• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy assessment

검색결과 257건 처리시간 0.029초

Dynamic response uncertainty analysis of vehicle-track coupling system with fuzzy variables

  • Ye, Ling;Chen, Hua-Peng;Zhou, Hang;Wang, Sheng-Nan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제75권4호
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    • pp.519-527
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    • 2020
  • Dynamic analysis of a vehicle-track coupling system is important to structural design, damage detection and condition assessment of the structural system. Deterministic analysis of the vehicle-track coupling system has been extensively studied in the past, however, the structural parameters of the coupling system have uncertainties in engineering practices. It is essential to treat the parameters of the vehicle-track coupling system with consideration of uncertainties. In this paper, a method for predicting the bounds of the vehicle-track coupling system responses with uncertain parameters is presented. The uncertain system parameters are modeled as fuzzy variables instead of conventional random variables with known probability distributions. Then, the dynamic response functions of the coupling system are transformed into a component function based on the high dimensional representation approximation. The Lagrange interpolation method is used to approximate the component function. Finally, the bounds of the system's dynamic responses can be predicted by using Monte Carlo method for the interpolation polynomials of the Lagrange interpolation function. A numerical example is introduced to illustrate the ability of the proposed method to predict the bounds of the system's dynamic responses, and the results are compared with the direct Monte Carlo method. The results show that the proposed method is effective and efficient to predict the bounds of the system's dynamic responses with fuzzy variables.

에너지기술 R&D 프로그램 선정을 위한 퍼지 다기준의사결정 프레임워크 수립 (Establishment of a Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision Making Method Framework for Selecting R&D Programs of Energy Technologies)

  • 이성곤;;김종욱
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2009
  • Energy environment has been changing rapidly such as the fluctuation of oil prices and the effect on UNFCCC. Oil price change affects Korea's economy heavily due to her poor natural resources and large dependence of consumed energy resources. Korea takes the 4th place of importing the crude oil and 9th place in $CO_2$ emissions with the 1st place of $CO_2$ emissions increasing rate. Considering the current statue of Korea including oil price change and UNFCCC, Korea will be expected to be the Annex I nation due to Korean energy environments and the quantity of $CO_2$ emission. Energy technology development is a crucial key to cope with Korea's national energy security and environments. In this study, we establish the framework, which allocates the relative weights of assessment criteria and sub-criteria, for assessing and selecting R&D programs of energy technologies strategically. We integrated fuzzy theory and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach since the fuzzy AHP approach reflects the vagueness of human thoughts and perception effectively as making pairwise comparisons of criteria and alternatives. The fundamental data of this research results will support R&D planning phase for policy-makers and the production of well focused R&D outcomes.

Applying the Fuzzy Decision-Making Method for Program Evaluation and Management Policy of Vietnamese Higher Education

  • TONG, Kiet Hao;NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To;NGUYEN, Tuyen Thi Mong;NGUYEN, Phong Thanh;VU, Ngoc Bich
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.719-726
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    • 2020
  • Education policy is a dynamic process featuring social development trends. The world countries have focused their education program on empowering the learners for future life and work. This paper aims to assess the higher education curriculum based on a survey of 280 students, employers, alumni, and lecturers in both social sciences and natural sciences in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. The fuzzy decision-making method, namely the Fuzzy Extent Analysis Method (F-EAM), was applied to measure the relative weight of each parameter. Seven factors under the curriculum development have been put in the ranking. Input with emphasis on foreign language was the highest priority in curriculum development, given the expected demand of the labor market. Objective and learning outcome and teaching activities ranked second and third, respectively. The traditional triangle of teaching content, methodology, and evaluation and assessment are still proven their roles, but certain modifications have been defined in the advanced curriculum. Teaching facilities had the least weight among the seven dimensions of curriculum development. The findings are helpful for education managers to efficiently allocate scarce resources to reform the curriculum to bridge the undergraduate quality gap between labor supply and demand, meeting the dynamic trends of social development.

Evaluation of Antioxidative Effects of Lactobacillus plantarum with Fuzzy Synthetic Models

  • Zhao, Jichun;Tian, Fengwei;Yan, Shuang;Zhai, Qixiao;Zhang, Hao;Chen, Wei
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • 제28권7호
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    • pp.1052-1060
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    • 2018
  • Numerous studies suggest that the effects of lactic acid bacteria (LAB) on oxidative stress in vivo are correlated with their antioxidative activities in vitro; however, the relationship is still unclear and contradictory. The antioxidative activities of 27 Lactobacillus plantarum strains isolated from fermented foods were determined in terms of 2,2-diphenyl-1-picrylhydrazyl, hydroxyl radical, and superoxide radical scavenging abilities, reducing activity, resistance to hydrogen peroxide, and ferrous chelating ability in vitro. Two fuzzy synthetic evaluation models, one with an analytic hierarchy process and one using entropy weight, were then used to evaluate the overall antioxidative abilities of these L. plantarum strains. Although there was some difference between the two models, the highest scoring strain (CCFM10), the middle scoring strain (CCFM242), and the lowest scoring strain (RS15-3) were obtained with both models. Examination of the antioxidative abilities of these three strains in $\text\tiny{D}$-galactose-induced oxidative stress mice demonstrated that their overall antioxidative abilities in vitro could reveal the abilities to alleviate oxidative stress in vivo. The current study suggests that assessment of overall antioxidative abilities with fuzzy synthetic models can guide the evaluation of probiotic antioxidants. It might be a more quick and effective method to evaluate the overall antioxidative abilities of LAB.

