• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.17 no.2
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• pp.145-162
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• 1992

This paper proposes two design principles for expert systems to solve a stock market timing (SMART) problems : machine knowledge and fuzzy post-adjustment, Machine knowledge is derived from past SMART instances by using an inductive learning algorithm. A knowledge-based solution, which can be regarded as a prior SMART strategy, is then obtained on the basis of the machine knowledge. Fuzzy post-adjustment (FPA) refers to a Bayesian-like reasoning, allowing the prior SMART strategy to be revised by the fuzzy evaluation of environmental factors that might effect the SMART strategy. A prototype system, named K-SISS2 (Knowledge-based Stock Investment Support System 2), was implemented using the two design principles and tested for solving the SMART problem that is aimed at choosing the best time to buy or sell stocks. The prototype system worked very well in an actual stock investment situation, illustrating basic ideas and techniques underlying the suggested design principles.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.54 no.11
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• pp.4111-4124
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• 2022

The control rod drive system is critical to the reactor's reliable operation. The performance of its control system and mechanical system will gradually deteriorate because of operational and environmental stresses, thus increasing the reactor's operational risk. Currently there are few researches on the aging-related degradation of the entire control rod drive system. Because it is difficult to quantify the effect of various environmental stresses and establish an accurate physical model when multiple mechanisms superimposed in the degradation process. Therefore, this paper investigates the aging-related degradation of a control rod drive system by integrating Dynamic Object-Oriented Bayesian Network and Hidden Markov Model. Uncertainties in the degradation of the control system and mechanical system are addressed by using fuzzy theory and the Hidden Markov Model respectively. A system which consists of eight control rod drive mechanisms divided into two groups is used to demonstrate the method. The aging-related degradation of the control rod drive system is analyzed by the Bayesian inference algorithm based on the accelerated life test data, and the impact of different operating schemes on the system performance is also investigated. Meanwhile, the components or units that have major impact on the system's performance are identified at different operational phases. Finally, several essential safety measures are suggested to mitigate the risk caused by the system degradation.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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• v.43 no.6 s.312
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• pp.20-27
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• 2006

Multi-level thresholding is a method that is widely used in image segmentation. However most of the existing methods are not suited to be directly used in applicable fields and moreover expanded until a step of image segmentation. This paper proposes region-based multi-level thresholding as an image segmentation method. At first we classify pixels of each color channel to two clusters by using EWFCM(Entropy-based Weighted Fuzzy C-Means) algorithm that is an improved FCM algorithm with spatial information between pixels. To obtain better segmentation results, a reduction of clusters is then performed by a region-based reclassification step based on a similarity between regions existing in a cluster and the other clusters. The clusters are created using the classification information of pixels according to color channel. We finally perform a region merging by Bayesian algorithm based on Kullback-Leibler distance between a region and the neighboring regions as a post-processing method as many regions still exist in image. Experiments show that region-based multi-level thresholding is superior to cluster-, pixel-based multi-level thresholding, and the existing mettled. And much better segmentation results are obtained by the post-processing method.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.97-116
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• 1999

The growing demand for the real time traffic information is bringing about the category and number of traffic collection mechanism in the era of ITS. There are, however, two problems in making data into information using various traffic data. First, the information making process of making data into the representative information, for each traffic collection mechanism, for the specified analysis periods is required. Second, the integration process of fusing each representative information into "the information" for each link out of each source is also required. That is, both data reduction and/or data to information process and information fusion are required. This article is focusing on the development of information fusing algorithm based on voting technique, fuzzy regression, and, Bayesian pooling technique for estimating the dynamic link travel time of networks. The proposed algorithm has been validated using the field experiment data out of GPS probes and detectors over the roadways and the estimated link travel time from the algorithm is proved to be more useful than the mere arithmetic mean from each traffic source.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.189-192
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• 2000

This paper proposes a fuzzy-based random access controller with a superimposed frame structure (F$^2$RAC) fur voice/data-integrated wireless networks. F$^2$RAC adopts mini-slot technique for reducing contention cost, and these mini-slots of which number may dynamically vary from one frame to the next as a function of the traffic load are further partitioned into two regions for access requests coming from voice and data traffic with their respective QoS requirements. And F$^2$RAC is designed to properly determine the access regions and permission probabilities for enhancing the data packet delay while ensuring the voice packet dropping probability constraint. It mainly consists of the estimator with Pseudo-Bayesian algorithm and fuzzy logic controller with Sugeno-type of fuzzy rules. Simulation results prove that F$^2$RAC can guarantee QoS requirement of voice and provide the highest throughput efficiency and the smallest data packet delay amongst the different alternatives including PRMA［1］, IPRMA［2］, and SIR［3］.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.261-274
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• 1997

Most of the data sets to which the conventional discriminant rules have been applied contain only those which belong to one and only one class among the classes of interest. However the extension of the bivalence to multivlaence like Fuzzy concepts strongly influence the traditional view that an object must belong to only class. Thus the goal of this paper is to develop new discriminant rules which can handle the data each object of which may belong to moer than two classes with certain degrees of belongings. A calibration model is used for the relationship between the feature vector of an object and the degree of belongings and a Bayesian inference is made with the Metropolis algorithm on the degree of belongings when a feature vector of an object whose membership is unknown is given. An evalution criterion is suggested for the rules developed in this paper and comparision study is carried using two training data sets.

