• 제목/요약/키워드: Future climate conditions

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The Suitable Region and Site for 'Fuji' Apple Under the Projected Climate in South Korea (미래 시나리오 기후조건하에서의 사과 '후지' 품종 재배적지 탐색)

  • Kim, Soo-Ock;Chung, U-Ran;Kim, Seung-Heui;Choi, In-Myung;Yun, Jin-I.
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.162-173
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    • 2009
  • Information on the expected geographical shift of suitable zones for growing crops under future climate is a starting point of adaptation planning in agriculture and is attracting much concern from policy makers as well as researchers. Few practical schemes have been developed, however, because of the difficulty in implementing the site-selection concept at an analytical level. In this study, we suggest site-selection criteria for quality Fuji apple production and integrate geospatial data and information available in public domains (e.g., digital elevation model, digital soil maps, digital climate maps, and predictive models for agroclimate and fruit quality) to implement this concept on a GIS platform. Primary criterion for selecting sites suitable for Fuji apple production includes land cover, topography, and soil texture. When the primary criterion is satisfied, climatic conditions such as the length of frost free season, freezing risk during the overwintering period, and the late frost risk in spring are tested as the secondary criterion. Finally, the third criterion checks for fruit quality such as color and shape. Land attributes related to these factors in each criterion were implemented in ArcGIS environment as relevant raster layers for spatial analysis, and retrieval procedures were automated by writing programs compatible with ArcGIS. This scheme was applied to the A1B projected climates for South Korea in the future normal years (2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100) as well as the current climate condition observed in 1971-2000 for selecting the sites suitable for quality Fuji apple production in each period. Results showed that this scheme can figure out the geographical shift of suitable zones at landscape scales as well as the latitudinal shift of northern limit for cultivation at national or regional scales.

Assessment of Methane Production Rate Based on Factors of Contaminated Sediments (오염퇴적물의 주요 영향인자에 따른 메탄발생 생성률 평가)

  • Dong Hyun Kim;Hyung Jun Park;Young Jun Bang;Seung Oh Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.45-59
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    • 2023
  • The global focus on mitigating climate change has traditionally centered on carbon dioxide, but recent attention has shifted towards methane as a crucial factor in climate change adaptation. Natural settings, particularly aquatic environments such as wetlands, reservoirs, and lakes, play a significant role as sources of greenhouse gases. The accumulation of organic contaminants on the lake and reservoir beds can lead to the microbial decomposition of sedimentary material, generating greenhouse gases, notably methane, under anaerobic conditions. The escalation of methane emissions in freshwater is attributed to the growing impact of non-point sources, alterations in water bodies for diverse purposes, and the introduction of structures such as river crossings that disrupt natural flow patterns. Furthermore, the effects of climate change, including rising water temperatures and ensuing hydrological and water quality challenges, contribute to an acceleration in methane emissions into the atmosphere. Methane emissions occur through various pathways, with ebullition fluxes-where methane bubbles are formed and released from bed sediments-recognized as a major mechanism. This study employs Biochemical Methane Potential (BMP) tests to analyze and quantify the factors influencing methane gas emissions. Methane production rates are measured under diverse conditions, including temperature, substrate type (glucose), shear velocity, and sediment properties. Additionally, numerical simulations are conducted to analyze the relationship between fluid shear stress on the sand bed and methane ebullition rates. The findings reveal that biochemical factors significantly influence methane production, whereas shear velocity primarily affects methane ebullition. Sediment properties are identified as influential factors impacting both methane production and ebullition. Overall, this study establishes empirical relationships between bubble dynamics, the Weber number, and methane emissions, presenting a formula to estimate methane ebullition flux. Future research, incorporating specific conditions such as water depth, effective shear stress beneath the sediment's tensile strength, and organic matter, is expected to contribute to the development of biogeochemical and hydro-environmental impact assessment methods suitable for in-situ applications.

Natural Environments and the Change of Social-economic Conditions in the Clan Villages: In Case of Sanggok and Suchon Clan Village, Kyongbuk Region (동족마을의 자연 환경과 사회.경제의 변화: 상곡마을과 수촌마을을 중심으로)

  • Park, Kyu-Taeg
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.270-295
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    • 2010
  • This thesis is to examine natural environments and the change of socio-economic conditions in the clan villages of Kyongbuk region through the case study of Sanggok and Suchon one. The results of the study is summarized in the followings. Firstly, after the early 1990s Sanggok clan village located in Dasan-myeon was not influenced by its natural environmets, but by the relative location near a large city, Taegu. On the contrary, after the 1980s Suchon clan village in Byeokjin-myeon has been grown as an agricultural area of commercially producing water melon due to mountain and its related climate. Secondly, the total population of Sanggok and Suchon clan village have been continuously declined after the 1970s. Particularly the numbers of children per household were declined to 2.4 in the late 2000s. Consequently it is suspected whether or not the clan villages will be existed in spite of their declining population in the future. Thirdly, people in the Sanggok and Suchon clan village were generally poor due to the small agricultural land. After the 1970s, however, the villages have been largely influenced by the industrialization and urbanization of Korea. Sanggok clan village was influenced by the outside expansion of Taegu metropolitan city due to its relative location while Suchon village by the commercial cultivation of water melon under a good condition of natural environments. Fourthly, there are differences between people's cognition to the agricultural conditions of the Sanggok and Suchon clan village. Such a difference is closely related to the socio-economic conditions of the two different clan villages.

