• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy assessment

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Dynamic response uncertainty analysis of vehicle-track coupling system with fuzzy variables

  • Ye, Ling;Chen, Hua-Peng;Zhou, Hang;Wang, Sheng-Nan
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.75 no.4
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    • pp.519-527
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    • 2020
  • Dynamic analysis of a vehicle-track coupling system is important to structural design, damage detection and condition assessment of the structural system. Deterministic analysis of the vehicle-track coupling system has been extensively studied in the past, however, the structural parameters of the coupling system have uncertainties in engineering practices. It is essential to treat the parameters of the vehicle-track coupling system with consideration of uncertainties. In this paper, a method for predicting the bounds of the vehicle-track coupling system responses with uncertain parameters is presented. The uncertain system parameters are modeled as fuzzy variables instead of conventional random variables with known probability distributions. Then, the dynamic response functions of the coupling system are transformed into a component function based on the high dimensional representation approximation. The Lagrange interpolation method is used to approximate the component function. Finally, the bounds of the system's dynamic responses can be predicted by using Monte Carlo method for the interpolation polynomials of the Lagrange interpolation function. A numerical example is introduced to illustrate the ability of the proposed method to predict the bounds of the system's dynamic responses, and the results are compared with the direct Monte Carlo method. The results show that the proposed method is effective and efficient to predict the bounds of the system's dynamic responses with fuzzy variables.

Establishment of a Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision Making Method Framework for Selecting R&D Programs of Energy Technologies (에너지기술 R&D 프로그램 선정을 위한 퍼지 다기준의사결정 프레임워크 수립)

  • Lee, Seong-Kon;Mogi, Gento;Kim, Jong-Wook
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.22-30
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    • 2009
  • Energy environment has been changing rapidly such as the fluctuation of oil prices and the effect on UNFCCC. Oil price change affects Korea's economy heavily due to her poor natural resources and large dependence of consumed energy resources. Korea takes the 4th place of importing the crude oil and 9th place in $CO_2$ emissions with the 1st place of $CO_2$ emissions increasing rate. Considering the current statue of Korea including oil price change and UNFCCC, Korea will be expected to be the Annex I nation due to Korean energy environments and the quantity of $CO_2$ emission. Energy technology development is a crucial key to cope with Korea's national energy security and environments. In this study, we establish the framework, which allocates the relative weights of assessment criteria and sub-criteria, for assessing and selecting R&D programs of energy technologies strategically. We integrated fuzzy theory and analytic hierarchy process (AHP) approach since the fuzzy AHP approach reflects the vagueness of human thoughts and perception effectively as making pairwise comparisons of criteria and alternatives. The fundamental data of this research results will support R&D planning phase for policy-makers and the production of well focused R&D outcomes.

Applying the Fuzzy Decision-Making Method for Program Evaluation and Management Policy of Vietnamese Higher Education

  • TONG, Kiet Hao;NGUYEN, Quyen Le Hoang Thuy To;NGUYEN, Tuyen Thi Mong;NGUYEN, Phong Thanh;VU, Ngoc Bich
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.9
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    • pp.719-726
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    • 2020
  • Education policy is a dynamic process featuring social development trends. The world countries have focused their education program on empowering the learners for future life and work. This paper aims to assess the higher education curriculum based on a survey of 280 students, employers, alumni, and lecturers in both social sciences and natural sciences in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. The fuzzy decision-making method, namely the Fuzzy Extent Analysis Method (F-EAM), was applied to measure the relative weight of each parameter. Seven factors under the curriculum development have been put in the ranking. Input with emphasis on foreign language was the highest priority in curriculum development, given the expected demand of the labor market. Objective and learning outcome and teaching activities ranked second and third, respectively. The traditional triangle of teaching content, methodology, and evaluation and assessment are still proven their roles, but certain modifications have been defined in the advanced curriculum. Teaching facilities had the least weight among the seven dimensions of curriculum development. The findings are helpful for education managers to efficiently allocate scarce resources to reform the curriculum to bridge the undergraduate quality gap between labor supply and demand, meeting the dynamic trends of social development.

