• 제목/요약/키워드: Future Distribution System

검색결과 815건 처리시간 0.029초

원자력 발전소 사고의 근사적인 베이지안 예측기법 (An Approximation Method in Bayesian Prediction of Nuclear Power Plant Accidents)

  • 양희중
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 1990
  • A nuclear power plant can be viewed as a large complex man-machine system where high system reliability is obtained by ensuring that sub-systems are designed to operate at a very high level of performance. The chance of severe accident involving at least partial core-melt is very low but once it happens the consequence is very catastrophic. The prediction of risk in low probability, high-risk incidents must be examined in the contest of general engineering knowledge and operational experience. Engineering knowledge forms part of the prior information that must be quantified and then updated by statistical evidence gathered from operational experience. Recently, Bayesian procedures have been used to estimate rate of accident and to predict future risks. The Bayesian procedure has advantages in that it efficiently incorporates experts opinions and, if properly applied, it adaptively updates the model parameters such as the rate or probability of accidents. But at the same time it has the disadvantages of computational complexity. The predictive distribution for the time to next incident can not always be expected to end up with a nice closed form even with conjugate priors. Thus we often encounter a numerical integration problem with high dimensions to obtain a predictive distribution, which is practically unsolvable for a model that involves many parameters. In order to circumvent this difficulty, we propose a method of approximation that essentially breaks down a problem involving many integrations into several repetitive steps so that each step involves only a small number of integrations.

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스마트 워터 그리드(Smart Water Grid) 수자원 분배를 위한 컨텍스트 인지 추천시스템 (Context-aware Recommendation System for Water Resources Distribution in Smart Water Grids)

  • 양청해;곽경섭
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문에서는 최종 사용자의 프로파일(profile), 물의 종류 및 네트워크 상태를 고려한 미래의 스마트 워터 그리드에서의 물의 분배를 위한 컨텍스트 인지 추천시스템을 제안한다. 수자원에 대한 최종 사용자의 공통적인 관심사를 근거로 최종 사용자를 각각 다른 공동체로 군집화하기 위한 스펙트럴 군집화 방안을 개발하였다. 수자원에 대한 최종 사용자의 선호도 평가 목록을 얻기 위한 역전파 신경망을 도입하여 설계하였다. 본 방식은 예상 평가가 가장 높은 수자원을 최종 사용자에게 추천토록 하였다. 시뮬레이션의 결과는 제안된 방식이 기존의 추천 방안에 비하여 보다 나은 사용자의 경험을 바탕으로, 추천의 정확도(오차 2.5%이내)를 상당히 개선시킬 수 있음을 보여주었다.

Ecliptic Survey for Unknown Asteroids with DEEP-South

  • Lee, Mingyeong;JeongAhn, Youngmin;Yang, Hongu;Moon, Hong-Kyu;Choi, Young-Jun
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.63.2-63.2
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    • 2019
  • Eight hundred thousand asteroids in the solar system have been identified so far under extensive sky surveys. Kilometer to sub-km sized asteroids, however, are still waiting for discovery, and their size and orbital distribution will provide a better understanding of the collisional and dynamical evolution of the solar system. In order to study the number of asteroids which is detectable with 1.6 m telescope and their orbital distribution, we conducted a small observation campaign as a part of Deep Ecliptic Patrol of the Southern Sky (DEEP-South) project, which is an asteroid survey in the southern hemisphere with Korea Microlensing Telescope Network (KMTNet). We observed the ecliptic plane near opposition ($2^{\circ}{\times}2^{\circ}$ field of view centering on ${\alpha}=22h40m31s$, ${\delta}=-08^{\circ}22^{\prime}58^{{\prime}{\prime}}$) in August 2018, and identified 464 moving objects by visual inspection. As a result, 266 of 464 moving objects turn out to be previously unknown asteroids, and their signal to noise ratio is below two on numerous occasions. Most of the newly detected objects are main belt asteroids (MBAs), while three Hildas, one Jupiter trojan, and two Hungarias are also identified. In this meeting, we report the differences in the orbital distributions between the previously known asteroids and newly discovered ones using statistical methods. We also talk about the observational bias of this survey and suggest future works.

