• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future Distribution System

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Development of Fertility Assumptions for the Future Population Projection (장래인구추계를 위한 출산력 가정치의 설정)

  • Jun, Kwang-Hee
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.53-88
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    • 2006
  • The major aim of this paper is to develop a hypothetical set of age-specific fertility rates which are logically derived and reasonably accurate in the projection of future population. The first procedure is to select a generalized log-gamma distribution model, which includes Coale-McNeil nuptiality model, in order to estimate and project a set of age-specific fertility rates by birth cohort and birth order. The second is to apply the log-gamma model with an empirical adjustment to the actual data to estimate and project the future fertility rates for relatively young birth cohorts who did not complete their reproductive career. This study reconstructs or translates a set of cohort age-specific fertility rates into a set of period age-specific fertility rates which must be hypothesized in order to establish the broader framework of future population projection. For example, the fertility at age 20 in the year of 2020 is the fertility at age 20 for the cohort born in 1990, while the fertility at age 21 in the year of 2020 is the fertility at 21 for the cohort born in 1989. In turn, once a set of age-specific fertility rates for the cohorts who were born up to the year of 2010, it is possible for one to establish an hypothetical set of period age-specific fertility rates which will be needed to project the future population until the year of 2055. The difference in the hypothetical system of age-specific fertility rates between this study and the 2005 special population projection comes from the fact that the fertility estimation/projection model used in this study was skillfully exploited to reflect better actual trend of fertility decline caused by rise in marriage age and increasing proportion of those who remain single until their end of reproduction. In this regard, this paper argues that the set of age-specific fertility rates derived from this study is more logical and reasonably accurate than the set of those used for the 2005 special projection. In the population projection, however, the fundamental issue of the hypothetical setting of age-specific fertility rates in relation to the fertility estimation/projection model is about how skillfully one can handle the period effects. It is not easy for one to completely cope with the problem of period effects except for the a minor period adjustment based on recent actual data, along with the given framework of a cohort-based fertility estimation/projection model.

The Impact of Block Chain Characteristics on the Intention to Use Hotel Reservation System in China (중국에서의 호텔예약 시스템의 블록체인 특성이 사용의도에 미치는 영향)

  • JIN, Peng-Ru;LEE, Jong-Ho
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - As the scope of existing digital transformation expanded to various degrees, the Fourth Industrial Revolution came into being. In 2016, Klaus Schwab, Chairman of the World Economic Forum (WEF), said that the new technologies that lead the fourth industrial revolution are AI, Block chain, IoT, Big Data, Augmented Reality, and Virtual Reality. This technology is expected to be a full-fledged fusion of digital, biological and physical boundaries. Everything in the world is connected to the online network, and the trend of 'block chain' technology is getting attention because it is a core technology for realizing a super connective society. If the block chain is commercialized at the World Knowledge Forum (WKF), it will be a platform that can be applied to the entire industry. The block chain is rapidly evolving around the financial sector, and the impact of block chains on logistics, medical services, and public services has increased beyond the financial sector. Research design, data, and methodology - Figure analysis of data and social science analytical software of IBM SPSS AMOS 23.0 and IBM Statistics 23.0 were used for all the data researched. Data were collected from hotel employees in China from 25th March to 10th May. Results - The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of the block chain characteristics of the existing hotel reservation system on the intention to use and to examine the influence of the block chain characteristics of the hotel reservation system on the intention to use, We rearranged the variables having the same or similar meaning and analyzed the effect of these factors on the intention to use the block chain characteristic of the hotel reservation system. 339 questionnaires were used for analysis. Conclusions - There are only sample hotel workers in this study, and their ages are in their 20s and 30s. In future studies, samples should be constructed in various layers and studied. In this study, the block chain characteristics are set as five variables as security, reliability, economical efficiency, availability, and diversity. Among them, Security and reliability made positive effects on the perceived usefulness. Also, security and economics did on the perceived ease. Availability and diversity did on both perceived usefulness and perceived ease. Perceived ease did on perceived usefulness. And perceived ease and perceived usefulness did on user intent. But security and economics did not on the perceived usefulness

Comparative Study of the Effects of the Intermodal Freight Transport Policies (인터모달 추진 정책과 효과에 관한 비교연구)

