• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy Prediction System

검색결과 239건 처리시간 0.028초

Hybrid Type II fuzzy system & data mining approach for surface finish

  • Tseng, Tzu-Liang (Bill);Jiang, Fuhua;Kwon, Yongjin (James)
    • Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2015
  • In this study, a new methodology in predicting a system output has been investigated by applying a data mining technique and a hybrid type II fuzzy system in CNC turning operations. The purpose was to generate a supplemental control function under the dynamic machining environment, where unforeseeable changes may occur frequently. Two different types of membership functions were developed for the fuzzy logic systems and also by combining the two types, a hybrid system was generated. Genetic algorithm was used for fuzzy adaptation in the control system. Fuzzy rules are automatically modified in the process of genetic algorithm training. The computational results showed that the hybrid system with a genetic adaptation generated a far better accuracy. The hybrid fuzzy system with genetic algorithm training demonstrated more effective prediction capability and a strong potential for the implementation into existing control functions.

최적 TS 퍼지 모델 기반 다중 모델 예측 시스템의 구현과 시계열 예측 응용 (Multiple Model Prediction System Based on Optimal TS Fuzzy Model and Its Applications to Time Series Forecasting)

  • 방영근;이철희
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제28권B호
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2008
  • In general, non-stationary or chaos time series forecasting is very difficult since there exists a drift and/or nonlinearities in them. To overcome this situation, we suggest a new prediction method based on multiple model TS fuzzy predictors combined with preprocessing of time series data, where, instead of time series data, the differences of them are applied to predictors as input. In preprocessing procedure, the candidates of optimal difference interval are determined by using con-elation analysis and corresponding difference data are generated. And then, for each of them, TS fuzzy predictor is constructed by using k-means clustering algorithm and least squares method. Finally, the best predictor which minimizes the performance index is selected and it works on hereafter for prediction. Computer simulation is performed to show the effectiveness and usefulness of our method.

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Prediction of golden time for recovering SISs using deep fuzzy neural networks with rule-dropout

  • Jo, Hye Seon;Koo, Young Do;Park, Ji Hun;Oh, Sang Won;Kim, Chang-Hwoi;Na, Man Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.4014-4021
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    • 2021
  • If safety injection systems (SISs) do not work in the event of a loss-of-coolant accident (LOCA), the accident can progress to a severe accident in which the reactor core is exposed and the reactor vessel fails. Therefore, it is considered that a technology that provides recoverable maximum time for SIS actuation is necessary to prevent this progression. In this study, the corresponding time was defined as the golden time. To achieve the objective of accurately predicting the golden time, the prediction was performed using the deep fuzzy neural network (DFNN) with rule-dropout. The DFNN with rule-dropout has an architecture in which many of the fuzzy neural networks (FNNs) are connected and is a method in which the fuzzy rule numbers, which are directly related to the number of nodes in the FNN that affect inference performance, are properly adjusted by a genetic algorithm. The golden time prediction performance of the DFNN model with rule-dropout was better than that of the support vector regression model. By using the prediction result through the proposed DFNN with rule-dropout, it is expected to prevent the aggravation of the accidents by providing the maximum remaining time for SIS recovery, which failed in the LOCA situation.

A novel smart criterion of grey-prediction control for practical applications

  • Z.Y. Chen;Ruei-yuan Wang;Yahui Meng;Timothy Chen
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a scalable grey predictive controller with unavoidable random delays. Grey prediction is proposed to solve problems caused by incorrect parameter selection and to eliminate the effects of dynamic coupling between degrees of freedom (DOFs) in nonlinear systems. To address the stability problem, this study develops an improved gray-predictive adaptive fuzzy controller, which can not only solve the implementation problem by determining the stability of the system, but also apply the Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) law to calculate Fuzzy change parameters. Fuzzy logic controllers manipulate robotic systems to improve their control performance. The stability is proved using Lyapunov stability theorem. In this article, the authors compare different controllers and the proposed predictive controller can significantly reduce the vibration of offshore platforms while keeping the required control force within an ideal small range. This paper presents a robust fuzzy control design that uses a model-based approach to overcome the effects of modeling errors. To guarantee the asymptotic stability of large nonlinear systems with multiple lags, the stability criterion is derived from the direct Lyapunov method. Based on this criterion and a distributed control system, a set of model-based fuzzy controllers is synthesized to stabilize large-scale nonlinear systems with multiple delays.

인공신경망과 퍼지규칙 추출을 이용한 상황적응적 전문가시스템 구축에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Self-Evolving Expert System using Neural Network and Fuzzy Rule Extraction)

  • 이건창;김진성
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 2001
  • Conventional expert systems has been criticized due to its lack of capability to adapt to the changing decision-making environments. In literature, many methods have been proposed to make expert systems more environment-adaptive by incorporating fuzzy logic and neural networks. The objective of this paper is to propose a new approach to building a self-evolving expert system inference mechanism by integrating fuzzy neural network and fuzzy rule extraction technique. The main recipe of our proposed approach is to fuzzify the training data, train them by a fuzzy neural network, extract a set of fuzzy rules from the trained network, organize a knowledge base, and refine the fuzzy rules by applying a pruning algorithm when the decision-making environments are detected to be changed significantly. To prove the validity, we tested our proposed self-evolving expert systems inference mechanism by using the bankruptcy data, and compared its results with the conventional neural network. Non-parametric statistical analysis of the experimental results showed that our proposed approach is valid significantly.

