• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy assessment

검색결과 256건 처리시간 0.026초

DEA와 퍼지추론을 이용한 RCC/RSC별 운영효율성 평가 (Evaluation of Operation Efficiency in the Korean RCC/RSC Using DEA and Fuzzy-Logic)

  • 장운재;금종수
    • 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 해양환경안전학회 2005년도 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.67-72
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 RCC/RSC의 효율성을 2개의 투입자료와 4개의 산출자료를 이용하여 DEA법을 이용하여 측정하였고, 정성적 자료는 전문가로 평가하였다. 또한 이러한 자료를 통합하기 위한 방법은 의사결정지원 시스템인 퍼지로직을 적용하였고, 이 평가방법을 이용하여 RCC/RSC의 운영효율성의 우선순위를 평가하였다. 그 결과 인천, 목포, 제주, 동해, 부산, 포항, 여수, 속초, 통영, 울산, 태안, 군산 RSC 순으로 효율성이 높은 것으로 나타났다.

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Dependence assessment in human reliability analysis under uncertain and dynamic situations

  • Gao, Xianghao;Su, Xiaoyan;Qian, Hong;Pan, Xiaolei
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권3호
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    • pp.948-958
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    • 2022
  • Since reliability and security of man-machine system increasingly depend on reliability of human, human reliability analysis (HRA) has attracted a lot of attention in many fields especially in nuclear engineering. Dependence assessment among human tasks is a important part in HRA which contributes to an appropriate evaluation result. Most of methods in HRA are based on experts' opinions which are subjective and uncertain. Also, the dependence influencing factors are usually considered to be constant, which is unrealistic. In this paper, a new model based on Dempster-Shafer evidence theory (DSET) and fuzzy number is proposed to handle the dependence between two tasks in HRA under uncertain and dynamic situations. First, the dependence influencing factors are identified and the judgments on the factors are represented as basic belief assignments (BBAs). Second, the BBAs of the factors that varying with time are reconstructed based on the correction BBA derived from time value. Then, BBAs of all factors are combined to gain the fused BBA. Finally, conditional human error probability (CHEP) is derived based on the fused BBA. The proposed method can deal with uncertainties in the judgments and dynamics of the dependence influencing factors. A case study is illustrated to show the effectiveness and the flexibility of the proposed method.

Agent Based Information Security Framework for Hybrid Cloud Computing

  • Tariq, Muhammad Imran
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.406-434
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    • 2019
  • In general, an information security approach estimates the risk, where the risk is to occur due to an unusual event, and the associated consequences for cloud organization. Information Security and Risk Management (ISRA) practices vary among cloud organizations and disciplines. There are several approaches to compare existing risk management methods for cloud organizations but their scope is limited considering stereo type criteria, rather than developing an agent based task that considers all aspects of the associated risk. It is the lack of considering all existing renowned risk management frameworks, their proper comparison, and agent techniques that motivates this research. This paper proposes Agent Based Information Security Framework for Hybrid Cloud Computing as an all-inclusive method including cloud related methods to review and compare existing different renowned methods for cloud computing risk issues and by adding new tasks from surveyed methods. The concepts of software agent and intelligent agent have been introduced that fetch/collect accurate information used in framework and to develop a decision system that facilitates the organization to take decision against threat agent on the basis of information provided by the security agents. The scope of this research primarily considers risk assessment methods that focus on assets, potential threats, vulnerabilities and their associated measures to calculate consequences. After in-depth comparison of renowned ISRA methods with ABISF, we have found that ISO/IEC 27005:2011 is the most appropriate approach among existing ISRA methods. The proposed framework was implemented using fuzzy inference system based upon fuzzy set theory, and MATLAB(R) fuzzy logic rules were used to test the framework. The fuzzy results confirm that proposed framework could be used for information security in cloud computing environment.

