• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy assessment

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Evaluation of Operation Efficiency in the Korean RCC/RSC Using DEA and Fuzzy-Logic (DEA와 퍼지추론을 이용한 RCC/RSC별 운영효율성 평가)

  • Jang Woon-Jae;Keum Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2005
  • This paper aims to evaluates the operation efficiency with two inputs and four outputs with the use of DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis), a qualitative data analysis with the use of expert assessment in Korean RCC(Rescue Co-ordination Center)/RSC(Rescue Sub-Center). The tool for integrating heterogeneous data is model that applies fuzzy logic to decision support system In this paper, therefor, RCC/RSC evaluates the priority for operation efficiency. The result are found as order as Inchon, Mokpo, Jeju, Donghae, Busan, Pohang, Yosu, Sokcho, Tongyeong, Ulsan, Taean, Gunsan RSC.

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Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis under uncertain and dynamic situations

  • Gao, Xianghao;Su, Xiaoyan;Qian, Hong;Pan, Xiaolei
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.948-958
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    • 2022
  • Since reliability and security of man-machine system increasingly depend on reliability of human, human reliability analysis (HRA) has attracted a lot of attention in many fields especially in nuclear engineering. Dependence assessment among human tasks is a important part in HRA which contributes to an appropriate evaluation result. Most of methods in HRA are based on experts' opinions which are subjective and uncertain. Also, the dependence influencing factors are usually considered to be constant, which is unrealistic. In this paper, a new model based on Dempster-Shafer evidence theory (DSET) and fuzzy number is proposed to handle the dependence between two tasks in HRA under uncertain and dynamic situations. First, the dependence influencing factors are identified and the judgments on the factors are represented as basic belief assignments (BBAs). Second, the BBAs of the factors that varying with time are reconstructed based on the correction BBA derived from time value. Then, BBAs of all factors are combined to gain the fused BBA. Finally, conditional human error probability (CHEP) is derived based on the fused BBA. The proposed method can deal with uncertainties in the judgments and dynamics of the dependence influencing factors. A case study is illustrated to show the effectiveness and the flexibility of the proposed method.

Agent Based Information Security Framework for Hybrid Cloud Computing

  • Tariq, Muhammad Imran
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.406-434
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    • 2019
  • In general, an information security approach estimates the risk, where the risk is to occur due to an unusual event, and the associated consequences for cloud organization. Information Security and Risk Management (ISRA) practices vary among cloud organizations and disciplines. There are several approaches to compare existing risk management methods for cloud organizations but their scope is limited considering stereo type criteria, rather than developing an agent based task that considers all aspects of the associated risk. It is the lack of considering all existing renowned risk management frameworks, their proper comparison, and agent techniques that motivates this research. This paper proposes Agent Based Information Security Framework for Hybrid Cloud Computing as an all-inclusive method including cloud related methods to review and compare existing different renowned methods for cloud computing risk issues and by adding new tasks from surveyed methods. The concepts of software agent and intelligent agent have been introduced that fetch/collect accurate information used in framework and to develop a decision system that facilitates the organization to take decision against threat agent on the basis of information provided by the security agents. The scope of this research primarily considers risk assessment methods that focus on assets, potential threats, vulnerabilities and their associated measures to calculate consequences. After in-depth comparison of renowned ISRA methods with ABISF, we have found that ISO/IEC 27005:2011 is the most appropriate approach among existing ISRA methods. The proposed framework was implemented using fuzzy inference system based upon fuzzy set theory, and MATLAB(R) fuzzy logic rules were used to test the framework. The fuzzy results confirm that proposed framework could be used for information security in cloud computing environment.