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태양광발전요소 데이터를 활용한 발전효율 퍼지 예측 모델 설계 (Design of Generation Efficiency Fuzzy Prediction Model using Solar Power Element Data)

  • 차왕철;박정호;조욱래;김재철
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제63권10호
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    • pp.1423-1427
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    • 2014
  • Quantity of the solar power generation is heavily influenced by weather. In other words, due to difference in insolation, different quantity may be generated. However, it does not mean all areas with identical insolation produces same quantity because of various environmental aspects. Additionally, geographic factors such as altitude, height of plant may have an impact on the quantity. Hence, through this research, we designed a system to predict efficiency of the solar power generation system by applying insolation, weather factor such as duration of sunshine, cloudiness parameter and location. By applying insolation, weather data that are collected from various places, we established a system that fits with our nation. Apart from, we produced a geographic model equation through utilizing generated data installed nationwide. To design a prediction model that integrates two factors, we apply fuzzy algorithm, and validate the performance of system by establishing simulation system.

묘사함수를 이용한 퍼지 제어 시스템의 자기진동 현상의 예측 - 정적 경우 (The Prediction of Self-Excited Oscillation of a Fuzzy Control System Based on the Describing Function - Static Case)

  • 김은태;노흥식;김동연;박민용
    • 전자공학회논문지C
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    • 제35C권3호
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 1998
  • The self-excited oscillation is the phenomenon which can be observed in the systems composed of nonlinear elements. The phenomenon is of fundamental importance in nonlinear systems and, as far as the design of a nonlinear system is concerned, it should be considered along with the stability analysis. In this paper, the oscillation of a system controlled by a static nonlinear fuzzy controller is theoretically addressed. First, the describing functionof a static fuzzy controller is derived and then, based on the derived describing function, self-excited oscillation of the system controlled by a static fuzzy controller is predicted. To obtain the describing function of the static fuzzy controller, a simple struture is assumed for the fuzzy controller. Finally, computer simulation is included to show an example where the describing function given in the paper is used to predict the self-excited oscillation of a fuzzy-control system.

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종속형 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크를 이용한 네트워크 제어 시스템의 시간 지연 예측 (Time Delay Prediction of Networked Control Systems using Cascade Structures of Fuzzy Neural Networks)

  • 이철균;한창욱
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.899-903
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    • 2019
  • 네트워크 제어 시스템에서는 송신 신호의 시간 변동 지연이 불가피하다. 전송 지연이 고정된 샘플링 시간보다 길면 시스템이 불안정해진다. 이 문제를 해결하기 위해 본 논문은 논리 기반의 퍼지 신경망을 이용하여 지연을 예측하는 방법을 제안하며, 예측된 시간 지연은 네트워크 제어 시스템의 샘플링 시간으로 사용된다. 제안된 방법의 효과를 검증하기 위해, 실제 시스템에서 수집된 지연 데이터를 사용하여 논리 기반 퍼지 신경 네트워크를 훈련하고 테스트한다.

A TSK fuzzy model optimization with meta-heuristic algorithms for seismic response prediction of nonlinear steel moment-resisting frames

  • Ebrahim Asadi;Reza Goli Ejlali;Seyyed Arash Mousavi Ghasemi;Siamak Talatahari
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제90권2호
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    • pp.189-208
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    • 2024
  • Artificial intelligence is one of the efficient methods that can be developed to simulate nonlinear behavior and predict the response of building structures. In this regard, an adaptive method based on optimization algorithms is used to train the TSK model of the fuzzy inference system to estimate the seismic behavior of building structures based on analytical data. The optimization algorithm is implemented to determine the parameters of the TSK model based on the minimization of prediction error for the training data set. The adaptive training is designed on the feedback of the results of previous time steps, in which three training cases of 2, 5, and 10 previous time steps were used. The training data is collected from the results of nonlinear time history analysis under 100 ground motion records with different seismic properties. Also, 10 records were used to test the inference system. The performance of the proposed inference system is evaluated on two 3 and 20-story models of nonlinear steel moment frame. The results show that the inference system of the TSK model by combining the optimization method is an efficient computational method for predicting the response of nonlinear structures. Meanwhile, the multi-vers optimization (MVO) algorithm is more accurate in determining the optimal parameters of the TSK model. Also, the accuracy of the results increases significantly with increasing the number of previous steps.

뉴로-퍼지 시스템에 의한 몸통근육군의 EMG 크기 예측 방법론 (Neuro-Fuzzy Approach for Predicting EMG Magnitude of Trunk Muscles)

  • 이욱기
    • 대한인간공학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.87-99
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    • 2000
  • This study aims to examine a fuzzy logic-based human expert EMG prediction model (FLHEPM) for predicting electromyographic responses of trunk muscles due to manual lifting based on two task (control) variables. The FLHEPM utilizes two variables as inputs and ten muscle activities as outputs. As the results, the lifting task variables could be represented with the fuzzy membership functions. This provides flexibility to combine different scales of model variables in order to design the EMG prediction system. In model development, it was possible to generate the initial fuzzy rules using the neural network, but not all the rules were appropriate (87% correct ratio). With regard to the model precision, the EMG signals could be predicted with reasonable accuracy that the model shows mean absolute error of 8.43% ranging from 4.97% to 13.16% and mean absolute difference of 6.4% ranging from 2.88% to 11.59%. However, the model prediction accuracy is limited by use of only two task variables which were available for this study (out of five proposed task variables). Ultimately, the neuro-fuzzy approach utilizing all five variables to predict either the EMG activities or the spinal loading due to dynamic lifting tasks should be developed.

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