• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy Term

검색결과 221건 처리시간 0.026초

기상예보시스템을 이용한 가공송전선의 단기간 동적송전용량 예측 (Short-Term Dynamic Line Rating Prediction in Overhead Transmission Lines Using Weather Forecast System)

  • 김성덕;이승수;장태인;장지원;이동일
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
    • /
    • 제18권6호
    • /
    • pp.158-169
    • /
    • 2004
  • 본 논문에서는 실시간 기상예보데이터를 사용하여 가공송전선의 단시간 송전용량을 예측하기 위한 방법을 제안한다. 기상청에서 제공되는 예보기온, 풍속등급 및 날씨코드와 같은 3시간 예보요소들을 분석하여 기상예보데이터와 실제 측정데이터 사이의 상관성이 분석되었다. 동적송전용량을 결정하는데 사용하기 위하여 이러한 요소들은 적당한 수치로 변환되었다. 또한 풍속과 일사량에 대한 신뢰도를 개선하기 위하여 적응뉴로퍼지시스템이 설계되었다. 기상예보데이터가 송전용량을 신뢰성을 갖도록 추정하는데 사용될 수 있음을 밝혔다. 그 결과 제안된 예측시스템이 단시간 용량예측에 효율적으로 실용화될 수 있을 것이다.

적응형 네트워크 기반 퍼지추론 시스템을 적용한 갑천유역의 홍수유출 모델링 (The Application of Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for Modeling the Hourly Runoff in the Gapcheon Watershed)

  • 김호준;정건희;이도훈;이은태
    • 대한토목학회논문집
    • /
    • 제31권5B호
    • /
    • pp.405-414
    • /
    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 유역에서 관측되는 강우량과 유출량의 시계열 자료를 바탕으로 최근 시계열 예측 및 시스템 제어 분야에서 성공적으로 적용되고 있는 적응형 네트워크 기반 퍼지추론 시스템(ANFIS)을 갑천 유역에 적용하여 시유출량을 모델링하였다. 입력구조, 소속함수 종류와 개수 등을 다양하게 변화시켜 ANFIS 모형을 학습하고, 평균제곱근오차(RMSE), 평균첨두유량오차(PE) 및 평균첨두시간오차(TE)를 이용하여 ANFIS의 유출해석에 대한 적용성을 평가하였다. 현재시간의 시유출량 Q(t)에 대한 ANFIS의 적용성은 우수한 것으로 평가되었으며, ANFIS 모형은 관측유출량을 적절히 모의하였다. 입력구조가 다른 입력모형을 구성하여 최대 8시간까지 ANFIS의 유출예측 적용성을 평가하였다. 예측시간 증가에 따라서 ANFIS의 유출예측 정확도는 감소하여 예측시간 4시간 이상의 시유출량에 대한 ANFIS의 유출예측 적용성은 제한적이었다. ANFIS는 입력과 출력 자료들만 이용하므로 물리기반 모형에 비교하여 모형구축이 비교적 손쉽기 때문에 홍수 유출모델링에 ANFIS을 유용하게 적용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

미래 기후 시나리오를 고려한 도시 유역 홍수 피해 저감을 위한 투수성 포장 시설 대상 유역 우선순위 선정 (Prioritizing the target watersheds for permeable pavement to reduce flood damage in urban watersheds considering future climate scenarios)

  • 채승택;송영훈;이주원;정은성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
    • /
    • 제55권2호
    • /
    • pp.159-170
    • /
    • 2022
  • 기후변화로 인한 도시유역의 물 관련 재해의 심각성이 증가함에 따라 미래 기후 환경에서 도시 유역의 홍수피해를 줄이는 것은 중요한 문제 중 하나이다. 본 연구는 다기준의사결정기법을 이용하여 미래 기후 환경에서 도시 유역의 홍수 피해 저감 효율을 극대화하기 위해 투수성 포장 시설을 설치하기 위한 지역의 우선순위를 선정한다. 과거에 비해 도시화가 많이 진행된 목감천 유역을 대상유역으로 선정하였으며, 목감천 유역의 27개 소유역을 투수성 포장 시설의 설치 가능지역으로 하였다. 2개의 Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 시나리오에 따른 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6(CMIP6)의 6개 전지구모형(General Circulation Model, GCM)을 사용하여 연구대상지의 미래 월 강수 자료를 추정했다. 투수성 포장의 우선순위를 결정하기 위한 수량 평가 기준은 Driving force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) 체계를 토대로 선정하였으며, 평가 기준별 투수성 포장 시설의 평가값은 국가통계자료와 Storm Water Management Model의 모의 값을 사용했다. 최종적으로 Fuzzy TOPSIS 및 Minimax regret 방법을 사용하여 투수성 시설을 설치하기 위한 지역의 우선순위를 선정했다. 결국 우선순위가 높은 지역은 목감천 유역의 상류 유역에 비해 도시화가 많이 진행되었고 인구밀도가 높은 하류유역에 집중되었다.

