• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gamma regression model

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Kinetics of Catalytic Oxidation of Vinyl Chloride over CrOx/γ-alumina (CrOx/γ-alumina 촉매상에서 Vinyl Chloride의 산화반응 속도해석)

  • Lee, Hae-Wan;Kim, Young Chai;Moon, Sei-Ki
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 1999
  • The complete catalytic oxidation of vinyl chloride was investigated over chromium oxide supported ${\gamma}$-alumina using a fixed bed micro-reactor at temperature between 240 and $300^{\circ}C$ and concentration between 600 and 3500 ppm. The oxidation of vinyl chloride was nonlinear in the concentration of vinyl chloride and zeroth order in the concentration of oxygen. The addition of HCl and $H_2O$ as products to the feed stream didn't influence the conversion of vinyl chloride. Several kinetic rate model were tested to describe the data over the range of condition investigated, and developed a model which provide the best correlation of experimental data. The resulting model of kinetic rate was derived by assuming that the reacting occurred via adsorption and subsequent decomposition of the vinyl chloride onto the oxygen covered chromium oxide surface, with the reaction being inhibited by the adsorption of vinyl chloride. The percent standard deviation between the predicted and experimental was about 5.2%, and the activation energy was 18.9 kcal/mol.

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Prediction of HIV and AIDS Incidence Using a Back-calculation Model in Korea (후향연산 모형 (Back-calculation model)을 이용한 국내 HIV 감염자와 AIDS 환자의 추계)

  • Lee, Ju-Young;Goh, Un-Yeong;Kee, Mee-Kyung;Kim, Jee-Yun;Hwang, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2002
  • Objective : To estimate the status of HIV infection and AIDS incidence using a back-calculation model in Korea. Methods : Back-calculation is a method for estimating the past infection rate using AIDS incidence data. The method has been useful for obtaining short-term projections of AIDS incidence and estimating previous HIV prevalence. If the density of the incubation periods is known, together with the AIDS incidence, we can estimate historical HIV infections and forecast AIDS incidence in any time period up to time t. In this paper, we estimated the number of HIV infections and AIDS incidence according to the distribution of various incubation periods Results : The cumulative numbers of HIV infection from 1991 to 1996 were $708{\sim}1,426$ in Weibull distribution and $918{\sim}1,980$ in Gamma distribution. The projected AIDS incidence in 1997 was $16{\sim}25$ in Weibull distribution and $13{\sim}26$ in Gamma distribution. Conclusions : The estimated cumulative HIV infections from 1991 to 1996 were $1.4{\sim}4.0$ times more than notified cumulative HIV infections. Additionally, the projected AIDS incidence in 1997 was less than the notified AIDS cases. The reason for this underestimation derives from the very low level of HIV prevalence in Korea, further research is required for the distribution of the incubation period of HIV infection in Korea, particularly for the effects of combination treatments.

Downscaling Technique of Monthly GCM Using Daily Precipitation Generator (일 강수발생모형을 이용한 월 단위 GCM의 축소기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kyoung, Min Soo;Lee, Jung Ki;Kim, Hung Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.5B
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes the evaluation technique for climate change effect on daily precipitation frequency using daily precipitation generator that can use outputs of the climate model offered by IPCC DDC. Seoul station of KMA was selected as a study site. This study developed daily precipitation generation model based on two-state markov chain model which have transition probability, scale parameter, and shape parameter of Gamma-2 distribution. Each parameters were estimated from regression analysis between mentioned parameters and monthly total precipitation. Then the regression equations were applied for computing 4 parameters equal to monthly total precipitation downscaled by K-NN to generate daily precipitation considering climate change. A2 scenario of the BCM2 model was projected based on 20c3m(20th Century climate) scenario and difference of daily rainfall frequency was added to the observed rainfall frequency. Gumbel distribution function was used as a probability density function and parameters were estimated using probability weighted moments method for frequency analysis. As a result, there is a small decrease in 2020s and rainfall frequencies of 2050s, 2080s are little bit increased.

A Research on the Characteristics of EEG Information on Drive Behavior (운전거동에 따른 운전자 뇌파특성에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Dong-Hun;Namgung, Moon;Park, Hee-Soon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2015
  • In this study, human is the subject of driving a car, the actual EEG is a biological information in a number of reactions that are displayed while driving the vehicle by using a measuring device, occurs during travel of the road EEG to be collected, number of experiments the collected material on the basis of changes associated with running time, extracts the factors such as changes due to road geometry, and analysis was performed. The required changes in the EEG occurring during traveling experiment analysis alpha (${\alpha}$) waves, beta (${\beta}$) wave, after the primary extraction in the form of gamma (${\gamma}$) faction, the brain wave frequency of the entire period of the experiment change rate extracts, to calculate the change in frequency in response to EEG characteristics by applying the regression model to observe a learning effect in response to an increase in the number of experiments, as a result, depending on the number of experiments, EEG changes due to individual differences. The show, by repeatedly driving a section like this, it was possible to verify that comfortably travels driver accustomed in accordance with the stored road geometry and signal, safety facilities.

