• 제목/요약/키워드: GMDH(Group Method of Data handling)

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Short-term Electric Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and GMDH

  • Koo, Bon-Gil;Lee, Heung-Seok;Park, Juneho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.832-837
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    • 2015
  • The group method of data handling (GMDH) algorithm has proven to be a powerful and effective way to extract rules or polynomials from an electric load pattern. However, because it is nonstationary, the load pattern needs to be decomposed using a discrete wavelet transform. In addition, if a load pattern has a complicated curve pattern, GMDH should use a higher polynomial, which requires complex computing and consumes a lot of time. This paper suggests a method for short-term electric load forecasting that uses a wavelet transform and a GMDH algorithm. Case studies with the proposed algorithm were carried out for one-day-ahead forecasting of hourly electric loads using data during the years 2008-2011. To prove the effectiveness of our proposed approach, the results were evaluated and compared with those obtained by Holt-Winters method and artificial neural network. Our suggested method resulted in better performance than either comparison group.

Nonlinear Identification of Electronic Brake Pedal Behavior Using Hybrid GMDH and Genetic Algorithm in Brake-By-Wire System

  • Bae, Junhyung;Lee, Seonghun;Shin, Dong-Hwan;Hong, Jaeseung;Lee, Jaeseong;Kim, Jong-Hae
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.1292-1298
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we represent a nonlinear identification of electronic brake pedal behavior in the brake-by-wire (BBW) system based on hybrid group method of data handling (GMDH) and genetic algorithm (GA). A GMDH is a kind of multi-layer network with a structure that is determined through training and which can express nonlinear dynamics as a mathematical model. The GA is used in the GMDH, enabling each neuron to search for its optimal set of connections with the preceding layer. The results obtained with this hybrid approach were compared with different nonlinear system identification methods. The experimental results showed that the hybrid approach performs better than the other methods in terms of root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficients. The hybrid GMDH/GA approach was effective for modeling and predicting the brake pedal system under random braking conditions.

데이터 가중 성능을 갖는 GMDH 알고리즘 및 전력 수요 예측에의 응용 (GMDH Algorithm with Data Weighting Performance and Its Application to Power Demand Forecasting)

  • 신재호;홍연찬
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제12권7호
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    • pp.631-636
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, an algorithm of time series function forecasting using GMDH(group method of data handling) algorithm that gives more weight to the recent data is proposed. Traditional methods of GMDH forecasting gives same weights to the old and recent data, but by the point of view that the recent data is more important than the old data to forecast the future, an algorithm that makes the recent data contribute more to training is proposed for more accurate forecasting. The average error rate of electric power demand forecasting by the traditional GMDH algorithm which does not use data weighting algorithm is 0.9862 %, but as the result of applying the data weighting GMDH algorithm proposed in this paper to electric power forecasting demand the average error rate by the algorithm which uses data weighting algorithm and chooses the best data weighting rate is 0.688 %. Accordingly in forecasting the electric power demand by GMDH the proposed method can acquire the reduced error rate of 30.2 % compared to the traditional method.

뉴로 - 퍼지 GMDH 모델 및 이의 이동통신 예측문제에의 응용 (Neuro-Fuzzy GMDH Model and Its Application to Forecasting of Mobile Communication)

  • 황흥석
    • 산업공학
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    • 제16권spc호
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    • pp.28-32
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the fuzzy group method data handling-type(GMDH) neural networks and their application to the forecasting of mobile communication system are described. At present, GMDH family of modeling algorithms discovers the structure of empirical models and it gives only the way to get the most accurate identification and demand forecasts in case of noised and short input sampling. In distinction to neural networks, the results are explicit mathematical models, obtained in a relative short time. In this paper, an adaptive learning network is proposed as a kind of neuro-fuzzy GMDH. The proposed method can be reinterpreted as a multi-stage fuzzy decision rule which is called as the neuro-fuzzy GMDH. The GMDH-type neural networks have several advantages compared with conventional multi-layered GMDH models. Therefore, many types of nonlinear systems can be automatically modeled by using the neuro-fuzzy GMDH. The computer program is developed and successful applications are shown in the field of estimating problem of mobile communication with the number of factors considered.

Fuzzy GMDH-type Model and Its Application to Financial Demand Forecasting for the Educational Expenses

  • Hwang, Heung-Suk;Seo, Mi-Young
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2007년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.183-189
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we developed the fuzzy group method data handling-type (GMDH) Model and applied it to demand forecasting of educational expenses. At present, GMDH family of modeling algorithms discovers the structure of empirical models and it gives only the way to get the most accurate identification and demand forecasts in case of noised and short input sampling. In distinction to fuzzy system, the results are explicit mathematical models, obtained in a relative short time. In this paper, an adaptive learning network is proposed as a kind of fuzzy GMDH. The proposed method can be reinterpreted as a multi-stage fuzzy decision rule which is called as the fuzzy GMDH. The fuzzy GMDH-type networks have several advantages compared with conventional multi-layered GMDH models. Therefore, many types of nonlinear systems can be automatically modeled by using the fuzzy GMDH. A computer program is developed and successful applications are shown in the field of demand forecasting problem of educational expenses with the number of factors considered.