A Biometric-based User Authentication and Key Agreement Scheme for Heterogeneous Wireless Sensor Networks

  • Chen, Ying;Ge, Yangming;Wang, Wenyuan;Yang, Fengyu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • 제12권4호
    • /
    • pp.1779-1798
    • /
    • 2018
  • Heterogeneous wireless sensor networks (HEWSN) is a kind of wireless sensor networks (WSN), each sensor may has different attributes, HEWSN has been widely used in many aspects. Due to sensors are deployed in unattended environments and its resource constrained feature, the design of security and efficiency balanced authentication scheme for HEWSN becomes a vital challenge. In this paper, we propose a secure and lightweight user authentication and key agreement scheme based on biometric for HEWSN. Firstly, fuzzy extractor is adopted to handle the user's biometric information. Secondly, we achieve mutual authentication and key agreement among three entities, which are user, gateway and cluster head in the four phases. Finally, formal security analysis shows that the proposed scheme defends against various security pitfalls. Additionally, comparison results with other surviving relevant schemes show that our scheme is more efficient in term of computational cost, communication cost and estimated time. Therefore, the proposed scheme is well suitable for practical application in HEWSN.

Daily Electric Load Forecasting Based on RBF Neural Network Models

  • Hwang, Heesoo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.39-49
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper presents a method of improving the performance of a day-ahead 24-h load curve and peak load forecasting. The next-day load curve is forecasted using radial basis function (RBF) neural network models built using the best design parameters. To improve the forecasting accuracy, the load curve forecasted using the RBF network models is corrected by the weighted sum of both the error of the current prediction and the change in the errors between the current and the previous prediction. The optimal weights (called "gains" in the error correction) are identified by differential evolution. The peak load forecasted by the RBF network models is also corrected by combining the load curve outputs of the RBF models by linear addition with 24 coefficients. The optimal coefficients for reducing both the forecasting mean absolute percent error (MAPE) and the sum of errors are also identified using differential evolution. The proposed models are trained and tested using four years of hourly load data obtained from the Korea Power Exchange. Simulation results reveal satisfactory forecasts: 1.230% MAPE for daily peak load and 1.128% MAPE for daily load curve.

Electrocardiogram Signal Compression with Reconstruction via Radial Basis Function Interpolation Based on the Vertex

  • Ryu, Chunha;Kim, Tae-Hun;Kim, Jungjoon;Choi, Byung-Jae;Park, Kil-Houm
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.31-38
    • /
    • 2013
  • Patients with heart disease need long-term monitoring of the electrocardiogram (ECG) signal using a portable electrocardiograph. This trend requires the miniaturization of data storage and faster transmission to medical doctors for diagnosis. The ECG signal needs to be utilized for efficient storage, processing and transmission, and its data must contain the important components for diagnosis, such as the P wave, QRS-complex, and T wave. In this study, we select the vertex which has a larger curvature value than the threshold value for compression. Then, we reconstruct the compressed signal using by radial basis function interpolation. This technique guarantees a lower percentage of root mean square difference with respect to the extracted sample points and preserves all the important features of the ECG signal. Its effectiveness has been demonstrated in the experiment using the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Boston's Beth Israel Hospital arrhythmia database.