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Review of Revenue Sharing Contract: Evaluating its Role for Supply Chain Coordination

  • RYU, Chungsuk
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The revenue sharing contract has been widely used in industries, and its ability to coordinate the supply chain system has been studied by numerous researchers. By reviewing the representative studies on the revenue sharing contract, this study intends to analyze the key features of this coordinating contract and identify its potential to be a more advanced coordination program than the original contract. Research design, data, and methodology: This study reviews past studies on the revenue sharing contract. The selected studies are investigated with a focus on how this contract is described to realize the supply chain coordination and the key issues that they address. Results: The literature review reveals that the revenue sharing contract requires standardized details about what and how to share. This study also finds additional issues that need to be addressed by researchers to improve this coordinating contract. Conclusions: Future researchers are advised to unify the detailed contents of the revenue sharing contract to confirm that it successfully coordinates the supply chain system. In addition, this study proposes key research issues that would enhance the role of revenue sharing contract as a supply chain coordination program.

Sensor Nodes Localization for Temperature Distribution Measurement System

  • Ohyama, Shinji;Alasiry, Ali Husein;Takayama, Junya;Kobayashi, Akira
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1781-1786
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    • 2005
  • In sensor network systems, all the nodes are interconnected and the positional information of each sensor is essential. To measure the temperature, position detection and communication functions are required. Many sensor nodes are distributed to a measurement field, and these sensors have three main functions: they measure the distance to the other nodes, the data of which are used to determine the position of each node; they communicate with other nodes; and they measure the temperature of each node. A novel range measurement method using the difference between light and sound propagation speed is proposed. The experimental results show the temperature distribution as measured with the aid of the determined positions. The positions of every node were calculated with a PC program. Eight nodes were manufactured and their fundamental functions were tested. The results of the range measurement method, which takes relatively accurate measurements, contribute significantly to the accuracy of the position determination. Future studies will focus on 3-D position determination and on the architecture of appropriate sensors and actuators.

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2차 저압 배전방식 관한 연구 (A Study on the low voltage secondary distribution method)

  • 송일근;박구범;김영래;곽희로;권동진;정용기
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1993년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
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    • pp.32-34
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    • 1993
  • In Korea, the low voltage secondary distribution method comprises lots of the maintainable and conservative problems. So, this paper deals with the plans to solve and decide the unification of the low voltage secondary. That is ; for the unification plan of the low voltage secondary must be previously solved the breaking of netural line in $3{\phi}4W$, $1{\phi}3W$ and enacted the flicker criteria in distribution power system. To decide the low voltage secondary should take into considersion by economics, security and future. The flicker fluctuation in the low voltage secondary 7.4% in responsibility limited place and under 10% in Arc welding. To prevent the netural line in $3{\phi}4W$, $1{\phi}3W$ must be thoroughly constructructed, joined the two sleeves.

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유한고장 NHPP 어랑분포의 형상모수 변화에 따른 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 속성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Property Analysis of Software Reliability Model with Shape Parameter Change of Finite Fault NHPP Erlang Distribution)

  • 민경일
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2018
  • Software reliability has the greatest impact on computer system reliability and software quality. For this software reliability analysis, In this study, we compare and analyze the trends of the properties affecting the reliability according to the shape parameters of Erlang distribution based on the finite fault NHPP. Software failure time data were used to analyze software failure phenomena, the maximum likelihood estimation method was used for parameter estimation. As a result, it can be seen that the intensity function is effective because it shows a tendency to decrease with time when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 3. However, the pattern of the mean value function showed an underestimation pattern for the true values when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 2, but it was found to be more efficient when a = 3 because the error width from the true value was small. Also, in the reliability evaluation of the future mission time, the stable and high trend was shown when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 3, but on the contrary, when a = 2, the reliability decreased with the failure time. Through this study, the property of finite fault NHPP Erlang model according to the change of shape parameter without existing research case was newly analyzed, and new research information that software developers can use as basic guideline was presented.

