• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Probability

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Learning Distribution Graphs Using a Neuro-Fuzzy Network for Naive Bayesian Classifier (퍼지신경망을 사용한 네이브 베이지안 분류기의 분산 그래프 학습)

  • Tian, Xue-Wei;Lim, Joon S.
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.11
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    • pp.409-414
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    • 2013
  • Naive Bayesian classifiers are a powerful and well-known type of classifiers that can be easily induced from a dataset of sample cases. However, the strong conditional independence assumptions can sometimes lead to weak classification performance. Normally, naive Bayesian classifiers use Gaussian distributions to handle continuous attributes and to represent the likelihood of the features conditioned on the classes. The probability density of attributes, however, is not always well fitted by a Gaussian distribution. Another eminent type of classifier is the neuro-fuzzy classifier, which can learn fuzzy rules and fuzzy sets using supervised learning. Since there are specific structural similarities between a neuro-fuzzy classifier and a naive Bayesian classifier, the purpose of this study is to apply learning distribution graphs constructed by a neuro-fuzzy network to naive Bayesian classifiers. We compare the Gaussian distribution graphs with the fuzzy distribution graphs for the naive Bayesian classifier. We applied these two types of distribution graphs to classify leukemia and colon DNA microarray data sets. The results demonstrate that a naive Bayesian classifier with fuzzy distribution graphs is more reliable than that with Gaussian distribution graphs.

Risk Assessment using Fuzzy Linguistic Variables in Korean (한국어 퍼지 언어변수를 이용한 리스크 평가)

  • Lim, Hyeon-Kyo;Byun, Sanghun;Kim, Hyunjung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2015
  • Usually risk assessment is performed for the safety of diverse industries though, many kinds of risks cannot be analyzed effectively by using classical probability models due to lack of experience data and impreciseness of human decision making. For these reasons, fuzzy risk assessment utilizing subjective judgment and experience of skillful experts has been considered as a solution. In this study, to comprehend the relationship between conventional fuzzy theory and human conceptual images on risks, linguistic variables were reviewed with reference to fuzzy membership functions, especially in the Korean language. As interviewees, about a hundred people including students as well as safety engineers voluntarily participated. The research results showed that most people were in favor of adjective expressions decorated with adverbs rather than naive expressions such as "high" or "low", and that directly translated linguistic variables were not appropriate for the Korean people in risk assessment as far. Therefore, with consideration of the selection tendency by the Korean people in linguistic variables, it could be concluded that 5 level expressions would be most favorable for linguistic variables in risk assessments in Korea.

Personalized Media Control Method using Probabilistic Fuzzy Rule-based Learning (확률적 퍼지 룰 기반 학습에 의한 개인화된 미디어 제어 방법)

  • Lee, Hyeong-Uk;Kim, Yong-Hwi;Lee, Tae-Yeop;Park, Gwang-Hyeon;Kim, Yong-Su;Jo, Jun-Myeon;Byeon, Jeung-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.25-28
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    • 2006
  • 사용자 의도 파악 (intention reading) 기술은 스마트 홈과 같은 복잡한 유비쿼터스(ubiquitous) 환경에서 사용자에게 보다 편리하고 개인화된(personalized) 서비스 제공이 가능하도록 해준다. 또한 학습 기능(learning capability)은 지식 발견(knowledge discovery)의 관점에서 의도 파악 기술의 핵심 요소 기술의 하나로 자리 매김 하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 스마트 홈 환경에서 제공 가능한 개인화된 서버스(personalized service) 중의 하나로, 개인화된 미디어 제어 방법에 대한 내용을 다룬다. 특히, 이러한 사람의 행동 패턴과 같은 데이터는 패턴 분류의 관점에서 구분해야 할 클래스(class)에 비해 입력 정보가 불충분할 경우가 많으므로 비일관적인(inconsistent) 데이터가 많으므로, 퍼지 논리(fuzzy logic)와 확률(probability)의 개념을 효과적으로 병행해야 의미 있는 지식을 추출해 낼 수 있다. 이를 위하여 반복 퍼지 지도 클러스터링 (IFCS; Iterative Fuzzy Clustering with Supervision) 알고리즘에 기반하여 주어진 데이터 패턴으로부터 확률적 퍼지 룰(probabilistic fuzzy rule)을 얻어 내는 방법에 대해 설명한다. 또한 이를 포함하는 학습 제어 시스템을 통해 개인화된 미디어 서비스를 추천해 줄 수 있는 방법에 대해서 설명하도록 한다.