Evaluation of Antioxidative Effects of Lactobacillus plantarum with Fuzzy Synthetic Models

  • Zhao, Jichun;Tian, Fengwei;Yan, Shuang;Zhai, Qixiao;Zhang, Hao;Chen, Wei
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.28 no.7
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    • pp.1052-1060
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    • 2018
  • Numerous studies suggest that the effects of lactic acid bacteria (LAB) on oxidative stress in vivo are correlated with their antioxidative activities in vitro; however, the relationship is still unclear and contradictory. The antioxidative activities of 27 Lactobacillus plantarum strains isolated from fermented foods were determined in terms of 2,2-diphenyl-1-picrylhydrazyl, hydroxyl radical, and superoxide radical scavenging abilities, reducing activity, resistance to hydrogen peroxide, and ferrous chelating ability in vitro. Two fuzzy synthetic evaluation models, one with an analytic hierarchy process and one using entropy weight, were then used to evaluate the overall antioxidative abilities of these L. plantarum strains. Although there was some difference between the two models, the highest scoring strain (CCFM10), the middle scoring strain (CCFM242), and the lowest scoring strain (RS15-3) were obtained with both models. Examination of the antioxidative abilities of these three strains in $\text\tiny{D}$-galactose-induced oxidative stress mice demonstrated that their overall antioxidative abilities in vitro could reveal the abilities to alleviate oxidative stress in vivo. The current study suggests that assessment of overall antioxidative abilities with fuzzy synthetic models can guide the evaluation of probiotic antioxidants. It might be a more quick and effective method to evaluate the overall antioxidative abilities of LAB.

Diagnosis of Deterioration Grades for Overhead Transmission Lines using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (적응 뉴로퍼지 추론시스템을 이용한 가공 송전선의 열화등급 진단)

  • 김성덕;이상래
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2003
  • Aluminum Stranded Conductors Steel Reinforced (ACSR) in overhead transmission lines have slowly degraded due to pollutants in the air for a long period of time, so in the 2000, a number of them has been exceeded over their forecasted useful life. Since most of them are faced with assessment their present conditions in regard to economical maintenance, in this paper, we have suggested a method in order to evaluate the current condition of aged conductors by using dominant parameters such as elapsed years, environment index, and conductor configuration. A diagnostic system for predicting the deterioration grades corresponding to the lifetime of aged conductors is described, which is designed as an Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) based on knowledge and experiences of experts. Applying this diagnostic system to practical transmission lines in domestic, it is shown that the system can be effectively used as a guide to perform nondestructive diagnosis and economical operation for old ACSR conductors.

Design of the Model for Predicting Ship Collision Risk using Fuzzy and DEVS (퍼지와 DEVS를 이용한 선박 충돌 위험 예측 모델 설계)

  • Yi, Mira
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2016
  • Even thought modernized marine navigation devices help navigators, marine accidents has been often occurred and ship collision is one of the main types of the accidents. Various studies on the assessment method of collision risk have been reported, and studies using fuzzy theory are remarkable for the reason that reflect linguistic and ambiguous criteria for real situations. In these studies, collision risks were assessed on the assumption that the current state of navigation ship would be maintained. However, navigators ignore or turn off frequent alarms caused by the devices predicting collision risk, because they think that they can avoid the collisions in the most of situations. This paper proposes a model of predicting ship collision risk considering the general patterns of collision avoidance, and the approach is based on fuzzy inference and discrete event system specification (DEVS) formalism.

Traffic Flow Assessment with the Fuzziness of Drivers Driving Speed Attitude (운전자의 주행속도의식의 퍼지성을 고려한 교통류 평가법)

  • 남궁문;장종철
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 1994
  • This study proposed a method of accessment for traffic flow on roads based on the driver's decision making. In order to, an attempt is carried out to express driving speeds through driver's congnitive language theoretically and experimentally. Membership function is derived to express driver's congnitive language about driving speed through a fuzzy set theory and examines the applicability for speed evaluation. As a resul, the membership function of the recognized as medium by drivers almost agrees with the frequency distribution of speeds on roads constrtained at 50km/h.

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Usability Evaluation Method of Information Technology Product (정보기술 제품의 사용성 평가방법)

  • 임치환;이민구
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.16 no.28
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 1993
  • The evaluation of product may be classified by technical tests or by ergonomics assessments. If an ergonomics assessment is required, then the three types of interface dimension are available to the researcher. In this paper, we proposed the heuristic evaluation method for usability of product in the three types of interface dimension The evaluation method is used the fuzzy weighted checklist technique computerized for evaluating or comparing prototype of system and IT product.

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Safety-Economic Decision Making Model of Tropical Cyclone Avoidance Routing on Oceans

  • Liu, Da-Gang;Wang, De-Qiang;Wu, Zhao-Lin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2006.10a
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    • pp.144-153
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    • 2006
  • In order to take TC forecasts from different observatories into consideration, and make quantitative assessment and analysis for avoiding TC routes from the view of safety and cost, a new safe-economic decision making method of TC avoidance routing on ocean was put forward. This model is based on combining forecast of TC trace based on neural networks, technical method to determine the future TC wind and wave fields, technical method of fuzzy information optimization, risk analysis theory, and meteorological-economic decision making theory. It has applied to the simulation of MV Tianlihai's shipping on ocean. The result shows that the model can select the optimum plan from 7 plans, the selected plan is in accordance with the one selected by experienced captains.

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