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Comparative Analysis on the Design Conditions for Offshore Wind Power Structures in the Coastal Sea of Korea (한국 연안 해상풍력 구조물의 설계조건 비교분석)

  • Ko, Dong Hui;Jeong, Shin Taek;Cho, Hongyeon;Kang, Keum Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2014
  • Offshore wind power structures are subject to coastal hydrodynamic loading such as wind and wave loads. A considerable number of turbines have been installed in Europe, but so far none in Korea. Interest in offshore wind energy is growing in Korea, and it is expected that projects will reach the design stage in the near future. This paper discusses the level of structural reliability implied by the design rules of ABS(2010, 2013) and IEC(2009). Metocean conditions in 4 Korean seas(Gunsan, HeMOSU 1, Mokpo, Jeju) were used in the calibrations to calculate the aerodynamic and hydrodynamic loads as well as the structural responses of the typical designs of offshore wind turbines. Due to the higher variability of the wind and wave climate in hurricane-prone areas, applying IEC strength design criteria in combination with Korea west sea conditions could result in a design with much lower reliability index than what is anticipated from a design in European waters. To achieve the same level of safety as those in European waters, application of ABS 100 year design standards are recommended. Level-1 reliability-based design suitable for the Korean sea state conditions should be introduced because the IEC standards does not consider the typhoon effects in depth and the ABS standards is a WSD design method. In addition, the design equation should be established based on the statistical characteristics of the wind and wave loads of the Korean sea areas.

Application of An Ecological Engineering Approach in Evaluating Protected Area at Local Scales (생태계 보호지역 평가에서 생태공학 도입과 활용)

  • Koo, Kyung Ah
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2020
  • This research developed an approach to identify ecologically important areas at local scales and explained how the results of this approach could contribute to extend the protected areas in the Republic of Korea (ROK). While most developed countries have considered various biotic and abiotic factors, ecological processes, migration routes, habitat connectivity, ecosystem services, and etc. to determine the protected areas, ROK has considered a few factors focusing on biodiversity, landscape, and the habitats of endangered organisms. However, for sustainable management of our nature, we need comprehensive understanding of various ecosystem factors and interactions among them at local scales in designating protected areas. Forthis, we developed a conceptual model based on the ecological engineering approach and then explained how the results of this approach could contribute to extend the protected areas. In particular, we considered future land-use and climate change in determining the priority areas for novel protected areas. Our research suggested an effective methodology 1) to include various ecosystem factors and 2) to consider future environmental changes as well as current environmental conditions in finding the ecologically important areas and prioritizing these areas. However, our approach has limitations on the real-world applications due to the lack of fundamental information and data on our ecosystems. To improve the effectiveness of our approach in the real-world applications, we need various long-term ecological research results, environmental and ecological monitoring data, and both current and future spatial environmental data.

Forest Management Research using Optical Sensors and Remote Sensing Technologies (광학센서를 활용한 산림분야 원격탐사 활용기술)

  • Kim, Eun-sook;Won, Myoungsoo;Kim, Kyoungmin;Park, Joowon;Lee, Jung Soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.6_2
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    • pp.1031-1035
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    • 2019
  • Nowadays, the utilization infrastructure of domestic satellite information is expanding rapidly. Especially, the development of agriculture and forestry satellite is expected to drastically change the utilization of satellite information in the forest sector. The launch of the satellite is expected in 2023. Therefore, NIFoS and academic experts in forest sectors have prepared "Special Issue on Forest Management Research using Optical Sensors and Remote Sensing Technologies" in order to understand new remote sensing technologies and suggest the future direction of forest research and decision-making. This special issue is focused on a variety of fields in forest remote sensing research, including forest resources survey, forest disaster detection, and forest ecosystem monitoring. The new research topics for remote sensing technologies in forest sector focuses on three points: development of new indicators and information for accurate detection of forest conditions and changes, the use of new information sources such as UAV and new satellites, and techniques for improving accuracy through the use of artificial intelligence techniques.