• 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2006.02a
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• pp.381-386
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• 2006

오늘날 분산 컴퓨팅 환경에서 운용되는 시스템이 증가함에 따라 시스템의 관리작업은 고수준(high-level)의 자동화에 대한 요구가 증가하고 있다. 이에 따라 시스템 관리방식이 전통적인 관리자 중심의 방식에서 시스템 스스로가 자신의 문제를 인식하고 상황을 분석하여 해결하는 자율 컴퓨팅 방식으로 변화하고 있으며, 이에 대한 연구가 많은 연구기관에서 다양한 방법으로 이루어지고 있다. 그러나 이러한 대부분의 기존 연구들은 문제가 발생한 이후의 치유에 주로 초점이 맞추어져 있다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해서는 시스템 스스로가 동작환경을 인식하고 에러의 발생을 예측하기 위한 예측 모델이 필요하다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 자율 컴퓨팅환경에서 자가 치유를 지원하는 4가지의 예측 모델 설계 방법을 제안한다. 본 예측 모델은 ID3 알고리즘, 퍼지 추론, 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크 그리고 베이지안 네트워크가 각 시스템 상황에 맞춰 적절하게 사용되는 방식이며, 이를 통해 보다 정확한 에러 예측이 가능해진다. 우리는 제안모델의 평가를 위해 본 예측모델을 자가치유 시스템에 적용하여 기존 연구와 예측의 효율을 비교하였으며, 그 결과를 통해 제안 모델의 유효성을 증명하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2007.10a
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• pp.407-412
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• 2007

본 논문에서는 비선형 블라인드 채널등화기의 구현을 위하여 가우시안 가중치(gaussian weights)를 이용한 개선된 퍼지 클러스터(Modified Fuzzy C-Means with Gaussian Weights: MFCM_GW) 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안된 알고리즘은 기존 FCM 알고리즘의 유클리디언 거리(Euclidean distance) 값 대신 Bayesian Likelihood 목적함수(fitness function)와 가우시안 가중치가 적용된 멤버쉽 매트릭스(partition matrix)를 이용하여, 비선형 채널의 출력으로 수신된 데이터들로부터 최적의 채널 출력 상태 값(optimal channel output states)들을 직접 추정한다. 이렇게 추정된 채널 출력 상태 값들로 비선형 채널의 이상적 채널 상태(desired channel states) 벡터들을 구성하고, 이를 Radial Basis Function(RBF) 등화기의 중심(center)으로 활용함으로써 송신된 데이터 심볼을 찾아낸다. 실험에서는 무작위 이진 신호에 가우시안 잡음이 추가된 데이터를 사용하여 기존의 Simplex Genetic Algorithm(GA), 하이브리드 형태의 GASA(GA merged with simulated annealing (SA)), 그리고 과거에 발표되었던 MFCM 등과 그 성능을 비교 분석하였으며, 가우시안 가중치가 적용된 MFCM_GW를 이용한 채널등화기가 상대적으로 정확도와 속도 면에서 우수함을 보였다.

• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.258-266
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• 2023

Aiming at the problems of poor customer satisfaction and poor accuracy of customer classification, this paper proposes a customer classification model based on speech recognition. First, this paper analyzes the temporal data characteristics of customer demand data, identifies the influencing factors of customer demand behavior, and determines the process of feature extraction of customer voice signals. Then, the emotional association rules of customer demands are designed, and the classification model of customer demands is constructed through cluster analysis. Next, the Euclidean distance method is used to preprocess customer behavior data. The fuzzy clustering characteristics of customer demands are obtained by the fuzzy clustering method. Finally, on the basis of naive Bayesian algorithm, a customer demand classification model based on speech recognition is completed. Experimental results show that the proposed method improves the accuracy of the customer demand classification to more than 80%, and improves customer satisfaction to more than 90%. It solves the problems of poor customer satisfaction and low customer classification accuracy of the existing classification methods, which have practical application value.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2003.10b
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• pp.736-738
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• 2003

수천 개의 유전자 발현 정보를 가지고 있는 DNA 마이크로어레이 기술의 발달로 대량의 생물정보를 빠른 시간 내에 분석하는 것이 가능하게 되었다. 유전자를 분석하는 방법 중 하나인 클러스터링 방법은 비슷한 기능을 가진 유전자들을 집단화시켜서 집단내의 유전자들의 기능을 밝히거나, 미지의 유전자를 분석하는데 이용되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 유전자 데이터를 분석하기 위한 퍼지 클러스터링 방법과 이를 효과적으로 검증할 수 있는 베이지안 검증 방법을 제안한다. 퍼지 c-means 알고리즘을 사용하여 클러스터를 생성하고, 클러스터 결과를 기존의 퍼지 클러스터 검증 방법들과 본 논문에서 제안하는 베이지안 검증 방법을 사용하여 비교 평가한다. 베이지안 검증 방법은 각 유전자의 클러스터 멤버쉽을 확률로 이용하여 각 클러스터에 속할 확률을 계산하고, 이 값을 가장 크게 해주는 클러스터 집단을 선택한다. 이 방법은 기존의 퍼지 클러스터 검증 방법들과는 달리 클러스터 수에 무관한 평가가 가능한 장점을 가지고 있다. Serum과 Yeast 데이터에 대한 실험 결과, 베이지안 검증 방법의 유용성을 확인할 수 있었다.