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Fuzzy reliability analysis of laminated composites

  • Chen, Jianqiao;Wei, Junhong;Xu, Yurong
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.665-683
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    • 2006
  • The strength behaviors of Fiber Reinforced Plastics (FRP) Composites can be greatly influenced by the properties of constitutive materials, the laminate structures, and load conditions etc, accompanied by many uncertainty factors. So the reliability study on FRP is an important subject of research. Many achievements have been made in reliability studies based on the probability theory, but little has been done on the roles played by fuzzy variables. In this paper, a fuzzy reliability model for FRP laminates is established first, in which the loads are considered as random variables and the strengths as fuzzy variables. Then a numerical model is developed to assess the fuzzy reliability. The Monte Carlo simulation method is utilized to compute the reliability of laminas under the maximum stress criterion. In the second part of this paper, a generalized fuzzy reliability model (GFRM) is proposed. By virtue of the fact that there may exist a series of states between the failure state and the function state, a fuzzy assumption for the structure state together with the probabilistic assumption for strength parameters is adopted to construct the GFRM of composite materials. By defining a generalized limit state function, the problem is converted to the conventional reliability formula that enables the first-order reliability method (FORM) applicable in calculating the reliability index. Several examples are worked out to show the validity of the models and the efficiency of the methods proposed in this paper. The parameter sensitivity analysis shows that some of the mean values of the strength parameters have great influence on the laminated composites' reliability. The differences resulting from the application of different failure criteria and different fuzzy assumptions are also discussed. It is concluded that the GFRM is feasible to use, and can provide an effective and synthetic method to evaluate the reliability of a system with different types of uncertainty factors.

The Application of Fuzzy Delphi Method in Forecasting of the price index of stocks (주가지수의 예측에 있어 Fuzzy Delphi 방법의 적용)

  • 김태호;강경식;김창은;박윤선;현광남
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.15 no.26
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 1992
  • In the stock marketing. investor needs speedy and accurate decision making for the investment. A stock exchange index provides the important index of the early of 1993 in Korea using Fuzzy Delphi Method(F. D. M) which is widely used to a mid and long range forecasting in decision making problem. In the Fuzzy Delphi method, considerably qualified experts an first requested to give their opinion seperately and without intercommunication. The forecasting data of experts consist of Triangular Fuzzy Number (T.F.N) which represents the pessimistic, moderate, and optimistic forecast of a stock exchange index. A statistical analysis and dissemblance index are then made of these subject data. These new information are then transmitted to the experts once again, and the process of reestimation is continued until the process converges to a reasonable stable forecast of stock exchange index. The goal of this research is to forecast the stock exchange index using F.D.M. in which subjective data of experts are transformed into quasi -objective data index by some statistical analysis and fuzzy operations. (a) A long range forecasting problem must be considered as an uncertain but not random problem. The direct use of fuzzy numbers and fuzzy methods seems to be more compatible and well suited. (b) The experts use their individual competency and subjectivity and this is the very reason why we propose the use of fuzzy concepts. (c) If you ask an expert the following question: Consider the forecasting of the price index of stocks in the near future. This experts wi11 certainly be more comfortable giving an answer to this question using three types of values: the maximum value, the proper value, and the minimum value rather than an answer in terms of the probability.

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Semantic Fuzzy Implication Operator for Semantic Implication Relationship of Knowledge Descriptions in Question Answering System (질의 응답 시스템에서 지식 설명의 의미적 포함 관계를 고려한 의미적 퍼지 함의 연산자)

  • Ahn, Chan-Min;Lee, Ju-Hong;Choi, Bum-Ghi;Park, Sun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2011
  • The question answering system shows the answers that are input by other users for user's question. In spite of many researches to try to enhance the satisfaction level of answers for user question, there is a essential limitation. So, the question answering system provides users with the method of recommendation of another questions that can satisfy user's intention with high probability as an auxiliary function. The method using the fuzzy relational product operator was proposed for recommending the questions that can includes largely the contents of the user's question. The fuzzy relational product operator is composed of the Kleene-Dienes operator to measure the implication degree by contents between two questions. However, Kleene-Dienes operator is not fit to be the right operator for finding a question answers pair that semantically includes a user question, because it was not designed for the purpose of finding the degree of semantic inclusion between two documents. We present a novel fuzzy implication operator that is designed for the purpose of finding question answer pairs by considering implication relation. The new operator calculates a degree that the question semantically implies the other question. We show the experimental results that the probability that users are satisfied with the searched results is increased when the proposed operator is used for recommending of question answering system.