Analysis of Risk Classification on the Urban Flood Damage in Changwon city (창원시 용도지역별 침수 피해에 따른 위험등급화 분석)

  • Park, Ki-Yong;Jeong, Jin-Ho;Jeon, Won-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.685-693
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to effectively respond to urban local rainstorms by classifying the risk against flood damage for each use district. The risk classification is based on sensitivity analysis of the socio-economic damage caused by local rainstorms in Changwon city, Korea by a Fuzzy model using data, such as the districts that provide institutional bases for land use, land prices, which estimate the property values, and floor area ratios, which measures the density and areas of flood damage. The analysis result indicated that flood damage in five districts of Changwon (Masan happo-gu, Masan Hoewon-gu, Sungsan-gu, Euichang-gu, and Jinhae-gu) is highest in the order of commercial areas, residential areas, industrial areas, and forests, which was attributed to high land price and floor area ratio of commercial areas. On the other hand, specific analysis in Masan Hoewon-gu and Sungsan-gu was different from the previous result, indicating that the risk against flood damage may vary according to the districts depending on their local conditions. The analysis from this study can be applied to future urban planning and be used as a guideline to estimate the potential flood damage. Overall, this study is meaningful in that it proposes an effective management of land use as a new resolution to mitigate of urban flood damage within a broader perspective of climate change and urbanization.

Restoration of the Stream Runoff by the Physical Deterministic Modeling and Formulation of Water Balance for the Catchment of Byungchun River in Chungcheong Province in Korea (물리 결정 모델링에 의한 충청도 병천천 유역의 하천 유출량 복원과 물 수지 수립)

  • KIM, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2008
  • This study has developed a water balance model for the catchment of Byungchun river using a BROOK90 4.4e physical deterministic water balance model with the long-term meterological data and stream run off data obtained from the basin of Byungchun river in Korea. It is intended that the validation model with calibrated model fitting parameter can build a long-term water balance plan for a period when meterological data are available but stream runoff data are not. Results of this study have satisfied the first expectation as an experiment for water balance modeling since measured stream runoff data have turned out to be very similar to simulated stream runoff data. Through the confirmation of model fitting parameters and validated simulation, water balance for the period of 1998 to 2006 has been restored. Unless the conditions of geomophology, vegetation, soil and land use change, meterological data alone can produce various hydrometeorological data related to stream runoff amount, soil water amount, and evapotranspiration. This study opens up a new horizon in restoring water balance in the past as well planning water balance in the present. The obtained results from this study are expected to be used in predicting future water balance in the wake of the changes in climate and vegetation in Korea.

Evaluation of hydropower dam water supply capacity (I): individual and integrated operation of hydropower dams in Bukhan river (발전용댐 이수능력 평가 연구(I): 북한강수계 개별 댐 및 댐군 용수공급능력 분석)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Choi, Jeongwook;Kang, Doosun;Ahn, Jeonghwan;Kim, Taesoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.505-513
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    • 2022
  • Recently, uncertainty in predicting available water resources is gradually increasing due to climate change and extreme weather conditions. Social interest in water management such as flood and drought prevention is also increasing, and after the unification of water management implemented in 2018, domestic water management is facing a major turning point. As part of such strengthening of water management capabilities, various studies are being conducted to utilize a hydropower dam for flood control and water supply purposes, which was mainly operated for hydroelectric power generation. However, since the dam evaluation methods developed based on a multi-purpose dam are being applied to hydropower dams, an additional evaluation approach that can consider the characteristics of hydropower dams is required. In this study, a new water supply capacity evaluation method is presented in consideration of the operational characteristics of hydropower dams in terms of water supply, and a connected reservoir simulation method is proposed to evaluate the comprehensive water supply capacity of a dam group operating in a river basin. The presented method was applied to the hydropower dams located in the Bukhan River basin, and the results of the water supply yield of individual dams and multi-reservoir systems were compared and analyzed. In the future, the role of hydropower dams for water supply during drought is expected to become more important, and this study can be used for sustainable domestic water management research using hydropower dams.

Comparison of Growth and Yield Characteristics for the Desert Climate Adaptability of European Long- and Medium-sized Cucumber Varieties (유럽계 장과형과 중과형 오이 품종의 사막기후 적응성 검증을 위한 생육 및 수량 특성 비교)

  • Yoon, Seoa;Kim, Jeongman;Choi, Eunyoung;Choi, Kiyoung;Choi, Kyunglee;Nam, Kijeong;Oh, Seokkwi;Bae, Jonghyang;Lee, Yongbeom
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2022
  • This study aimed to examine cucumber (Cucumis sativus) varieties adaptive to the desert climate by comparing and analyzing the growth, yield, and water consumption. Two long-sized cucumber varieties, 'Gulfstream' and 'Imea' and two medium-sized cucumbers, 'Nagene' and 'Sausan' were cultivated in coir substrate hydroponics under hot and humid greenhouse conditions from March 2 to June 20, 2020. On the 113 DAT, 'Nagene' had the longest plant height and the highest internode number. The marketable fruit number per plant was higher in the medium-sized varieties, which had more internode number. The marketable fruit number was 31.3 for 'Gulfstream', 30.7 for 'Imea', 57.8 for 'Nagene', or 56.0 for 'Sausan' with no significant difference in total fruit weights per plant. The water consumption required to produce 200 g of fruit was lower in the 'Nagene' (2.39 L) with the highest water use efficiency (WUE). Therefore, 'Nagene' variety may have higher adaptability to desert high temperature compared to the long-sized varieties, and it is going to be necessary to verify more medium-sized cucumber varieties.