent's educational level were affecting the accuracy of the internet survey. Further studies to develop weighting method with these factors are needed.

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Semantic Network Analysis of Presidential Debates in 2007 Election in Korea (제17대 대통령 후보 합동 토론 언어네트워크 분석 - 북한 관련 이슈를 중심으로)

  • Park, Sung-Hee
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.45
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    • pp.220-254
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    • 2009
  • Presidential TV debates serve as an important instrument for the general viewers to evaluate the candidates’ character, to examine their policy, and finally to make an important political decisions to cast ballots. Every words candidates utter in the course of entire election campaign exert influence of a certain significance by delivering their ideas and by creating clashes with their respective opponents. This study focuses on the conceptual venue, coined as ‘stasis’ by ancient rhetoricians, in which the clashes take place, and examines the words selection made by each candidates, the manners in which they form stasis, call for evidence, educate the public, and finally create a legitimate form of political argumentation. The study applied computer based content analysis using KrKwic and UCINET software to analyze semantic networks among the candidates. The results showed three major candidates, namely Lee Myung Bak, Jung Dong Young, and Lee Hoi Chang, displayed separate patterns in their use of language, by selecting the words that are often neglected by their opponents. Apparently, the absence of stasis and the lack of speaking mutual language significantly undermined the effects of debates. Central questions regarding issues of North Korea failed to meet basic requirements, and the respondents failed to engage in effective argumentation process.

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The Effect of the Fake News Related to the Electronic Voting System each News Service on News Users' Attitude of Using System, Intention to Participate through System and Reliability of News Services (뉴스서비스별 전자투표시스템 관련 가짜뉴스가 뉴스 이용자의 이용 태도, 선거 참여 의도, 뉴스서비스 신뢰도에 미치는 영향)

  • Jin, So-Yeon;Lee, Ji-Eun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2021
  • This study pays attention to the fact that the fake news is attracting attention because it causes various social problems. To find out these fake news' influence, the study conducted the experiment to examine that the fake news related to the electronic voting system affects on the news users' attitude of using the system, intention to participate in the election through the system and reliability of news services. The results have shown that the fake news framed with negative contents reduced users' attitude of using the system and intention of participation in the election. Especially, as a result of examining the difference in the fake news' influence according to each news services, in the case that users recognized that the news was fake after exposing to the general internet news, the attitude of using the system and the intention of participation in the election have reduced and recovered again. However, users who exposed to Naver, Facebook believed the negative content of the fake news more strongly. Through these results, this study empirically confirmed that the fake news has a tendency to exert influence on users' cognitive dimension and to reinforce awareness in a direction consistent with the initial exposure information.

Characterization and Detection of Opinion Manipulation on Common Interest Groups in Online Communities (온라인 공간에서 관심집단 대상 비정상 정보의 특징 분석과 탐지)

  • Lee, Sihyung
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2020
  • As more people share their opinions in online communities, such as Internet portals and social networking services, more opinions are manipulated for the benefit of particular individuals and groups. In particular, when manipulations occur for political purposes, they influence election results as well as government policies and the quality of life. This type of manipulation has targeted the general public, and their analysis and detection has also focused on such manipulation. However, to more efficiently spread propaganda, recent manipulations have targeted common interest groups(e.g., a group of those interested in real estate) and propagated information whose content and style are customized to those groups. This work characterizes such manipulations on common interest groups and proposes method to detect manipulations. To this end, we collected and analyzed opinions posted on 10 common interest groups before and after an election. As a result, we found that manipulations on common interest groups indeed occurred and were gradually increasing toward the election date. We also proposed a detection system that examines individual opinions, their authors, and their collaborators. Using the collected opinions, we demonstrated that the proposed system can accurately classify more than 90% of manipulated opinions and that many of these opinions were posted by multiple collaborators. We believe that regular audits of opinions using the proposed system can quickly isolate manipulations and decrease their impact. Moreover, the proposed features can be used to identify manipulations in domains other than politics.

A Study on the Robust Efficiency of a Cluster Head Election for USN (USN에서 클러스터헤드 선출의 강건한 효율성 연구)

  • Cho, Do-Hyeoun;Lee, Chul;Choi, Jin-Tek;Kim, Jin-Soo;Lee, Sang-Hun;Lee, Jong-Yong
    • 전자공학회논문지 IE
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    • v.46 no.2
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2009
  • This study speak abut demerit of LEACH, EACHS, and HEED. There are demerits that LEACH, EACHS shall be rest energy of all nodes and HEED can't guarantee the number of cluster head. Proposed energy efficiency of selected cluster head guarantees the number of cluster head which is a demerit of HEED and minimizes the node of DEAD. Energy efficiency of simulation is compared by MA TLAB.