Heckman 순서형 프로빗 모형을 이용한 소비자의 온라인 수산물 구매 결정요인 분석 (Analyzing the Determinants of Online Seafood Purchasing Using Heckman's Ordered Probit Sample-Selection Model)

  • 이헌동
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제55권1호
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    • pp.37-53
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    • 2024
  • In the post-COVID-19, the food industry is rapidly reshaping its market structure toward online distribution. Rapid delivery system driven by large distribution platforms has ushered in an era of online distribution of fresh seafood that was previously limited. This study surveyed 1,000 consumers nationwide to determine their online seafood purchasing behaviors. The research methodology used factor analysis of consumer lifestyle and Heckman's ordered probit sample-selection model. The main results of the analysis are as follows. First, quality, freshness, selling price, product reviews from other buyers, and convenience are particularly important considerations when consumers purchase seafood from online shopping. Second, online retailers and the government must prepare measures to expand seafood consumption by considering household characteristics and consumer lifestyles. Third, it was analyzed that consumers trust the quality and safety of seafood distributed online platforms. It is not possible to provide purchase incentives to consumers who consider value consumption important, so improvement measures are needed. The results of this study are expected to provide implications on consumer preferences to online platforms, seafood companies, and producers, and can be used to establish future marketing strategies.

수돗물 수질에 따른 옥내급수관 부식에 미치는 영향분석 (The Corrosion Effect of the Water Pipelines in Buildings according to Drinking Water Quality)

  • 유순주;박수정;안경희;김현구;김창수;정일록;박영복
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.701-708
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    • 2008
  • As a countermeasure for reduction of corrosion in the delivery and distribution pipes used for tap water, materials for the pipelines in-houses and the effect of water quality on corrosivity of water pipelines were investigated in the distribution system of Han river. As the corrosion index at 6 water purification facilities of Han river, average Langelier Saturation Index (LI) of raw and finished water were -1.0 and -1.4 respectively and average Larson Index (LR) were 9.5 and 9.9, respectively. And also corrosion potential showed corrosivity in finished water (-431~-462 mV) as well as raw water (-426~-447 mV). This results indicate that tap water quality of han river have corrosivity. To understand the corrosivity effect in pipe material used for premise distribution system, water quality of stagnant tap water and tap water were analyzed and the differences between them were calculated. The difference concentration of iron, copper and zinc were $12.9{\mu}g/L$, $31.0{\mu}g/L$ and $45.0{\mu}g/L$ respectively in galvanized steel pipe for use more than 15 years and showed highest concentration. As a result, the control to corrosivity in the water pipelines, corrosivity control treatment in the water purification system can be applied. In advance it is necessary to monitor corrosivity of water quality using corrosive index because corrosivity may differ from the seasonal and regional characteristics and water chemicals dosage. For the future the guideline for corrosion index have to be established.

전자무역의 적하목록취합시스템에 관한 연구 (A Study on the ManiFestation Consolidation System(MFCS) of e-Trade)

  • 정분도;장기영
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.10-16
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    • 2008
  • 적하목록취합시스템(MFCS)은 물류산업을 효율적으로 개선시키는데 많은 부문에 기여하고 있다. 물류비용과 신고서 작성시간을 줄이기 위해 화물처리 단계별로 중복되거나 불필요한 전송항목을 줄여 간소화한 시스템을 구축해 시행중이다. 아시아 물류정보 중심지로 성장하기 위해서는 적하목록취합시스템(MFCS)의 기반구축과 효율성을 충분히 활용하여야 할 때이다. 본 연구의 목적은 적하목록취합시스템(MFCS)의 효율적인 운영을 위하여 첫째, 적하목록취합시스템(MFCS)의 화물업무 처리 절차를 고찰하고 둘째, 적하목록취합시스템(MFCS)의 미래 모형을 제시하며, 셋째, 수출입 관련 업무내용 분류 및 전자문서명을 연구하고자 한다. 본 논문은 적하목록취합시스템(MFCS)의 기술적인 방향을 제시하기보다는 실무적 관점에서 해석적 기초를 제시하는데 그 목적이 있다.