A Suggestion for Data Assimilation Method of Hydrometeor Types Estimated from the Polarimetric Radar Observation

  • Yamaguchi, Kosei;Nakakita, Eiichi;Sumida, Yasuhiko
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
    • /
    • pp.2161-2166
    • /
    • 2009
  • It is important for 0-6 hour nowcasting to provide for a high-quality initial condition in a meso-scale atmospheric model by a data assimilation of several observation data. The polarimetric radar data is expected to be assimilated into the forecast model, because the radar has a possibility of measurements of the types, the shapes, and the size distributions of hydrometeors. In this paper, an impact on rainfall prediction of the data assimilation of hydrometeor types (i.e. raindrop, graupel, snowflake, etc.) is evaluated. The observed information of hydrometeor types is estimated using the fuzzy logic algorism. As an implementation, the cloud-resolving nonhydrostatic atmospheric model, CReSS, which has detail microphysical processes, is employed as a forecast model. The local ensemble transform Kalman filter, LETKF, is used as a data assimilation method, which uses an ensemble of short-term forecasts to estimate the flowdependent background error covariance required in data assimilation. A heavy rainfall event occurred in Okinawa in 2008 is chosen as an application. As a result, the rainfall prediction accuracy in the assimilation case of both hydrometeor types and the Doppler velocity and the radar echo is improved by a comparison of the no assimilation case. The effects on rainfall prediction of the assimilation of hydrometeor types appear in longer prediction lead time compared with the effects of the assimilation of radar echo only.

  • PDF

Lyapunov 지수를 이용한 전력 수요 시계열 예측 (Time Series Forecast of Maximum Electrical Power using Lyapunov Exponent)

  • 박재현;김영일;추연규
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
    • /
    • 제13권8호
    • /
    • pp.1647-1652
    • /
    • 2009
  • 비선형 동력학 시스템으로 구성된 전력 수요의 시계열 데이터를 예측하기 위해 적용된 신경망 및 퍼지 적응 알고리즘 등은 예측오차가 상대적으로 크게 나타났다. 이는 전력수요 시계열 데이터가 가지고 있는 카오스적인 성질에 기인하며 이중 초기값에 민감한 의존성은 장기적인 예측을 더욱더 어렵게 하는 요인으로 작용한다. 전력수요 시계열 데이터가 가지고 있는 카오스적인 성질을 정량 및 정성적인 방식으로 분석 을 수행하고, 시스템 동력학적 특성의 정량분석에 이용되는 Lyapunov 지수를 이용하여 어트랙터 재구성, 다차원 카오스 시계열 데이터를 예측하는 방식으로 수요예측 시뮬레이션을 수행하고 결과를 비교 평가하여 기존 제안방식보다 실용적이며 효과적임을 확인한다.

A Study on Improving the Effectiveness of Information Retrieval Through P-norm, RF, LCAF

  • Kim, Young-cheon;Lee, Sung-joo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제2권1호
    • /
    • pp.9-14
    • /
    • 2002
  • Boolean retrieval is simple and elegant. However, since there is no provision for term weighting, no ranking of the answer set is generated. As a result, the size of the output might be too large or too small. Relevance feedback is the most popular query reformulation strategy. in a relevance feedback cycle, the user is presented with a list of the retrieved documents and, after examining them, marks those which are relevant. In practice, only the top 10(or 20) ranked documents need to be examined. The main idea consists of selecting important terms, or expressions, attached to the documents that have been identified as relevant by the user, and of enhancing the importance of these terms in a new query formulation. The expected effect is that the new query will be moved towards the relevant documents and away from the non-relevant ones. Local analysis techniques are interesting because they take advantage of the local context provided with the query. In this regard, they seem more appropriate than global analysis techniques. In a local strategy, the documents retrieved for a given query q are examined at query time to determine terms for query expansion. This is similar to a relevance feedback cycle but might be done without assistance from the user.

An Interactive Approach Based on Genetic Algorithm Using Ridden Population and Simplified Genotype for Avatar Synthesis

  • Lee, Ja-Yong;Lee, Jang-Hee;Kang, Hoon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • 제2권3호
    • /
    • pp.167-173
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose an interactive genetic algorithm (IGA) to implement an automated 2D avatar synthesis. The IGA technique is capable of expressing user's personality in the avatar synthesis by using the user's response as a candidate for the fitness value. Our suggested IGA method is applied to creating avatars automatically. Unlike the previous works, we introduce the concepts of 'hidden population', as well as 'primitive avatar' and 'simplified genotype', which are used to overcome the shortcomings of IGA such as human fatigue or reliability, and reasonable rates of convergence with a less number of iterations. The procedure of designing avatar models consists of two steps. The first step is to detect the facial feature points and the second step is to create the subjectively optimal avatars with diversity by embedding user's preference, intuition, emotion, psychological aspects, or a more general term, KANSEI. Finally, the combined processes result in human-friendly avatars in terms of both genetic optimality and interactive GUI with reliability.