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PNA를 이용한 일 기준증발산량의 모형화 (Modeling of Daily Reference Evapotranspiration using Polynomial Networks Approach (PNA))

  • 김성원
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2011년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.473-473
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    • 2011
  • Group method of data handling neural networks model (GMDH-NNM) is used to estimate daily reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using limited climatic variables such as max temperature ($T_{max}$), min temperature ($T_{min}$), mean wind speed ($W_{mean}$), mean relative humidity ($RH_{mean}$) and sunshine duration (SD). And, for the performances of GMDH-NNM, it consists of training and test performances, respectively. The training and test performances are carried out using daily time series data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of GMDH-NNM for the modeling of the nonlinear time series data. We should, thus, construct the credible data of the daily ETo data using GMDH-NNM, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system. Furthermore, this research represents that the strong nonlinear relationship such as ETo modeling can be generalized using GMDH-NNM.

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제한된 기상변수와 Polynomial Networks Approach를 이용한 일 증발접시 증발량의 모형화 (Modeling of Daily Pan Evaporation using the Limited Climatic Variables and Polynomial Networks Approach)

  • 김성원
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1596-1599
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    • 2010
  • Group method of data handling neural networks model (GMDH-NNM) is used to estimate daily pan evaporation (PE) using limited climatic variables such as max temperature ($T_{max}$), min temperature ($T_{min}$), mean wind speed ($W_{mean}$), mean relative humidity ($RH_{mean}$) and sunshine duration (SD). And, for the performances of GMDH-NNM, it is composed of training and test performances, respectively. The training and test performances are carried out using daily time series data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of GMDH-NNM for the modeling of the nonlinear time series data. We should, thus, construct the credible data of the daily PE data using GMDH-NNM, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system. Furthermore, this research represents that the strong nonlinear relationship such as pan evaporation modeling can be generalized using GMDH-NNM.

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GMDH 알고리즘에 의한 직류 서보 전동기의 모델추종형 제어계 구성에 관한 연구 (A design on model following control system of DC servo motor using GMDH algorithm)

  • 황창선;김문수;이양우;김동완
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); 포항공과대학교, 포항; 24-26 Oct. 1996
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    • pp.1044-1047
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) algorithm, which is based on heuristic self organization to predict and identify the complex system, is applied to the control system of DC servo motor. The mathematical relation between input voltage and motor speed is obtained by GMDH algorithm. A design method of model following control system based on GMDH algorithm is developed. As a result of applying this method to DC servo motor, the simulation and experiment have shown that the developed method gives a good performance in tracking the reference model and in rejection of disturbance, in spite of constant load and changing load.

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GMDH 알고리즘과 다항식 퍼지추론에 기초한 퍼지 다항식 뉴럴 네트워크 (Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks based on GMDH algorithm and Polynomial Fuzzy Inference)

  • 박호성;윤기찬;오성권
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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    • pp.130-133
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a new design methodology named FNNN(Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network) algorithm is proposed to identify the structure and parameters of fuzzy model using PNN(Polynomial Neural Network) structure and a fuzzy inference method. The PNN is the extended structure of the GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling), and uses several types of polynomials such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic besides the biquadratic polynomial used in the GMDH. The premise of fuzzy inference rules defines by triangular and gaussian type membership function. The fuzzy inference method uses simplified and regression polynomial inference method which is based on the consequence of fuzzy rule expressed with a polynomial such as linear, quadratic and modified quadratic equation are used. Each node of the FPNN is defined as fuzzy rules and its structure is a kind of neuro-fuzzy architecture Several numerical example are used to evaluate the performance of out proposed model. Also we used the training data and testing data set to obtain a balance between the approximation and generalization of proposed model.

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GMDH 방법에 의한 FPNN 일고리즘과 폐스처리공정에의 응용 (Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network Algorithm using GMDH Mehtod and its Application to the Wastewater Treatment Process)

  • 오성권;황형수;안태천
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.96-105
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    • 1997
  • 본 논문에서는 복잡한 비선형 시스템의 모델동정을 위해 퍼지모델링의 새로운 방법이 제안된다. 제안된 FPNN모델링은 공정시스템의 입출력 데이터로부터 GMDH방법과 퍼지구현규칙을 이용하여 시스템의 구조와 파라미터 동정을 구현한다. 퍼지구현규칙의 전반부 구조와 파라미터 동정을 위하여 GMDH 방법과 희귀다항식 퍼지추론 방법이 사용되고 최적 후반부 파라미터 동정을 위하여 최소자승법이 사용된다. 가스로 시계열데이타 및 하수처리시스템의 활성화의 공정 데이터가 제안한 FPNN 모델링의 성능을 평가하기 위해 상용된다. 제안된 방법이 기존의 다른 논문과 비교하여 더 높은 정확도를 가진 지능형 모델을 생성함을 보인다.

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