On the Evaluation of Physical Distribution Service in Ports (항만물류서비스의 평가에 관하여)

    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 1996
  • It is required to consider pricing and non-pricing factors and external economy in order to achieve the objects of physical distribution system in a port. Recently, among the three factors, much attention has been paid to non-pricing factor in the system. Although physical distribution service in a port(PDSP)has been frequently mentioned in documents and literature related to port and shipping studies, few study on it has not been systematically and scientifically made due to the following problems; $\circ$ there are not proper criteria to evaluate level and quality of PDSP and as a result it is difficult to set up a unified standard for doing so. $\circ$ algorithms to evaluate problems with complex and ambiguous attributes and multiple levels in PDSP are not available. This thesis aims to establish a paradigm to evaluate PDSP and to abvance existing decision making methods to deal with complex and ambiguous problems in PDSP. To tackle the first purpose, extensive and thorough literature survey was carried out on general physical distribution service, which is a corner stone to handle PDSp. In addition, through interviews and questionnaire to the expert, it have extracted 82 factors of physical distribution service in a port. They have been classified into 6 groups by KJ method and each group defined by the expert's advice as follows; a. Potentiality b. Exactness c. safety d. Speediness e. Convenience f. Linkage Prior to the service evaluation, many kinds of its attributes must be identified on the basis of rational decision owing to complexity and ambiguity inherent in PDSP. An analytical hierarchy process (AHP) is a method to evaluate them but it is not applicable to PDSP that have property of non-additivity and overlapped attributes. Therefore, probablility measure can not be used to evaluate PDSP but fuzzy measure is required. Hierarchical fuzzy integral method, which is merged AHP with fuzzy measure, is also not effective method to evaluate attributes because it has vary complicated way to calculate fuzzy measure identification coefficient of attributes. A new evaluation algorithm has been introduced to solve problems with multi-attribute and multi-level hierarchy, which is called hierarchy fuzzy process(HFP).Analysis on ambiguous aspects of PDSP under study which is not easy to be defined is prerequisite to evaluate it. HFP is different from algorithm existed in that it clarified the relationship between fuzzy measure and probability measure adopted in AHP and that it directly calculates the family of fuzzy measure from overlapping coefficient and probability measure to treat and evaluate ambiguous and complex aspects of PDSP. A new evaluation algorithm HFP was applied to evaluate level of physical distribution service in the biggest twenty container port in the world. The ranks of the ports are as follows; 1. Rotterdam Port, 2. Hamburg Port, 3. Singapore Port, 4. Seattle Port, 5. Yokohama Port, 6. Long beach Port, 7. Oakland Port, 8. Tokyo Port, 9. Hongkong Port, 10. Kobe Port, 11. Los Angeles Port, 12. New york Port, 13. Antwerp Port, 14. Felixstowe Port, 15. Bremerhaven Port, 16. Le'Havre Port, 17. Kaoshung Port, 18. Killung Port, 19. Bangkok Port, 20. Pusan Port

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The Visual Inspection of Key Pad Parts Using a Fuzzy Binarization Algorithm

  • Kim, Young-Baek;Lee, Hong-Chang;Rhee, Sang-Yong
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.211-216
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    • 2011
  • The detection of defective parts in a factory is usually performed by the human eye. Therefore, heavy manpower is in demand for minor enterprises. An image processing system is desired to solve this drawback. However, due to the variety of the products characteristics, an general algorithm is needed that can adapt to these characteristics. Therefore, in this paper, the key pad parts' characteristics which need to be dealt with are analyzed in order to embody the image processing algorithm that is suggested. The experimental results show the probability of detecting a defective part is 95% with a detection time of 0.203 seconds, on the average.

A Path Planning of a Mobile Robot Using the Ultrasonic Sensor and Fuzzy Logic (초음파 센서와 퍼지로직을 이용한 이동로봇의 경로계획)

  • Park, Chang-Soo;Lee, Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.11c
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    • pp.627-629
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    • 1999
  • The research fields of mobile robot consist of three parts. The first is path planning, the second is the application of new sensors, and the last is a combination of the communication technology and mobile robot. In this paper we treat the path-planning. We use a Bayesian probability map, Distance Transform and Fuzzy logic for a path-planning. DT and Fuzzy logic algorithms search for path in entire, continuous free space and unifies global path planning and local path planning. It is efficient and effective method when compared with navigators using traditional approaches.

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A Study of Cluster Head Election of TEEN applying the Fuzzy Inference System

  • Song, Young-il;Jung, Kye-Dong;Lee, Seong Ro;Lee, Jong-Yong
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.66-72
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we proposed the clustering algorithm using fuzzy inference system for improving adaptability the cluster head selection of TEEN. The stochastic selection method cannot guarantee available of cluster head. Furthermore, because the formation of clusters is not optimized, the network lifetime is impeded. To improve this problem, we propose the algorithm that gathers attributes of sensor node to evaluate probability to be cluster head.