  • Woo, Jung-Wouk
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - The Korean government has devised intermodal transportation policies and granted subsidies to shippers and logistics companies that made a conversion of transportation means through the policies. This provides support by expanding the complex uniform railroad transportation and overhauling the deteriorated railroad facilities. As for 2013, however, the freight transportation percentage of railroad was 4.5% in tons and 8.5% in ton kilometers. Meanwhile, since the 1990s, developed countries such as the U.S. and Europe have been trying to expand intermodal freight transport with a legal and institutional support to build a logistics system corresponding with social and economic environmental changes. In this study, I set out to examine the effects of the intermodal freight transport policies in the EU and the U.S., and to explore the direction of setting up a rail intermodal transport system in South Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - The paper used a qualitative research methodology through the literature review. First, was an overview of Intermodal transportation in the EU, U.S. and UN. Second, it describes the development of transport in Europe and the U.S. with particular emphasis on intermodal freight transport. Third, it explores the direction of setting up a intermodal freight transport in South Korea. The last section contains concluding remarks. Results - As for the EU, it has been promoting integration between transport and intermodal logistics network designs while utilizing ITS or ICT and supports for rail freight intermodal by giving reduction to a facilities fee or subsidizing for rail freight in order to minimize the cost of external due to freight transport. On the other hand, as for the U.S., it has been made up of an industrial-led operating project and has been promoting it to improve accessibility between intermodal hubs and cargo terminals through intermodal corridor program, and an intermodal cargo hub access corridor projects, etc. Moreover, it has tried to construct intermodal transport system using ITS or ICT and to remove Barrier. As a result, in these countries, the proportion of intermodal freight transport is going to be the second significant transport compared with rail and maritime transport. An Effective rail intermodal transport system is needed in South Korea, as seen in the case of these countries. In order to achieve this object, the following points are required to establish radical infrastructure policy; diversify investment financing measures taken under public-private partnerships, legal responsibilities, improvement of utilization of existing facilities to connect the railway terminal and truck terminal, and enhancement service competitiveness through providing cargo tracking and security information that combines the ITS and ICT. Conclusions - This study will be used as a basis for policy and support for intermodal freight transport in South Korea. In the future, it is also necessary to examine from the perspective of the shipper companies using the rail intermodal transport, ie, recognition of shipper, needed institutional supports, and transportation demand forecasting and cost-effective analysis of the railway infrastructure systems improvement.

A Taxonomy of Workflow Architectures

  • Kim, Kwang-Hoon;Paik, Su-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.525-543
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    • 1998
  • This paper proposes a conceptual taxonomy of architectures far workflow management systems. The systematic classification work is based on a framework for workflow architectures. The framework, consisting of generic-level, conceptual-level and implementation-level architectures, provides common architectural principles for designing a workflow management system. We define the taxonomy by considering the possibilities for centralization or distribution of data, control, and execution. That is, we take into account three criteria. How are the major components of a workflow model and system, like activities, roles, actors, and workcases, concretized in workflow architecture? Which of the components is represented as software modules of the workflow architecture? And how are they configured and operating in the architecture? The workflow components might be embodied, as active (processes or threads) modules or as passive (data) modules, in the software architecture of a workflow management system. One or combinations of the components might become software modules in the software architecture. Finally, they might be centralized or distributed. The distribution of the components should be broken into three: Vertically, Horizontally and Fully distributed. Through the combination of these aspects, we can conceptually generate about 64 software Architectures for a workflow management system. That is, it should be possible to comprehend and characterize all kinds of software architectures for workflow management systems including the current existing systems as well as future systems. We believe that this taxonomy is a significant contribution because it adds clarity, completeness, and "global perspective" to workflow architectural discussions. The vocabulary suggested here includes workflow levels and aspects, allowing very different architectures to be discussed, compared, and contrasted. Added clarity is obtained because similar architectures from different vendors that used different terminology and techniques can now be seen to be identical at the higher level. Much of the complexity can be removed by thinking of workflow systems. Therefore, it is used to categorize existing workflow architectures and suggest a plethora of new workflow architectures. Finally, the taxonomy can be used for sorting out gems and stones amongst the architectures possibly generated. Thus, it might be a guideline not only for characterizing the existing workflow management systems, but also for solving the long-term and short-term architectural research issues, such as dynamic changes in workflow, transactional workflow, dynamically evolving workflow, large-scale workflow, etc., that have been proposed in the literature.