Assessment of spalling occurrence using fuzzy probability theory and damage index in underground openings (퍼지확률이론과 손상지수를 이용한 지하암반공동에서의 스폴링 발생 평가)

  • Bang, Joon-Ho;Lee, Kang-Hyun;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2010
  • Spalling is a kind of instability phenomenon of surrounding rock around underground openings subjected to high in-situ stress according to the development of extension fractures. Three kinds of spalling criteria have been presented so far; however, all spalling criteria have the range of values so that the fuzziness and vagueness of spalling criterion cannot be avoided. In this study, a new fuzzy probability model is proposed to predict the probability of spalling in a systematic way by using fuzzy probability theory. Many of the underground opening projects worldwide are evaluated with the proposed method. Prediction results expressed as the spalling probability agree well with the in-situ observations. In particular, a new fuzzy probability model considering all three evaluation indices of spalling by adopting weighting factors based on relative reliability among three evaluation indices is able to resolve erroneous prediction of spalling by choosing only one prediction method. Moreover, the more reasonable value of spalling probability could have been obtained by adopting the modified damage index to the newly proposed fuzzy probability model.

Decision Making of Improvement Priority by Deterioration Risk Assessment of Water Supply Infrastructures (물공급시설의 노후 위험도 평가를 통한 개선 우선순위 결정)

  • Chae, Soo-Kwon;Lee, Dae-Jong;Kim, Ju-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes an application methodology of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) based decision making theory for improvement priority by assessment of various risk factors affecting on deterioration of water supply systems, as major social infrastructure. AHP method is organized with three level of hierarchy which is introduced for multi-criteria decision making in this study. In the first level, assessment outputs are calculated by AHP for each affecting factor. In the second level, criteria are estimated by using assessment results with respect to structural and environmental factors. Consequently, ranking decision is performed in the third level. In order to present the effectiveness, a proposed method is compared with FCP(Fuzzy Composite Programming) for decision making. Since the results of the proposed method show better performance with consistent results, it can be applied as an efficient information for the determination for improvement priority of the study infrastructure.

A Study on the Geostatistical Evaluation of Urban and Environmental Structure of Taegu Metropolitan Region (대구광역도시권의 지리통계적 도시환경구조 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Park, In-Hwan;Jang, Gab-Sue
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to evaluate urban environmental structure in Taegu metropolitan region(TMR) with factor analysis, fuzzy set theory, geostatistic and geographic information system(GIS). The factor analysis could choose the representative one out of multiple variables and simplify the evaluation of the urban environmental structure. The fuzzy approach is an attempt to model an aspect of human thinking previously neglected; it starts from the premise that humans don't represent classes of objects as fully disjoint but rather as sets where transitions from membership to non-membership is gradual. The Geographic Information System(GIS) could connect attributes of factor scores derived from factor analysis to digital map by a method so called 'Spatial join'. The results obtained were as follows: Urbanization appearance was concentrated in the large cities, and this appearance was partial extremely, therefore, there has been a structural gap between urban area and agricultural area which was unified into the urban area. All inclinations didn't become worse after sudden urbanization. For example, suburban agriculture was developed as a large scale in the region near the large cities. Then it encouraged farmers in changing their old cultivating methods to the latest ones. But many districts in urban fringe had symptom of urbanization, the districts which were located between large cities have been developed gradually because of urban sprawl, and played a role in connecting each city. Therefore, due to the urbanization, forestry area and agricultural land, well conserved in the agricultural town, could be easily destroyed. In a different way with the urbanization of the Seoul metropolitan region, that of TMR was centralized upon the center of each city, and it was also very partial. But, because so many regions have the potentiality of urbanization, hereafter, the urbanization process in each region is likely to be different multifariously according to the urban management methods.