Unattended Trends and Retail Locations: Focusing on Unmanned Convenience and Discount Stores in Seoul (점포의 무인화와 소매점 입지: 서울시 무인 편의점과 무인 할인판매점을 대상으로)

  • Park, Sohyun;Lee, Keumsook
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.411-424
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the location characteristics of convenience stores, a consumption industry that forms a new retail environment and implements unattended, and reveals the geographic factors that affect its location. For this purpose, we first examine the growth and regional distribution of manned convenience stores and then construct a gamma generalized linear regression model that explains the distribution of the unmanned convenience stores as well as the manned and unmanned combined convenience stores. As the result, it was observed that the unmanned convenience stores and the unmanned discount stores are located close to public transportation facilities and they have relatively little movement of the population but they are distributed in areas with a higher density of young residential population and densely distributed retail stores and restaurants. The effects of demographic factors on the location of the unmanned convenience stores and the unmanned discount stores differed according to the scope and characteristics of their sales items. Our findings provide an empirical basis for subsequent academic research as an initial study that identified geographic factors influencing the selection of opening locations for unmanned stores.

Interactions between Hydrodesulfurization of Thiophene and Hydrodenitrogenation of Pyridine and the Kinetic Analysis (수첨탈황과 탈질반응에서 Thiophene과 Pyridine의 상호영향과 그 속도론적 해석)

  • 박종희;한창훈;김경림
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 1988
  • Interactions between hydrodesulfurization of thiophene and hydrodenitrogenation of pyridine and the kinetic analysis were studied over $Ni-W/\gamma-Al_2O_3$ catalysts and this study was made at temperatures ranging from 473-673 K and at total pressures ranging from 10-25 $\times 10^5$ Pa. Hydrodesulfurization of thiophene was inhibited by presence of pyridine at all temperatures studied, and the rate of pyridine hydrodenitrogenation was slower than that of thiophene hydrodesulfurization in the operating conditions. Pyridine hydrodenitrogenation was also inhibited by the presence of thiophene at low temperatures but was enhanced by the thiophene at temperatures higher than 613K. Thiophene reaction rate was determined by multiple linear regression analysis using Langmuir-Hinshelwood-Hougen-Watson model and the result was given to be $r = kP_T^p_H/(1+K_Tp_T+K_Pp_P)^2$. At each temperature, reaction rate constants and absorption equilibrium equilibrium constants were determined and the activation energy was 12.98 kcal/gmol from Arrhenius plot.

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Model Between Lead and ZPP Concentration of Workers Exposed to Lead (직업적으로 납에 노출된 근로자들의 혈액중 납과 ZPP농도와의 관계)

  • Park, Dong-Wook;Paik, Nam-Won;Choi, Byung-Soon;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Lee, Kwang-Yong;Oh, Se-Min;Ahn, Kyu-Dong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.88-96
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    • 1996
  • This study was conducted to establish model between lead and ZPP concentration in blood of workers exposed to lead. Workers employed in secondary smelting manufacturing industry showed $85.1{\mu}g/dl$ of blood lead level, exceeding $60{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Removal defined by Occupational Safety and Health Act of Korea. Average blood lead level of workers in the battery manufacturing industry was $51.3{\mu}g/dl$, locating between $40{\mu}g/dl$ and $60{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Requiring Medical Removal. Blood lead level of in the litharge and radiator manufacturing industry was below $40{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria Requiring Temporary Medical Removal. Blood lead levels of workers by industry were Significantly different(p<0.05). 50(21 %) showed blood lead levels above $60{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Removal and 66(27.7 %) showed blood lead levels between the Criteria for Requiring Medical Removal, $40-60{\mu}g/dl$. Thus, approximately 50 percent of workers indicated blood lead levels above $40{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria Requiring Temporary Medical Removal and should receive medical examination and consultation including biological monitoring. Average ZPP level of workers employed in the secondary smelting industry was $186.2{\mu}g/dl$, exceeding above $150{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Removal. Seventy seven of all workers(32.3 %) showed ZPP level above $100-150{\mu}g/dl$, the Criteria for Requiring Medical Removal. The most appropriate model for predicting ZPP in blood was log-linear regression model. Log linear regression models between lead and ZPP concentrations in blood was Log ZPP(${\mu}g/dl$) = -0.2340 + 1.2270 Log Pb-B(${\mu}g/dl$)(standard error of estimate: 0,089, ${\gamma}^2=0.4456$, n=238, P=0.0001), Blood-in-lead explained 44.56 % of the variance in log(ZPP in blood).