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A Study on Improvement of Collected Data Performance in Real-time Railway Safety Supervisory Platform (실시간 철도안전관제 플랫폼에서의 수집 데이터 성능 개선 방안 연구)

  • Shin, Kwang-Ho;Park, Jee-Won;Ahn, Jin
    • Journal of The Korean Society For Urban Railway
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.233-241
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    • 2018
  • Recently, integrated railway safety monitoring and control system, which is a convergence system based on data distribution service for railway safety monitoring and control, is under development. It collects safety data of vehicle, signal, power and safety monitoring facilities in real time and adopts communication middleware based on distributed service for mass data processing. However, in the case of a server device used as an existing control server, the performance of the distributed service middleware can not be exhibited due to low hardware performance due to safety reasons. In the safety control system, 200,000 packets per second were set as the transmission target, but the performance test of the LAB was not satisfied. In this paper, we analyze the characteristics of railway data to improve the data collection performance of existing equipment and apply DDS-based streaming transmission method to the data model of signal facilities and vehicle facilities with large packet amount according to the analysis result. As a result, it was confirmed that the throughput was improved about 30.4 times when the hardware performance was the same. We plan to improve the data processing performance by applying it to real-time railway safety integrated monitoring and control system in the future.

Safe landing control of unmanned Quad-rotor Emergency Procedures (긴급 상황에 대비한 무인 쿼드로터의 안전 착륙 제어)

  • Baek, Seung-Jun;Park, Jong-Ho;Ryu, Ji-Hyoung;Lim, Shin-Teak;Chong, Kil-To
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.2335-2342
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    • 2014
  • If you want to use the unmanned quad rotor for emergency information provision and information about the traffic situation of real-time and moving information is included in the car to help in emergency vehicle operation of the city and in the distribution future innovation the need to consider to have enough safety of the use of silent quad rotor. Therefore, in this study, the unmanned quad rotor system research of safe landing control from the center for the improvement of safety of unmanned quad rotor system you have a motor of four, has taken a good structural balance system based on the dynamic model and motion considering the nonlinear characteristics, and attempts to proceed via non-linearity and system disturbances, tough Fuzzy controller, and analyzed through a computer simulation result.

A Study on the Possibility of Initial Cost Saving in the New Housing Model Considering Long-life and Constructability - Focused on the Case Analysis with Converting Skeleton and Cladding to New Systems - (장수명화와 시공성을 고려한 새로운 공동주택 모델의 초기 비용절감 가능성 연구 - 구조체와 외장전환 사례분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Soo-Am;Shin, Sung-Eun;Chung, Joon-Soo;Shon, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean housing association
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.49-59
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    • 2012
  • This study suggested a new model in consideration of long life and constructability of apartment house suggested in the former part. New model suggested the possibility of cost saving based on the idea that people trend to reject because of the recognition that the new model would cost a lot of expense which work as the barrier for the expansion and distribution at the local market so as to prepare the ground for its activation. The Study was aimed at verifying the possibility of cost saving through comparing it with the existing standard apartment house system centered on the skeleton and cladding system among the new structural design models suggested in the former part. Assuming that these existing standard both models should be changed structural design into new model system, the quantity volume, cost and construction period along with the alteration of finished materials between two models were compared altogether. Simultaneously BIM library was built for easy taking-off bill of quantity and consideration of working methodology for construction working cycle, which was translated into construction cost so as to derive the cost of the two subject systems to be counted. Through the analysis, it was concluded that new model would secure variability in the future and constructability along with shortening the construction period (29%) and achieve cost saving (13%) of construction against the those of existing model.