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Risk Critical Point (RCP): A Quantifying Safety-Based Method Developed to Screen Construction Safety Risks

  • Soltanmohammadi, Mehdi;Saberi, Morteza;Yoon, Jin Hee;Soltanmohammadi, Khatereh;Pazhoheshfar, Peiman
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2015
  • Risk assessment is an important phase of risk management. It is the stage in which risk is measured thoroughly to achieve effective management. Some factors such as probability and impact of risk have been used in the literature related to construction projects. Because in high-rise projects safety issues are paramount, this study has tried to develop a quantifying technique that takes into account three factors: probability, impact and Safety Performance Index (SPI) where the SPI is defined as the capability of an appropriate response to reduce or limit the effect of an event after its occurrence with regard to safety pertaining to a project. Regarding risk-related literatures which cover an uncertain subject, the proposed method developed in this research is based on a fuzzy logic approach. This approach entails a questionnaire in which the subjectivity and vagueness of responses is dealt with by using triangular fuzzy numbers instead of linguistic terms. This method returns a Risk Critical Point (RCP) on a zoning chart that places risks under categories: critical, critical-probability, critical-impact, and non-critical. The high-rise project in the execution phase has been taken as a case study to confirm the applicability of the proposed method. The monitoring results showed that the RCP method has the inherent ability to be extended to subsequent applications in the phases of risk response and control.

Fuzzy Based Condition Assessment Model of Middle and Small-Size Buildings (중소규모 건축물의 퍼지기반 상태평가 모델)

  • Jo, Hyeon-Wook;Jeong, Ji-Seong;Jung, In-Su;Lee, Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2012
  • In the current maintenance system of building, safety inspection and precise safety diagnosis have been applied only for Type 1 and 2 buildings. Considering the fact that middle and small-size buildings take up 99.4% of total buildings, it is necessary to implement safety diagnosis for the buildings to make long lasting buildings. This study suggested improvement methods for adjusting the existing evaluation items to middle and small-size buildings by reviewing the current diagnosis system and a survey. Based on the methods, an improved model, which modified the existing diagnosis model, was developed by applying fuzzy theory. If the improved model of this study is applied on site, the buildings except Type 1 and 2 could be maintained constantly. In the future studies, it is necessary to implement the developed model practically, to strengthen the feasibility of the model.

Study on Risk Assessment Method of Hydrogen Station using FAHP-HAZOP (FAHP-HAZOP을 적용한 수소충전소의 위험성평가 방법 연구)

  • Yeong Gwang Jo;Sien Ho Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 2023
  • To solve the problem of climate change, carbon neutrality has now become a necessity rather than an option. Hydrogen is not only a energy storage that can supplement the intermittent production of renewable energy, but is also considered a good alternative in the field of utilization as it does not emit carbon dioxide after reaction. In order to revitalize hydrogen vehicles, one of the fields of hydrogen utilization, the construction of hydrogen station infrastructure must be preceded. Prioritization of risk factors is necessary for efficient operation and risk assessment of hydrogen stations, but due to the short operation period of domestic hydrogen stations, there is a lack of frequency data on accidents and their reliability is low. In this study, we aim to identify the causes and consequences of deviations in hydrogen stations through HAZOP analysis. Additionally, we intend to analyze them using Fuzzy-AHP. Through this, we intend to derive the decision values for the causes of deviations in hydrogen stations and apply them to hydrogen accident cases and risk assessments to confirm the reliability and utility of the data.

Study on Priority Decision for Ship's Alternative Fuel Selection Using Fuzzy TOPSIS Method (퍼지 TOPSIS 기법을 이용한 선박 대체 연료 선정의 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Jeonghak Lee;Juyeong Shin;Jaehoon Jee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2024
  • At the 80th session of the MEPC, the IMO presented an enhanced GHG reduction strategy. The strategy is more specific and robust than the initial strategy presented at the 72nd session. The IMO aims to achieve 'Net Zero' GHG emissions from international shipping by 2050. In this study, a risk assessment was conducted for representative green fuels, namely. LNG, hydrogen, methanol, and ammonia. The fuzzy method was used to resolve the subjective ambiguity of results from the survey of the experts, and the positive and negative ef ects of the fuzziness were derived through the TOPSIS method. Finally, the closeness coefficients of the considered alternative fuels were determined using the Vertex method. As a result, methanol, LNG, hydrogen, and ammonia were preferred. This study suggests that the proposed approach can be used as a collective decision-making tool for selecting alternative fuels.