적응 뉴로퍼지 추론시스템을 이용한 가공 송전선의 열화등급 진단 (Diagnosis of Deterioration Grades for Overhead Transmission Lines using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)

  • 김성덕;이상래
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2003
  • 가공 송전선로의 아연도금 강심 알루미늄연선 도체들은 장기간 동안 대기오염에 의해 서서히 열화되었기 때문에, 2천년 대에 이르러 수많은 도체들이 예상된 유효수명을 초과하였다. 대부분의 도체들은 경제적인 운용 측면에서 현재 상태들을 평가하지 않으면 안되므로, 이 논문에서는 경년, 환경지표, 및 도체구조와 같은 중요 파라미터들을 사용하여 노화도체의 현재 상태를 평가하기 위한 방법을 제안하였다. 노화도체의 수명에 대응하는 열화등급을 예측하기 위한 진단 방법을 기술하였으며, 이 시스템은 전문가 지식과 경험을 토대로 적응 뉴로퍼지 추론시스템 (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)으로 설계하였다. 이 진단시스템을 국내의 송전선로에 적용하여, 이 시스템이 노화 ACSR 도체를 비파괴적으로 진단하고 경제적으로 운용하기 위한 방안으로서 효과적으로 사용될 수 있음을 밝혔다.

퍼지와 DEVS를 이용한 선박 충돌 위험 예측 모델 설계 (Design of the Model for Predicting Ship Collision Risk using Fuzzy and DEVS)

  • 이미라
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2016
  • 선박에 현대화된 다양한 항해장비들이 설치됨에도 불구하고 여전히 해양사고가 자주 일어나는데, 이런 사고의 주요 형태 중 하나가 충돌 사고이다. 우리나라 해양사고의 약 1/4이 충돌에 의한 사고이고, 이 중 대부분이 인적오류가 원인인 것으로 알려져 있다. 따라서, 항해사의 의사결정을 도울 수 있는 지능적인 지원 도구가 필요한데, 이와 관련하여 충돌위험을 추정하는 다양한 방식들이 꾸준히 소개되어 왔으며 충돌위험 상황에 대해 사람에게 친숙한 언어적 표현을 반영하여 추론하기 위해 퍼지를 활용한 연구 결과들이 많다. 이런 기존 연구들의 충돌위험도는 현재시점에서 선박들의 속도나 방향 상태가 유지되는 것을 기준으로 충돌위험도를 추정한다. 그러나, 실제 선박에서는 충분히 피항 가능 상황임에도 불구하고 충돌 위험으로 판단되어 잦은 경고를 울리는 시스템들에 대해 항해사들이 느끼는 불편함이 적지 않아 보조 장치들의 알람 기능을 꺼놓은 경우도 많은 것으로 알려져 있다. 이 연구는 선박들의 일반적인 피항 패턴을 반영한 가까운 미래 시점의 충돌위험도 예측에 관한 것으로서, 퍼지추론과 DEVS 형식론에 기반한 충돌 위험 예측 모델을 제안한다.

운전자의 주행속도의식의 퍼지성을 고려한 교통류 평가법 (Traffic Flow Assessment with the Fuzziness of Drivers Driving Speed Attitude)

  • 남궁문;장종철
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제4권2호
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 1994
  • This study proposed a method of accessment for traffic flow on roads based on the driver's decision making. In order to, an attempt is carried out to express driving speeds through driver's congnitive language theoretically and experimentally. Membership function is derived to express driver's congnitive language about driving speed through a fuzzy set theory and examines the applicability for speed evaluation. As a resul, the membership function of the recognized as medium by drivers almost agrees with the frequency distribution of speeds on roads constrtained at 50km/h.

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정보기술 제품의 사용성 평가방법 (Usability Evaluation Method of Information Technology Product)

  • 임치환;이민구
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제16권28호
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 1993
  • The evaluation of product may be classified by technical tests or by ergonomics assessments. If an ergonomics assessment is required, then the three types of interface dimension are available to the researcher. In this paper, we proposed the heuristic evaluation method for usability of product in the three types of interface dimension The evaluation method is used the fuzzy weighted checklist technique computerized for evaluating or comparing prototype of system and IT product.

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Safety-Economic Decision Making Model of Tropical Cyclone Avoidance Routing on Oceans

  • Liu, Da-Gang;Wang, De-Qiang;Wu, Zhao-Lin
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 Asia Navigation Conference
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2006
  • In order to take TC forecasts from different observatories into consideration, and make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the view of safety and cost, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. This model is based on combining forecast of TC trace based on neural networks, technical method to determine the future TC wind and wave fields, technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory, and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It has applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the optimum plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.

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