• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.79-87
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• 1998

The purpose of this paper is to develope a neurofuzzy system for a ship design which can determine efficiently design values e.g. principal dimensions and hull factors in a conceptual design. The neurofuzzy system for a ship design(NeFHull) applies a information about given input-output data to fuzzy theories and deals these fuzzificated values with neural networks, e.g. first, redefines normalized input-output data ad membership functions and then executes these fuzzficated information with backpropagation neural networks. We use a hybrid learning algorithm in the training of neural networks and examine the usefulness of suggested method through mathematical and mechanical examples.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.605-613
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• 2014

Epistemic uncertainty, the lack of knowledge, is often more important than aleatory uncertainty, variability, in estimating reliability of a system. While the probability theory is widely used for modeling aleatory uncertainty, there is no dominant approach to model epistemic uncertainty. Different approaches have been developed to handle epistemic uncertainties using various theories, such as probability theory, fuzzy sets, evidence theory and possibility theory. However, since these methods are developed from different statistics theories, it is difficult to interpret the result from one method to the other. The goal of this paper is to compare different methods in handling epistemic uncertainty in the view point of calculating the probability of failure. In particular, four different methods are compared; the probability method, the combined distribution method, interval analysis method, and the evidence theory. Characteristics of individual methods are compared in the view point of reliability analysis.