퍼지확률이론과 손상지수를 이용한 지하암반공동에서의 스폴링 발생 평가 (Assessment of spalling occurrence using fuzzy probability theory and damage index in underground openings)

  • 방준호;이강현;이인모
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2010
  • 스폴링 현상은 높은 현지응력하에서 확장균열의 발달로 암반공동 주변에서 발생하는 파괴형태이다. 기존 연구에 의하면 3가지 스폴링 기준은 범위로 제시되어 있어 기준자체의 애매모호함이 상존하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 퍼지확률이론을 적용한 새로운 스폴링 발생 종합 평가모델을 제안하였고 스폴링 발생현장에 평가모델을 적용한 결과 현장관측결과와 일치하는 결과를 보였으며, 정량적으로 스폴링 발생확률을 산정할 수 있었다. 특히, 3가지 스폴링 평가인자별 상대중요도를 고려한 가중치를 적용함으로써 실제 스폴링이 관측된 현장이 스폴링이 발생하지 않는 것으로 평가되는 오류를 해결하였다. 또한, Martin 등(1999)의 손상지수에 형상계수를 도입한 수정손상지수가 포함된 스폴링 평가인자를 스폴링 발생 종합 평가모델에 적용한 결과 합리적인 스폴링 발생확률을 산정할 수 있었다.

물공급시설의 노후 위험도 평가를 통한 개선 우선순위 결정 (Decision Making of Improvement Priority by Deterioration Risk Assessment of Water Supply Infrastructures)

  • 채수권;이대종;김주환
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes an application methodology of AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) based decision making theory for improvement priority by assessment of various risk factors affecting on deterioration of water supply systems, as major social infrastructure. AHP method is organized with three level of hierarchy which is introduced for multi-criteria decision making in this study. In the first level, assessment outputs are calculated by AHP for each affecting factor. In the second level, criteria are estimated by using assessment results with respect to structural and environmental factors. Consequently, ranking decision is performed in the third level. In order to present the effectiveness, a proposed method is compared with FCP(Fuzzy Composite Programming) for decision making. Since the results of the proposed method show better performance with consistent results, it can be applied as an efficient information for the determination for improvement priority of the study infrastructure.

대구광역도시권의 지리통계적 도시환경구조 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Geostatistical Evaluation of Urban and Environmental Structure of Taegu Metropolitan Region)

  • 박인환;장갑수
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to evaluate urban environmental structure in Taegu metropolitan region(TMR) with factor analysis, fuzzy set theory, geostatistic and geographic information system(GIS). The factor analysis could choose the representative one out of multiple variables and simplify the evaluation of the urban environmental structure. The fuzzy approach is an attempt to model an aspect of human thinking previously neglected; it starts from the premise that humans don't represent classes of objects as fully disjoint but rather as sets where transitions from membership to non-membership is gradual. The Geographic Information System(GIS) could connect attributes of factor scores derived from factor analysis to digital map by a method so called 'Spatial join'. The results obtained were as follows: Urbanization appearance was concentrated in the large cities, and this appearance was partial extremely, therefore, there has been a structural gap between urban area and agricultural area which was unified into the urban area. All inclinations didn't become worse after sudden urbanization. For example, suburban agriculture was developed as a large scale in the region near the large cities. Then it encouraged farmers in changing their old cultivating methods to the latest ones. But many districts in urban fringe had symptom of urbanization, the districts which were located between large cities have been developed gradually because of urban sprawl, and played a role in connecting each city. Therefore, due to the urbanization, forestry area and agricultural land, well conserved in the agricultural town, could be easily destroyed. In a different way with the urbanization of the Seoul metropolitan region, that of TMR was centralized upon the center of each city, and it was also very partial. But, because so many regions have the potentiality of urbanization, hereafter, the urbanization process in each region is likely to be different multifariously according to the urban management methods.

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Risk Critical Point (RCP): A Quantifying Safety-Based Method Developed to Screen Construction Safety Risks

  • Soltanmohammadi, Mehdi;Saberi, Morteza;Yoon, Jin Hee;Soltanmohammadi, Khatereh;Pazhoheshfar, Peiman
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2015
  • Risk assessment is an important phase of risk management. It is the stage in which risk is measured thoroughly to achieve effective management. Some factors such as probability and impact of risk have been used in the literature related to construction projects. Because in high-rise projects safety issues are paramount, this study has tried to develop a quantifying technique that takes into account three factors: probability, impact and Safety Performance Index (SPI) where the SPI is defined as the capability of an appropriate response to reduce or limit the effect of an event after its occurrence with regard to safety pertaining to a project. Regarding risk-related literatures which cover an uncertain subject, the proposed method developed in this research is based on a fuzzy logic approach. This approach entails a questionnaire in which the subjectivity and vagueness of responses is dealt with by using triangular fuzzy numbers instead of linguistic terms. This method returns a Risk Critical Point (RCP) on a zoning chart that places risks under categories: critical, critical-probability, critical-impact, and non-critical. The high-rise project in the execution phase has been taken as a case study to confirm the applicability of the proposed method. The monitoring results showed that the RCP method has the inherent ability to be extended to subsequent applications in the phases of risk response and control.