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Spikelet Number Estimation Model Using Nitrogen Nutrition Status and Biomass at Panicle Initiation and Heading Stage of Rice

  • Cui, Ri-Xian;Lee, Lee-Byun-Woo
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.390-394
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    • 2002
  • Spikelet number per unit area(SPN) is a major determinant of rice yield. Nitrogen nutrition status and biomass during reproductive stage determine the SPN. To formulate a model for estimating SPN, the 93 field experiment data collected from widely different regions with different japonica varieties in Korea and Japan were analyzed for the upper boundary lines of SPN responses to nitrogen nutrition index(NNI), shoot dry weight and shoot nitrogen content at panicle initiation and heading stage. The boundary lines of SPN showed asymptotic responses to all the above parameters(X) and were well fitted to the exponential function of $f(X)=alphacdot{1-etacdotexp(gamma;cdot;X)}$. Excluding the constant, from the boundary line equation, the values of the equation range from 0 to 1 and represent the indices of parameters expressing the degree of influence on SPN. In addition to those indices, the index of shoot dry weight increase during reproductive stage was calculated by directly dividing the shoot dry weight increase by the maximum value ($800 extrm{g/m}^{-2}$) of dry weight increase as it showed linear relationship with SPN. Four indices selected by forward stepwise regression at the stay level of 0.05 were those for NNI ($I_{NNI}_P$) at panicle initiation, NNI($I_{NNI}_h$) and shoot dry weight($I_{DW}_h$) at heading stage, and dry weight increase($I_{DW}$) between those two stages. The following model was obtained: SPN=48683ㆍ $I_{DWH}$$^{0.482}$$I_{NNIp}$$^{0.387}$$I_{NNIH}$$^{0.318}$$I_{DW}$ $^{0.35}$). This model accounted for about 89% of the variation of spikelet number. In conclusion this model could be used for estimating the spikelet number of japonica rice with some confidence in widely different regions and thus, integrated into a rice growth model as a component model for spikelet number estimation.n.n.

Prediction of Expected Residual Useful Life of Rubble-Mound Breakwaters Using Stochastic Gamma Process (추계학적 감마 확률과정을 이용한 경사제의 기대 잔류유효수명 예측)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.158-169
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    • 2019
  • A probabilistic model that can predict the residual useful lifetime of structure is formulated by using the gamma process which is one of the stochastic processes. The formulated stochastic model can take into account both the sampling uncertainty associated with damages measured up to now and the temporal uncertainty of cumulative damage over time. A method estimating several parameters of stochastic model is additionally proposed by introducing of the least square method and the method of moments, so that the age of a structure, the operational environment, and the evolution of damage with time can be considered. Some features related to the residual useful lifetime are firstly investigated into through the sensitivity analysis on parameters under a simple setting of single damage data measured at the current age. The stochastic model are then applied to the rubble-mound breakwater straightforwardly. The parameters of gamma process can be estimated for several experimental data on the damage processes of armor rocks of rubble-mound breakwater. The expected damage levels over time, which are numerically simulated with the estimated parameters, are in very good agreement with those from the flume testing. It has been found from various numerical calculations that the probabilities exceeding the failure limit are converged to the constraint that the model must be satisfied after lasting for a long time from now. Meanwhile, the expected residual useful lifetimes evaluated from the failure probabilities are seen to be different with respect to the behavior of damage history. As the coefficient of variation of cumulative damage is becoming large, in particular, it has been shown that the expected residual useful lifetimes have significant discrepancies from those of the deterministic regression model. This is mainly due to the effect of sampling and temporal uncertainties associated with damage, by which the first time to failure tends to be widely distributed. Therefore, the stochastic model presented in this paper for predicting the residual useful lifetime of structure can properly implement the probabilistic assessment on current damage state of structure as well as take account of the temporal uncertainty of future cumulative damage.

Predictive Thermodynamic Model for Gas Permeability of Gas Separation Membrane (기체 분리막의 투과 특성 예측 모델식 개발)

  • Kim, Jong Hwan;Hong, Sung Kyu;Park, Sang Jin
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.619-626
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    • 2007
  • It is of special interest in our membrane separation technology due to its low energy consumption and cost, relatively simple equipment, low investment and operation cost, et al. Full scale utilization of such processes can be widely utilized to the various fields. Using the difference of permeability of gas molecules between the filter layers, it is able to separate effectually pure gases from the mixed gases. In this paper, the membranes of PDMS, ${\gamma}-radiated$ PDMS, PTFE, PTFE-X are chosen to develop the predictive model for the separation of pure gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, hydrogen, and other gases from mixed gases. By utilizing the thermodynamic gas properties($\sigma$, $\varepsilon/k$) and experimental data of gas transport characteristics for different polymer membranes, it is able to develop the predictive model equation under the influence of temperature, pressure and polymer characteristics. Predictive model developed in this research showed good agreement with experimental data of gas permeability characteristics for develop four different polymer membranes. The proposed model can also be extended to the general equation for predicting the separation of gases based on the properties of polymeric membranes.