A Study on the displacement characteristics of suspension elements for KTX (고속철도차량 현가계요소 변위특성 연구)

  • Hur H.M.;Kwon S.T.;Lee C.W.;Kim H.J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.378-382
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    • 2005
  • The opening of high speed railway upgraded our land transportation speed limit, causing lots of changes including living and culture and also paving the way for stepping up the railway technology. However, it is also true that we had a limit to adopt the existing railway system structured for 150km/h to the new structure requiring a higher speed of approximate 300km/h due to technological, based on the time and experience. More importantly, heading toward a step of operating such a high speed railway system, it has been practically and quickly proposed that the railway needs high speed railway engineering, maintenance technology of parts of the vehicles to have a stable maintenance foundation and localization of major parts. Therefore, this study was intended to research the actual displacement characteristics in runningg on an actual track for the purpose of developing the protective and maintenance technology of springs and dampers, which are core parts among suspension elements of a high speed railway vehicle. For this, it was researched the actual vehicle test and its interpretation centered on primary spring, which is used for the suspension system of a bogie, body-body dampers and body-bogie yaw damper. Also, to analyze the displacement characteristics of suspension system in the actual conditions of high speed railway vehicles, a vehicle‘s dynamic characteristics was analyzed and interpreted. At the same time, a tester for measuring the actual displacement of such suspension elements was designed and attached to actual vehicles, to measure the displacements that occur in running it on the Seoul-Busan line, one of major lines serviced by KTX. The displacement data gained from the test with actual vehicles was analyzed for its displacement distribution depending on the service sections and frequency, with which the valuable data necessary for any potential breakdown or maintenance in the future could be obtained.

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Geographic Information System and Remote Sensing in Soil Science (GIS와 원격탐사를 활용한 토양학 연구)

  • Hong, Suk-Young;Kim, Yi-Hyun;Choe, Eun-Young;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Sonn, Yeon-Kyu;Park, Chan-Won;Jung, Kang-Ho;Hyun, Byung-Keun;Ha, Sang-Keun;Song, Kwan-Cheol
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.684-695
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    • 2010
  • Geographic information system (GIS) is being increasingly used for decision making, planning and agricultural environment management because of its analytical capacity. GIS and remote sensing have been combined with environmental models for many agricultural applications on monitoring of soils, agricultural water quality, microbial activity, vegetation and aquatic insect distribution. This paper introduce principles, vegetation indices, spatial data structure, spatial analysis of GIS and remote sensing in agricultural applications including terrain analysis, soil erosion, and runoff potential. National Academy of Agricultural Science (NAAS), Rural Development Administration (RDA) has a spatial database of agricultural soils, surface and underground water, weeds, aquatic insect, and climate data, and established a web-GIS system providing spatial and temporal variability of agricultural environment information since 2007. GIS-based interactive mapping system would encourage researchers and students to widely utilize spatial information on their studies with regard to agricultural and environmental problem solving combined with other national GIS database. GIS and remote sensing will play an important role to support and make decisions from a national level of conservation and protection to a farm level of management practice in the near future.

Analysis of the Recovery Behavior of SFCL According to Reclosing Operation (재폐로 동작에 따른 초전도 한류기의 회복성능 분석)

  • Ha, Kyoung-Hun;Cho, Yong-Sun;Kim, Deog-Goo;Choi, Hyo-Sang
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.1073-1077
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    • 2011
  • The breaking capacity of circuit breakers could be no more increased in the electric power system. This is because the fault current increases due to continuous increases in electric power demand and facilities. To solve the problem, it is necessary to come up with an alternative. The superconducting fault current limiter (SFCL) has received an attention among various alternatives. The SFCL effectively reduce a fault current in cooperation with a power circuit breaker. A various types of the SFCL are suggested and a study on them have been progressed. As a result of it, the SFCL can be applyed to the electric power system in the near future. But, a study on recovery behaviors of the SFCL is not enough for applying to the electric power system. If the superconducting elements do not completely recover to the superconducting state after fault operation, it might be a breakdown of the superconducting elements due to heavy power burden and it gives an bad influence on the working of other electric devices. Additionally, the distribution power system has reclosing operation such as open-0.3sec-closed/open-3min-closed/open procedure. So we need to study more about improvement of the recovery behaviors of the SFCL. In this paper, we analyzed the recovery behaviors of a flux-coupling type SFCL according to reclosing operation when a single line-to-ground fault occurred and we compared recovery behaviors of the SFCL with and without a neutral line between secondary reactors and superconducting elements. Also, the flux-coupling type SFCL has advantageous for increases of capacity by controlling the variation in turn ratios between two reactors. Consequently, when the number of turns of the secondary reactors increased, the power burden of the superconducting elements was bigger due to the increase of impedances of the secondary reactors. To distribute the power burden, two superconducting elements connected in series and the balanced quenching of the superconducting elements was induced by connecting a neutral line.