• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Probability

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Application of Fuzzy Logic for Predicting of Mine Fire in Underground Coal Mine

  • Danish, Esmatullah;Onder, Mustafa
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.322-334
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    • 2020
  • Background: Spontaneous combustion of coal is one of the factors which causes direct or indirect gas and dust explosion, mine fire, the release of toxic gases, loss of reserve, and loss of miners' life. To avoid these incidents, the prediction of spontaneous combustion is essential. The safety of miner's in the mining field can be assured if the prediction of a coal fire is carried out at an early stage. Method: Adularya Underground Coal Mine which is fully mechanized with longwall mining method was selected as a case study area. The data collected for 2017, by sensors from ten gas monitoring stations were used for the simulation and prediction of a coal fire. In this study, the fuzzy logic model is used because of the uncertainties, nonlinearity, and imprecise variables in the data. For coal fire prediction, CO, O2, N2, and temperature were used as input variables whereas fire intensity was considered as the output variable.The simulation of the model is carried out using the Mamdani inference system and run by the Fuzzy Logic Toolbox in MATLAB. Results: The results showed that the fuzzy logic system is more reliable in predicting fire intensity with respect to uncertainties and nonlinearities of the data. It also indicates that the 1409 and 610/2B gas station points have a greater chance of causing spontaneous combustion and therefore require a precautional measure. Conclusion: The fuzzy logic model shows higher probability in predicting fire intensity with the simultaneous application of many variables compared with Graham's index.

Comparison among Methods of Modeling Epistemic Uncertainty in Reliability Estimation (신뢰성 해석을 위한 인식론적 불확실성 모델링 방법 비교)

  • Yoo, Min Young;Kim, Nam Ho;Choi, Joo Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.605-613
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    • 2014
  • Epistemic uncertainty, the lack of knowledge, is often more important than aleatory uncertainty, variability, in estimating reliability of a system. While the probability theory is widely used for modeling aleatory uncertainty, there is no dominant approach to model epistemic uncertainty. Different approaches have been developed to handle epistemic uncertainties using various theories, such as probability theory, fuzzy sets, evidence theory and possibility theory. However, since these methods are developed from different statistics theories, it is difficult to interpret the result from one method to the other. The goal of this paper is to compare different methods in handling epistemic uncertainty in the view point of calculating the probability of failure. In particular, four different methods are compared; the probability method, the combined distribution method, interval analysis method, and the evidence theory. Characteristics of individual methods are compared in the view point of reliability analysis.

Classification and Tracking of Hand Region Using Deformable Template and Condensation (Deformable Template과 Condensation을 이용한 손 영역 분류와 추적)

  • Jeong, Hyeon-Seok;Joo, Young-Hoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.8
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    • pp.1477-1481
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose the classification and tracking method of the hand region using deformable template and condensation. To do this, first, we extract the hand region by using the fuzzy color filter and HCbCr color model. Second, we extract the edge of hand by applying the Canny edge algorithm. Third, we find the first template by calculating the conditional probability between the extracted edge and the model edge. If the accurate template of the first object is decided, the condensation algorithm tries to track it. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method through some experiments.

A Study on the Fire Detection Algorithm for Early Fire Detection of Electrical Fire (전기화재 조기감지를 위한 화재감지알고리즘 연구)

  • Lee, Bock-Young;Park, Sang-Tae;Hong, Sung-Ho;Baek, Dong-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.2164.1_2165.1
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    • 2009
  • In this study we suggest fire detection algorithm using fuzzy inference with input variables of temperature and smoke density to detect electrical fire of early stage. The algorithm consists of membership function of temperature and smoke density and fire probability. The antecedent part of the algorithm consists of temperature and smoke density, and the consequent part consists of fire possibility. The inference rules of the algorithm is estimated to input temperature and smoke density obtained by real fire. With the help of algorithms using fuzzy inference we may be diagnose electrical fire precisely.

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Multiple Target Tracking and Forward Velocity Control for Collision Avoidance of Autonomous Mobile Robot (실외 자율주행 로봇을 위한 다수의 동적 장애물 탐지 및 선속도 기반 장애물 회피기법 개발)

  • Kim, Sun-Do;Roh, Chi-Won;Kang, Yeon-Sik;Kang, Sung-Chul;Song, Jae-Bok
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.635-641
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we used a laser range finder (LRF) to detect both the static and dynamic obstacles for the safe navigation of a mobile robot. LRF sensor measurements containing the information of obstacle's geometry are first processed to extract the characteristic points of the obstacle in the sensor field of view. Then the dynamic states of the characteristic points are approximated using kinematic model, which are tracked by associating the measurements with Probability Data Association Filter. Finally, the collision avoidance algorithm is developed by using fuzzy decision making algorithm depending on the states of the obstacles tracked by the proposed obstacle tracking algorithm. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated through experiments with the experimental mobile robot.