중소규모 건축물의 퍼지기반 상태평가 모델 (Fuzzy Based Condition Assessment Model of Middle and Small-Size Buildings)

  • 조현옥;정지성;정인수;이찬식
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2012
  • 건축물 유지관리 단계에서의 안전점검 및 정밀안전진단은 1, 2종 시설물에만 국한되어 있으나 중소규모 건축물이 전체 건축물의 99.4%를 차지할 정도로 많다는 점을 고려할 때, 중소규모 건축물의 안전진단은 반드시 필요하다. 이 연구에서는 현행 안전점검 및 정밀안전진단 체계의 문제점을 고찰하고, 중소규모 건축물에 적용할 수 있는 안전진단 모델을 개발하였다. 현행 평가방식을 고찰하고 설문조사를 통해 기존 상태평가 항목을 중소규모 건축물에 적합하게 조정하였다. 안전진단 모델 개발에 퍼지이론이 적용되었으며, 평가를 용이하게 하기 위해 웹기반 프로그램을 개발하였다. 이 연구의 결과를 실무에 적용한다면 1, 2종 이외의 중소규모 건축물도 안전점검 및 정밀안전진단을 효율적으로 수행할 수 있을 것이다.

FAHP-HAZOP을 적용한 수소충전소의 위험성평가 방법 연구 (Study on Risk Assessment Method of Hydrogen Station using FAHP-HAZOP)

  • 조영광;한신호
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.92-101
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    • 2023
  • 기후변화 문제를 해결하기 위해 탄소중립은 이제 선택이 아닌 필수가 되었다. 수소는 재생에너지의 간헐적 생산을 보완할 수 있는 저장 매체일 뿐만 아니라 반응 후 이산화탄소 배출이 없어 활용 분야에서도 좋은 대안으로 여겨지고 있다. 수소 활용 분야 중 하나인 수소자동차의 활성화를 위해서는 수소충전소 인프라 구축이 선행되어야 한다. 수소충전소의 효율적인 운영과 위험성평가를 위해서는 위험요인에 대한 우선순위 선정이 필요하지만, 국내 수소충전소 운영 기간이 짧아 사고에 따른 빈도 데이터가 부족하고 그 신뢰도가 낮다. 본 연구에서는 HAZOP을 통하여 수소충전소에서 발생 가능한 이탈의 원인과 결과를 도출하고 Fuzzy-AHP를 활용하여 분석하려고 한다. 이를 통하여 수소충전소에서 발생 가능한 이탈 원인의 의사결정값을 도출하고 수소 사고사례와 위험성평가에 적용하여 데이터의 신뢰성과 효용성을 확인하고자 한다.

퍼지 TOPSIS 기법을 이용한 선박 대체 연료 선정의 우선순위 결정에 관한 연구 (Study on Priority Decision for Ship's Alternative Fuel Selection Using Fuzzy TOPSIS Method)

  • 이정학;신주영;지재훈
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제30권1호
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2024
  • MEPC 80차 회의에서 IMO는 더욱 강화된 온실가스 감축 전략을 제시하였다. 기존의 72차 회의에서 제시하였던 초기전략보다 구체적이고 강화된 감축 전략이다. IMO는 2050년 무렵까지 국제 해운으로부터 온실가스 배출을 'Net Zero'에 도달하도록 전략을 세웠다. 이 논문에서는 대표적인 친환경 연료로 구분되는 LNG, 수소, 메탄올, 암모니아의 위험도 평가를 진행하였다. 전문가들의 설문조사를 통한 결과를 퍼지 기법을 적용하여 주관적인 모호성을 해결하였다. 또한 TOPSIS 기법을 통해서 퍼지의 긍정적인 해와 부정적인 해를 도출하였다. 이를 통해서 Vertex 방법을 이용하여 대체 연료의 근접계수 값을 최종적으로 구하여 결정하였다. 그 결과, 메탄올, LNG, 수소, 암모니아 순으로 선호하였다. 이 연구는 제안된 접근 방식이 대체 연료를 결정을 위한 집단 의사결정 방법으로 이용할 수 있음을 보여준다.