Soft Computing as a Methodology to Risk Engineering

  • Miyamoto Sadaaki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2006
  • Methods for risk engineering is a bundle of engineering tools including fundamental concepts and approaches of soft computing with application to real issues of risk management. In this talk fundamental concepts and soft computing approaches of risk engineering will be introduced. As the term of risk implies both advantageous and hazardous uncertainty in its origins, a fundamental theory to describe uncertainties is introduced that includes traditional probability and statistical models, fuzzy systems, as well as less popular modal logic. In particular, modal logic capabilities to express various kinds of uncertainties are emphasized and relations with rough sets and evidence theory are described. Another topic is data mining related to problems in risk management. Some risk mining techniques including fuzzy clustering are introduced and a recently developed algorithm is overviewed. A numerical example is shown.

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Comparative study of Probabilistic Load Flow and Fuzzy Load Flow (확률적 전력조류계산과 퍼지 전력조류계산과의 비교 연구)

  • Jung, Young-Soo;Shim, Jae-Hong;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1997.07c
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    • pp.1100-1102
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a generalized multi-parameter distribution method for the convolution of linear combination of random variables to calculate system load flow in a conventional probabilistic approach and also presents a conceptual possibilistic approach using fuzzy set theory to manage uncertainties. The probability distribution function is transformed into an appropriate possibilistic representation under the compromise between the transformation consistency and the human updating experience. The IEEE 25-bus system is used to demonstrate the capability of the proposed algorithm.

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An Evaluation on the Degrees of Satisfaction of Product with Hierarchical Quality Structure Using Possibility Distribution Function (가능성분포함수를 이용한 계층적 품질구조를 가진 제품의 만족도 평가)

  • 김정만
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.46
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    • pp.173-180
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    • 1998
  • In conventional probability-based quality evaluation of products with qualitative characteristics, many factors that affect the evaluation are not easily represented quantitatively, because the relation between reliability of human evaluator and each of these factors is not clear. In order to evaluate the quality of product with qualitative characteristics quantitatively, in this paper, the relation is represented as the shape of possibility distribution function of fuzzy set on the interval [0,1]. Furthermore, fuzzy reasoning is used to obtain the estimates of quality characteristics. And, it is supposed that many quality characteristics affected by the above factors are connected with the final characteristic through hierarchical structures. Finally, using the estimates gained from the final evaluation, qualitative characteristics are evaluated by use of concept of pattern recognition.

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Adaptive time-based location update using fuzzy logic (속도 적응 가변 시간-기준 위치관리 기법)

  • 류시훈;박중신;이재용;이상배
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.12B
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    • pp.2430-2437
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    • 1999
  • This paper introduces an adaptive time-based location update scheme that dynamically determines when to perform location update based on moving distance of mobile station and incoming call arrival probability using fuzzy logic. Comparison with other schemes demonstrate that proposed scheme adapts well to the environment where the characteristics of mobility pattern of mobile station is changed all the time, and reveals better performance in the aspect of network signaling load.

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A Study on Fuzzy Interacting Multiple Model Algorithm for Maneuvering Target Tracking (기동 표적 추적을 위한 퍼지 IMM 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Hyun-Sik;Kim Jin-Soek;Hwang Soo-Bok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.7 no.4 s.19
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2004
  • The tracking algorithm based on the interacting multiple model(IMM) requires a considerable number of sub-models for the various maneuvering targets in order to have a good performance. But it is not feasible to use the nm algorithm in the real system because of the computational burden. Therefore, we need an algorithm which requires less computing resources while maintaining a good performance. In this paper, we propose a fuzzy interacting multiple model algorithm(FIMMA) for the tracking of maneuvering targets, which uses a minimal number of sub-models by considering the maneuvering properties and adjusts the mode transition probabilities by using the mode probability as a fuzzy input. In order to verify the performance of FIMMA, the developed algorithm is applied to the tracking of i borne targets. Simulation results show that the FIMMA is very effective in the tracking of maneuvering targets.